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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 340

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/1/2006 10:11:39 PM | message detail
The other topic will be filled with Guru signups soon enough.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, save for three from 2002:
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/tre/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/top10/top10_100.html



!yawA tsoP
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/1/2006 10:12:45 PM | message detail
Cloud is so screwed


TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
Nominate Carmen Sandiego for Character Battle V
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/1/2006 10:13:16 PM | message detail
And just thought I'd mention that the link to the Top 100 doesn't seem to work anymore.


TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
Nominate Carmen Sandiego for Character Battle V
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 8/1/2006 10:13:32 PM | message detail
WTF SO SOON?!

---
Explicit Content I have been thoroughly owned by Z1mZum. Cheer me up.
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
dethfdddddh | Posted 8/1/2006 10:14:11 PM | message detail
Think we're gonna get anything from Ceej on the minor votestuffing FF did at the end?
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z1mzum was the one to fill my dark soul with LIIIIGHHHT!
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 8/1/2006 10:14:27 PM | message detail
And just thought I'd mention that the link to the Top 100 doesn't seem to work anymore.

Wow... you can't even get to it by going to the contest page.

---
Explicit Content I have been thoroughly owned by Z1mZum. Cheer me up.
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
Draco1214 | Posted 8/1/2006 10:14:31 PM | message detail
Tag
---
Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Owned by Z1mZum in the Best. Series. Ever. Guru Contest
UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/1/2006 10:15:39 PM | message detail
I have a question or concern about a GameFAQs contest.
Message From Ultima_X at 2006-08-01 01:04:44
Does the Top 100 Games list no longer exist? The http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/top10/top10_100.html link at the bottom of the http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10.html page just links to recent top 10 lists now.
Message From GameFAQs at 2006-08-01 19:54:07
Known bug, will be fixed soon.


~*ST*~
---
PWNED BY Z1mZum in the Guru Contest! Congrats!
Now Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), Fire Emblem 8
transience | Posted 8/1/2006 10:15:45 PM | message detail
Message From transience at 2006-07-28 18:53:29
The 10th anniversary contest top 100 games list (http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/top10/top10_100.html) now links to the Top 10 lists (http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/top10/).
Message From GameFAQs at 2006-07-28 19:45:04
Known issue, will be restored soon.

---
Z1mZum clicked a bunch of boxes in such a way that proves his superiority to me. Congrats!
Big Bob | Posted 8/1/2006 10:20:41 PM | message detail
So, people, which matches screwed you up?

Castlevania/Halo and Mega Man/Mario Kart were my only screw-ups in the whole contest.
---
Damned Z1mZum, beating me by one point. I'm gonna be pissed if Toadette makes 2k6 and Mewtwo doesn't.
78/80 points, baby!
H__RR____H | Posted 8/1/2006 10:22:04 PM | message detail
Have I missed anything from the last topic beside Guru sign-ups?
---
Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio
transience | Posted 8/1/2006 10:23:49 PM | message detail
am I the only one following today's poll?

Is The Legend of Zelda really the best game series of all time?
Yes, and the votes proved it 41.91% 6655
Maybe, it depends on Twilight Princess 10% 1588
No, Final Fantasy got robbed 25.45% 4042
No, Super Mario Bros. could have beaten it 8.59% 1364
No, I can think of a much better series 14.05% 2232
TOTAL VOTES 15881

Poll 1664 (06/07/2004)
Is Final Fantasy VII really the Best. Game. Ever?

25275 28.09% Yes, the tournament is correct
34693 38.56% Not quite, but it's in the Top 10
14711 16.35% It's good, but not nearly that good
9481 10.54% It's all hype for an average game
5821 6.47% Not at all, it's just terrible

TOTAL VOTES: 89981


it's early still, but... wow.
---
Z1mZum clicked a bunch of boxes in such a way that proves his superiority to me. Congrats!
Janus5000 | Posted 8/1/2006 10:25:22 PM | message detail
So, people, which matches screwed you up?

Aside from the obvious one (and the two that follow), Castlevania/Halo, GTA/Tuesday, Mega Man/Mario Kart, and FF/Zelda.
---
Those who are ordinary gurus decide nothing. Z1mZum decides everything. Including my nominating Toadette.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/2/2006 12:15:41 AM | message detail
Yeah guys, ExTha was just being a fanboy when he called this place ZeldaFAQs. He had no idea what he was talking about.
---
Everything's 10X better with a RKO and Orton pose. ~ Donkey111
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 8/2/2006 12:18:27 AM | message detail
Well, yeah, it's still called GameFAQs, silly.


All the replacing-game-with-something-else stuff is kind of overdone. ;>_>

Damn it, this is PollFAQs! FAQFAQs! BlueFAQs!


...


So, then. Is the guru contest for a contest nomination again?

Because if it is, and if I win, you're all nominating Tingle next year.
---
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/contest_nominate.php
Please nominate K. K. Slider (Animal Crossing) (Male) and Kazooie (Banjo-Kazooie) (Female)
creativename | Posted 8/2/2006 1:32:57 AM | message detail
it's early still, but... wow.

Fascinating. I never would've caught this. It's even closer to the older value now.

Might go down relative to Zelda with the day, but it will probably go up a bit first...anyway, interesting how similar the proportions are with the old FF7 poll.

---
As the best poster in the stats topic, I move that we all stop acting like elitist know-it-alls about matches that aren't horribly obvious.
LegendarySnake | Posted 8/2/2006 1:34:25 AM | message detail
The other topic will be filled with Guru signups soon enough.

Unfortunately.
---
Did you say "nerd?" - Raiden
No, you idiot. What are you, twelve? That's the worst attempt at humor ever. - The Colonel
TheCruelAngel | Posted 8/2/2006 1:34:57 AM | message detail
So, people, which matches screwed you up?

Castlevania vs Halo, Street Fighter vs Resident Evil.
---
Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
creativename | Posted 8/2/2006 1:38:36 AM | message detail
I missed Castlevania, Mega Man vs. Mario Kart, and the final.
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As the best poster in the stats topic, I move that we all stop acting like elitist know-it-alls about matches that aren't horribly obvious.
transience | Posted 8/2/2006 1:40:26 AM | message detail
the worst part about early guru signups is that we're gonna have to copy them into the stats topic for the next month and some.

I missed cv/halo, wc/gta, mm/mk and the final. had I never changed my bracket, I would have only missed WC/GTA (and FE/SH). WC/GTA is the only match that really shocked me. never expected GTA to be that much of a dud.
---
Z1mZum clicked a bunch of boxes in such a way that proves his superiority to me. Congrats!
ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/2/2006 2:45:45 AM | message detail
You guys could, you know, make a site for signups for it and stuff, making things a LOT easier.
---
Everything's 10X better with a RKO and Orton pose. ~ Donkey111
creativename | Posted 8/2/2006 3:07:16 AM | message detail
Standings are up.

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/37

---
As the best poster in the stats topic, I move that we all stop acting like elitist know-it-alls about matches that aren't horribly obvious.
Osfan | Posted 8/2/2006 3:13:44 AM | message detail
for the contest, I missed Halo. GTA. KH over Metal Gear and the final :-/ oh well theres always hope in the Character Battle too much faith in the square fanboys this time round i wont make the same mistakes twice ;-)
rpgapzx | Posted 8/2/2006 3:25:07 AM | message detail
Always wanted to do this first:

lolxstats

Mega Man 25.30%
Mario Kart 21.19%
Mega Man X 19.68%

Here is everything you need to know about CB V
Sonic the Hedgehog 29.69%
Metal Gear 26.26%
Mega Man 25.30%
Resident Evil 23.47%
Street Fighter 23.13%
Kingdom Hearts 21.90%
Castlevania 21.32%

Sonic>Snake>Mega Man>Leon>Ryu>Sora>Alucard

Poor Puffball.
Suikoden 10.78%
Civilization 10.03%
Star Ocean 09.95%
Kirby 09.00%

One more time: lolxstats!
creativename | Posted 8/2/2006 3:44:50 AM | message detail
Sonic ranking higher than Metal Gear is very impressive.

Sonic actually had more strength than most people probably would've pegged SSB as having prior to the contest. From that perspective Sonic>SSB actually wasn't as unreasonable as it seemed.

---
As the best poster in the stats topic, I move that we all stop acting like elitist know-it-alls about matches that aren't horribly obvious.
steve illumina | Posted 8/2/2006 5:04:32 AM | message detail
The Sage of Board 8 hereby signs up for the Guru, and will also be competing in the Analysis Crew :)
---
Steve Illumina: Sage of Board 8 & Elitist Analyst
Nominate Kitana (MK)!
THEJackSparrow | Posted 8/2/2006 1:13:25 PM | message detail
You guys could, you know, make a site for signups for it and stuff, making things a LOT easier.

It's not like I haven't suggested alternate methods. Apparently...for some reason...this is considered the best way. Because they don't want just anybody signing up...or something...and so few people actually read the stats topics, you know. They're very niche.
---
"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
THEJackSparrow | Posted 8/2/2006 1:15:48 PM | message detail
Is The Legend of Zelda really the best game series of all time?
Yes, and the votes proved it 39.37% 40373
Maybe, it depends on Twilight Princess 9.96% 10209
No, Final Fantasy got robbed 28.16% 28883
No, Super Mario Bros. could have beaten it 8.04% 8240
No, I can think of a much better series 14.48% 14846
TOTAL VOTES 102551


Poll 1664 (06/07/2004)
Is Final Fantasy VII really the Best. Game. Ever?

25275 28.09% Yes, the tournament is correct
34693 38.56% Not quite, but it's in the Top 10
14711 16.35% It's good, but not nearly that good
9481 10.54% It's all hype for an average game
5821 6.47% Not at all, it's just terrible

TOTAL VOTES: 89981


Nearly identical percentages now.
---
"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
NewLib | Posted 8/2/2006 1:16:34 PM | message detail
Doesnt mean FF = FFVII.
---
--NL--
Z1mZum made me look like Toadette. And made me nominate her.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 8/2/2006 1:17:08 PM | message detail
Of course it doesn't. That wasn't what I was trying to imply.
---
"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
NewLib | Posted 8/2/2006 1:17:29 PM | message detail
What were you trying to imply?
---
--NL--
Z1mZum made me look like Toadette. And made me nominate her.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 8/2/2006 1:18:37 PM | message detail
It was more of a "Huh...How 'bout that?" comment. It wasn't trying to make any sort of statement.
---
"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
Phediuk | Posted 8/2/2006 2:50:39 PM | message detail
Current nomination tally Top 10s. This is the last tally of the topic (it currently has 495 posts), so I'm assuming a new topic will be made after this.

Male-

Phoenix Wright – 84
Jay Solano - 57
Prince of Persia – 57
Raiden (MGS) – 46
Captain Falcon – 42
CATS - 42
Nightmare – 39
Fox McCloud - 37
Sub-Zero – 36
Gordon Freeman - 34

Female-

Samus Aran – 81
Princess Peach Toadstool – 73
Lyndis - 67
Princess Zelda – 67
Carmen Sandiego - 55
Nidoran F - 54
The Boss – 52
Celes Chere - 47
Tifa Lockhart – 40
Aeris Gainsborough – 37
---
"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 8/2/2006 2:52:00 PM | message detail
Looks like the Zolom support died out, though strangely enough, Nidoran F is still hanging tough.
---
"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
Draco1214 | Posted 8/2/2006 3:01:27 PM | message detail
Why is it that Samus has the most noms? I mean, she's a lock to get in.
---
Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Owned by Z1mZum in the Best. Series. Ever. Guru Contest
LeonhartForever | Posted 8/2/2006 3:03:20 PM | message detail
...Because people like her and not everybody nominates on a "need" basis?
---
Squall, Tidus, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Presea, Chun-Li, Tifa, Celes, Quistis, Amy Rose, Mei Ling
Big Bob | Posted 8/2/2006 3:19:46 PM | message detail
Sonic the Hedgehog (2006s) VS Metal Gear (2006s)

Sonic the Hedgehog has a strength of 35.00.
Metal Gear has a strength of 30.95.

Sonic the Hedgehog wins with 55.79% of the vote!
A win of 14,919 with 128,933 total votes cast.

-
-

Sonic the Hedgehog (2006s) VS Mega Man (2006s)

Sonic the Hedgehog has a strength of 35.00.
Mega Man has a strength of 29.82.

Sonic the Hedgehog wins with 57.40% of the vote!
A win of 19,266 with 130,176 total votes cast.

-
-

Sonic the Hedgehog (2006s) VS Metroid (2006s)

Sonic the Hedgehog has a strength of 35.00.
Metroid has a strength of 18.04.

Sonic the Hedgehog wins with 74.23% of the vote!
A win of 62,195 with 128,350 total votes cast.

-
-

I'm having too much fun with this.
---
Damned Z1mZum, beating me by one point. I'm gonna be pissed if Toadette makes 2k6 and Mewtwo doesn't.
78/80 points, baby!
rpgapzx | Posted 8/2/2006 4:22:09 PM | message detail
Those numbers make me want to ponder some degree of RSFF because there's no way that I'd take Sonic>Mega Man or Sonic over MGS. Something fishy happened in SMB/SBB, whether it be a simple over performance or otherwise.

However, it does fall into the 65/35 I expect of LoZ and FF getting on SSB.
rpgapzx | Posted 8/2/2006 4:37:00 PM | message detail
Rearranging the bracket seedings according to X-Stat Rankings:

Hyrule Division
1 Legend of Zelda
8 Shadow Hearts

4 Warcraft
5 Devil May Cry

3 Street Fighter
6 Pokemon

2 Resident Evil
7 Diablo

A relatively well set division. A great 4 pack on the bottom side. A decent 4-5 matchup, and LoZ slaughtering for 90+ easily.

Smash Division
1 Super Smash Brothers
8 Star Ocean

4 Mega Man X
5 The Elder Scrolls

3 Mario Kart
6 Soul Calibur

2 Sonic the Hedgehog
7 Civilization

Not as good but a couple of decent matchups. MK/SC would certainly have been debated before this year and MMX/TES would have drawn some debate. Not the best match up for MMX but much better than Suikoden. SSB>Sonic clashes, albeit in the Elite Eight.

Mushroom Division
1 Super Mario Brothers
8 Kirby

4 Halo
5 Dragon Quest

3 Castlevania
6 Silent Hill

2 Metal Gear
7 Suikoden

Poor division overall. Poor Kirby. Poor placement for Halo. Wasted potential for a Metal Gear match.

Ultima Division
1 Final Fantasy
8 Madden NFL

4 Fire Emblem
5 Grand Theft Auto

3 Kingdom Hearts
6 Metroid

2 Mega Man
7 Harvest Moon

A decent 4 pack on the bottom side as well as a chance for a upset of GTA? Not bad.
yoshifan823 | Posted 8/2/2006 5:33:31 PM | message detail
Can I do the Analysis crew?
---
Go Super Mario Bros! Beat Final Fantasy.
Big Bob | Posted 8/2/2006 5:38:44 PM | message detail
I kicked the crew's ass. Can I be on it?
---
Damned Z1mZum, beating me by one point. I'm gonna be pissed if Toadette makes 2k6 and Mewtwo doesn't.
78/80 points, baby!
Lopen | Posted 8/2/2006 5:44:39 PM | message detail
Psh, if you think it's just about %s, you're in the wrong place! That's what the oracle challenge is for.

We can be wrong, it's all about how convincing/entertaining we are when we are wrong! Are you bad enough to convince the president?

(Realize, what I say has no relevance, as I have nothing to do with the sign ups... but I do know that the crew is "locked" for this year, so to speak)
---
Z1mZum whooped me so bad in the Guru Contest that the next Lopen wannabe is gonna feel it.
xp1337 | Posted 8/2/2006 5:52:10 PM | message detail
Likely old, but...

Zelda (2006s) VS Tanner (2004c)

Zelda has a strength of 58.94.
Tanner has a strength of 3.77.

Zelda wins with 96.80% of the vote!
A win of 145,521 with 155,465 total votes cast.

I find the funniest part not to be the percentage, but Zelda breaking 150k Individual Votes. XD
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SpC2k6 (77/80) T-222th Place.
Phediuk | Posted 8/2/2006 5:54:13 PM | message detail
I would also like to be on the analysis crew, because you guys were in desperate need of an arrogant ass.
---
"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
Draco1214 | Posted 8/2/2006 5:55:32 PM | message detail
Heh, it sounds like fun to be on the crew.
---
Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Owned by Z1mZum in the Best. Series. Ever. Guru Contest
LeonhartForever | Posted 8/2/2006 6:04:21 PM | message detail
We can be plenty arrogant. We just tend to do so outside of our analyses, and the Crew had Vlado last year. We need a break from arrogant know-nothings.
---
Squall, Tidus, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Presea, Chun-Li, Tifa, Celes, Quistis, Amy Rose, Mei Ling
Master Moltar | Posted 8/2/2006 6:05:04 PM | message detail
All this talk of the Crew reminds me to plug CN's site for a minute. You can find all the past Crew topics, including the ones for this Contest, at his site now.

And how did you guys feel about a 9 person Crew anyway? Too much? Not enough?
---
Moltar Status: Currently the property of the true Master, Z1mZum
Final July '06 Contest Score: 62 (Boo)
Tediz247 | Posted 8/2/2006 6:06:40 PM | message detail
I felt that nine was a pretty good number. Anything more would be a bit much, though.
---
Guru status: Z1mZum'd.
ZSB [aX]
steve illumina | Posted 8/2/2006 6:07:51 PM | message detail
If anyone new goes on the crew, it will be the Sage of Board 8, who's innovative and unique brand of satirical analysis is just all that and more :)

Besides, I called it first halfway through the bracket, and I have been here longer than most all you pretenders, if not all of ya! The Crew peeps want prestige, they want to be part of somethin special, and for that, they need me along with them! Otherwise, Ill just stand alone in the stats and outpredict them like I did this contest :)

"Remember Warcraft! Remember Castlevania! Remember KH!" *winks*

---
Steve Illumina: Sage of Board 8 & Elitist Analyst
Beaten by Z1m...may he revel in his Guru glory!
LeonhartForever | Posted 8/2/2006 6:07:59 PM | message detail
Yeah, anything more than nine would be a bit overkill.
---
Squall, Tidus, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Presea, Chun-Li, Tifa, Celes, Quistis, Amy Rose, Mei Ling