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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 347

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LessThan3Presea | Posted 8/22/2006 7:51:40 AM | message detail
Would anybody honestly not take Mario or Mega Man in a close match because they are "choke artists"?

...Except only Mega Man/Sephiroth 2002 can be considered a choke. Mario has been on the receiving end of THREE choke jobs (Crono twice and Cloud once, and perhaps four if you want to count Samus last year), so there is absolutely no way you can justify calling HIM a choker.
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"A huge void in her heart. It is filled not by darkness, but kindness from others." - Presea Combatir, the Empty Soul
Yesmar | Posted 8/22/2006 8:01:54 AM | message detail

...Except that's not what anybody is saying. They're saying that, in a debatable match, DK hasn't done his best. We're not saying he'd choke against fodder (since he beat down Sam Fisher very easily).


I'm not saying people think DK's popularity is that variable. I'm just thinking that people would take DK to lose any debatable match if only because he's a choke artist. Karma Hunter himself said that he would.

...Except only Mega Man/Sephiroth 2002 can be considered a choke. Mario has been on the receiving end of THREE choke jobs (Crono twice and Cloud once, and perhaps four if you want to count Samus last year), so there is absolutely no way you can justify calling HIM a choker.

I don't think those matches are chokes either. However, I don't think DK/Aya and DK/Vivi are chokejobs either. After the first couple of hours, DK was never in any danger of losing to Aya, and DK/Vivi was just a case of people making the wrong prediction. People think DK is a "choke artist,"* so they always interpret his matches from that perspective; I'm just saying that with the right perspective you can interpret any character's matches any way.


*Which I think so as well, although not because of the former two matches.
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Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest
The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII
Kaxon | Posted 8/22/2006 8:04:11 AM | message detail
Would anybody honestly not take Mario or Mega Man in a close match because they are "choke artists"?

I hope no one thinks DK's history of chokes seriously means anything for his future matches. But most of the matches you quote for Mario and MM weren't chokes (except the first MM/Sephiroth match, which was a choke). Mario is the opposite of a choke artist - he's by far the luckiest contestant in these contests. He got two absolutely huge wins in matches that he had no business winning (vs Cloud, and vs Crono in 2003). All his matches you point to were never close, therefore, not chokes.

MM did have one fairly big choke against Seph in 2002, but that's it. His match against Sonic was supposed to be close and he won it, therefore it wasn't a choke. If anything Sonic was the choker in that match because he couldn't mount a day vote. None of the other matches you mentioned were close.

Personally I wouldn't consider DK that much of a choke artist, since he did beat Aya and DH, but he does tend to make his matches interesting.
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CATS for SC2k6 champion
Kaxon | Posted 8/22/2006 8:06:41 AM | message detail
Mario has been on the receiving end of THREE choke jobs (Crono twice and Cloud once

Err, actually he's been on the good end of the luckiest influx of votes ever (vs Cloud), Ceej intervention (vs Crono 2k2), and cheating (vs Crono 2k3). I wouldn't call any of those chokes except maybe Crono 2k2.
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CATS for SC2k6 champion
Giggsalot | Posted 8/22/2006 8:09:57 AM | message detail
1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - Team Rocket Elite
3 - Ngamer64
4 - ChichiriMuyo
5 - Explicit Hairy Balls
6 - transience
7 - Master Moltar
8 - Mac Arrowny
9 - dethfdddddh
10 - Draco1214
11 - arkenaga
12 - Yoshifan823
13 - MasterofHunters
14 - Z1mZum
15 - Shivan Reincarnated
16 - MegatokyoEd
17 - DomaDragoon
18 - Janus5000
19 - Applekidjosh
20 - BlAcK TuRtLe
21 - bobeta
22 - greatone
23 - NewLib
24 - Big Bob
25 - HaRRicH
26 - meche313
27 - MarioSuperstar
28 - RockMFR 5
29 - cavalier lowen
30 - Bobby200614
31 - junglebob22
32 - Heroic Mario
33 - yoblazer33
34 - trizob the hedgehog
35 - Aprosenf
36 - MoogleKupo141
37 - voltch
38 - XxSoulxX, yo
39 - Lieutenant Kettch
40 - A worlds envy
41 - Osfan
42 - ff6man
43 - rpgapzx
44 - Viviff
45 - expaniol
46 - Red Sox 777
47 - ps2rulezzz
48 - cyko
49 - jonthomson
50 - jeevesthemole
51 - Luis_Sera89
52 - Phediuk
53 - FFDragon
54 - Vile Requiem
55 - charmander6000
56 - Radix
57 - Tediz247
58 - Brett with Atreyu
59 - Yesmar
60 - shadow8021
61 - Jman_gamerX8
62 - Snip Snip Now
63 - Tirofog
64 - LuniNutz99
65 - Zylo the wolf
66 - Kaxon
67 - KingBartz
68 - longbladeofhiko
69 - Dekar TKB
70 - spikevegeta
71 - Azp2k32
72 - Ori
73 - CountCrazy007
74 - Lopen
75 - Chinballz
76 - Soniclink15
77 - ccbfan
78 - Fett0001
79 - Dark115
80 - Dilated Chemist
81 - Steve Illumina
82 - outsider920
83 - ExThaNemesis
84 - HeroicGammaRay
85 - RPGuy96
86 - Pathetique
87 - SonicRaptor
88 - swirldude
89 - TheRye
90 - Steinershocker
91 - XIII is sexy
92 - Smurf
93 - freac
94 - Redtooth
95- FastFalcon05
96 - Rufus Shinra 18
97 - _Harmonica_
98 - Nintendo Wiii
99 - Tjian
100 - Sephirot1
101 - plasmabeam
102- SephirothG
103 - Tai
104 - WHAT THE CRUNK ED BELLIS
105 - King Morgoth
106 - dragoontheguy
107 - outback
108 - Dunkeroo23
109 - canadiancatcher
110 - stingers135
111 - Tidus My Boy
112 - Guess how many Teens
113 - Prometheus321
114 - BeTheMan
115 - Haste2
116 - Read_Only_Thx
117 - KleenexTissue50
118 - daverath
119 - Mithrandir1331
120 - ScorpionX3
121 - perdevious
122 - ExquisiteSamurai
123 - Buzzup
124 - Jmast7
125 - GrapefruitKing
126 - cavedog0/ThatsRidiculous
127 - andaca
128 - Sess
129 - Giggsalot
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no I like rare forms of african sex music now...good stuff - ForiegnerDude
Kratos_42 | Posted 8/22/2006 8:38:36 AM | message detail
^^^ Hey, I've been wondering, what's that list of?
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He wields the blade of a fallen hero, but now he is the hero, and it is the others who fall. He is rising.
Kaxon | Posted 8/22/2006 8:39:58 AM | message detail
That's the Guru contest signup list. The person with the best bracket wins, everyone else has to put them in their sig for 2 weeks and nominate a character of the winners choice next contest.
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CATS for SC2k6 champion
consolefreak | Posted 8/22/2006 11:28:34 AM | message detail
1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - Team Rocket Elite
3 - Ngamer64
4 - ChichiriMuyo
5 - Explicit Hairy Balls
6 - transience
7 - Master Moltar
8 - Mac Arrowny
9 - dethfdddddh
10 - Draco1214
11 - arkenaga
12 - Yoshifan823
13 - MasterofHunters
14 - Z1mZum
15 - Shivan Reincarnated
16 - MegatokyoEd
17 - DomaDragoon
18 - Janus5000
19 - Applekidjosh
20 - BlAcK TuRtLe
21 - bobeta
22 - greatone
23 - NewLib
24 - Big Bob
25 - HaRRicH
26 - meche313
27 - MarioSuperstar
28 - RockMFR 5
29 - cavalier lowen
30 - Bobby200614
31 - junglebob22
32 - Heroic Mario
33 - yoblazer33
34 - trizob the hedgehog
35 - Aprosenf
36 - MoogleKupo141
37 - voltch
38 - XxSoulxX, yo
39 - Lieutenant Kettch
40 - A worlds envy
41 - Osfan
42 - ff6man
43 - rpgapzx
44 - Viviff
45 - expaniol
46 - Red Sox 777
47 - ps2rulezzz
48 - cyko
49 - jonthomson
50 - jeevesthemole
51 - Luis_Sera89
52 - Phediuk
53 - FFDragon
54 - Vile Requiem
55 - charmander6000
56 - Radix
57 - Tediz247
58 - Brett with Atreyu
59 - Yesmar
60 - shadow8021
61 - Jman_gamerX8
62 - Snip Snip Now
63 - Tirofog
64 - LuniNutz99
65 - Zylo the wolf
66 - Kaxon
67 - KingBartz
68 - longbladeofhiko
69 - Dekar TKB
70 - spikevegeta
71 - Azp2k32
72 - Ori
73 - CountCrazy007
74 - Lopen
75 - Chinballz
76 - Soniclink15
77 - ccbfan
78 - Fett0001
79 - Dark115
80 - Dilated Chemist
81 - Steve Illumina
82 - outsider920
83 - ExThaNemesis
84 - HeroicGammaRay
85 - RPGuy96
86 - Pathetique
87 - SonicRaptor
88 - swirldude
89 - TheRye
90 - Steinershocker
91 - XIII is sexy
92 - Smurf
93 - freac
94 - Redtooth
95- FastFalcon05
96 - Rufus Shinra 18
97 - _Harmonica_
98 - Nintendo Wiii
99 - Tjian
100 - Sephirot1
101 - plasmabeam
102- SephirothG
103 - Tai
104 - WHAT THE CRUNK ED BELLIS
105 - King Morgoth
106 - dragoontheguy
107 - outback
108 - Dunkeroo23
109 - canadiancatcher
110 - stingers135
111 - Tidus My Boy
112 - Guess how many Teens
113 - Prometheus321
114 - BeTheMan
115 - Haste2
116 - Read_Only_Thx
117 - KleenexTissue50
118 - daverath
119 - Mithrandir1331
120 - ScorpionX3
121 - perdevious
122 - ExquisiteSamurai
123 - Buzzup
124 - Jmast7
125 - GrapefruitKing
126 - cavedog0/ThatsRidiculous
127 - andaca
128 - Sess
129 - Giggsalot
130 - Consolefreak

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The blood of the weak shall be the ink with which we scribe great Yawgmoth's glorious name.
Yesmar | Posted 8/22/2006 11:50:54 AM | message detail
I DON'T think Mario and Mega Man are choke artists. That was my point. Not every one of Donkey Kong's matches was, in my opinion, a "choke," which is why I posted those other matches as comparison.
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Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest
The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII
HaRRicH | Posted 8/22/2006 12:27:58 PM | message detail
I think you can exceed expectations and still choke, which is why I call DK a choke-artist. He should have, by all means, beat Aya worse than he did...while he came much much closer than many people thought he would and had it tied at one point (even had the lead, I think), he gave up in the end against Vercetti...I had Duck Hunt > Donkey Kong, yet knowing that DK would have likely lost if the poll had fifteen more minutes is pretty big...while the match itself wasn't a choke, DK broke many of us prediction-wise against Vivi -- that's still one of the biggest first-round upsets ever...and, despite DK having a 2,000+ lead on MC, he gave it up for the biggest successful comeback to date.

Again, DK's had some good points to him, but in a close match, I might not give him the edge; he's probably not going to get linkage, he's probably not going to have cheaters, he's probably not going to have big outside rallies, and his past history -- coincidence or not -- hasn't shown him to be so successful in close matches. Technically, he's 2-2 in close matches, but his losses were more convincing than his wins. Also, thanks to his night-vote, you can hardly count on him for a comeback -- not that you should predict your bracket based on night trends, but odds have been that DK is going to noticably lose steam towards the end of a match. With a new poll-time, that may change, but that's yet to be seen.


I think this is ultimately a half-full-half-empty arguement though, that DK is either a choke or normal like most characters.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
HaRRicH | Posted 8/22/2006 12:28:39 PM | message detail
QUICK WITHOUT THINKING: Donkey Kong versus Frog, who wins?
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
red sox 777 | Posted 8/22/2006 12:35:21 PM | message detail
Frog. He did come back 600 votes against MC at the end to win, whereas DK continued to choke 'till he lost by 1500.
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"The black wind blows... one among you will shortly perish."
~Magus
YoAriel33 | Posted 8/22/2006 12:36:24 PM | message detail
I'll take Frog.
Janus5000 | Posted 8/22/2006 12:37:22 PM | message detail
Kong.
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Those who are ordinary gurus decide nothing. Z1mZum decides everything. Including my nominating Toadette.
TRE Public Account | Posted 8/22/2006 12:37:43 PM | message detail
DK

Frog was roughly equal to MC before Halo 2. DK was roughly equal to MC after Halo 2.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
Yesmar | Posted 8/22/2006 12:40:28 PM | message detail
DK

What TRE said.
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Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest
The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2006 12:54:42 PM | message detail
DK should beat Frog. I don't think MC didn't boost at all from Halo 2, I just don't think it's to the ridiculous extent that his change from 2k3 to 2k5 implies (I'd wager he was more or less the same in 2k4 as he was in 2k3, obviously). Frog probably wouldn't even make a game out of it nowadays.

It's not so much that DK is a choker -- it's that he's choked against such pathetic opposition that it's impossible for me to take his ranking seriously in 2k5. Sonic is a choker, as well -- choked away a match he had no business losing in 2k2, got doubled by Cloud in 2k3, Sonic 2 got massacred by SMW, he bombed in his anticipated 2k4 rematch with Samus, choked away his upset against Mega Man, and wasn't even in the running against SSB. But look at the competition there -- Samus, Cloud, Super Mario World, Mega Man, Super Smash Brothers. I'm not going to fret too much on Sonic/Snake because the hedgehog has proven himself to compete with elite opposition.

DK has, on the other hand, a track record of nearly losing to Aya Brea, LOSING to Tommy Vercetti -- arguably the biggest dud ever, nearly letting Duck Hunt come back from over 3000 votes, bombing to all hell and getting creamed despite being a massive bracket favorite against Vivi, and LOSING to Master Chief -- arguably the biggest dud ever -- in the biggest comeback ever. The competition is pathetic. That doesn't mean he can't beat someone without trouble if they're simply outclassed -- Bub, Vyse, Sam Fisher all come to mind. But his X-Stat ranking is also fraudlent, as I've harped on about numerous times. Look who he's projected to beat -- heck, projected to demolish.

Would Ryu really go 50/50 with the big ape? Would he truly get over 55% on Vivi when Vivi beat him with over 56% the year before? He's projected to beat Sora's 2k4 value (which likely didn't change much in 2k5).

My reasoning is Alucard is a lot stronger than he looks this year, DK is a lot weaker, and in a match I don't think it would even be that close. And if it did, I'm not going to bet on DK in a close match. Period.
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Commit it to memory.
Kaxon | Posted 8/22/2006 1:24:33 PM | message detail
Sonic is a choker, as well -- choked away a match he had no business losing in 2k2, got doubled by Cloud in 2k3, Sonic 2 got massacred by SMW, he bombed in his anticipated 2k4 rematch with Samus, choked away his upset against Mega Man, and wasn't even in the running against SSB.

In my opinion, it's only a choke if he should win the match or is in good position to win and blows it. By my definition Sonic has choked twice, against Samus in 2k2 and against Mega Man in 2k5. Your memory is different from mine, since I don't think Sonic's rematch with Samus was that anticipated - most people thought Samus would win with ease. (See http://oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k4&type=match&match=60 - only one person picked Sonic to win that match!)
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CATS for SC2k6 champion
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2006 1:29:40 PM | message detail
Well, the board picks are different from the overall picks. I know that I was anticipating that rematch, X-Stats be damned. It works both ways -- Mario/Samus was a total shock to the board, but to the people that never glanced at the X-Stats it was a total no-brainer.
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Commit it to memory.
Heroic Mario | Posted 8/22/2006 1:43:08 PM | message detail
Mario/Samus was always a no-brainer, stats or no. =p

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“I haven’t invested as much time into any game as I have [Twilight Princess].” – Shigeru Miyamoto
shadow8021 | Posted 8/22/2006 1:56:44 PM | message detail
Do you guys the think the results would've changed for Sonic vs. MM had the poll started at midnight EST instead of midnight pacific? The higher votals would definitely favor Sonic, seeing how much Mega Man decreased from 02 to 03 against Sephiroth.
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Series Contest Score: 60/80
Winner: The Legend of Zelda
Kaxon | Posted 8/22/2006 2:04:38 PM | message detail
No. There are two fallacies in your post. First, changing the poll start time has no effect on the number of votes - either way, the poll is open exactly 24 hours. Second, the idea that having more votes inherently favors Sonic. It doesn't, it depends what the reason for the extra votes is and where they're coming from. (Additionally, Sonic didn't fare any better than Mega Man in 2003, he got destroyed by Cloud. In 2002, Sonic was projected to get 47.83 against Mega Man, in 2003 he was projected to get 44.40)
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CATS for SC2k6 champion
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 8/22/2006 3:18:11 PM | message detail
What Kaxon said.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
Tsunami70 | Posted 8/22/2006 3:19:49 PM | message detail
1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - Team Rocket Elite
3 - Ngamer64
4 - ChichiriMuyo
5 - Explicit Hairy Balls
6 - transience
7 - Master Moltar
8 - Mac Arrowny
9 - dethfdddddh
10 - Draco1214
11 - arkenaga
12 - Yoshifan823
13 - MasterofHunters
14 - Z1mZum
15 - Shivan Reincarnated
16 - MegatokyoEd
17 - DomaDragoon
18 - Janus5000
19 - Applekidjosh
20 - BlAcK TuRtLe
21 - bobeta
22 - greatone
23 - NewLib
24 - Big Bob
25 - HaRRicH
26 - meche313
27 - MarioSuperstar
28 - RockMFR 5
29 - cavalier lowen
30 - Bobby200614
31 - junglebob22
32 - Heroic Mario
33 - yoblazer33
34 - trizob the hedgehog
35 - Aprosenf
36 - MoogleKupo141
37 - voltch
38 - XxSoulxX, yo
39 - Lieutenant Kettch
40 - A worlds envy
41 - Osfan
42 - ff6man
43 - rpgapzx
44 - Viviff
45 - expaniol
46 - Red Sox 777
47 - ps2rulezzz
48 - cyko
49 - jonthomson
50 - jeevesthemole
51 - Luis_Sera89
52 - Phediuk
53 - FFDragon
54 - Vile Requiem
55 - charmander6000
56 - Radix
57 - Tediz247
58 - Brett with Atreyu
59 - Yesmar
60 - shadow8021
61 - Jman_gamerX8
62 - Snip Snip Now
63 - Tirofog
64 - LuniNutz99
65 - Zylo the wolf
66 - Kaxon
67 - KingBartz
68 - longbladeofhiko
69 - Dekar TKB
70 - spikevegeta
71 - Azp2k32
72 - Ori
73 - CountCrazy007
74 - Lopen
75 - Chinballz
76 - Soniclink15
77 - ccbfan
78 - Fett0001
79 - Dark115
80 - Dilated Chemist
81 - Steve Illumina
82 - outsider920
83 - ExThaNemesis
84 - HeroicGammaRay
85 - RPGuy96
86 - Pathetique
87 - SonicRaptor
88 - swirldude
89 - TheRye
90 - Steinershocker
91 - XIII is sexy
92 - Smurf
93 - freac
94 - Redtooth
95- FastFalcon05
96 - Rufus Shinra 18
97 - _Harmonica_
98 - Nintendo Wiii
99 - Tjian
100 - Sephirot1
101 - plasmabeam
102- SephirothG
103 - Tai
104 - WHAT THE CRUNK ED BELLIS
105 - King Morgoth
106 - dragoontheguy
107 - outback
108 - Dunkeroo23
109 - canadiancatcher
110 - stingers135
111 - Tidus My Boy
112 - Guess how many Teens
113 - Prometheus321
114 - BeTheMan
115 - Haste2
116 - Read_Only_Thx
117 - KleenexTissue50
118 - daverath
119 - Mithrandir1331
120 - ScorpionX3
121 - perdevious
122 - ExquisiteSamurai
123 - Buzzup
124 - Jmast7
125 - GrapefruitKing
126 - cavedog0/ThatsRidiculous
127 - andaca
128 - Sess
129 - Giggsalot
130 - Consolefreak
131 - Tsunami70
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"You need a spanking!" - Mystere (Lunar 2) ^_~
I, however, was spanked by Z1mZum.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/22/2006 3:29:50 PM | message detail
Fisher 2004 may be an anomaly, but he's certainly not as strong as 2005 suggests either.

Fisher through Magus 2k5 is at 21.55%. Fisher in 2k5 is at 21.41%. I fail to see any terrible discrepancy, other than that Fisher should be stronger after two more games.

I don't care how popular Parasite Eve is (and it wasn't THAT popular, believe me),

800,000 sales in America, making it, as I said, Square's most popular non-FF game. Substantially more popular, might I add, than Chrono Cross.

The match against Duck Hunt was a choke because he let 3000 votes get away from it. I don't really care if DK was "supposed" to lose to Vercetti or Master Chief. The fact is that he had a chance to pull a big upset, and choked it away big time. In the end, he lost both matches going away. DK/Vivi was a heavily debated match, and DK...doesn't even make a match out of it. He is a choker. Trying to justify his chokes by pointing out the good things about his opponents doesn't make him any less of a choker.

This is all voting trends. I don't see how voting trends are at all relevant to the strength of a character; you're ascribing meaning where none exists.

As for MC not being as strong as he looks: he didn't overperform against Crono any more than Vincent did.

Sonic is a choker, as well -- choked away a match he had no business losing in 2k2,

Samus actually had a higher prediction percentage in that match, IIRC. Sonic winning would've been quite an upset.
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Pity for the Gurus is treason to Z1mZum.
therealmnm | Posted 8/22/2006 3:39:29 PM | message detail
No. There are two fallacies in your post. First, changing the poll start time has no effect on the number of votes - either way, the poll is open exactly 24 hours.

Well, changing the time also lets people stay up for the end of a poll. If a character has a big rallying effort going for him/her near the end of the poll, the poll ending at a time where more people are awake (thus more rallying potential) could potentially boost said character to the win. Of course, it will only matter in extremely close matches though.
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2006 3:57:02 PM | message detail
As for MC not being as strong as he looks: he didn't overperform against Crono any more than Vincent did.

Who's to say both didn't?

Not to mention measuring through Magus for Fisher is stupid since they're behind MC and Vincent respectively. Try Tidus and then tell me what you think.
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Commit it to memory.
HaRRicH | Posted 8/22/2006 4:05:51 PM | message detail
...or Ganon.


lawz
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2006 4:08:38 PM | message detail
And more importantly, I would never expect that fourpack to stay constant from year to year anyway. I'd expect Fisher to do somewhat better on Magus, and as for a match between Magus and Tidus...hmm, actually. My head says Magus, my gut says Tidus. Either that or the fact that I just played through FFX for the first time. Meaning Magus with 56% or so.
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Commit it to memory.
longbladeofhiko | Posted 8/22/2006 4:12:35 PM | message detail
hay guys, how bout these two fourpacks

Zero
Auron

Bowser
Vincent

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CATS
King of all Cosmos

Captain Falcon
Gordon Freeman

I still say Vincent > Zero and CATS > GF >_>
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend And Tag Champ Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2006 4:17:07 PM | message detail
Bowser > Auron

In either case, whoever comes out of Bowser/Vincent should manhandle the winner of the other match...unless Auron's boost from KH2 is just insane.

That does scare me, though. What's to stop Auron from gaining as much from KH2 as Cloud/Sephiroth/Squall did from KH1, if the initial appearance in the game is what matters? (and going by most of the people in this topic, that's certainly the case) You'd at least expect him to beat Ganondorf with that kind of a boost...

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Falcon > CATS

Nothing troubles me in this fourpack...Falcon being in SSBM alone should take out Freeman, HL2 boost or not. And either one will destroy CATS.
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Commit it to memory.
longbladeofhiko | Posted 8/22/2006 4:19:28 PM | message detail
Dirge of Cerberus would perhaps cause Vincent to edge Bowser out I believe. I think hes a little stronger than Bowser without it anyhow. Zero, I think, could really surprise people and take Auron down in the day vote. But eh, maybe not, but I think it'd be a good match at least.
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend And Tag Champ Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
HaRRicH | Posted 8/22/2006 4:19:39 PM | message detail
Please be forewarned that posts offering multiple votes, talking about vote-stuffing methods, or bragging about voting multiple times are not tolerated on this board. Furthermore, posts containing four-packs shall be copied in the Four-Pack Of Fun board, as by request of CJayC.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
FastFalcon05 | Posted 8/22/2006 4:20:31 PM | message detail
Unfortunately for Auron, he's already got a game heavily featured on the Ps2. Then again, so did Tidus. hmmm. I'm in a rush, but that was the first thing I thought about to negate his boost; he's already popular with the ps2 audience.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2006 4:21:38 PM | message detail
Is there really such a difference between fans of the PS1 FFs and the PS2 FF(s)? We already know that SFF can occur between them, and it can get quite bad.
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Commit it to memory.
longbladeofhiko | Posted 8/22/2006 4:21:47 PM | message detail
I actually credited you in my topic that I originally came up with those four packs Harrich <_<
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend And Tag Champ Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
HaRRicH | Posted 8/22/2006 4:21:56 PM | message detail
Tidus barely boosted though, and his boost was only because of Magus over-performing. Also, I understand he's a bad example since he barely has a role in the game.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
longbladeofhiko | Posted 8/22/2006 4:23:17 PM | message detail
Zero has shown himself to be pretty consistent in these contests though. I don't think a KH2 boost'd Auron would be too much stronger, even if they specifically used a KH2 Auron pic.
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend And Tag Champ Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2006 4:24:07 PM | message detail
It's possible to play through KH1 and not even notice Tidus is there, really. And his role is that of a tiny little kid with a stick. It's not...anything.

And he may still have come out with a boost, seeing as how his Sonic 2k2 performance may be a little inflated. The poll was down during Sonic's best time.
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Commit it to memory.
TheRye | Posted 8/22/2006 4:26:47 PM | message detail
Tag
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Congrats to Z1mZum and his Guru ownage
“TheRye is like Jesus, if Jesus ever played video games.” -Inviso
WilhuffTarkin | Posted 8/22/2006 4:38:46 PM | message detail
So who wins between Tidus and Auron? Auron seems to be the overall favorite, but on the other hand, Tidus is the main character, isn't he?
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Evacuate? In our moment of triumph? I think you overestimate their chances.
HaRRicH | Posted 8/22/2006 4:40:59 PM | message detail
Auron. As if his favorite-status in FFX wasn't enough, now he's got a bad-ass role in KH2 to compliment him.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
Draco1214 | Posted 8/22/2006 4:54:42 PM | message detail
I'm actually curious to see how strong Sora will be now after KH2. Chances are he's likely stronger than 2005 stats say he is, and if the KH2 boost is large enough, he could possibly reach near-elite status. I know it's a stretch, but the possibility is always there.
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Owned by Z1mZum in the Best. Series. Ever. Guru Contest
Karma Hunter | Posted 8/22/2006 5:04:15 PM | message detail
I'm wary. I don't care how large the KH2 boost is, he'll never shake off that doubling from Aeris. How would you expect a match like that to go today?

Not that it's indicative of his actual strength, but I'm thinking that he'll falter when put up against nearly any Square character. I'd still like to see how Tidus/Sora would go now, though Sora's obviously the heavy favorite.

I'd also like to see Sora v. Red XIII, Barret, Cid, Yuffie, or any other lesser FFVII character. I don't think I could pick him in any of those matches, unless GameFAQs really is racist.
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Commit it to memory.
Draco1214 | Posted 8/22/2006 5:09:51 PM | message detail
Well, of course he'll falter against characters like Aeris or Tifa, but that doesn't mean he can't be just a tad weaker than them indirectly.
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Owned by Z1mZum in the Best. Series. Ever. Guru Contest
HaRRicH | Posted 8/22/2006 5:16:18 PM | message detail
I'd like to see Sora/Cait Sith. Not that the upset could be made, but just the percentages...heh.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
TakeALake | Posted 8/22/2006 5:16:49 PM | message detail
So who wins between Tidus and Auron? Auron seems to be the overall favorite, but on the other hand, Tidus is the main character, isn't he?

I think Auron would have absolutely no problem with Tidus, even if he din't have KH2.
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~TCA~
Draco1214 | Posted 8/22/2006 5:18:18 PM | message detail
Sora would beat Cait Sith easily, even before KH2. Does the FF7 fanbase even care about him?
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Owned by Z1mZum in the Best. Series. Ever. Guru Contest
HaRRicH | Posted 8/22/2006 5:26:39 PM | message detail
I know it wouldn't be close. I'm just saying that, between guessing where Cait Sith should be stat-wise, guessing where Sora will be after KH2, and guessing what'll happen when the least liked playable FF7 character goes against a post-KH2 Sora when FF7's #5 doubled Sora pre-KH2...

...I'd just like to see a percentage, heh.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 8/22/2006 5:32:24 PM | message detail


That does scare me, though. What's to stop Auron from gaining as much from KH2 as Cloud/Sephiroth/Squall did from KH1, if the initial appearance in the game is what matters? (and going by most of the people in this topic, that's certainly the case) You'd at least expect him to beat Ganondorf with that kind of a boost...


More like what's to stop Seph from taking down Link! Oh wait... TP, right.

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