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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 350

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Sir Bormun | Posted 8/27/2006 3:22:40 PM | message detail
Hmm. I'm not really interested myself, but it'd be sorta cool to have some sort of competition thing to see who gets on the crew, especially with all this interest in it. Maybe some thing where last contest's Guru winner, the prophet winner, and the oracle winner replace the three who were the lowest last time around? Especially with all the interest in it, there should be something vaguely unbiased to choose who gets in.
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Need new sig.
Sir Bormun | Posted 8/27/2006 3:32:26 PM | message detail
And something I was thinking about, idly... my list of matches from most predictable to least predictable.

100% LOCK
Snake over Soma
Sonic over CATS
Tifa over Ivy
Crono over Captain Falcon
Samus over Nidoran
Sora over Tingle
Mega Man over Axel
Zelda over Carmen Sandiego
Peach over Daisy
Aeris over Marle
Kirby over Prince of Persia
Rikku over Lenneth
Yuna over Roll
Lara over Alyx
Dante over Ryu Hayabusa
Bowser over Leon Kennedy
Master Chief over Sub-Zero
Jill over Sheena
Ada over Jade
Auron over Alucard
Terra over Kerrigan
Ryu over Kratos
Kairi over Claire
Yoshi over Riku
KOS-MOS over Amy
Luigi over Zero
Gordon Freeman over Phoenix Wright
Squall over Tidus
Celes over The Boss
Vincent over Ganondorf
Cortana over Joanna
ANYONE'S GUESS

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Need new sig.
DomaDragoon | Posted 8/27/2006 3:42:29 PM | message detail
Maybe some thing where last contest's Guru winner, the prophet winner, and the oracle winner replace the three who were the lowest last time around?

Only if the champion has the right to decline. I'm not all that sure I'd like to join the crew, since I'm not all that good at analysis. Not that I'm expecting to do nearly as well this Prophet go-round.

Anyway, more Fact or Fiction? (I put the question mark, but I'm going to post it anyway.)

FACT OR FICTION: Nidoran F gets a higher percentage on Samus than Yuri did.

FACT OR FICTION: We don't see a seeding upset until the men's half of the bracket.

FACT OR FICTION: Of the three Valentines in the bracket, Jill gets the highest vote total in Round 1.

FACT OR FICTION: Celes and Terra both get their Amano art in Round 1.

FACT OR FICTION: Alyx scores better than 40.00% on Lara.

FACT OR FICTION: Roll gets a picture from a non-Classic incarnation. (i.e. .exe or Caskett)

FACT OR FICTION: At some point in the contest, Mega Man gets a non-Classic picture.

FACT OR FICTION: CATS gets the highest % of all the 8 seeds.

FACT OR FICTION: If Gordon Freeman wins his first match, we don't see him in SC2K7.

FACT OR FICTION: A member of the Noble Nine loses to a non-Noble.

FACT OR FICTION: The closest match in the entire contest doesn't involve any of the Noble Nine.

FACT OR FICTION: Tifa and Aeris wind up within 1% of each other in the non-adjusted XStats.

FACT OR FICTION: At least one of the top ten brackets eligible for prizes will come from Canada, and Ceej will mention that fact.

FACT OR FICTION: If Crono makes the Battle Royale, he will recieve more votes in at least one round than Mario, but still be eliminated before the plumber.

FACT OR FICTION: The Female Champion gets over 10% in the first round of the Battle Royale.

FACT OR FICTION: We see at least two of the brand new women from this tournament in SC2K7.

FACT OR FICTION: We see any of the new men from this tournament in SC2K7.

FACT OR FICTION: We have at least one Ceej announcement concerning someone vote stuffing in this contest.
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Congratulations to Z1mZum, Guru Champion!
www.rpgdl.com - Because everybody loves violent arena battles, right?
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 8/27/2006 3:43:50 PM | message detail

Only if the champion has the right to decline.


Aww... I was hoping that the winner would be hung by his nuts until he started analyzing.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
Super Luigi | Posted 8/27/2006 3:50:26 PM | message detail
Another reason to take Sub Zero over MC is because of MK Armageddon coming out 3 days before his match. It's supposed to be another good MK game(Just read the GS preview).
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Currently playing : Resident Evil 4(GC),NCAA Football 07(Xbox),Kirby Canvas Curse(DS).
XBL Gamertag - SuPer MiKe 86.
dethfdddddh | Posted 8/27/2006 3:52:30 PM | message detail
MK Armageddon is out THAT soon? Well, crap...
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z1mzum was the one to fill my dark soul with LIIIIGHHHT!
Super Luigi | Posted 8/27/2006 3:52:57 PM | message detail
FACT OR FICTION: CATS gets the highest % of all the 8 seeds.

Fiction. Soma will.
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Currently playing : Resident Evil 4(GC),NCAA Football 07(Xbox),Kirby Canvas Curse(DS).
XBL Gamertag - SuPer MiKe 86.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 8/27/2006 3:59:05 PM | message detail
FACT OR FICTION: Nidoran F gets a higher percentage on Samus than Yuri did.

FACT

FACT OR FICTION: We don't see a seeding upset until the men's half of the bracket.

FICTION

FACT OR FICTION: Of the three Valentines in the bracket, Jill gets the highest vote total in Round 1.

FACT

FACT OR FICTION: Celes and Terra both get their Amano art in Round 1.

No idea

FACT OR FICTION: Alyx scores better than 40.00% on Lara.

FICTION

FACT OR FICTION: Roll gets a picture from a non-Classic incarnation. (i.e. .exe or Caskett)

No idea

FACT OR FICTION: At some point in the contest, Mega Man gets a non-Classic picture.

FACT

FACT OR FICTION: CATS gets the highest % of all the 8 seeds.

FACT

FACT OR FICTION: If Gordon Freeman wins his first match, we don't see him in SC2K7.

FICTION

FACT OR FICTION: A member of the Noble Nine loses to a non-Noble.

FICTION

FACT OR FICTION: The closest match in the entire contest doesn't involve any of the Noble Nine.

FACT

FACT OR FICTION: Tifa and Aeris wind up within 1% of each other in the non-adjusted XStats.

FACT

FACT OR FICTION: At least one of the top ten brackets eligible for prizes will come from Canada, and Ceej will mention that fact.

FACT

FACT OR FICTION: If Crono makes the Battle Royale, he will recieve more votes in at least one round than Mario, but still be eliminated before the plumber.

FICTION

FACT OR FICTION: The Female Champion gets over 10% in the first round of the Battle Royale.

FICTION

FACT OR FICTION: We see at least two of the brand new women from this tournament in SC2K7.

FACT

FACT OR FICTION: We see any of the new men from this tournament in SC2K7.

FACT

FACT OR FICTION: We have at least one Ceej announcement concerning someone vote stuffing in this contest.

FACT
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http://img180.imageshack.us/img180/5394/nidoranfcx9.png
Vote Nidoran F!
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 8/27/2006 4:02:32 PM | message detail
FACT OR FICTION: Nidoran F gets a higher percentage on Samus than Yuri did.

Fact

FACT OR FICTION: We don't see a seeding upset until the men's half of the bracket.

Fact, Yoshi>Riku will be the first upset

FACT OR FICTION: Of the three Valentines in the bracket, Jill gets the highest vote total in Round 1.

Fact.

FACT OR FICTION: Celes and Terra both get their Amano art in Round 1.

Fact

FACT OR FICTION: Alyx scores better than 40.00% on Lara.

Ficton

FACT OR FICTION: Roll gets a picture from a non-Classic incarnation. (i.e. .exe or Caskett)

Fiction

FACT OR FICTION: At some point in the contest, Mega Man gets a non-Classic picture.

Fiction, why would Ceej start now? Maybe a user pic will sneak a non-classic picture in.

FACT OR FICTION: CATS gets the highest % of all the 8 seeds.

Fiction, C Falcon, Tingle, and Soma might be ahead of him % wise.

FACT OR FICTION: If Gordon Freeman wins his first match, we don't see him in SC2K7.

Fact

FACT OR FICTION: A member of the Noble Nine loses to a non-Noble.

Fiction

FACT OR FICTION: The closest match in the entire contest doesn't involve any of the Noble Nine.

Fact, Luigi/Zero will be the closest, with Vincent/Ganon in 2nd, and MM/Crono in 3rd.

FACT OR FICTION: Tifa and Aeris wind up within 1% of each other in the non-adjusted XStats.

No idea, I'm not going to pretend to know anything about how FF7 characters compare to each other (other than Cloud>Seph>the rest) since I've never played the damn game.

FACT OR FICTION: At least one of the top ten brackets eligible for prizes will come from Canada, and Ceej will mention that fact.

Fiction.

FACT OR FICTION: If Crono makes the Battle Royale, he will recieve more votes in at least one round than Mario, but still be eliminated before the plumber.

Fact (First round), but Crono won't make the battle royale, so we'll never know.

FACT OR FICTION: The Female Champion gets over 10% in the first round of the Battle Royale.

LOL Samus. Fiction easily.

FACT OR FICTION: We see at least two of the brand new women from this tournament in SC2K7.

Peach and Ada might make it again, so I'll say Fact. Kairi can make it as well, as well as Amy Rose.

FACT OR FICTION: We see any of the new men from this tournament in SC2K7.

If Justice for All is as good as PW:AA, Wright might make it. Axel could make it again I suppose.

FACT OR FICTION: We have at least one Ceej announcement concerning someone vote stuffing in this contest.

Fact, unfortunately.
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
red sox 777 | Posted 8/27/2006 4:02:36 PM | message detail
FICTION: Nidoran F gets a higher percentage on Samus than Yuri did.

FICTION: We don't see a seeding upset until the men's half of the bracket.

FICTION: Of the three Valentines in the bracket, Jill gets the highest vote total in Round 1.

FACT: Celes and Terra both get their Amano art in Round 1.

FACT: Alyx scores better than 40.00% on Lara.

FICTION: Roll gets a picture from a non-Classic incarnation. (i.e. .exe or Caskett)

FICTION: At some point in the contest, Mega Man gets a non-Classic picture.

FICTION: CATS gets the highest % of all the 8 seeds.

FACT: If Gordon Freeman wins his first match, we don't see him in SC2K7.

FICTION: A member of the Noble Nine loses to a non-Noble.

FICTION: The closest match in the entire contest doesn't involve any of the Noble Nine.

FICTION: Tifa and Aeris wind up within 1% of each other in the non-adjusted XStats.

FICTION: At least one of the top ten brackets eligible for prizes will come from Canada, and Ceej will mention that fact.

FICTION: If Crono makes the Battle Royale, he will recieve more votes in at least one round than Mario, but still be eliminated before the plumber.

Day 1: Samus loses to double Nintendo SFF.
Day 2: Mario outperforms Crono, but he stays alive thanks to the FF7 fanbase being divided between Cloud and Sephiroth.
Day 3: Crono outlasts Mario thanks to Link.
Day 4: Crono is destroyed by the force that is Clink.
Day 5: Link beats Cloud for the 3rd time out of 4.

FICTION: The Female Champion gets over 10% in the first round of the Battle Royale.

FACT: We see at least two of the brand new women from this tournament in SC2K7.

FICTION: We see any of the new men from this tournament in SC2K7.

FACT: We have at least one Ceej announcement concerning someone vote stuffing in this contest.

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"The black wind blows... one among you will shortly perish."
~Magus
RPGuy96 | Posted 8/27/2006 4:03:09 PM | message detail
FICTION: Nidoran F gets a higher percentage on Samus than Yuri did.

Eh...Metroid/Pokemon, but, seriously, who cares about Nidoran F?

FICTION: We don't see a seeding upset until the men's half of the bracket.

I have Claire and Celes winning their matches, so let us hope so.

FACT: Of the three Valentines in the bracket, Jill gets the highest vote total in Round 1.

Unless the female side is on par with 2k2 in terms of votals, this is pretty clear.

FICTION: Celes and Terra both get their Amano art in Round 1.

Celes has easy FMV shots, unlike Terra, and Terra got FMV'd last year.

FICTION: Alyx scores better than 40.00% on Lara.

Funny as it would be, I think Half-Life is going to break two longstanding trends this contest.

FICTION: Roll gets a picture from a non-Classic incarnation. (i.e. .exe or Caskett)

Ceej seems insistent on using only Classic pictures for Mega Man; I don't see why Roll would be any different.

FICTION: At some point in the contest, Mega Man gets a non-Classic picture.

Unless somebody sneaks another X pic past Ceej, I doubt it.

FICTION: CATS gets the highest % of all the 8 seeds.

Soma Cruz.

FICTION: If Gordon Freeman wins his first match, we don't see him in SC2K7.

Freeman is somehow popular enough with the nominators to always get a good seed. He'll be back in a field of 64.

FICTION: A member of the Noble Nine loses to a non-Noble.

*does Ganondorf's Melee chant*

FICTION: The closest match in the entire contest doesn't involve any of the Noble Nine.

Only because Crono/Mega Man/Samus/Sonic/Ganondorf could all be close.

FACT: Tifa and Aeris wind up within 1% of each other in the non-adjusted XStats.

Depends is Samus can SFF Zelda...which I'm not really buying (TP?). Aerith/Tifa should be reasonably close in strength in any case.

FACT: At least one of the top ten brackets eligible for prizes will come from Canada, and Ceej will mention that fact.

Crazy Canadians.

FACT: If Crono makes the Battle Royale, he will recieve more votes in at least one round than Mario, but still be eliminated before the plumber.

Assuming Crono and Samus make it, Samus will probably leech enough Nintendo votes to put Mario in a close 5th, behind Crono.

FICTION: The Female Champion gets over 10% in the first round of the Battle Royale.

With Link and Mario? No way in hell.

FICTION: We see at least two of the brand new women from this tournament in SC2K7.

Kairi and Peach are the best bets...but, by summer 2k7, I bet they'll be better.

FACT OR FICTION: We see any of the new men from this tournament in SC2K7.

FACT: We have at least one Ceej announcement concerning someone vote stuffing in this contest.

Phoenix Wright will return. Soma and Falcon have a chance, as well.
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"Who knew that head wounds bled so much?" ~ Kieran, Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance
Dekar TKB | Posted 8/27/2006 4:08:38 PM | message detail
FACT OR FICTION: Nidoran F gets a higher percentage on Samus than Yuri did.

Fiction.

FACT OR FICTION: We don't see a seeding upset until the men's half of the bracket.

Fiction. We'll see it in the 4th match.

FACT OR FICTION: Of the three Valentines in the bracket, Jill gets the highest vote total in Round 1.

Fact. I expect Vincent to win, but....Sheena.

FACT OR FICTION: Celes and Terra both get their Amano art in Round 1.

Fiction. Just Celes.

FACT OR FICTION: Alyx scores better than 40.00% on Lara.

Fiction. I expect Alyx to look a lot like Chop Chop.

FACT OR FICTION: Roll gets a picture from a non-Classic incarnation. (i.e. .exe or Caskett)

Fact? Dunno.

FACT OR FICTION: At some point in the contest, Mega Man gets a non-Classic picture.

Fact? Dunno.

FACT OR FICTION: CATS gets the highest % of all the 8 seeds.

Fiction. He'll probably be in the bottom half of 1 seeds in terms of percentage.

FACT OR FICTION: If Gordon Freeman wins his first match, we don't see him in SC2K7.

Fact.

FACT OR FICTION: A member of the Noble Nine loses to a non-Noble.

Fiction.

FACT OR FICTION: The closest match in the entire contest doesn't involve any of the Noble Nine.

Fact. Kirby/Zero.

FACT OR FICTION: Tifa and Aeris wind up within 1% of each other in the non-adjusted XStats.

Fact.

FACT OR FICTION: At least one of the top ten brackets eligible for prizes will come from Canada, and Ceej will mention that fact.

Fiction. Too few Canadians doing this in the first place, I think.

FACT OR FICTION: If Crono makes the Battle Royale, he will recieve more votes in at least one round than Mario, but still be eliminated before the plumber.

Fiction. Eh.

FACT OR FICTION: The Female Champion gets over 10% in the first round of the Battle Royale.

Fiction.

FACT OR FICTION: We see at least two of the brand new women from this tournament in SC2K7.

Fiction. Maybe Peach, no one else.

FACT OR FICTION: We see any of the new men from this tournament in SC2K7.

Fact. Phoenix Wright isn't going away.

FACT OR FICTION: We have at least one Ceej announcement concerning someone vote stuffing in this contest.

Fact.
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Chief of Patrol in Sir Chris' police force DA!
Captain Falcon for Sc2k6! www.rpgdl.com
Heroic Mario | Posted 8/27/2006 4:14:23 PM | message detail

hay moltar vincent > ganon lololol now let me on the crew plz


I'd let him on just so he can crash and burn in round 1!

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"Winning isn't about being lucky, it's about being bold." -- Captain Falcon
ps2rulezzz | Posted 8/27/2006 4:26:57 PM | message detail
I can see nidoran F taking the early lead for the first few minutes. Then samus crushes nidoran with 88%
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190/192 points in sc2004, winner team oracle challenge
Z1mzum owned me this spring
WiggumFan267 | Posted 8/27/2006 4:29:37 PM | message detail
Nidoran has the possibility of getting the 3rd best match pic of Round 1 (after Phoenix and Carmen of course).


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WiggumFan534 (Now with 100% more... just more...) : Owned by Z1mmy Since 1987
Happily married to Alanna82 on VDay 2005
Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/27/2006 4:47:18 PM | message detail
So, does anyone think Ganon vs. Vincent could set the record for highest first round vote totals ever? Ganon vs. Tidus had it originally, and I definitely see the first round of 2k6 doing better than the first round of 2k3, vote total wise.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/27/2006 5:02:18 PM | message detail
it'd be sorta cool to have some sort of competition thing to see who gets on the crew

I think people care about crew spots too much.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: SOTC, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, SFAA, Castlevania: LoI
WiggumFan267 | Posted 8/27/2006 5:02:37 PM | message detail
FACT OR FICTION: Nidoran F gets a higher percentage on Samus than Yuri did.

FACT. I'd say at least 17%.



FACT OR FICTION: We don't see a seeding upset until the men's half of the bracket.

FICTION. Claire is our biggest shot. And I think it'll happen. The Boss and Jill aren't locks either.



FACT OR FICTION: Of the three Valentines in the bracket, Jill gets the highest vote total in Round 1.

FACT. She'll be the only one getting to Round 2, probably.



FACT OR FICTION: Celes and Terra both get their Amano art in Round 1.

??Don't know much about FF6.



FACT OR FICTION: Alyx scores better than 40.00% on Lara.

FICTION. Gordon would have a hard time scoring 40 on Lara. (Lara DID score 40% on Zelda).



FACT OR FICTION: Roll gets a picture from a non-Classic incarnation. (i.e. .exe or Caskett)

FICTION. At least, I hope it's fiction for her sake.



FACT OR FICTION: At some point in the contest, Mega Man gets a non-Classic picture.

FICTION. We don't need more people confusing him and X. I don't think it's happened before, but I could be wrong.



FACT OR FICTION: CATS gets the highest % of all the 8 seeds.

FICTION. Y'know. If this is the case, it's pretty bad for my bracket, but I think it's gonna be Falcon. Crono and Sonic have to be moderatly close, and Falcon would beat CATS.



FACT OR FICTION: If Gordon Freeman wins his first match, we don't see him in SC2K7.

FACT. The joke would be over. (Phoenix Wright would become the new Gordon maybe? But in a more-liked sense >_>)



FACT OR FICTION: A member of the Noble Nine loses to a non-Noble.

FICTION. NEVER. NEVER. NEVER. Sonic WILL NOT die to
Ganon.



FACT OR FICTION: The closest match in the entire contest doesn't involve any of the Noble Nine.

FICTION. The whole Sonic/Mega Man/Crono fiasco will be.



FACT OR FICTION: Tifa and Aeris wind up within 1% of each other in the non-adjusted XStats.

Hmm.... I don't know.... I'm gonna say FACT, I guess. Tough call.



FACT OR FICTION: At least one of the top ten brackets eligible for prizes will come from Canada, and Ceej will mention that fact.

FACT. Gotta love luck.



FACT OR FICTION: If Crono makes the Battle Royale, he will recieve more votes in at least one round than Mario, but still be eliminated before the plumber.

FICTION. Gotta assume it'll follow a trend and Crono will be getting SFF constantly before Mario does.



FACT OR FICTION: The Female Champion gets over 10% in the first round of the Battle Royale.

FACT. Seems fair. Samus is still pretty strong despite SFF.



FACT OR FICTION: We see at least two of the brand new women from this tournament in SC2K7.

Depends. If 2K7 is a normal character contest, no twists, then FICTION. Peach has never made it before for a reason, imo.



FACT OR FICTION: We see any of the new men from this tournament in SC2K7.

FACT. I think PoP has a comeback shot, more than anyone. Maybe Subby, because he'll do decently on Chief.



FACT OR FICTION: We have at least one Ceej announcement concerning someone vote stuffing in this contest.

FACT. I call Snake vs. Mega Man.


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WiggumFan534 (Now with 100% more... just more...) : Owned by Z1mmy Since 1987
Happily married to Alanna82 on VDay 2005
FastFalcon05 | Posted 8/27/2006 5:18:57 PM | message detail
Anyway, we should be looking at Advent Children. I know it's a movie and all, but that didn't stop it from beating Kingdom Hearts II (and I) in their respective polls. That's right. Over 55% of the site has watched AC by now, compared to around 45% for the KHs (barring slight evolutions since the polls were taken, of course).

Kingdom Hearts has shown to boost some characters pretty highly. And if you like to think that that's because influx rather than actual appearances in the game, then you have to give Vincent a full KH2 boost, which should also be more than enough to give him the win over Ganondorf.


This is old as I'm catching up, and I'm sure other people commented on this, too, but as someone who's repeatedly not excited by the effect of Advent Children, it still is not a game. It already appeared to a fanbase that supported Final Fantasy VII. Aside from the valid argument that it rallied the FFVII fans and made them vote more, I don't see Advent Children as attracting new fans to a game/series in the same way Kingdom Hearts did. Sorry if this is old, but, I just don't think an AC to KH comparison is valid.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/27/2006 5:51:06 PM | message detail
I'd guess that Cloud, Seph, and Tifa would be the characters to receive the most notable AC boosts. We saw AC boost Sephy quite substantially from the VC to SC2k5, and it was enough to keep Cloud constant. Tifa's fight scene is the best part of the whole movie, and is enough to upgrade my opinion of her from "mediocre" to "ok". She's definitely cooler in that scene than she is at any point in the game.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
dethfdddddh | Posted 8/27/2006 6:01:10 PM | message detail
The scene in which Loz kicks her ass?
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z1mzum was the one to fill my dark soul with LIIIIGHHHT!
Master Moltar | Posted 8/27/2006 6:05:11 PM | message detail
Well, it is one of the few non-over-the-top fights in the movie...
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Moltar Status: Bracket filled and ready to go.
2006 is the year of Samus Aran
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 8/27/2006 6:12:36 PM | message detail
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/detail.php?board=8&topic=30195032&message=330556297

1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - Team Rocket Elite
3 - Ngamer64
4 - ChichiriMuyo
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6 - transience
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9 - dethfdddddh
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11 - arkenaga
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14 - Z1mZum
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28 - RockMFR 5
29 - cavalier lowen
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31 - junglebob22
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35 - Aprosenf
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62 - Snip Snip Now
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64 - LuniNutz99
65 - Zylo the wolf
66 - Kaxon
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68 - longbladeofhiko
69 - Dekar TKB
70 - spikevegeta
71 - Azp2k32
72 - Ori
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74 - Lopen
75 - Chinballz
76 - Soniclink15
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90 - Steinershocker
91 - XIII is sexy
92 - Smurf
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95- FastFalcon05
96 - Rufus Shinra 18
97 - _Harmonica_
98 - Nintendo Wiii
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100 - Sephirot1
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103 - Tai
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105 - King Morgoth
106 - dragoontheguy
107 - outback
108 - Dunkeroo23
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111 - Tidus My Boy
112 - Guess how many Teens
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127 - andaca
128 - Sess
129 - Giggsalot
130 - Consolefreak
131 - Tsunami70
132 - Xuxon
133- MasterMage119
134 - ObscureMammoth
135 - Brett with Atreyu
136- MarkSmith
137 - ChidoriNoJutsu
138 - ZoneOftheEnders
139 - Cokes
140 - DaruninaTheGoron
141 - MoogleKupo141 Again
142 - RPGGamer0
143 - Mister Mario
144 - Ringworm
145 - Sir Chris
146 - AlecTrevelyan006
---
I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest.
Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest!
HaRRicH | Posted 8/27/2006 6:21:07 PM | message detail
FACT: Nidoran F gets a higher percentage on Samus than Yuri did.

If only just, though.....


FACT: We don't see a seeding upset until the men's half of the bracket.

Though there's some viable upsets there.....


FICTION: Of the three Valentines in the bracket, Jill gets the highest vote total in Round 1.

I'll say false and give it to Vincent.


FICTION: Celes and Terra both get their Amano art in Round 1.

Nah, 3D like Terra did last time.


FOOLED: Alyx scores better than 40.00% on Lara.

I don't know who Alyx is!


FICTION: Roll gets a picture from a non-Classic incarnation. (i.e. .exe or Caskett)

Don't care though.


FACT: At some point in the contest, Mega Man gets a non-Classic picture.

If only just an eye-shot.


FACT: CATS gets the highest % of all the 8 seeds.

Captain Falcon should, and Tingle has a VVEERRYY long shot to...but I wouldn't count on that one.


FICTION: If Gordon Freeman wins his first match, we don't see him in SC2K7.

People WILL nominate him alot less though.


FICTION: A member of the Noble Nine loses to a non-Noble.

If this is true, KH2/DoC had to do WONDERS for Squall/Vincent against Solid/Sonic.


FICTION: The closest match in the entire contest doesn't involve any of the Noble Nine.

Jill/Sheena, Luigi/Zero, Ganon/Vincent, and MC/Sub-Zero all have room for it to happen, and both Solid and Sonic's closest non-NN opponents probably won't get THAT close.


FACT: Tifa and Aeris wind up within 1% of each other in the non-adjusted XStats.

Eh...why not.


FICTION: At least one of the top ten brackets eligible for prizes will come from Canada, and Ceej will mention that fact.

whatevr canadidas cant win my stupdi contest


FICTION: If Crono makes the Battle Royale, he will recieve more votes in at least one round than Mario, but still be eliminated before the plumber.

I would think both Cloud and Sephiroth could SFF Crono, whereas only Link could SFF Mario...and if an SFF-match in 2k2 is a sign of anything, not to mention NSMB, Mario should fare better.


FACT: The Female Champion gets over 10% in the first round of the Battle Royale.

Ooh, Samus...tough.


FACT: We see at least two of the brand new women from this tournament in SC2K7.

No idea.


FACT: We see any of the new men from this tournament in SC2K7.

I'm giving the benefit of the doubt here.


FACT: We have at least one Ceej announcement concerning someone vote stuffing in this contest.

Always seems to happen sometime.....
---
Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
MnMZero | Posted 8/27/2006 6:27:22 PM | message detail
Food for thought. If Crono wins the male side of the bracket and then proceeds to bomb in the battle royale, who here would entertain the possibility of him being SFF'd by Cloud/Sephiroth. We really don't know how Crono would fare against them, and seeing how the BOTH of them will be in there... um, yeah.

I actually think that Sonic would fare the best in the Battle Royal among those in the main bracket. He also seems like he belongs there more. :-/
---
*Is therealmnm*
Proud Supporter of Mega Man X in Best. Series. Ever. Contest
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/27/2006 6:28:04 PM | message detail
Even more reasons to take Sonic as male champ!!! =D
---
Commit it to memory.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 8/27/2006 6:28:54 PM | message detail
1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - Team Rocket Elite
3 - Ngamer64
4 - ChichiriMuyo
5 - Explicit Hairy Balls
6 - transience
7 - Master Moltar
8 - Mac Arrowny
9 - dethfdddddh
10 - Draco1214
11 - arkenaga
12 - Yoshifan823
13 - MasterofHunters
14 - Z1mZum
15 - Shivan Reincarnated
16 - MegatokyoEd
17 - DomaDragoon
18 - Janus5000
19 - Applekidjosh
20 - BlAcK TuRtLe
21 - bobeta
22 - greatone
23 - NewLib
24 - Big Bob
25 - HaRRicH
26 - meche313
27 - MarioSuperstar
28 - RockMFR 5
29 - cavalier lowen
30 - Bobby200614
31 - junglebob22
32 - Heroic Mario
33 - yoblazer33
34 - trizob the hedgehog
35 - Aprosenf
36 - MoogleKupo141
37 - voltch
38 - XxSoulxX, yo
39 - Lieutenant Kettch
40 - A worlds envy
41 - Osfan
42 - ff6man
43 - rpgapzx
44 - Viviff
45 - expaniol
46 - Red Sox 777
47 - ps2rulezzz
48 - cyko
49 - jonthomson
50 - jeevesthemole
51 - Luis_Sera89
52 - Phediuk
53 - FFDragon
54 - Vile Requiem
55 - charmander6000
56 - Radix
57 - Tediz247
58 - Brett with Atreyu
59 - Yesmar
60 - shadow8021
61 - Jman_gamerX8
62 - Snip Snip Now
63 - Tirofog
64 - LuniNutz99
65 - Zylo the wolf
66 - Kaxon
67 - KingBartz
68 - longbladeofhiko
69 - Dekar TKB
70 - spikevegeta
71 - Azp2k32
72 - Ori
73 - CountCrazy007
74 - Lopen
75 - Chinballz
76 - Soniclink15
77 - ccbfan
78 - Fett0001
79 - Dark115
80 - Dilated Chemist
81 - Steve Illumina
82 - outsider920
83 - ExThaNemesis
84 - HeroicGammaRay
85 - RPGuy96
86 - Pathetique
87 - SonicRaptor
88 - swirldude
89 - TheRye
90 - Steinershocker
91 - XIII is sexy
92 - Smurf
93 - freac
94 - Redtooth
95- FastFalcon05
96 - Rufus Shinra 18
97 - _Harmonica_
98 - Nintendo Wiii
99 - Tjian
100 - Sephirot1
101 - plasmabeam
102- SephirothG
103 - Tai
104 - WHAT THE CRUNK ED BELLIS
105 - King Morgoth
106 - dragoontheguy
107 - outback
108 - Dunkeroo23
109 - canadiancatcher
110 - stingers135
111 - Tidus My Boy
112 - Guess how many Teens
113 - Prometheus321
114 - BeTheMan
115 - Haste2
116 - Read_Only_Thx
117 - KleenexTissue50
118 - daverath
119 - Mithrandir1331
120 - ScorpionX3
121 - perdevious
122 - ExquisiteSamurai
123 - Buzzup
124 - Jmast7
125 - GrapefruitKing
126 - cavedog0/ThatsRidiculous
127 - andaca
128 - Sess
129 - Giggsalot
130 - Consolefreak
131 - Tsunami70
132 - Xuxon
133- MasterMage119
134 - ObscureMammoth
135 - Brett with Atreyu
136- MarkSmith
137 - ChidoriNoJutsu
138 - ZoneOftheEnders
139 - Cokes
140 - DaruniaTheGoron
141 - MoogleKupo141 Again
142 - RPGGamer0
143 - Mister Mario
144 - Ringworm
145 - Sir Chris
146 - AlecTrevelyan006

Just fixing a spelling mistake on my name >_>
---
http://img180.imageshack.us/img180/5394/nidoranfcx9.png
Vote Nidoran F!
Heroic Mario | Posted 8/27/2006 6:32:24 PM | message detail
Even more reasons to take Sonic as male champ!!!

So funny.

---
"Winning isn't about being lucky, it's about being bold." -- Captain Falcon
Tediz247 | Posted 8/27/2006 6:34:56 PM | message detail
I'm looking forward to watching Sonic fall flat on his face like he does every year.
---
That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
Heroic Mario | Posted 8/27/2006 6:35:40 PM | message detail
Indeed.


Bring on the Blue Blur's demise!!

---
"Winning isn't about being lucky, it's about being bold." -- Captain Falcon
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/27/2006 6:36:38 PM | message detail
Man, yeah, I know man. I mean how could he ever make up a less than 52% difference against CRONO, that's impossible, no one could do anything like that nor did we see anything like that last year lololol
---
Commit it to memory.
transience | Posted 8/27/2006 6:39:02 PM | message detail
I think the Crew would be better if it wasn't so unified.. when you take the best the stats topic has to offer, there's usually a lot of similar thought processes. I'd be curious to see people that don't ever read the stats topic and what they think.

..assuming they're not idiots, of course.
---
iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/27/2006 6:47:12 PM | message detail
They don't have to be idiots, but the propensity to be misinformed is sky-high. I've seen otherwise very, VERY smart individuals think things like Cloud/Sephiroth having won all (yes, ALL) of the character contests, judging a character's strength through huge SFF matches, or any number of really bad assumptions. That stuff can be cleared up 99% of the time, but then you're just shaping them to the consensus of the stats topics again.
---
Commit it to memory.
transience | Posted 8/27/2006 6:49:39 PM | message detail
yeah, I agree. I actually considered not coming in here for the entire bracketmaking period just to see what kind of weird deviations I would end up with. I even made a bracket based on my initial thoughts so I can look back and see how my changes worked out.
---
iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage
HaRRicH | Posted 8/27/2006 6:51:00 PM | message detail
Oh, by the way, count me in the Crew again this contest.
---
Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
MnMZero | Posted 8/27/2006 6:59:53 PM | message detail
ditto. Although this will probably be my last one, since I'm a working man now and all!
---
*Is therealmnm*
Proud Supporter of Mega Man X in Best. Series. Ever. Contest
Master Moltar | Posted 8/27/2006 7:02:07 PM | message detail
CB5 Contest Analysis Crew Status
Master Moltar - OK
Ultimaterializer - OK
Soul - ?
Leonheart - ?
Heroic Mario - OK
yoblazer - OK
mnm - ?
HaRRich - OK
Lopen - OK

And Tran brings up an interesting point. Usually when a non-Stats topic person does these write-ups, they usually have a good number of picks that...seem crazy, but actually end up pretty good. Happened with Cena and Soul. Of course, you guys hated Vlado and Inviso, so it's not always true. I'd consider Outback in the middle.

But I trust Stats topic guys the most...but things may change for the 2007 Contests...
---
Moltar Status: Bracket filled and ready to go.
2006 is the year of Samus Aran
Adept of Aiur | Posted 8/27/2006 7:04:02 PM | message detail
Do my zany, off-the-wall, seemingly crazy yet actually thought by a different process qualify me as a non-stats person?


Bleh, who am I kidding?
---
"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Samurai7 | Posted 8/27/2006 7:04:14 PM | message detail
What about me? A reg several people recognize but no one cares about/likes that branches through about 1/3 - 1/4 of the topics and only reads half the posts? >.>

I swear I'd actual spell and grammar cheeck >.>....

I'll be around for 07, I'm always here.....

yeah stop staring at me like im an idiot newb

......

ok I'll go away
---
Did you know 86% of all statistics are made up on the spot?
Big Bob | Posted 8/27/2006 7:04:35 PM | message detail
How many times in the series contest did the whole Analysis crew get it wrong? Three? Even I did better.
---
If the universe implodes, this space belongs to NClark128. If the law wins, I win!
transience | Posted 8/27/2006 7:07:30 PM | message detail
I'd approve of Mastermage writing it, so long as he was serious.. and I think he would be. I like his yearly contest writeups.
---
iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage
shadow8021 | Posted 8/27/2006 7:07:42 PM | message detail
FACT OR FICTION: Nidoran F gets a higher percentage on Samus than Yuri did.

Fact. lol SMAUS cant SFF ne1 lolz!!!

FACT OR FICTION: We don't see a seeding upset until the men's half of the bracket.

Fiction. Amy Rose, anyone?

FACT OR FICTION: Of the three Valentines in the bracket, Jill gets the highest vote total in Round 1.

Fiction. Vincent will, in a loss.

FACT OR FICTION: Celes and Terra both get their Amano art in Round 1.

I don't know what that is...

FACT OR FICTION: Alyx scores better than 40.00% on Lara.

Fact. Half-Life 2 is a popular game, and Lara is fading fast.

FACT OR FICTION: Roll gets a picture from a non-Classic incarnation. (i.e. .exe or Caskett)

Fiction. Has Mega Man ever had a pic that wasn't classic, besides the glimpse of X in his match with Crono? (which was fan-made)

FACT OR FICTION: At some point in the contest, Mega Man gets a non-Classic picture.

I hope, but most likely fiction.

FACT OR FICTION: CATS gets the highest % of all the 8 seeds.

Fiction. Falcon and Ivy have better shots, especially if CATS gets another Eggplant pic.

FACT OR FICTION: If Gordon Freeman wins his first match, we don't see him in SC2K7.

Fiction. Gordon Freeman is a true contest mainstay.

FACT OR FICTION: A member of the Noble Nine loses to a non-Noble.

Fiction. Squall and G-dorf will come close, though.

FACT OR FICTION: The closest match in the entire contest doesn't involve any of the Noble Nine.

Fact. That fourpack with Luigi, Kirby, and Zero is scaring me, plus matches like Yoshi/Dante and Zelda/Aeris all could be epic. Don't forget G-dorf/Vincent, either.

FACT OR FICTION: Tifa and Aeris wind up within 1% of each other in the non-adjusted XStats.

Fiction, because weird things will most likely happen in Samus/Zelda.

FACT OR FICTION: At least one of the top ten brackets eligible for prizes will come from Canada, and Ceej will mention that fact.

Fact. Canadiens need something of note ever since Edmonton lost the Stanley Cup Finals (Go Hurricanes!)

FACT OR FICTION: If Crono makes the Battle Royale, he will recieve more votes in at least one round than Mario, but still be eliminated before the plumber.

Fiction. Mario owns Crono, end of story :P

FACT OR FICTION: The Female Champion gets over 10% in the first round of the Battle Royale.

Fiction. Samus would be hard-pressed to, with Mario AND Link sucking up the Nintendo franchise votes.

FACT OR FICTION: We see at least two of the brand new women from this tournament in SC2K7.

Fact. Peach, The Boss, Kairi, etc. all have good shots.

FACT OR FICTION: We see any of the new men from this tournament in SC2K7.

Fact, because everyone on this board seems to worship Phoenix Wright.

FACT OR FICTION: We have at least one Ceej announcement concerning someone vote stuffing in this contest.

Fiction.
---
Character Battle Score: 0/0
Next Pick: lol Samus > Nidoran F
Adept of Aiur | Posted 8/27/2006 7:10:36 PM | message detail
I'd approve of Mastermage writing it, so long as he was serious.. and I think he would be. I like his yearly contest writeups.

Awww. Thanks tranny. :)

I actually wouldn't be too interested in writing for the crew this year though. Maybe the next time we actually get one during the Summer.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/27/2006 7:11:12 PM | message detail
As I was doing my own analysis thingy, I was comparing myself to the crew, and I think I would've gotten 6 or so matches. Then again, one of those was Warcraft/GTA, which IIRC the whole crew foolishly picked GTA >_>


TuRtLe
~~~
lol Z1mZum | BSE Contest final score: 61 pts
Nominate Carmen Sandiego for Character Battle V
Master Moltar | Posted 8/27/2006 7:12:02 PM | message detail
I've let Mage guest write before. I might have even offered you a chance to join before...
---
Moltar Status: Bracket filled and ready to go.
2006 is the year of Samus Aran
transience | Posted 8/27/2006 7:14:22 PM | message detail
me? I've never been offered a spot.. but I wouldn't be good at it anyway. my writeups would be like six lines long max.
---
iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 8/27/2006 7:16:30 PM | message detail
I'm a bit late to the party, but why not....


FACT OR FICTION: Nidoran F gets a higher percentage on Samus than Yuri did.

FACT: We don't see a seeding upset until the men's half of the bracket.

FACT: Of the three Valentines in the bracket, Jill gets the highest vote total in Round 1.

FICTION: Alyx scores better than 40.00% on Lara.

FICTION: CATS gets the highest % of all the 8 seeds.

FACT: If Gordon Freeman wins his first match, we don't see him in SC2K7.

FICTION: A member of the Noble Nine loses to a non-Noble.

FACT: The closest match in the entire contest doesn't involve any of the Noble Nine.

FICTION: Tifa and Aeris wind up within 1% of each other in the non-adjusted XStats.

FACT: At least one of the top ten brackets eligible for prizes will come from Canada, and Ceej will mention that fact.

FACT: If Crono makes the Battle Royale, he will recieve more votes in at least one round than Mario, but still be eliminated before the plumber.

FICTION: The Female Champion gets over 10% in the first round of the Battle Royale.

FICTION: We see at least two of the brand new women from this tournament in SC2K7.

FACT: We see any of the new men from this tournament in SC2K7.

FICTION: We have at least one Ceej announcement concerning someone vote stuffing in this contest.

---
Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
Adept of Aiur | Posted 8/27/2006 7:17:20 PM | message detail
I've let Mage guest write before. I might have even offered you a chance to join before...

Yeah, you did last year I believe.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/27/2006 7:17:33 PM | message detail
me? I've never been offered a spot.. but I wouldn't be good at it anyway. my writeups would be like six lines long max.

...did you not read 95% of Ulti's writeups last contest...?
---
Commit it to memory.
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/27/2006 7:20:02 PM | message detail
Also, I can think of several people that would be GREAT for the Analysis Crew, but as it stands we probably have too many people right now. Five or six is fine, though I certainly don't mind more opinions.
---
Commit it to memory.