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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 348

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swirIdude | Posted 8/25/2006 10:44:18 PM | message detail
If Knuckles doesn't make the bracket, it would be better to never see this bracket.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, save for three from 2002:
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/top10/top10_100.html


!yawa tsoP
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The *only* good thing about this contest is that Ceej might share with us the split between female/male nominations for Samus. ~creativename
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2006 10:45:35 PM | message detail
We'd already know that Tingle scrounged up more noms than Knuckles if he didn't.

...ouch.
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Commit it to memory.
swirIdude | Posted 8/25/2006 10:46:13 PM | message detail
-_- Please don't bring that up.
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The *only* good thing about this contest is that Ceej might share with us the split between female/male nominations for Samus. ~creativename
wavedash101 | Posted 8/25/2006 10:47:03 PM | message detail
*thought of it hurts brain*
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/25/2006 10:49:30 PM | message detail
(1)Sora
(8)Soma
(4)Shadow the Hedgehog
(5)Knuckles


gogogogogogogogo

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: SOTC, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, SFAA, Castlevania: LoI
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/25/2006 10:50:48 PM | message detail
Didn't LL have a massive Tingle nomination drive? They probably accounted for a good chunk of CATS' votes too.


TuRtLe
~~~
lol Z1mZum | BSE Contest final score: 61 pts
Nominate Carmen Sandiego for Character Battle V
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2006 10:51:24 PM | message detail
Sora > Shadow

Probably not the most popular pick, but the one I feel is most likely.
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Commit it to memory.
wavedash101 | Posted 8/25/2006 10:51:36 PM | message detail
CATS over Knux I could deal with though. But Tingle? @_@
---
Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
swirIdude | Posted 8/25/2006 10:52:59 PM | message detail
If Shadow beat Knuckles directly I would gouge my eyes out. And yet it probably would happen.
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The *only* good thing about this contest is that Ceej might share with us the split between female/male nominations for Samus. ~creativename
wavedash101 | Posted 8/25/2006 10:53:44 PM | message detail
Nah Gfaqs hates Shadow too much for him to beat Knux.
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
MarioSuperstar | Posted 8/25/2006 10:54:31 PM | message detail
I dunno who to pick between Shadow and Knuckles myself, but I may lean towards Shadow.
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“Back in my day we used to actually play our videogames instead of watching them.” - Vivi0198
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2006 10:54:37 PM | message detail
But tolerates him enough to let him get 45% on Mario?

That's the one thing that sways me. Shadow may be indirectly weaker, but if he can get Sonic-proxy status on Mario, then I shudder to think what happens to Knuckles.
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Commit it to memory.
dethfdddddh | Posted 8/25/2006 10:56:22 PM | message detail
He suffers t3h rssff knux would get on sawnuc!
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z1mzum was the one to fill my dark soul with LIIIIGHHHT!
MarioSuperstar | Posted 8/25/2006 10:57:34 PM | message detail
Yeah, that's why I thought Shadow'd win. I wonder how a Shadow vs Sonic match would go.
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“Back in my day we used to actually play our videogames instead of watching them.” - Vivi0198
bobby200614 | Posted 8/25/2006 10:58:38 PM | message detail
Sonic would SFF Shadow to Hell and beyond.
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I ate my family because Z1mZum owned me so hard in the Guru Contest.
dethfdddddh | Posted 8/25/2006 11:01:14 PM | message detail
The match looks more like a Megaman/Zero than a Mario/Bowser or a Ganon/Link to me; I'd imagine Shadow doing well for himself.
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z1mzum was the one to fill my dark soul with LIIIIGHHHT!
wavedash101 | Posted 8/25/2006 11:01:17 PM | message detail
I think that was more the rivalry between Sonic fans and Mario fans, then Shadow's strength. But thats just a theory.
---
Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2006 11:01:46 PM | message detail
Yeah, Sonic/Shadow would be nasty. When a leech goes up against the power itself, you get stuff like Link/Ganondorf.
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Commit it to memory.
wavedash101 | Posted 8/25/2006 11:03:11 PM | message detail
Never take Shadow over Sonic. EVER.
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
swirIdude | Posted 8/25/2006 11:07:28 PM | message detail
I don't plan to.

Is there any poll that would indicate whether the majority of the Sonic fanbase was with Sonic back in the Genesis or just joined in the Shadow era?

Yes, Mario/Shadow does suggest the latter...
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The *only* good thing about this contest is that Ceej might share with us the split between female/male nominations for Samus. ~creativename
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2006 11:10:55 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=580

Whew...old poll, but that's about all we've got.
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Commit it to memory.
swirIdude | Posted 8/25/2006 11:13:54 PM | message detail
Bah. Ceej needs to make a new one.
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The *only* good thing about this contest is that Ceej might share with us the split between female/male nominations for Samus. ~creativename
FastFalcon05 | Posted 8/26/2006 1:24:17 PM | message detail
the bracket, yay!
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
KamikazePotato | Posted 8/26/2006 1:25:29 PM | message detail
No Ness? Bah.

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Z1mZum won the Guru Contest. I picked Pokemon over Metroid, GTA over Warcraft, Halo over CV, Street Fighter over RE, and FF over Zelda.
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/26/2006 1:25:36 PM | message detail
There is no way GFNW won't end this year. If it stays alive, I'll never believe Gordon can beat anyone. Not even Tanner.
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Commit it to memory.
KingBartz | Posted 8/26/2006 1:25:44 PM | message detail
KingBartz First Impressions - Male Bracket


(1)Solid Snake
(8)Soma Cruz

easy first round. Soma is easily the strongest eight seed, however

(4)Squall
(5)Tidus

Tidus will be my upset special this time around.

(3)Riku
(6)Yoshi

This match looks fairly interesting. I think Yoshi might have the slight advantage.

(2)Dante
(7)Ryu Hayabusa

Dante gets a first round by, it seems.

(1)Sora
(8)Tingle

lol low votals. I wouldn't vote in this match >_>

(4)Pheonix Wright
(5)Gordon Freeman

YES ****ING YES! this will be the match to predict this round, as well as the end of the world? We'll find out.

(3)Kratos
(6)Ryu

wtf? Kratos looks greatly overseeded this year.

(2)Megaman
(7)Axel

Megaman > Sora

(1)Sonic
(8)CATS

Sonic gets his chance to survive make his time

(4)Ganondorf
(5)Vincent Valentine

lol bye ganon

(3)Kirby
(6)Prince of Persia

Kirby gets a winnable first match. Sorry ertyu

(2)Luigi
(7)Zero

Luigi wins this fourpack

(1)Crono
(8)Captain Falcon

It's a shame to see captain falcon in a match so unwinnable

(4)Bowser
(5)Leon Kennedy

no escapeing teh first round this time Leon

(3)Auron
(6)Alucard

FF FTW. Poor Alucard

(2)Master Chief
(7)Sub Zero

Master Chief will be beaten in the second round this time >_>


WTF KNUCKLES SNUBBED

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This life lesson was brought to you by the one and only KingBartz.
Heroic Mario | Posted 8/26/2006 1:26:01 PM | message detail
I was slightly confused about that last part in the bracket.

---
"Winning isn't about being lucky, it's about being bold." -- Captain Falcon
XxSoulxX | Posted 8/26/2006 1:26:57 PM | message detail
Can someone invite me to the AIM chat please. It's not working for me over here.
--- -
"ertyu is actually a language. For example, 'dum' is ertyunese for 'godly'." - Topaz Kitsune
RIP Eddie Guerrero. 1967-2005. Deputy Chief!
FastFalcon05 | Posted 8/26/2006 1:27:24 PM | message detail
it's a bit early to give a full opinion, but this bracket looks really really promising.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
Janus5000 | Posted 8/26/2006 1:27:52 PM | message detail
We'd already know that Tingle scrounged up more noms than Knuckles if he didn't.

Kekekekekekekeke.

...wait, this means Tingle also got more noms than Magus.

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
ObscureMammoth | Posted 8/26/2006 1:30:47 PM | message detail
can we sign up for the guru contest?
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PNess
Vlado..thank god...another voice of sanity in this madhouse... - RealMarchhare
FastFalcon05 | Posted 8/26/2006 1:31:03 PM | message detail
I'm surprised this topic isn't exploding yet, we all must be filling out our brackets.

We finally get Aeris/Zelda!
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
YoAriel33 | Posted 8/26/2006 1:31:20 PM | message detail
So, Ganondorf has to carry the Big N's flag in what will surely be the most talked about Nintendo/Square match of the tournament... before Twilight Princess.

God speed, my Gerudo king.
---
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
Part of your woooorld!
RPGuy96 | Posted 8/26/2006 1:31:36 PM | message detail
Hm. This bracket forces me to pick Luigi to make it to Sonic...again. Pretty good overall, though the lack of Magus is disturbing. Pity Ganondorf/Vincent aren't Snake's 4/5...I'm tempted to Gdorf over Sonic anyway.
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"Who knew that head wounds bled so much?" ~ Kieran, Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance
Heroic Mario | Posted 8/26/2006 1:32:14 PM | message detail
Since the starting date seems to be on September 12th, this contest will end on November 19th -- two days after the release of the PlayStation 3.

We're guaranteed Twilight Princess and Wii released sometime during the course of the contest at this point. Two next-gen consoles released by the end. Huzzah!

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"Winning isn't about being lucky, it's about being bold." -- Captain Falcon
Haste_2 | Posted 8/26/2006 1:32:14 PM | message detail
Also, AXEL MADE IT!! Heh, go Axel! Beat down Mega Man! :[

So, I say The Boss vs. Celes Chere is the toughest Round 1 match among the females.

For a brief analysis, Ocelot lost to Pac-Man, and LSnake's not much stronger. Terra Branford is 18.65% on BL, while Ultros is at about 15.48% on BL, or worth about 33% on Ocelot. Terra appears to more popular than Celes within the FF6 fanbase, too, but I think Celes is quite a bit closer to Terra than she is to Ultros, anyway. I still need to hope that The Boss is well below Ocelot, though (I'm favoring Celes, yes).

But, I said all that knowing NOTHING about The Boss.

And...Kairi/Claire Redfield...ex....dee....it'll be close, though.

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, Z1mZum drinks punch and eats CAKE! ..I think."
longbladeofhiko | Posted 8/26/2006 1:32:15 PM | message detail
Can Vincent beat Ganon?
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend And Tag Champ Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
eclipsedv1 | Posted 8/26/2006 1:34:01 PM | message detail
Will Celes beat The Boss?
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King of 1 post topics
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/26/2006 1:34:13 PM | message detail
I'm not having any more faith in FF6 characters. Terra humiliated herself beyond what I could expect out of *any* MGS character. The Boss was an easy pick there for me, and I expected to have her lose first round.
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Commit it to memory.
FastFalcon05 | Posted 8/26/2006 1:34:58 PM | message detail
I think the overall Kingdom Hearts support on this site is amazing for the still fairly new series. Sora, Axel, Riku, and Kairi all in.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
YoAriel33 | Posted 8/26/2006 1:35:02 PM | message detail
Vincent has to be the favorite at this point.
---
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
Part of your woooorld!
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/26/2006 1:35:22 PM | message detail
Oh, and additionally I think Dante is prone to being overrated in 2k5 while Ocelot is underrated.
---
Commit it to memory.
FastFalcon05 | Posted 8/26/2006 1:36:16 PM | message detail
Yoshi is going to have to *fight* to make it through both his matches. Is Yoshi > Dante sheer fanboyism?
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
YoAriel33 | Posted 8/26/2006 1:36:41 PM | message detail
Yeah, Boss has that one.
---
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
Part of your woooorld!
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/26/2006 1:36:55 PM | message detail
Vincent being the favorite against Ganon? I dunno, I went with Vincent but as an 'upset' pick. Between DoC being received horribly and Ganondorf being > Snake in the eyes of many...heck, I may just go back and change that right now.
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Commit it to memory.
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 8/26/2006 1:37:34 PM | message detail
I really don't like this bracket, I liked EC's in the last stats topic better.

Samus
Ada (WTF is jade)
Rikku
Kairi (tough pick, might change)

Tifa
The Boss (who's Celes)
Jill
Peach

Zelda
Terra (lol Kerrigan)
KOS-MOS
Aeris

Yuna
Joanna
Chun Li
Lara

Snake
Squall
Yoshi
Dante

Sora
GFNWETT (Gordon Freeman Never Wins except this time)
Ryu
MM

Sonic
Ganon
Kirby
Luigi

Crono
Bowser
Auron
MC

Round 2

Samus
Rikku

Tifa
Peach (might change)

Zelda
Aeris

Yuna
Chun-Li

Snake
Yoshi

Sora
MM

Sonic
Luigi

Crono
Auron

Round 3

Samus

Tifa

Zelda

Yuna

Snake

MM

Sonic

Crono

Round 4

Samus

Zelda

MM

Crono

Round 5

Samus

MM

Finale

MM
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
FastFalcon05 | Posted 8/26/2006 1:38:35 PM | message detail
there's a somewhat sparsely populated chat room if anyone's interested:

fallcharacterbattle
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/26/2006 1:38:38 PM | message detail
I thought Yoshi had his matches with EASE. Yoshi > Luigi, Riku isn't going to boost from Frog's level to his with KH2, and I'd have a tough time with Dante/Luigi right now.

Heck, I'm more scared for Snake against Yoshi than I am of Yoshi losing before he gets to him.
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Commit it to memory.
Heroic Mario | Posted 8/26/2006 1:39:02 PM | message detail
Can Vincent beat Ganon?

Vincent is certainly capable of beating Ganon, and he has the added benefit of not having to face the King of Evil after Twilight Princess. Added to that, he's had Dirge of Cerberus and Advent Children release since the last contest to help him out...and Ganon has had nothing. Vincent is certainly the favorite, but I'm taking Ganon -- The King of Evil is bringing breaking through that Noble Nine this year, baby!!

Will Celes beat The Boss?

I have absolutely no faith in FF6 characters to perform well in a contest setting after having seen both Kefka and Terra. The Boss shouldn't be too much herself, but she should be capable of handling Celes, I would wager.

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"Winning isn't about being lucky, it's about being bold." -- Captain Falcon
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 8/26/2006 1:40:45 PM | message detail
The King of Evil is bringing breaking through that Noble Nine this year, baby!!

Unless TP comes out the day of Sonic/Ganon I doubt it.
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!