GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 349
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| UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/26/2006 8:21:41 PM | message detail |
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So. Many. Snubs. *Creativename's websites* Everything you could ever imagine: http://www.GameFAQsContests.com http://www.sc2k5.com http://www.sc2k4.com Sortable Table for Every Contest Match: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19 *Extrapolated Standings* Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11 Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left): http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ *Solarshadow's Sites* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating) http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html *Old Stats topics* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note) 2003-2004 Off-Season: http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note) Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL. Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm *Match Pictures* All the match pics, save for three from 2002: http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php *Miscellaneous* Creativename's Page of Links: http://sc2k4.com/links.php UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language): http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language): http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches: http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists: http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251 HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 TRE's poll listing (every poll!): http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html Aprosenf's Poll Script: http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt GameFAQs' Top 100 Games: http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/top10/top10_100.html !yawa tsoP |
| swirIdude | Posted 8/26/2006 8:22:00 PM | message detail |
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Tell. Me. About. It. --- The *only* good thing about this contest is that Ceej might share with us the split between female/male nominations for Samus. ~creativename |
| Draco1214 | Posted 8/26/2006 8:22:28 PM | message detail |
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Now that the bracket´s out... Inequalities! Phoenix Wright > Gordon Freeman --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Owned by Z1mZum in the Best. Series. Ever. Guru Contest |
| Master Moltar | Posted 8/26/2006 8:22:43 PM | message detail |
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Poor Shadow... --- Moltar Status: Bracket filled and ready to go. 2006 is the year of Samus Aran |
| junglebob22 | Posted 8/26/2006 8:23:17 PM | message detail |
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So..when do we start the Guru Contest? --- is gamefaqs influencing the vote?-livinlaravers |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 8/26/2006 8:23:26 PM | message detail |
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Ganon > Sonic. --- "Winning isn't about being lucky, it's about being bold." -- Captain Falcon |
| SilverNightmareX7 | Posted 8/26/2006 8:24:18 PM | message detail |
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Vincent > Ganon Vincent > Quite a few #2 seeds as well. |
| Evil_REmade | Posted 8/26/2006 8:24:30 PM | message detail |
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We all knew there would be snubs. We have close matches, and that's all that really matters. --- [=[_] =] Nintendo DS~ [+[_]·:·] See double while sober! |
| Big Bob | Posted 8/26/2006 8:32:01 PM | message detail |
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Yoshi = Dante This match has me torn. ;_; --- Damned Z1mZum, beating me by one point. I'm gonna be pissed if Toadette makes 2k6 and Mewtwo doesn't. |
| smitelf | Posted 8/26/2006 8:32:21 PM | message detail |
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Hardest Round 1 matches to predict: #5. Luigi vs. Zero #4. Gordon Freeman vs. Phoenix Wright #3. The Boss vs. Celes Chere #2. Kairi vs. Claire Redfield #1. Vincent Valentine vs. Ganondorf --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Political Compass: 0.00, -3.90 |
| Janus5000 | Posted 8/26/2006 8:32:49 PM | message detail |
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Tingle > Sora! ... Nah. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 8/26/2006 8:33:50 PM | message detail |
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Bowser > Crono --- “Back in my day we used to actually play our videogames instead of watching them.” - Vivi0198 |
| LotteryTicket | Posted 8/26/2006 8:35:07 PM | message detail |
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You should get rid of the Top 100 Games link. --- ~STA~ ~~Stingers135~~ |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/26/2006 8:35:10 PM | message detail |
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Zero > Kirby!!!!! (one can hope =( ) TuRtLe ~~~ lol Z1mZum | BSE Contest final score: 61 pts Nominate Carmen Sandiego for Character Battle V |
| DeepHyren12 | Posted 8/26/2006 8:54:14 PM | message detail |
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HAY GUYZ GORDON FREEMAN NEVER WINZ LOLOL. --- "Free flow of information is the only safeguard against tyranny"-- Commissioner Pravin Lal |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 8/26/2006 8:58:30 PM | message detail |
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Vincent > Ganon LOL YOUR BRACKET. --- "Winning isn't about being lucky, it's about being bold." -- Captain Falcon |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/26/2006 10:17:26 PM | message detail |
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From DeepHyren12 Posted 8/26/2006 11:54:14 PM #015 HAY GUYZ GORDON FREEMAN NEVER WINZ LOLOL. Gordon Freeman is in the most winnable match he'll ever see, and I have him winning it in my bracket. But if he actually fails to win, especially after Half-Life 2, he will go down as the single biggest contest joke of all time. Tina Armstrong would have absolutely nothing on this. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: SOTC, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, SFAA, Castlevania: LoI |
| BlastTheSpeaker | Posted 8/26/2006 10:18:08 PM | message detail |
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Zero > Sonic WTF LOL --- Blast the Speakers!! Hopeful Soon To Be WWEGSB FPV DL Member |
| Pikawil100 | Posted 8/26/2006 10:21:03 PM | message detail |
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Hmm, if Shadow made the cut, do you think that his game, being
generally considered a failure, would be a boost or obstacle for him? --- Ken: Ryu, do you tattle Bison's ass so hard? Ryu: HA DOU, KEN! |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 8/26/2006 10:32:47 PM | message detail |
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http://f5.putfile.com/5/13001035627.gif Link plans to be so mean this year! --- "Winning isn't about being lucky, it's about being bold." -- Captain Falcon |
| Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 8/26/2006 10:41:39 PM | message detail |
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http://www.elevenland.com/amano/view.php3?picName=Ceres+Chere&picImage=jCeresChereVI.jpg Celes is fortunate to be one of the few examples of pretty good amano artwork --- Currently Playing: New Super Mario Bros., Pokemon Ruby, Soul Calibur III, Metroid Prime: Hunters |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/26/2006 10:41:50 PM | message detail |
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From Pikawil100 Posted 8/27/2006 1:21:03 AM #019 Hmm, if Shadow made the cut, do you think that his game, being generally considered a failure, would be a boost or obstacle for him? Dante went up after DMC2. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: SOTC, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, SFAA, Castlevania: LoI |
| Chinballz | Posted 8/26/2006 10:41:56 PM | message detail |
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What I want to know is how Axel got in over Roxas. --- I and all the other Gurus are officially on Z1mZum's On Notice list. And that's The Word. |
| swirIdude | Posted 8/26/2006 10:42:20 PM | message detail |
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Therefore, Shadow could star in a game in which his main attack is to fling poo and he'd increase. --- The *only* good thing about this contest is that Ceej might share with us the split between female/male nominations for Samus. ~creativename |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/26/2006 10:42:41 PM | message detail |
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BOLD PREDICTION: Vincent will do better against Ganon than Sonic will. --- Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent. |
| Big Bob | Posted 8/26/2006 10:43:25 PM | message detail |
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Oh, and I'll say it right now: Sonic's my upset special. He'll beat Crono and the winner of Snake/Mega Man. But lose to Samus. --- Damned Z1mZum, beating me by one point. I'm gonna be pissed if Toadette makes 2k6 and Mewtwo doesn't. |
| Gamer SDP | Posted 8/26/2006 10:44:22 PM | message detail |
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tag --- I can't have regrets. |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/26/2006 10:44:54 PM | message detail |
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Dante went up after DMC2. DMC2 was mediocre. ShtH was utter crap. There is a difference. --- Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent. |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/26/2006 10:45:47 PM | message detail |
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Crap. July stat page is broken. Anyone know the prediction percentages on the final five matches? ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: SOTC, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, SFAA, Castlevania: LoI |
| creativename | Posted 8/26/2006 10:45:56 PM | message detail |
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Peach vs. Jill is a tough match. There's always a chance Peach will
flop, and RE has become more popular around here (though I don't know
if this would benefit Jill, as she apparently wasn't in RE4). I picked
Peach though. I'm assuming that Zelda will be the favorite against Aeris, especially since it should be post-Twilight Princess. However I think Aeris is a bit above Zelda pre-Twilight Princess, and we also haven't seen Aeris in a while. She could be slightly stronger than she was. My bracket finals are Samus vs. Crono. Sonic/Mega Man could beat Crono based off volatility alone, but I'll go with Crono. Samus/Crono has me torn though. I'll probably go with Crono off favoritism, but Samus makes a lot of sense, and she's going to have MP3 too. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 8/26/2006 10:46:28 PM | message detail |
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BOLD PREDICTION: Vincent will do better against Ganon than Sonic will. If he does, that'll be because of the monster -- Triforce Ganon -- he'll become. We're going to see two drastically different Ganons in this contest, which is why the stats will be pretty screwy for someone like Vincent. The same thing with Zelda. --- "Winning isn't about being lucky, it's about being bold." -- Captain Falcon |
| BlastTheSpeaker | Posted 8/26/2006 10:46:29 PM | message detail |
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Oh, and I'll say it right now: Sonic's my upset special. He'll beat Crono and the winner of Snake/Mega Man. But lose to Samus. And your basing a big boost for Sonic on what exactly? --- Blast the Speakers!! Hopeful Soon To Be WWEGSB FPV DL Member |
| Master Moltar | Posted 8/26/2006 10:47:34 PM | message detail |
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| marioinblack | Posted 8/26/2006 10:48:00 PM | message detail |
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Crono/Samus is interesting. Two years ago I'd of not hesitated on Crono, but there is the Nintendo factor. And am I the only one that thinks Vincent will beat Ganon? --- I am not changing this sig until the Devil Rays get into 3rd place in the division with at least 20 games played. (Started 9/16/04) |
| charmander6000 | Posted 8/26/2006 10:48:01 PM | message detail |
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If Freeman overperformed because he had the Half-Life symbol in his
picture and Obection would probably make PW stronger than KoAC then PW
might be able to pull off the upset, but like I said PW would have to
have everything going for him while Freeman would have to have nothing
going for him. --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| swirIdude | Posted 8/26/2006 10:48:09 PM | message detail |
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He needs only a small boost to reach Crono's level. --- The *only* good thing about this contest is that Ceej might share with us the split between female/male nominations for Samus. ~creativename |
| creativename | Posted 8/26/2006 10:48:47 PM | message detail |
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And am I the only one that thinks Vincent will beat Ganon? Despite the hype, I'm fairly confident Vincent beats Ganon. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| swirIdude | Posted 8/26/2006 10:49:04 PM | message detail |
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like I said PW would have to have everything going for him while Freeman would have to have nothing going for him. mmhmm. --- The *only* good thing about this contest is that Ceej might share with us the split between female/male nominations for Samus. ~creativename |
| Master Moltar | Posted 8/26/2006 10:49:11 PM | message detail |
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From smitelf | Posted 8/26/2006 10:32:21 PM | #010 Hardest Round 1 matches to predict: #5. Luigi vs. Zero #4. Gordon Freeman vs. Phoenix Wright #3. The Boss vs. Celes Chere #2. Kairi vs. Claire Redfield #1. Vincent Valentine vs. Ganondorf I'll one-up that! Hardest matches overall (assuming things go my way). #5. Jill vs. Peach #4. The Boss vs. Celes Chere #3. Dante vs. Yoshi #2. Kairi vs. Claire Redfield #1. Zero vs. Kirby --- Moltar Status: Bracket filled and ready to go. 2006 is the year of Samus Aran |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 8/26/2006 10:49:52 PM | message detail |
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And am I the only one that thinks Vincent will beat Ganon? There are a number of people who feel that Vincent beats Ganon, but I'm seeing Ganon pull that out in a close one. --- "Winning isn't about being lucky, it's about being bold." -- Captain Falcon |
| Master Moltar | Posted 8/26/2006 10:50:03 PM | message detail |
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Er, switch around 4 and 5. --- Moltar Status: Bracket filled and ready to go. 2006 is the year of Samus Aran |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/26/2006 10:50:14 PM | message detail |
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Peach vs. Jill is a tough match. There's always a chance Peach will
flop, and RE has become more popular around here (though I don't know
if this would benefit Jill, as she apparently wasn't in RE4). I picked
Peach though. Ness would likely take out Jill with no problem. Peach with the 2k5 Nintendo boost shouldn't have any trouble. However I think Aeris is a bit above Zelda pre-Twilight Princess, and we also haven't seen Aeris in a while. She could be slightly stronger than she was. That depends on who you think is stronger: 2k3 Sonic or 2k5 Snake? --- Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent. |
| marioinblack | Posted 8/26/2006 10:51:45 PM | message detail |
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The only problem I have with my Vincent pick is that if he doesn't jump
out to a good start, Ganon won't give up a lead. I think Ganon would
get a big push if it were a Frog/MC style close match. --- I am not changing this sig until the Devil Rays get into 3rd place in the division with at least 20 games played. (Started 9/16/04) |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 8/26/2006 10:51:48 PM | message detail |
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#3. Dante vs. Yoshi Yeah. This one is particularly painful. --- "Winning isn't about being lucky, it's about being bold." -- Captain Falcon |
| creativename | Posted 8/26/2006 10:55:47 PM | message detail |
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I think Zelda might have overperformed a slight bit on butt-ugly Snake,
and I think Aeris was clearly somewhat stronger than Zelda in 2K3. And
Aeris has had some reasons to have potentially gotten stronger since
then. I don't see why Yoshi would be favored over Dante. I guess the logic is that Dante isn't much ahead of Luigi last year and Yoshi beat Luigi with 54.5%. But I still think Dante should be the favorite in that match. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Big Bob | Posted 8/26/2006 10:57:04 PM | message detail |
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Oddities happen in the contests. Both of Sonic's next-gen games are
looking great, and Sonic Rush was absolutely awesome (as in, better
than any Sonic game released since SA2). Crono's got no reason to
really climb, and CT's #2 got ousted by Knuckles last contest (too bad
Knuckles is gone...perhaps Amy can win a match in his stead). --- Damned Z1mZum, beating me by one point. I'm gonna be pissed if Toadette makes 2k6 and Mewtwo doesn't. |
| Janus5000 | Posted 8/26/2006 10:57:12 PM | message detail |
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5 hardest matches? 1. Crono/Sonic 2. Luigi/Zero 3. Luero/Kirby 4. Ganondorf/Vincent 5. Celes/The Boss --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." |
| Haste_2 | Posted 8/26/2006 10:57:27 PM | message detail |
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Dante went up after DMC2. KOS-MOS didn't go up after Xenosaga: Episode II, and I think there's other comparable examples. We can't ever say for sure if a character will boost from a game. I agree that Aeris has more than a shot against Zelda, though I can't pick against Zelda here. Oh, and Peach won't totally flop. She was in SSBM...I think people'll think of her as more than a damsel in distress these days. I haven't heard much on the comments of Kairi/Claire Redfield. If this was 2K2 Claire I think Claire has this match fairly easily, as she got 45% on Tidus. I don't think Claire has dropped too much (perhaps RE4 helped RE in general), so I have Claire on my bracket. Yes, I know Jill was measured at 22% on BL in SC2K4, but I just don't trust that, especially after seeing Leon's strength. Funny how only two people predicted Claire in the Oracle Challenge so far... Sonic/Ganon/Vincent is just nightmarish...seriously, all THREE of these characters people are taking to win the whole tournament. I can't wait to see how this all goes. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, Z1mZum drinks punch and eats CAKE! ..I think." |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/26/2006 10:58:38 PM | message detail |
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I think Zelda might have overperformed a slight bit on butt-ugly
Snake, and I think Aeris was clearly somewhat stronger than Zelda in
2K3. And Aeris has had some reasons to have potentially gotten stronger
since then. Why do you think Zelda overperformed? She looked worse in that match than she did against Vivi. Zelda has the LoZ boost from 2k3-2k5 to help her out, which outdoes anything Aeris has. I don't see why Yoshi would be favored over Dante. I guess the logic is that Dante isn't much ahead of Luigi last year and Yoshi beat Luigi with 54.5%. But I still think Dante should be the favorite in that match. DMC3 did sell most of its copies between the 2k5 contest and the 2k6 contest, but Yoshi could be very strong. Dante is the favorite, yes, but a Yoshi win would not surprise me at all. --- Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent. |
| creativename | Posted 8/26/2006 11:01:27 PM | message detail |
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Kairi/Claire is a real odd one. Claire should be vastly weaker than her
last appearance, despite RE's resurgence. But I can't see Kairi having
any real strength. However, for some reason I just can't picture Claire
winning that match. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |