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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 357

creativename | Posted 9/11/2006 9:43:23 PM | message detail
Kudos to the people who thought of Nidoran F in BTW. This looks like it'll turn out to be a much better female joke choice than many we could've had.
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Heroic Mario | Posted 9/11/2006 9:43:32 PM | message detail
That's insane. Link was drawing in 87% of the vote against CATS at this time. Link ended with 87.83%. We're 40 minutes into the match, Nidoran F isn't uber fodder.

Cute with the account. >>

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
redrocket | Posted 9/11/2006 9:43:37 PM | message detail
Oh, by the way people, this is the last character battle we're getting. Sorry to all the "Mewtwo needs to be in the next one" people

Where are you getting this nonsense from?
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/11/2006 9:44:47 PM | message detail
I'd be very content seeing Samus hit 85% (even that seems a bit out of reach now, honestly). Scoring in the mid-80's against a character who is clearly getting joke votes is no easy task.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
charmander6000 | Posted 9/11/2006 9:44:54 PM | message detail
Where are you getting this nonsense from?

Freeman winning.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Pokemon Fanboy | Posted 9/11/2006 9:46:02 PM | message detail
Cute with the account. >>

It's a great way to spend a 3rd year anniversary. =D
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/11/2006 9:46:19 PM | message detail
I have my sources. But I'm serious. Don't be surprised if we don't get another character battle.
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ExThaNemesis? More like ExThOWNEDNemesis! ND>PSU What a blowout; the Lions must suck, but thats the way ExTha likes it.
White_Turtle | Posted 9/11/2006 9:46:20 PM | message detail
Pfft, if you guys had rallied behind Carmen Sandiego instead of Nidoran, she could've got a decent seed and taken out Terra or Kairi


TuRtLe
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Character Battle V score: 0/0 | Check out my contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/11/2006 9:49:23 PM | message detail
She's pulling in about 81% updates (past two) right now. You have to figure that Nidoran F isn't going to hold up at all during the day; it's cleary already surpassed that "joke" part and loses more percentage per update as a result. Hitting around mid-80s shouldn't be too much of a task.

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
HaRRicH | Posted 9/11/2006 9:50:36 PM | message detail
I'm curious about both how disloyal Metroid fans are and how loyal Pokemon fans are with this match...we've seen Samus/Metroid falter in various SFF matches, we don't know of any particular time where she certainly SFF'd the opponent, we saw Pokemon pull a hell of a shock this summer, we saw the two Pokemon games do fairly well for themselves in the Top 100 List (including Pokemon Red behing the highest handheld-only title on the list), we see Samus letting Nidoran F look like she could be as strong as strong as Conker right now...

...the logic ain't perfect, but there is reason to suspect.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2006 9:50:45 PM | message detail
This match is quite a bit ahead of where Zelda/Civilization was at this time...so, either there's a fair bit of rallying/stuffing going on for Nidoran F, or the prospects for votals could be brighter than I thought.

lol projections 45 minutes into the match
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Commit it to memory.
Big Bob | Posted 9/11/2006 9:52:30 PM | message detail
Please stabilize at 78, please stabilize at 78...

That way I can say...

I CALLED IT!
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If the universe implodes, this space belongs to NClark128. If the law wins, I win!
September 22nd! Amy Rose > KOS-MOS
Lopen | Posted 9/11/2006 9:54:24 PM | message detail
Nidoran F is rSFFing Samus. Haha... I could see that. All I know is I don't care where Samus ends up, no way I take Nidoran F to beat Lara Croft or Sam Fisher... or end up anywhere near keeping it close with them. Then again, I don't really believe in fodder match extrapolation anyway.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Pokemon Fanboy | Posted 9/11/2006 9:54:36 PM | message detail
She's pulling in about 81% updates (past two) right now. You have to figure that Nidoran F isn't going to hold up at all during the day; it's cleary already surpassed that "joke" part and loses more percentage per update as a result. Hitting around mid-80s shouldn't be too much of a task.

While Nidoran F will fall off during the day, it won't be as much as you think. Keep in mind the shifted vote start time compared to Link vs CATS. Samus will have to fight for every last vote if she wants to hit 85%.
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Samus | 6 | 33.33% | Nidoran F | 12 | 66.66% | lead of 6 |
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2006 9:56:21 PM | message detail
If Samus can't SFF Nidoran F, how can she expect to hold up against THE KING OF SFF???

(that's Mega Man, for the slow)
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Commit it to memory.
White_Turtle | Posted 9/11/2006 9:57:24 PM | message detail
What does the shifted vote start have to do with anything, when the first hour had a disproportionate amount of joke votes for Nidoran? Not to mention how the Pokemon fanbase seems to, oddly enough, be the more "hardcore" one and is more likely to be stronger at night.


TuRtLe
~~~
Character Battle V score: 0/0 | Check out my contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/11/2006 9:57:28 PM | message detail
While Nidoran F will fall off during the day, it won't be as much as you think. Keep in mind the shifted vote start time compared to Link vs CATS. Samus will have to fight for every last vote if she wants to hit 85%.

I would expect Nidoran F to hold up better here than CATS would and fall off far more the further we get away from this time than CATS would. Samus will quite easily be pulling in big updates by the time morning comes and throughout the rest of the day. Anywhere in the mid-80s is perfectly fine all things considered. This won't look nearly as bad by the end as it may now.

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/11/2006 9:57:58 PM | message detail
If Samus can't SFF Nidoran F, how can she expect to hold up against THE KING OF SFF???

She's not facing Link again, silly.

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2006 10:00:02 PM | message detail
I see you are one of those 'slow' I was referring to, HM!
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Commit it to memory.
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 9/11/2006 10:00:10 PM | message detail
She's not facing Mario again, silly.

Fix'd

TuRtLe
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Character Battle V score: 0/0 | Check out my contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/11/2006 10:01:21 PM | message detail
I purposely ignored your parenthetical note because of how crazy it was! It's almost like taking Mega Man over Link!

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2006 10:02:09 PM | message detail
Nothing is as crazy as that! Why, you'd have to ignore almost all logic and reason to try to justify a pick like that!
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Commit it to memory.
Pokemon Fanboy | Posted 9/11/2006 10:03:30 PM | message detail
What does the shifted vote start have to do with anything, when the first hour had a disproportionate amount of joke votes for Nidoran? Not to mention how the Pokemon fanbase seems to, oddly enough, be the more "hardcore" one and is more likely to be stronger at night.

It's leveled off since then. Samus has be drawing almost exactly 80% of the incoming votes for the last half an hour. Earlier start also means higher starting vote total which dilutes joke votes. This voting hour is also closer to the afternoon vote time wise so it should be slightly more similar to the afternoon vote than the night vote. It might not make a huge difference, but climbing from 78 to 85 needs just about every advantage you can get.
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Samus | 6 | 33.33% | Nidoran F | 12 | 66.66% | lead of 6 |
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/11/2006 10:03:33 PM | message detail
Almost like taking Mega Man over Samus!!

(I so hope he gets there now.)

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Lopen | Posted 9/11/2006 10:04:07 PM | message detail
Hay guyz Dante Collection is coming out soon Dante wins the bracket okay?
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2006 10:04:36 PM | message detail
I, too, hope Ganondorf loses spectacularly before the finals!
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Commit it to memory.
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/11/2006 10:05:19 PM | message detail
I'd sacrifice Ganon losing to Mega Man just so your hopes can go sky high before they get crushed in the final!

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2006 10:06:42 PM | message detail
MEGA MAN IS INVINCIBLE
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Commit it to memory.
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/11/2006 10:07:35 PM | message detail
Except when he faces stronger characters!

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2006 10:08:25 PM | message detail
That aren't named Samus!
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Commit it to memory.
Lopen | Posted 9/11/2006 10:08:43 PM | message detail
For the first time this year, Mega Man will be defeating Ryu. And as we all know, X's Hadouken attack destroys anything in one hit.

Mega Man's victory is all but assured!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/11/2006 10:09:27 PM | message detail
Samus is not only indirectly stronger, but she'll Same Fanbase Factor him all the way to Nidoran F levels.

Book it~!

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2006 10:09:39 PM | message detail
I'm partial to X's Shoryuken, but whatever works!
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Commit it to memory.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2006 10:10:46 PM | message detail
Pfft. Who likes both Samus and Mega Man, yet like Samus more? No one worth listening to, I'll wager!
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Commit it to memory.
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/11/2006 10:11:11 PM | message detail
Everyone!

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/11/2006 10:13:21 PM | message detail
Hey, that was neary an 81.5% update. You know what this means!

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Lopen | Posted 9/11/2006 10:15:15 PM | message detail
Ms. Pac Man > Nidoran F. Need I say more?
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Haste_2 | Posted 9/11/2006 10:15:46 PM | message detail
It means Samus will hit 92% as she was supposed to!!!

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/11/2006 10:19:04 PM | message detail
KH, your arguments for MM over Samus are even worse than HM's arguments for MM over Link were, and that's saying something.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1352
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1778

lol king of sff
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2006 10:24:02 PM | message detail
The King isn't going to take these insults sitting down! *checks links* Ah! The polls that will ultimately strengthen my case. You had me going for a second there with that joke, my friend.
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Commit it to memory.
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/11/2006 10:25:12 PM | message detail
See, Crazy Kay Aitch things Mega Man is a Nintendo character and because of that will be able to SFF Samus.

lol

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2006 10:26:47 PM | message detail
I, too, will be laughing out loud when that match rolls around!
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Commit it to memory.
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/11/2006 10:28:26 PM | message detail
That laughter will be from realizing how crazy you were -- and there will be tears flowing from your eyes to add to the hysteria!

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Draco1214 | Posted 9/11/2006 10:29:02 PM | message detail
Since Leonhart isn't here at the moment...

At 1:20, Samus/Nidoran F has 12651 votes. To compare with other matches at this time:

The Legend of Zelda vs. Civilization - 12852
Samus Aran vs. Nidoran F - 12651
Fire Emblem vs. Silent Hill - 12589
Suikoden vs. Mega Man X - 12439

And here I was thinking it would be unfair to compare this match with some of the series contests' matches...
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Character Battle V Score - 0/0 points
Current Prediction - Samus Aran vs. Nidoran F
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2006 10:30:22 PM | message detail
That laughter will be from realizing how crazy you were -- and there will be tears flowing from your eyes to add to the hysteria!

...sounds like the voice of experience to me. =/
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Commit it to memory.
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/11/2006 10:31:12 PM | message detail
83.43%

IT BEGINS!

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Pokemon Fanboy | Posted 9/11/2006 10:31:50 PM | message detail
Samus' votes will fall off during the next update!
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Samus | 6 | 33.33% | Nidoran F | 12 | 66.66% | lead of 6 |
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/11/2006 10:32:36 PM | message detail
*checks links* Ah! The polls that will ultimately strengthen my case. You had me going for a second there with that joke, my friend.

dot dot dor

And I don't even know what dot dot dor means! *That's* how crazy that post was.

And here I was thinking it would be unfair to compare this match with some of the series contests' matches...

Well, it's pretty unsurprising to see that Nidoran F is just as big of a vote draw as the Legend of Zelda, and Samus obviously isn't big enough to measure up to Civilization. She's always been the most pathetic of vote draws, for whatever reason.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
Janus5000 | Posted 9/11/2006 10:32:49 PM | message detail
...Well, that was fun. On to... uh... fodder that no one cares about!
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
Lopen | Posted 9/11/2006 10:36:17 PM | message detail
Mega Man doesn't need to SFF Samus to win, stop giving them false hope, KH!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef