GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 339
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| UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/1/2006 1:02:01 PM | message detail |
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Stupid day votes :( *Creativename's websites* Everything you could ever imagine: http://www.GameFAQsContests.com http://www.sc2k5.com http://www.sc2k4.com Sortable Table for Every Contest Match: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19 *Extrapolated Standings* Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11 Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left): http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ *Solarshadow's Sites* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating) http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html *Old Stats topics* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note) 2003-2004 Off-Season: http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note) Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL. Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm *Match Pictures* All the match pics, save for three from 2002: http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php *Miscellaneous* Creativename's Page of Links: http://sc2k4.com/links.php UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language): http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language): http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches: http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists: http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251 HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 TRE's poll listing (every poll!): http://members.shaw.ca/tre/Polls.html Aprosenf's Poll Script: http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt GameFAQs' Top 100 Games: http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/top10/top10_100.html !yawA tsoP |
| SSBM_Guy | Posted 8/1/2006 1:02:28 PM | message detail |
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FIRST. --- what ever i always new bruce wayne was batman anyway - ertyu Organization XXX Member XX - Rocxitv |
| Janus5000 | Posted 8/1/2006 1:03:06 PM | message detail |
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Kiddies, shenanigans, Magus, etc. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." |
| Draco1214 | Posted 8/1/2006 1:03:15 PM | message detail |
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Well, I guess it's time now to speculate on the next contest. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Owned by Z1mZum in the Best. Series. Ever. Guru Contest |
| Luis_Sera89 | Posted 8/1/2006 1:03:17 PM | message detail |
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second --- Damn you Z1mZum! Were it not for my owning at the hands of you I would've claimed the guru crown at the 1st attempt! |
| KingBartz | Posted 8/1/2006 1:04:08 PM | message detail |
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Hey, why weren't the crew's analysis posted? --- You can't call me a bigot. I hate everyone equally. |
| Luis_Sera89 | Posted 8/1/2006 1:04:24 PM | message detail |
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Well, I guess it's time now to speculate on the next contest. Samus wins main bracket, then Link wins overall. ... Umm, yeah... --- Damn you Z1mZum! Were it not for my owning at the hands of you I would've claimed the guru crown at the 1st attempt! |
| SquallidSnake | Posted 8/1/2006 1:15:09 PM | message detail |
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Hey, why weren't the crew's analysis posted? It takes a lot of posts, so sometimes Moltar just confines them to the Analysis Crew topic. --- Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die. Knowing your enemy is the quickest path to victory. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/1/2006 1:32:46 PM | message detail |
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Oh well, it's about time we had an "upset" in a contest finale. I'd like to see the prediction rate for this match. TuRtLe ~~~ Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1 Nominate Carmen Sandiego for Character Battle V |
| trannyscience | Posted 8/1/2006 1:37:19 PM | message detail |
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this is a 50/50 match on the brackets. I wouldn't be amazed if Zelda had the higher prediction percentage. --- NOMINATE JAY SOLANO (Operation Shadow) for 2k6! http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=29527124 |
| TessaTestarossa | Posted 8/1/2006 3:13:08 PM | message detail |
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nice 500... though I missed --- lol AKJ @ work Z1mZum made me his GIR |
| red sox 777 | Posted 8/1/2006 3:14:45 PM | message detail |
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Hey, FF has just won 2 straight updates and cut 52 votes off the lead... I guess it's too little too late. --- Nominate Magus and Crono! |
| trannyscience | Posted 8/1/2006 3:17:03 PM | message detail |
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by the way, you're all nominating Toadette from Paper Mario: The Thousand Year Door. ...yeah, I know. --- NOMINATE JAY SOLANO (Operation Shadow) for 2k6! http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=29527124 |
| ccbfan | Posted 8/1/2006 3:17:05 PM | message detail |
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I say there's still a minute chance FF can still win. A very low chance though. |
| MurderousNun | Posted 8/1/2006 3:17:52 PM | message detail |
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Personally, a part of me is also worried about Nintendo dominance, but
my worry manifests itself in the midcard. We know Link will always be
the favorite for the Character Contests and that Zelda/Final Fantasy
will duke it out for all the other ones, but what about the lower
ranks? Last year, Nintendo was scary. It seemed that any character wearing the big N on their sleeve was bulked up or something. Interesting fact: In the Summer 2005 Contest, four Nintendo characters lost in non-SFF matches. All four of them managed to break 45%. Their opponents? Master Chief, Tifa, and Solid Snake twice. Those aren't chump opponents, folks. That is some serious company strength. For now, I'm remaining hopeful that KHII will end up making this contest more unpredictable and exciting in the middle rounds, but it definitely has its work cut out for it. --- The Summer 2006 Guru Contest: Where Z1mZum kicked my ass. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 8/1/2006 3:19:06 PM | message detail |
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I think the two biggest wildcards are Sora and Master Chief, personally. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Owned by Z1mZum in the Best. Series. Ever. Guru Contest |
| TheCruelAngel | Posted 8/1/2006 3:19:48 PM | message detail |
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Pshht! Squall will dominate!! --- Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!? Squall: ...Flower. |
| trannyscience | Posted 8/1/2006 3:20:42 PM | message detail |
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Personally, a part of me is also worried about Nintendo dominance,
but my worry manifests itself in the midcard. We know Link will always
be the favorite for the Character Contests and that Zelda/Final Fantasy
will duke it out for all the other ones, but what about the lower
ranks? Last year, Nintendo was scary. It seemed that any character
wearing the big N on their sleeve was bulked up or something. Exactly. for a Game Contest there's all the damn Zelda/Mario games to contend with, but once you get past that there's some nice balance - stuff like MGS, RE4, FF10, etc etc. for characters though, you can pretty much pick any SSB character and they're at least a midcarder. old midcarders have boosted to near-elite status such as Kirby. --- NOMINATE JAY SOLANO (Operation Shadow) for 2k6! http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=29527124 |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/1/2006 3:20:56 PM | message detail |
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Imagine if the predictions for this match had come true, and FF were
now winning with 55%. Can you even comprehend how much more
disappointed everyone would be? People whining about this outcome are
more annoying than the whiners in pretty much any other match, because
most of those whiners weren't smart in the first place. Here we have
intelligent people acting like 5-year-olds because they're not getting
what they want. Sure those other whiners were annoying...but these
people are just pathetic. --- Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent. |
| ccbfan | Posted 8/1/2006 3:21:26 PM | message detail |
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Master Chief seems like someone that can never get big wins. While he'll never get blown out since he has so many die hard fans that will vote him no matter whose he's against. He just doesn't have enough to even beat a mid-card. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 8/1/2006 3:22:07 PM | message detail |
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Chief is a chump, always has been. It's just that even with a massive
Ninty boost, Donkey Kong isn't able to get better. That's one pathetic
ape. And I'd take Vivi over him again -- any time, every time. --- Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 8/1/2006 3:22:07 PM | message detail |
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Also, throw Auron up there on the list of wildcards while we're at it. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Owned by Z1mZum in the Best. Series. Ever. Guru Contest |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 8/1/2006 3:23:58 PM | message detail |
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Imagine if the predictions for this match had come true, and FF were
now winning with 55%. Can you even comprehend how much more
disappointed everyone would be? Mario - 47% Zelda - 45% No, I'm not seeing a problem here. --- Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior. |
| ccbfan | Posted 8/1/2006 3:24:37 PM | message detail |
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Auron could definitely jump. He's already a pretty popular character and he played an awesome part in KH2. |
| MurderousNun | Posted 8/1/2006 3:25:26 PM | message detail |
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Chief is a chump, always has been. He almost broke 40% against Crono. His last two losing efforts have been pretty impressive. He's certainly not consistent, but inconsistency shouldn't relegate him to chump status. --- The Summer 2006 Guru Contest: Where Z1mZum kicked my ass. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 8/1/2006 3:26:03 PM | message detail |
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Auron was also behind a wall of double SFF last year. He could
potentially be a near-elite character. 46% on Ganon after the big N
boost is no joke, even if the match turned out to be an overhyped dud. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Owned by Z1mZum in the Best. Series. Ever. Guru Contest |
| Lopen | Posted 8/1/2006 3:27:35 PM | message detail |
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I want to see Master Chief vs Link in one of these things. Master Chief at 38% or so on the X-Stats would be too good. --- Raiden is still [!!] nominations short! http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244 |
| ccbfan | Posted 8/1/2006 3:29:28 PM | message detail |
| Master Chief will always have impressive loses. Thats the nature of his popularity here. A few people like him but the people that like him really like him. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 8/1/2006 3:29:58 PM | message detail |
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There are already quite a few characters whose losses I don't trust --
it runs the gamut from Vincent to Kirby. Master Chief falls into that
'100% chance I would take tons of characters that are below him over
him'. Yeah, Chief has blown out Crash, let Felix break 47% on him, and
his only meaningful win is a squeaker against Donkey Kong...with his other meaningful match being even with Frog. Chief is a chump to me until he can pull off a win against someone that matters. --- Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior. |
| Nominate_Tails | Posted 8/1/2006 3:31:18 PM | message detail |
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He could potentially be a near-elite character. 46% on Ganon after
the big N boost is no joke, even if the match turned out to be an
overhyped dud. Which is why I hope that CjayC continues to give Auron obvious places in the bracket. (Auron losing to Cloud, losing to Sephiroth, losing to Ganondorf) Of course the last one would be hard to predict if we already knew that Magus was overrated (But he shall return and own all overrated Nintendo/FF characters!</fanboyism) in the stats when we predicted the 2005 bracket. --- Tails would nominate you for the next character contest if he could. Z1mZum > me |
| red sox 777 | Posted 8/1/2006 3:33:21 PM | message detail |
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Hmm... FF has won the last 3 updates and 5/6, cutting the lead by 100 in the last half-hour. Night vote has arrived? --- Nominate Magus and Crono! |
| Draco1214 | Posted 8/1/2006 3:33:23 PM | message detail |
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After KH2, I wonder how Auron would do against Ganon in a rematch. He had a good role in the game. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Owned by Z1mZum in the Best. Series. Ever. Guru Contest |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 8/1/2006 3:36:07 PM | message detail |
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I doubt it reverses it completely...but it's possible. ...well, assuming all of Nintendo hasn't boosted even MORE. I don't really want to contemplate that possibility right now. --- Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior. |
| MurderousNun | Posted 8/1/2006 3:36:55 PM | message detail |
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It needs to gain over 58 votes per update to catch up. >_> --- The Summer 2006 Guru Contest: Where Z1mZum kicked my ass. |
| Lopen | Posted 8/1/2006 3:41:11 PM | message detail |
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I honestly think that any match that was 45-55 or closer has a chance
to turnaround the next year, for no real reason whatsoever. Just by
random voting fluctuation. So if we had Ganondorf/Auron again, you bet
I'd struggle with it. Ganon's looking to be the favorite, but Auron did
have a reason to gain popularity, and the match was fairly close to
begin with. Plus our vote totals have gone through the roof, throwing even more uncertainty in there. --- Raiden is still [!!] nominations short! http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244 |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/1/2006 3:48:25 PM | message detail |
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From Tediz247 Posted 8/1/2006 4:48:47 PM #458 Ulti, I'd give an honorable mention to Western RPG fans as well. They act as if any JRPG ever made is inferior to even the worst of Western RPGs. Every JRPG has a "terrible" story, "clichéd" characters, and a "menu-driven snorefest" for a battle system. WRPG fans, for the most part, have some damn good arguments to back themselves up. I'll never tire of reading posts from FourthDeus, even if I don't agree. Uh... nothing against rhythm games at all. Not my cup of tea, but I don't dislike them or anything. Phed: Way to prove my points. Graphic whores aren't bad people, but putting graphics ahead of everything else is moronic. People of this gaming generation dismiss great games all the time because of graphics, and never give older games (most of which blow away everything from today) a decent chance. Played Katamari lately? Hell, your favorite game (OOT) is a choppy piece of crap when compared to the graphics of games of today. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY) |
| therealmnm | Posted 8/1/2006 3:54:56 PM | message detail |
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Well, I'm ecstatic about today's result even if I still picked Final
Fantasy to win. Has there been any major complaining by the likes of
Vlado or anyone else? Have I missed anything of note on the board? --- Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6 Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC |
| FastFalcon05 | Posted 8/1/2006 3:55:08 PM | message detail |
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Master Chief hasn't really had a viable chance for an upset in a while,
though. He might be a chump, but I think he needs to face more than
Crono to prove it. There's enough characters between Donkey Kong and
Crono for him to perform well against. --- Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb |
| trannyscience | Posted 8/1/2006 3:57:26 PM | message detail |
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nothing that I've seen.. I haven't really ventured outside of the stats
topic today though. I'm sure there's a ton of complaining out there
somewhere. --- NOMINATE JAY SOLANO (Operation Shadow) for 2k6! http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=29527124 |
| therealmnm | Posted 8/1/2006 3:58:49 PM | message detail |
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Well, I'm catching up in the stats topic right now. People seem all
depressed that Final Fantasy is losing... Oh well! I <3 my Zelda! --- Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6 Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC |
| BDawg | Posted 8/1/2006 4:00:19 PM | message detail |
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Haha it really must suck for the FF perfects though. You come through
the whole tourny into this match thinking you have a good chance of
loot, then you get crushed by NORG among others. --- Should I start running now? |
| trannyscience | Posted 8/1/2006 4:01:18 PM | message detail |
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eh, this isn't exactly a crushing. it's what, 51-49? (I haven't looked
in hours) this isn't exactly the end of contests as we know it or
anything. you could hold this tomorrow and potentially get a different
result. --- NOMINATE JAY SOLANO (Operation Shadow) for 2k6! http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=29527124 |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/1/2006 4:03:43 PM | message detail |
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Heh, I think he meant score-wise. 32 points is a pretty large crushing. --- Toadette'd?! by Z1mZum in the Guru Contest? Ouch! Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent. |
| therealmnm | Posted 8/1/2006 4:33:58 PM | message detail |
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Reading through the last stats topic, no wonder I always end up getting in so many arguments over Link and LoZ. This topic is full
of Final Fantasy lovers. ExTha seriously getting mad and saying "****
ZeldaFAQs" is pretty eye opening. Is Zelda beating Final Fantasy that serious? --- Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6 Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC |
| Tequilla Gundam | Posted 8/1/2006 4:34:49 PM | message detail |
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I still think Samus would lose to Crono one-on-one. --- Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin |
| trannyscience | Posted 8/1/2006 4:35:53 PM | message detail |
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yeah this is the one place that Square lovers congregate. ExTha has been pretty "fanboyish" today, no doubt. I don't think the rest of us are too bad though. most of the comments I've seen are more because of the contest not being as balanced between the two superpowers here, not because of any FF love or Zelda hate. --- NOMINATE JAY SOLANO (Operation Shadow) for 2k6! http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=29527124 |
| Master Moltar | Posted 8/1/2006 4:36:28 PM | message detail |
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I don't. Then again, I took Samus over Seph in 2005, so wheeeeee. But indirectly, I still think Samus is a hair above Mario, so Crono wouldn't be much of a problem. And LoZ winning today is great, I just wish the match was a bit more intense. --- Moltar Status: Currently the property of the true Master, Z1mZum Final July '06 Contest Score: 62 (Boo) |
| MurderousNun | Posted 8/1/2006 4:37:46 PM | message detail |
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I've seen are more because of the contest not being as balanced between the two superpowers here Don't want to edit your own posts, but don't you mean contest(s)? It's pretty hard to get more balanced than 51/49. --- The Summer 2006 Guru Contest: Where Z1mZum kicked my ass. |
| trannyscience | Posted 8/1/2006 4:41:41 PM | message detail |
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"contest" meaning all contests, yeah. I think it's safe to say that
nobody has a shot at Link anymore. the only chance is an FF7 remake. games are the one spot where FF was thought to reign supreme and it's getting beaten today. how long will it be until FF7 loses its #1 spot on this site? probably a good while, but when that happens Zelda is the undisputed king. I'd expect FF7/OOT to be closer today than it was two years ago despite FF7 being the one getting all the extra games and movies and stuff. --- NOMINATE JAY SOLANO (Operation Shadow) for 2k6! http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=29527124 |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/1/2006 4:49:52 PM | message detail |
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I'm more-so mad about the balance factor than anything. I don't hate Zelda at all. If I've been acting fanboyish.. whatever. --- Everything's 10X better with a RKO and Orton pose. ~ Donkey111 |