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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 335

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/30/2006 7:56:41 PM | message detail
Final Fantasy's match picture is so screwed.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, save for three from 2002:
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/tre/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/top10/top10_100.html



!yawA tsoP
Aprosenf | Posted 7/30/2006 7:57:12 PM | message detail
Tidus > Vaan
---
For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
Draco1214 | Posted 7/30/2006 7:57:34 PM | message detail
Mario > FF!

...Make it happen, GameFAQs *crosses fingers*
---
Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Street Fighter Alpha 3, New Super Mario Bros.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/30/2006 7:58:03 PM | message detail
Ahh, I love people thinking the match picture matters.
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/30/2006 7:58:34 PM | message detail
Crono > Samus!!

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Give you 10G if you act like a chicken!
Yes. No.
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/30/2006 7:59:01 PM | message detail
wtf so soon?

---
Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
gamerkid17 | Posted 7/30/2006 7:59:47 PM | message detail
Sephiroth beat Mario last year, right?

Uh, yeah I think taht explains it. Match pic = small factor. It still says Final Fantasy, that speaks for all FF characters
---
The optimist says the glass is half full. The pessimist says the glass is half empty. The pragmatist, being thirsty, drinks the water.
Phediuk | Posted 7/30/2006 9:07:28 PM | message detail
*just got on*

HELL ****ING YES
---
"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
FastFalcon05 | Posted 7/30/2006 9:11:24 PM | message detail
Go Mario!!!
---
Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/30/2006 9:11:26 PM | message detail
MARIOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/30/2006 9:11:35 PM | message detail
Mario's winning updates by less and less. It's just a matter of time, folks.
---
Squall, Tidus, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Presea, Chun-Li, Tifa, Celes, Quistis, Amy Rose, Mei Ling
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/30/2006 9:11:57 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
48-----19------94.7368421
47-----161-----98.1366460
46-----443-----98.4198646
45-----629-----98.5691574
44-----1042----96.3531670
43-----1503----96.0745176
42-----2120----95.5660377
41-----2518----94.0826052
40-----2722----93.5341661
39-----2975----92.0672269
38-----3001----90.2032656
37-----2955----88.9340102
36-----2895----87.3920553
35-----2680----83.3582090
34-----2570----79.5330739
33-----2307----75.4226268
32-----2114----72.9422895
31-----1851----65.8562939
30-----1697----61.8149676
29-----1487----58.6415602
28-----1350----55.4074074
27-----1219----50.4511895
26-----1032----46.8992248
25-----802-----41.3965087
24-----741-----33.7381916
23-----621-----30.9178744
22-----549-----29.8724954
21-----457-----19.6936543
20-----343-----19.8250729
19-----302-----14.9006623
18-----256-----13.2812500
17-----148-----10.1351351
16-----151-----9.2715232
15-----117-----2.5641026
14-----87------3.4482759
13-----57------0.0000000
12-----57------1.7543860

Overall prediction percentage: 75.72%
Everybody with a score of 11 or less got the match wrong.

The perfects seemingly do worse than the tiers slightly below them, but that's only because there are so few of them that 1 of them getting it wrong has a large impact on the prediction percentage. All the groups down to the -10s have an over 90 prediction percentage. The -1s, -2s and -3s are even over 98. And this was a semifinal match...

Two people fell off the Top 50 today. Kite516 and Itsgoingdown both had Metal Gear taking the contest, so they are out of it after its loss to Zelda.
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/30/2006 9:11:59 PM | message detail
That's what she said!

---
Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/30/2006 9:11:59 PM | message detail
Leon's a party pooper!
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
charmander6000 | Posted 7/30/2006 9:11:59 PM | message detail
Didn't even try to get the 500 post.
---
"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Ed Bellis | Posted 7/30/2006 9:12:01 PM | message detail
BLUE SHELL HAS ARRIVED
---
This was Ed Bellis.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/30/2006 9:12:03 PM | message detail
Words cannot describe how happy I am.

And note that FF is my favorite series by a mile.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY)
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/30/2006 9:12:12 PM | message detail
If Mario ends up winning this: that would be awesome beyond words.
---
Today's subliminal thought is:
Read_Only_Thx | Posted 7/30/2006 9:12:19 PM | message detail
FF/MM: 3235
Mario/FF: 3908

Christ.
---
Nominate Nidoran F.
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=29527160
Phediuk | Posted 7/30/2006 9:12:22 PM | message detail
Yeah, this really doesn't look like it's going to last. But it's still damn awesome while it's happening. GO MARIO.
---
"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
longbladeofhiko | Posted 7/30/2006 9:12:25 PM | message detail
Shall I create a chat gentlemen?
---
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
longbladeofhiko, I hereby give you my official seal of owneditude.-Hogasm
transience | Posted 7/30/2006 9:12:33 PM | message detail
stop trying to get in the way of board 8's Nintendo obsession, Leon!
---
xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
Mac Arrowny | Posted 7/30/2006 9:12:35 PM | message detail
This currently has 700 more votes than MGS vs. KH. Time for a new record, perhaps?
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/30/2006 9:12:45 PM | message detail
I feel all warm and fuzzy inside.

---
Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
gtonizuka49 | Posted 7/30/2006 9:12:50 PM | message detail
Mario's winning updates by less and less. It's just a matter of time, folks.

Regardless, I doubt Final Fantasy just starts piling on 60% updates for the rest of the day. It will win today, but anyone has to admit that Zelda has a damn good shot now.
---
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!!
RockMFR 5 | Posted 7/30/2006 9:12:56 PM | message detail
This match will be legendary.</obvious>
---
Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/30/2006 9:12:57 PM | message detail
It's just proof of my indie cred, transience!
---
Squall, Tidus, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Presea, Chun-Li, Tifa, Celes, Quistis, Amy Rose, Mei Ling
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/30/2006 9:13:00 PM | message detail
So how many perfects do we lose if Mario keeps this up miraculously?


TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
Nominate Carmen Sandiego for Character Battle V
DeepHyren12 | Posted 7/30/2006 9:13:10 PM | message detail
I'm in the same boat as Ulti. I love FF, but an upset of this caliber would just be awesome.
---
"Civil government is in reality instituted for the defense of the rich against the poor" --Adam Smith
FastFalcon05 | Posted 7/30/2006 9:13:23 PM | message detail
BLUE SHELL HAS ARRIVED

TRUTH!
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/30/2006 9:13:26 PM | message detail
Oh baby.... this match is making my nipples hurt they're so rigid right now.

---
Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/30/2006 9:13:27 PM | message detail
So how many perfects do we lose if Mario keeps this up miraculously?

All of them.
---
"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/30/2006 9:13:28 PM | message detail
The fun starts when Final Fantasy gets the lead and never looks back! <3

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Give you 10G if you act like a chicken!
Yes. No.
TheCruelAngel | Posted 7/30/2006 9:13:35 PM | message detail
So how many perfects do we lose if Mario keeps this up miraculously?

All.
---
Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
swirIdude | Posted 7/30/2006 9:13:37 PM | message detail
CLEARLY TODAY IS THE DAY OF SUPER MARIO GALAXY'S RELEASE AND PLANET GAMECUBE IS LINKING!
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The *only* good thing about this contest is that Ceej might share with us the split between female/male nominations for Samus. ~creativename
longbladeofhiko | Posted 7/30/2006 9:13:43 PM | message detail
And note that FF is my favorite series by a mile.

Metal Gear and Mario are my favorites as far as the big 4 go.
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
longbladeofhiko, I hereby give you my official seal of owneditude.-Hogasm
Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 7/30/2006 9:13:58 PM | message detail
We lose all perfects
---
"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." ~ Benjamin Franklin
Typhoid Larry | Posted 7/30/2006 9:14:04 PM | message detail
So how many perfects do we lose if Mario keeps this up miraculously?

15.
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Best. Series. Ever. Score: 5/5
Prediction: Fire Emblem vs Silent Hill
Draco1214 | Posted 7/30/2006 9:14:05 PM | message detail
This is the greatest match ever. I don't care if Mario is going to get steamrolled later on. The fact that it's held a lead for 10+ minutes is enough.

GO MARIO!!
---
Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Street Fighter Alpha 3, New Super Mario Bros.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/30/2006 9:14:11 PM | message detail
Man, I can't imagine how badly the board is going to take this when FF finally takes over.
---
Squall, Tidus, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Presea, Chun-Li, Tifa, Celes, Quistis, Amy Rose, Mei Ling
Typhoid Larry | Posted 7/30/2006 9:14:14 PM | message detail
Wait, no, 13.
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Best. Series. Ever. Score: 5/5
Prediction: Fire Emblem vs Silent Hill
DeepHyren12 | Posted 7/30/2006 9:14:24 PM | message detail
Oh, and if a chat gets created, invite me please. AIM is Tohoya.
---
"Civil government is in reality instituted for the defense of the rich against the poor" --Adam Smith
FastFalcon05 | Posted 7/30/2006 9:14:26 PM | message detail
The fun starts when Final Fantasy gets the lead and never looks back! <3


silence!
---
Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
longbladeofhiko | Posted 7/30/2006 9:15:09 PM | message detail
Everyone tell me yer names so I can invite ya to the stat guru AIM chat.
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
longbladeofhiko, I hereby give you my official seal of owneditude.-Hogasm
Janus5000 | Posted 7/30/2006 9:15:17 PM | message detail
STOP GOING THE **** UP
---
"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
WiggumFan267 | Posted 7/30/2006 9:15:19 PM | message detail
Legend of Zelda is so screwed

>_>


---
Wigs: Helping Bald People Since 1987
Happily married to Alanna82 on V-Day 2005
swirIdude | Posted 7/30/2006 9:15:21 PM | message detail
Uh oh, looks like this is the end.
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The *only* good thing about this contest is that Ceej might share with us the split between female/male nominations for Samus. ~creativename
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/30/2006 9:15:24 PM | message detail
I'm already taking this badly. Mario is *way* too close to FF!
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
Ed Bellis | Posted 7/30/2006 9:15:34 PM | message detail
BLUE SHELL GOT KINDA SIDETRACKED
---
This was Ed Bellis.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/30/2006 9:15:35 PM | message detail
And EC, I'm going to hold you to that wiping your ass with FF9 thing <_<


TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
Nominate Carmen Sandiego for Character Battle V