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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 347

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transience | Posted 8/23/2006 12:09:15 PM | message detail
true true, but Golden Sun didn't even share a console with Metroid and the games are nothing alike. there's not much of a reason for there to be SFF in Samus / Isaac.
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iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage
transience | Posted 8/23/2006 12:09:37 PM | message detail
I mean, if you're gonna go that route, Crono is gonna SFF Samus because they were both on the Super Nintendo.
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iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 8/23/2006 12:10:08 PM | message detail
But Samus has a bigger wan--- oh wait.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
transience | Posted 8/23/2006 12:13:29 PM | message detail
actually, I think I'm wrong - Fusion was out by 2003. don't mind me. either way, I don't even think of GS as a Nintendo game. do others?
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iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/23/2006 12:13:31 PM | message detail
If you assume Samus is overrated enough to drop below Mario in the 2k4 stats, Crono still has a chance even if she did get a boost. Now, as mnm said, I don't think Mario is *quite* that low, but he's probably not stronger than Crono's 2k4 value, and I'll give that as his ceiling. Then give Samus the Nintendo boost...but I wouldn't put it to the extreme that Mario himself got, so you've got some breathing room in there. Throw in random variation, and Samus/Crono is a tossup.

It's not like the opposite isn't possible, obviously. Samus could have been stronger than Mario in 2k3 if she was significantly SFF'd by Link, could have been legitimately stronger in 2k4, and SFF'd to all hell in 2k5. But if she maintains that same proportion with Mario in 2k5 as she did in 2k4, then you've got to give her a shot at Sephiroth.

The truth is likely somewhere in the middle, as usual.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 8/23/2006 12:15:07 PM | message detail
either way, I don't even think of GS as a Nintendo game. do others?

I know I always have, but I may be in the minority. People don't usually think of Mega Man as Nintendo, for what it's worth...but we know what happened there.
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transience | Posted 8/23/2006 12:16:03 PM | message detail
well, that's a little different - Mega Man was one of the big franchises on the NES. if you put, say, a third party Genesis game vs. Sonic, what do you think would happen?
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iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/23/2006 12:18:30 PM | message detail
I wouldn't know what to expect...but then again, I'm not sure what to expect what would happen if Sonic faced characters from his own franchise. Sonic seems to be an oddball with SFF.
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HaRRicH | Posted 8/23/2006 12:22:51 PM | message detail
Sonic's an oddball with SFF? The only two chances he's had of SFF has been in the Game Contest, and I'm not big on buying it in either match.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
Haste_2 | Posted 8/23/2006 1:26:23 PM | message detail
Like I said, it's a real stretch, but IMO it's silly to think Samus didn't boost in 2k5.

I don't think it's silly to think she didn't, but I think the evidence is there that she did at least a little (Assuming there was no SFF against Ganondorf). People tend to believe that Sephiroth didn't just drop in 2K4 and back in 2K5, but was SFFed by Cloud, correct? If that's true, Auron MUST be around 32% on BL (29-30% on Link 2K5), unless you think there was rSFF or something. Then, aftering factoring Ganondorf's victory over Auron that places Ganondorf at about 35% (which fits perfectly with Ganon/Diablo in Sp2K5, by the way). Extrapolated through Ganondorf/Samus and Samus is about 43.2%, a whole percent higher than the previous year! =P There's fun use of x-stats for ya...

Mega Man got more SFF on Yoshi than Link did, after all (and debatably gets more than Mario could get).

Depends on your definition of how you measure SFF. But, if predict Mega Man/Yoshi based on Yoshi's and Mega Man's matches against Link in 2K4, Mega Man's supposed to win with 72%. Mega Man probably shuold've gotten around 59% instead of 68%, while Yoshi should've gotten around 25% instead of 18% against Mega Man...putting it that way, due to being difficult to turn a blowout into an even bigger blowout, Yoshi still suffered more SFF against Link. But, it all depends on your definition, as you could say that major Link/Yoshi SFF was more expected in the first place simply because it would've been a blowout before SFF.

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Haste_2 | Posted 8/23/2006 1:34:13 PM | message detail
I'm curious about Sonic with SFF, as well...I can't comment on Sonic's ability to SFF his own buddies, but Sonic 2 was almost surely SFFed by Super Mario World. Would Mario SFF Sonic? Keep in mind SFF apparently had no effect in Samus/Sonic, and most likely the same with Sonic/Mega Man. Shadow fluked out 45% against Mario, too.

I'd guess Mario/Sonic would be rather normal, and the only reason Mario games destroy Sonic games is because...er, the games are more similar than the characters are. Maybe. Oh, and if SMB/Sonic the Hedgehog occured in the series contest I would've taken SMB with around 75%.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, Z1mZum drinks punch and eats CAKE! ..I think."
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/23/2006 1:39:52 PM | message detail
The trouble with Yoshi in 2k5 is that he certainly boosted, the way I see it. Unless you think Luigi would beat Yoshi now (or that Yoshi > Luigi is rSFF), Luigi's value is his FLOOR, and I'd raise him up significantly higher than that.

So Mega Man doing that well against a *much* stronger Yoshi is monstrously impressive to me.
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Kaxon | Posted 8/23/2006 1:40:22 PM | message detail
I still think Sonic would have a decent chance of overperforming on Mario, because of the whole rivalry thing, and because while Sonic's games are generally accepted to be worse than Mario's, he's more loved for his character design than Mario is. Also, Mario/Shadow seems to support the idea of Sonic doing respectably against Mario.
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CATS for SC2k6 champion
Read_Only_Thx | Posted 8/23/2006 1:41:14 PM | message detail
...You guys realize the bracket is up, right?

<3~^\Nidoran F > Samus/^~<3
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Creator of Topic 30,000,000 | Founder of the Nidoran F nomination drive.
charmander6000 | Posted 8/23/2006 1:45:17 PM | message detail
Trust me if it is this topic would've exploded by now.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Xuxon | Posted 8/23/2006 2:58:41 PM | message detail
Eh, why not? I haven't done this since the first one.

1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - Team Rocket Elite
3 - Ngamer64
4 - ChichiriMuyo
5 - Explicit Hairy Balls
6 - transience
7 - Master Moltar
8 - Mac Arrowny
9 - dethfdddddh
10 - Draco1214
11 - arkenaga
12 - Yoshifan823
13 - MasterofHunters
14 - Z1mZum
15 - Shivan Reincarnated
16 - MegatokyoEd
17 - DomaDragoon
18 - Janus5000
19 - Applekidjosh
20 - BlAcK TuRtLe
21 - bobeta
22 - greatone
23 - NewLib
24 - Big Bob
25 - HaRRicH
26 - meche313
27 - MarioSuperstar
28 - RockMFR 5
29 - cavalier lowen
30 - Bobby200614
31 - junglebob22
32 - Heroic Mario
33 - yoblazer33
34 - trizob the hedgehog
35 - Aprosenf
36 - MoogleKupo141
37 - voltch
38 - XxSoulxX, yo
39 - Lieutenant Kettch
40 - A worlds envy
41 - Osfan
42 - ff6man
43 - rpgapzx
44 - Viviff
45 - expaniol
46 - Red Sox 777
47 - ps2rulezzz
48 - cyko
49 - jonthomson
50 - jeevesthemole
51 - Luis_Sera89
52 - Phediuk
53 - FFDragon
54 - Vile Requiem
55 - charmander6000
56 - Radix
57 - Tediz247
58 - Brett with Atreyu
59 - Yesmar
60 - shadow8021
61 - Jman_gamerX8
62 - Snip Snip Now
63 - Tirofog
64 - LuniNutz99
65 - Zylo the wolf
66 - Kaxon
67 - KingBartz
68 - longbladeofhiko
69 - Dekar TKB
70 - spikevegeta
71 - Azp2k32
72 - Ori
73 - CountCrazy007
74 - Lopen
75 - Chinballz
76 - Soniclink15
77 - ccbfan
78 - Fett0001
79 - Dark115
80 - Dilated Chemist
81 - Steve Illumina
82 - outsider920
83 - ExThaNemesis
84 - HeroicGammaRay
85 - RPGuy96
86 - Pathetique
87 - SonicRaptor
88 - swirldude
89 - TheRye
90 - Steinershocker
91 - XIII is sexy
92 - Smurf
93 - freac
94 - Redtooth
95- FastFalcon05
96 - Rufus Shinra 18
97 - _Harmonica_
98 - Nintendo Wiii
99 - Tjian
100 - Sephirot1
101 - plasmabeam
102- SephirothG
103 - Tai
104 - WHAT THE CRUNK ED BELLIS
105 - King Morgoth
106 - dragoontheguy
107 - outback
108 - Dunkeroo23
109 - canadiancatcher
110 - stingers135
111 - Tidus My Boy
112 - Guess how many Teens
113 - Prometheus321
114 - BeTheMan
115 - Haste2
116 - Read_Only_Thx
117 - KleenexTissue50
118 - daverath
119 - Mithrandir1331
120 - ScorpionX3
121 - perdevious
122 - ExquisiteSamurai
123 - Buzzup
124 - Jmast7
125 - GrapefruitKing
126 - cavedog0/ThatsRidiculous
127 - andaca
128 - Sess
129 - Giggsalot
130 - Consolefreak
131 - Tsunami70
132 - Xuxon
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/23/2006 3:05:03 PM | message detail
MP3:C will have little to no effect on Samus. We've seen enough evidence that proves that Samus's strength comes more from SSB than her own games.

Uh, doesn't this mean that MP3 will have an even bigger effect? If her games are so weak, every new one will give her a larger boost than it would to other characters, and Samus has never had a launch game before.

But last I heard it won't make the launch...and even if it did, I certainly wouldn't expect *that* much of a boost. A lot of people have been turned off to the Prime series because of MP2, and then you've got to factor the Metroid series not being that popular in the first place.

You're underestimating the power of being a launch game. Thanks to being a launch game, Luigi's Mansion sold over 2 million copies. MP3 will sell far better than MP2, and likely better than MP1.

And where's this info about an MP3 delay coming from? I haven't heard anything about it, except in this topic.

The trouble with Yoshi in 2k5 is that he certainly boosted, the way I see it. Unless you think Luigi would beat Yoshi now (or that Yoshi > Luigi is rSFF), Luigi's value is his FLOOR, and I'd raise him up significantly higher than that.

So Mega Man doing that well against a *much* stronger Yoshi is monstrously impressive to me.


Of course, it's entirely possible that some of Yoshi and Luigi's boost appeared in 2k4, but we couldn't tell, because Yoshi was up against Link.
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Pity for the Gurus is treason to Z1mZum.
Adept of Aiur | Posted 8/23/2006 3:06:08 PM | message detail
1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - Team Rocket Elite
3 - Ngamer64
4 - ChichiriMuyo
5 - Explicit Hairy Balls
6 - transience
7 - Master Moltar
8 - Mac Arrowny
9 - dethfdddddh
10 - Draco1214
11 - arkenaga
12 - Yoshifan823
13 - MasterofHunters
14 - Z1mZum
15 - Shivan Reincarnated
16 - MegatokyoEd
17 - DomaDragoon
18 - Janus5000
19 - Applekidjosh
20 - BlAcK TuRtLe
21 - bobeta
22 - greatone
23 - NewLib
24 - Big Bob
25 - HaRRicH
26 - meche313
27 - MarioSuperstar
28 - RockMFR 5
29 - cavalier lowen
30 - Bobby200614
31 - junglebob22
32 - Heroic Mario
33 - yoblazer33
34 - trizob the hedgehog
35 - Aprosenf
36 - MoogleKupo141
37 - voltch
38 - XxSoulxX, yo
39 - Lieutenant Kettch
40 - A worlds envy
41 - Osfan
42 - ff6man
43 - rpgapzx
44 - Viviff
45 - expaniol
46 - Red Sox 777
47 - ps2rulezzz
48 - cyko
49 - jonthomson
50 - jeevesthemole
51 - Luis_Sera89
52 - Phediuk
53 - FFDragon
54 - Vile Requiem
55 - charmander6000
56 - Radix
57 - Tediz247
58 - Brett with Atreyu
59 - Yesmar
60 - shadow8021
61 - Jman_gamerX8
62 - Snip Snip Now
63 - Tirofog
64 - LuniNutz99
65 - Zylo the wolf
66 - Kaxon
67 - KingBartz
68 - longbladeofhiko
69 - Dekar TKB
70 - spikevegeta
71 - Azp2k32
72 - Ori
73 - CountCrazy007
74 - Lopen
75 - Chinballz
76 - Soniclink15
77 - ccbfan
78 - Fett0001
79 - Dark115
80 - Dilated Chemist
81 - Steve Illumina
82 - outsider920
83 - ExThaNemesis
84 - HeroicGammaRay
85 - RPGuy96
86 - Pathetique
87 - SonicRaptor
88 - swirldude
89 - TheRye
90 - Steinershocker
91 - XIII is sexy
92 - Smurf
93 - freac
94 - Redtooth
95- FastFalcon05
96 - Rufus Shinra 18
97 - _Harmonica_
98 - Nintendo Wiii
99 - Tjian
100 - Sephirot1
101 - plasmabeam
102- SephirothG
103 - Tai
104 - WHAT THE CRUNK ED BELLIS
105 - King Morgoth
106 - dragoontheguy
107 - outback
108 - Dunkeroo23
109 - canadiancatcher
110 - stingers135
111 - Tidus My Boy
112 - Guess how many Teens
113 - Prometheus321
114 - BeTheMan
115 - Haste2
116 - Read_Only_Thx
117 - KleenexTissue50
118 - daverath
119 - Mithrandir1331
120 - ScorpionX3
121 - perdevious
122 - ExquisiteSamurai
123 - Buzzup
124 - Jmast7
125 - GrapefruitKing
126 - cavedog0/ThatsRidiculous
127 - andaca
128 - Sess
129 - Giggsalot
130 - Consolefreak
131 - Tsunami70
132 - Xuxon
133- MasterMage119
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Z1mZum: Beating my ass mercilessly since 2006.
HaRRicH | Posted 8/23/2006 3:11:18 PM | message detail
133- MasterMage119

Hey, nice name.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
Heroic Mario | Posted 8/23/2006 3:15:59 PM | message detail
And where's this info about an MP3 delay coming from? I haven't heard anything about it, except in this topic.

There was some rumblings a while back that Corruption may be delayed. It is nothing confirmed, but just a rumor that is going around.

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“I haven’t invested as much time into any game as I have [Twilight Princess].” – Shigeru Miyamoto
UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/23/2006 3:25:28 PM | message detail
So uh... did I miss anything noteworthy over the past week or so?

~*ST*~
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Now Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, SFAA, Castlevania: LoI
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/23/2006 3:26:34 PM | message detail
No. Lots of meaningless debate that will more or less never come to fruition.

Oh and for some reason I consider Crono finally getting a one seed more shocking than Sora.
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cyko | Posted 8/23/2006 3:27:53 PM | message detail
well, that was only because Ceej finally showed people on the nomination page that his name is Crono and not Chrono or Crhono.

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
if you won't nominate Bahamut, then nominate Jeane from Suikoden!
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/23/2006 3:27:56 PM | message detail
Oh wait, I've seen people taking Peach to be stronger than Luigi. They should have good luck with that!
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greatone10 | Posted 8/23/2006 3:27:57 PM | message detail
Sora getting a one seed was not shocking at all, especially after seeing Kirby and MC getting one seeds.
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Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest.
trannyscience | Posted 8/23/2006 3:28:47 PM | message detail
Peach > Tifa, book it baby
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xyzzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/23/2006 3:30:17 PM | message detail
Sora getting a one seed was not shocking at all, especially after seeing Kirby and MC getting one seeds.

Well, that was in the 8x8 format, with a male half this time around the competion was a lot sterner with only four one seeds up for grabs -- and five Noble Niners left.

And if the order means anything, Sora was second overall.

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wavedash101 | Posted 8/23/2006 3:31:15 PM | message detail
And especially after KH II, It was practically guarunteed Sora would get a one spot on the bracket. Crono was much more surprising.
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trannyscience | Posted 8/23/2006 3:33:20 PM | message detail
Sora didn't surprise me.. new and exciting game, boards love KH2, etc etc. I realize that those three or four lines in Ceej's post are all we have to work with, but I really wouldn't draw anything from them. they're just nominations.
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xyzzy
Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/23/2006 3:35:58 PM | message detail
There was some rumblings a while back that Corruption may be delayed. It is nothing confirmed, but just a rumor that is going around.

Yeah, but what was the source of this rumor? When you originally posted it, it looked like you just made it up...
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Pity for the Gurus is treason to Z1mZum.
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/23/2006 3:36:34 PM | message detail
IGN podcast is the source, I believe.
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Commit it to memory.
Heroic Mario | Posted 8/23/2006 3:38:27 PM | message detail
Yeah, but what was the source of this rumor? When you originally posted it, it looked like you just made it up...

Matt over at IGN mentioned it.

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“I haven’t invested as much time into any game as I have [Twilight Princess].” – Shigeru Miyamoto
Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/23/2006 4:08:39 PM | message detail
Ah, k. I frequent IGN, but I HATE podcasts, so I wouldn't have heard it, I guess.
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Pity for the Gurus is treason to Z1mZum.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/23/2006 4:38:21 PM | message detail
MP3:C will have little to no effect on Samus. We've seen enough evidence that proves that Samus's strength comes more from SSB than her own games.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but I thought Super Mario Galaxies was rumoured to be a launch title as well?

TuRtLe
~~~
Turtle on his laptop
Adept of Aiur | Posted 8/23/2006 4:39:27 PM | message detail

Hey, nice name.


Well, for some reason NGamer uses it to tally my data anyway so I just make it easier on him.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but I thought Super Mario Galaxies was rumoured to be a launch title as well?

As of right now, it's completely unknown when it will launch. It could be a launch title, but I doubt it.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Z1mZum: Beating my ass mercilessly since 2006.
Heroic Mario | Posted 8/23/2006 4:42:12 PM | message detail
Correct me if I'm wrong, but I thought Super Mario Galaxies was rumoured to be a launch title as well?

The date on Galaxy is either at launch (not looking too good right now, but I hold out hope) and the first six months after launch.

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“I haven’t invested as much time into any game as I have [Twilight Princess].” – Shigeru Miyamoto
longbladeofhiko | Posted 8/23/2006 5:02:00 PM | message detail
Super Mario Galaxies, I coulda sworn, got cancel'd
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend And Tag Champ Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 8/23/2006 5:23:57 PM | message detail
What the crunk are you talking about?

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
HaRRicH | Posted 8/23/2006 5:29:04 PM | message detail
I'm almost positive Halo 3 is going to be multi-platform.....
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/23/2006 5:30:55 PM | message detail
From Karma Hunter Posted 8/23/2006 6:26:34 PM #272
No. Lots of meaningless debate that will more or less never come to fruition.

Oh and for some reason I consider Crono finally getting a one seed more shocking than Sora.


I don't. Crono has deserved it since 2002, and it's LONG overdue. I am surprised that Sora got it so early, though.

~*ST*~
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PWNED BY Z1mZum in the Guru Contest! Congrats!
Now Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, SFAA, Castlevania: LoI
Lopen | Posted 8/23/2006 5:31:46 PM | message detail
I'm almost positive Halo 3 is going to be multi-platform.....

OH GOD YES, MASTER CHIEF > CRONO HERE WE COME...

Um... er... is this a joke?
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Z1mZum whooped me so bad in the Guru Contest that the next Lopen wannabe is gonna feel it.
swirIdude | Posted 8/23/2006 5:33:59 PM | message detail
Super Mario Galaxies, I coulda sworn, got cancel'd

dot dot dor
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After the Series Contest, Z1mZum is now the guy I want to be like!
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 8/23/2006 5:36:16 PM | message detail
Gotta watch out for those dors.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
longbladeofhiko | Posted 8/23/2006 5:38:43 PM | message detail
Crono has deserved it since 2002, and it's LONG overdue.

Damn right. I really do hope hes just a little stronger this year though. His loss against Mario last year made me really sad. I couldn't bear picking Mario over Crono, and almost never can >_> I love both characters and their games to death, but CT is still my alltime favorite.

I am surprised that Sora got it so early, though.

I'm kind of disappointed by it. You can make a case for Kirby getting it, as hes got some quality games out there and has been around the industry for a good while now. Master Chief, well, that and Halo put the FPS genre back on the map and were the Goldeneye of this generation IMO, no matter what your preference on the two games is. But Sora? Come on, the KH fanbase basically worships glorified versions of Sqaresoft and Disney characters that have already been around for several years, and Sora merely gets the benefits of having a kickass supporting cast in his games. Oh, and hes got the "otaku" vote too.

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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend And Tag Champ Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
Phediuk | Posted 8/23/2006 5:56:47 PM | message detail
How the hell would Halo 3 be multiplatform? Bungie is a first-party studio for Microsoft; MS bought them out like 4 years ago.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 8/23/2006 5:59:54 PM | message detail
Well isn't Phediuk the sharpest tool in the shed.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
Phediuk | Posted 8/23/2006 6:01:35 PM | message detail
Whatever. All I saw was HaRRicH's post. Not the context it was made in.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 8/23/2006 6:02:26 PM | message detail
ya wat ever kirby es dum ne way

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
longbladeofhiko | Posted 8/23/2006 6:03:45 PM | message detail
dot dot dor

it was rumors on the internets

<_<
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend And Tag Champ Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
swirIdude | Posted 8/23/2006 7:25:25 PM | message detail
It was also rumors that you like Phoenix Wright!
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After the Series Contest, Z1mZum is now the guy I want to be like!