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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 334

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Read_Only_Thx | Posted 7/30/2006 5:53:58 AM | message detail
He should've done something like Leonhart suggested: FFT Cloud -- AC Cloud.

Too bad it doesn't fit the "First Game -> Next Game" theme. It's SMB/FF1 and SMG/FF12. Changing the point of the theme just to satisfy the Cloud-drone fanboys would be pretty damn biased as well.

FF1 Knight and FF12 Ashe fit the theme perfectly. FFT Cloud/AC Cloud doesn't, because not only did FFT come out ten years after Final Fantasy, it came out after FF7. So why start with the game that came out after the most reknown game in the FF series?

And ending it with a character from a movie? Come on, this is a games contest. That would just be horribly biased.

The pic works for the theme it represents, and I can't see how any sound-minded individual would argue that FFT Cloud/AC Cloud would fit the theme better than characters from the beginning and the upcoming FF.
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Nominate Nidoran F.
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=29527160
Read_Only_Thx | Posted 7/30/2006 5:54:42 AM | message detail
Not to mention this pic might actually make this match a bit more interesting. That's probably more important than anything.
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Nominate Nidoran F.
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=29527160
Slowflake | Posted 7/30/2006 6:39:53 AM | message detail
I don't think I need to mention that I love what I'm seeing. The final looking a lot more interesting is a bonus.

So, what's stronger, Megaman or Metal Gear? Looks like this is the decider here.
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i thought people on gamefaqs had good taste in games i guess i was wrong -EstUmbra
Oooh... Yeah... I need... condom... sixty nine!! -IENJOYHAM
Phediuk | Posted 7/30/2006 6:47:39 AM | message detail
What's this? No talk of SSBB SFF? You wound me, stats topic.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
jonthomson | Posted 7/30/2006 7:03:06 AM | message detail
Match 30 - Super Mario Bros vs Final Fantasy

With Zelda beating down Metal Gear in an incredibly impressive fashion, not looking in any danger whatsoever of dropping below 70%, Final Fantasy is going to have to come up with an impressive performance in order to go into the final matchup as favourite. It's clear enough that it will make the final, seeing how Mario only managed to put up 61% on Smash Bros despite SSB having the worst picture in the world. That ought to put any murmurings of an upset straight out of the window.

The question in this match is how big a win would FF require to be considered the favourite in the final matchup. I think it needs to win without ever being in danger of losing at any point. If it manages 60% or more, it should be home and hosed. If it struggles to beat Mario at any point, Zelda will take it to the cleaners. Anywhere in between and we could have a close, hard to call final. And I think Mario can get into the forties in this match.

Bracket says: FF
Favourites bracket says: SMB
Vote says: SMB
Prediction: FF with 57%

Fun fact of the day: Super Mario Bros was the first game jonthomson ever completed, and SMB3 was the first game he ever bought.
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Jon Thomson - CATS, Jay Solano, Ridley, Duke Nukem, The Prince, Phoenix Wright, Jill Valentine, The Boss, Ada Wong, Celes, Lyndis, Morrigan, Guru TBA, 1 TBA
cyko | Posted 7/30/2006 7:12:19 AM | message detail

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/bse/bse30.jpg


interesting match pic. has anyone explained why Ashe is picking her nose, though?

oh, and Zelda is running away with the day vote. yay.

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please NOMINATE BAHAMUT!!!
or i will eat your soul.
Master Moltar | Posted 7/30/2006 7:37:13 AM | message detail
Yeah, what's up with the whole nose-picking thing...

Anyway, this is Mario's chance to overperform. Zelda's going to look so good going into the finals...
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Moltar Status: Wanting you to Nominate Shadow the Hedgehog!
Legend of Zelda vs. Metal Gear - Bracket: LoZ - Vote: MG (46/48)
RPGuy96 | Posted 7/30/2006 8:24:23 AM | message detail
The Legend of Zelda's percentages by the hour:

11:00 | 74.67%
10:00 | 75.07%
09:00 | 73.46%
08:00 | 69.76%
07:00 | 67.37%
06:00 | 66.95%
05:00 | 69.59%
04:00 | 71.99%
03:00 | 72.54%
02:00 | 73.11%
01:00 | 72.02%

I think the kiddies woke up.
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Luigi, Magus, Kefka, Ike, Alucard, Phoenix Wright
Lyn, Peach, Celes, Lenneth, Presea, Alex Roivas
Slowflake | Posted 7/30/2006 8:26:12 AM | message detail
Is it me, or are the contest n00bs claiming Zelda will win much, much more confident than the FF ones?
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i thought people on gamefaqs had good taste in games i guess i was wrong -EstUmbra
Oooh... Yeah... I need... condom... sixty nine!! -IENJOYHAM
Tediz247 | Posted 7/30/2006 8:26:41 AM | message detail
I'm almost shocked that neither Raiden or Peach managed to find their way into a match picture. Unless, of course, Mario pulls a miracle tomorrow, but that won't happen. I call Ulti Curse >_>
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
Super Luigi | Posted 7/30/2006 8:37:57 AM | message detail
I dont see how some of you think Snake isn't stronger than his series.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 7/30/2006 8:38:11 AM | message detail
The Zelda supporters just aren't receptive to the possibility of losing. Half of them aren't even aware that Link has ever lost, actually. I've had shocked replies EVERY time I've linked to Link/Cloud 2k3, many simply assume that Link was taken out of 2k3 (and Ceej doesn't exactly help this with his "Cloud over Sephiroth" quote. And others aren't even aware that a Games Contest ever happened (and thus aren't aware that the much-hyped all-Zelda Final Four turned into a Zelda-free Final Four). So if you don't know that Link beat Cloud, don't even know that there was a Games Contest, and know that Link has dominated for all of recent memory...honestly, what reason does a casual have to doubt Zelda?
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consolefreak | Posted 7/30/2006 8:42:20 AM | message detail
Too bad it doesn't fit the "First Game -> Next Game" theme. It's SMB/FF1 and SMG/FF12. Changing the point of the theme just to satisfy the Cloud-drone fanboys would be pretty damn biased as well.

I said "something like". It doesn't necessarily have to be Cloud. Using this theme in a match like SMB-FF just causes an inherent SMB advantage. It's always Mario. FF is represented by some of the most unknown characters of the series.

Of course, the theme was created during LoZ - MG, so it's expectable Cjay would stick with it for the round. And yet, he has shown before not to hold to the round theme very strictly. He could've easily gotten away with an AC pic.

FF1 Knight and FF12 Ashe fit the theme perfectly. FFT Cloud/AC Cloud doesn't, because not only did FFT come out ten years after Final Fantasy, it came out after FF7. So why start with the game that came out after the most reknown game in the FF series?

Theme-wise, that's not doable indeed. But like I said, Cjay wasn't too strict with the themes before. Although FFT would be really late to start with anyway, I guess. But even then the FF1 representation is freakishly ugly. He could've used a Black Mage sprite or something like that. That and Ashe not picking her nose would've been a lot better already, whilst fitting the theme perfectly as well.

And ending it with a character from a movie? Come on, this is a games contest. That would just be horribly biased.

It's the same character.. It's not like Cjay hasn't used AC pics before.

The pic works for the theme it represents, and I can't see how any sound-minded individual would argue that FFT Cloud/AC Cloud would fit the theme better than characters from the beginning and the upcoming FF.

I think you're missing the point there. No one ever argued that Cloud --> Cloud would fit the theme better. It's a fact that it wouldn't, even. It'd just be less biased.

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Sp2k6: 43/48. LoZ VS. MG Tomorrow: SMB VS. FF
Slowflake | Posted 7/30/2006 8:45:46 AM | message detail
That's a very good point of view. I'm seeing a lot of "Link won the character contest twice" around (actually it's three times, but whatever). Nobody ever brings up Link and Cloud never beating each other by so much as 53%, but the game contest pops up sometime.
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i thought people on gamefaqs had good taste in games i guess i was wrong -EstUmbra
Oooh... Yeah... I need... condom... sixty nine!! -IENJOYHAM
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/30/2006 8:49:15 AM | message detail
So if you don't know that Link beat Cloud

*Cloud beat Link
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
Who Cares? | Posted 7/30/2006 8:53:07 AM | message detail
That's a very good point of view. I'm seeing a lot of "Link won the character contest twice" around (actually it's three times, but whatever). Nobody ever brings up Link and Cloud never beating each other by so much as 53%, but the game contest pops up sometime.

Thing is most casual followers don't care about the percentages, just the final result.
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Noms: Ken, Nightmare, Sub Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden(MGS), Knuckles, Sora
Chun-Li, Morrigan, Sheena, Cammy, Presea, Talim, Ayane
Big Bob | Posted 7/30/2006 8:57:19 AM | message detail
It's just that Zelda HAS impressed. While most expected it to SFF MMX and Metroid, most did not expect to the extend that it happened. And now, the fourth 1 seed is being held below 70%.

And with the massive picture advantage, Mario just might pull the upset.
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Slowflake | Posted 7/30/2006 8:58:00 AM | message detail
Like pics matter in a match opposing two series EVERYONE knows of.
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i thought people on gamefaqs had good taste in games i guess i was wrong -EstUmbra
Oooh... Yeah... I need... condom... sixty nine!! -IENJOYHAM
Super Luigi | Posted 7/30/2006 8:58:50 AM | message detail
SMB still wont win, Sadly. It will prob get around 45% though.
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Currently playing : Resident Evil 4(GC),NCAA Football 07(Xbox),Kirby Canvas Curse(DS).
XBL Gamertag - SuPer MiKe 86.
therealmnm | Posted 7/30/2006 9:00:41 AM | message detail
I wouldn't have minded Ceej sticking a Knight from FF1 and AC Cloud. In the very least it would have made the picture more balanced. We've seen plenty of variety for FF in this contest. I think Cloud deserved to be in the picture today. Besides, even though FFVII is several years old, Advent Children was released this year, and is pretty much the newest FF related thing (besides the GBA game) that has been released in America. It's not like it would have been cheating the theme... There is no strict law that says every pic has to be exactly the same anyways.
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
Slowflake | Posted 7/30/2006 9:01:43 AM | message detail
I'm thinking he did that because of the sheer amount of Zelda/FF pics that'll have Cloud and/or Sephiroth.
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i thought people on gamefaqs had good taste in games i guess i was wrong -EstUmbra
Oooh... Yeah... I need... condom... sixty nine!! -IENJOYHAM
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/30/2006 9:04:35 AM | message detail
Yeah, I once saw a fanboy arguing for Final Fantasy say that Starcraft destroyed Wind Waker. Yeah...

Hmm...a completely pointless question. Say Zelda was exactly the same game, but for purely aesthetic value you played as a different character for every new Zelda game. So basically you've got a bunch of different main characters, a la Final Fantasy, instead of Link. Let's divide them like this.

Zelda 1&2 Hero
Link to the Past/Link's Awakening Hero
Ocarina of Time/Majora's Mask Hero
Wind Waker Hero
Twilight Princess Hero

The only difference between the Heroes are names and appearances, really (but the differences are drastic, so that no one is confused). The games themselves remain more or less the same.

Now, for a real twist, let's say that Zelda and Ganon/Ganondorf are in all of these games, unlike the Heroes themselves. The question is: how are these Heroes ordered in terms of strength? Where do Zelda and Ganon fit in? And lastly, how would these characters stack up in an actual contest?

...yeah, I'm really bored.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
YoAriel33 | Posted 7/30/2006 9:05:44 AM | message detail
Also keep in mind that most of these "casual n00bs" have probably never heard of SFF and have no idea when to expect it. To the untrained eye, 85% on Metroid is infinitely more impressive than 74% on Mega Man.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!!
The n00b Avenger | Posted 7/30/2006 9:06:05 AM | message detail
Question: Out of all the entrants, which match would you most like to see at this point?

I'd go for Sonic Vs. Metal Gear. I think Metal Gear Vs. Megaman would be a good match at this point, and since Sonic has a good shot at ending up higher than Megaman in the stats, I think it would be interesting.
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Slowflake | Posted 7/30/2006 9:07:18 AM | message detail
KH, you were absolutely right.

From wavedash101 | Posted 7/30/2006 12:06:25 PM | #019
But percentage means crap. Votes do matter and Link has gotten a helluva lot more than Cloud in these contests.

Looks like people are just THAT dense.
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i thought people on gamefaqs had good taste in games i guess i was wrong -EstUmbra
Oooh... Yeah... I need... condom... sixty nine!! -IENJOYHAM
thok | Posted 7/30/2006 9:08:53 AM | message detail
Honestly, I'd argue that a Black Mage sprite followed by Yuna from X2 would essentially fit the theme perfectly (FF12 hasn't been released yet in the US and FF11 is an MMORPG) and has the advantage that most people might actually recognize the characters.

I mean, it's not like he's using Mario's picture from something like Super Mario Strikers or something.
consolefreak | Posted 7/30/2006 9:26:02 AM | message detail
Question: Out of all the entrants, which match would you most like to see at this point?

FF-LoZ.

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Sp2k6: 43/48. LoZ VS. MG Tomorrow: SMB VS. FF
Read_Only_Thx | Posted 7/30/2006 9:32:42 AM | message detail
The thing is, all the "current-day" pics are from games that haven't yet been released in the US. Twilight Princess, MGS4, Super Mario Galaxy, and FF12. So FF12 does fit the theme better than FFX2 would.
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Nominate Nidoran F.
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=29527160
Big Bob | Posted 7/30/2006 9:35:21 AM | message detail
Hell if he wanted to, he could go with FFXIII.
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Read_Only_Thx | Posted 7/30/2006 9:36:06 AM | message detail
FF13 would probably fit in even better, since the other three are from next-gen systems, while FF12 is PS2.
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Nominate Nidoran F.
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=29527160
MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/30/2006 9:37:50 AM | message detail
Yeah I was wondering why he didin't use FF13. Every other series has a picture from their latest announced game well FF has FF12.
Big Bob | Posted 7/30/2006 9:38:06 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1653

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2453

Oh, I WENT THERE.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 7/30/2006 9:39:25 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1601

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2453

Zelda is so screwed.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/30/2006 10:02:11 AM | message detail
Question: Out of all the entrants, which match would you most like to see at this point?

I'd go for Sonic Vs. Metal Gear. I think Metal Gear Vs. Megaman would be a good match at this point, and since Sonic has a good shot at ending up higher than Megaman in the stats, I think it would be interesting.


I'd take MM > Sonic in a heartbeat.. I know there will be plenty of people who disagree here (KH is so screwed), but I'd have a much harder time with MM/MG than Sonic/MG, hell I think MM could top it, then again I've been calling it the 4th strongest series for a while now, though I didn't see SSB/SMB coming.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
YoAriel33 | Posted 7/30/2006 10:16:05 AM | message detail
If Mega Man does take Sonic and give Metal Gear a fight, then it really has to be the most "all-inclusive" series this side of Mario. Fans of Mega Man X, Mega Man Zero, Mega Man Battle Network, and whatever the hell else he has must be voting for it without question or thought, because there's no way I'd believe that a series almost exclusive to the NES could be that strong.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!!
Slowflake | Posted 7/30/2006 10:54:16 AM | message detail
Agreed.

Fun thing is, the whole argument depends on FF beating Zelda now.
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i thought people on gamefaqs had good taste in games i guess i was wrong -EstUmbra
Oooh... Yeah... I need... condom... sixty nine!! -IENJOYHAM
BDawg | Posted 7/30/2006 10:54:40 AM | message detail
I was gonna say something about the main appeal of the FF series is that it DOESN'T need Cloud as a crutch but then I got distracted by this Snakes on a Plane banner....
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Should I start running now?
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/30/2006 10:55:32 AM | message detail
tag

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Super Luigi | Posted 7/30/2006 10:59:00 AM | message detail
I'm hoping for SMB to reach atleast 47% tomorrow. But for some reason, Even with the match picture like it is, I doubt it.
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Currently playing : Resident Evil 4(GC),NCAA Football 07(Xbox),Kirby Canvas Curse(DS).
XBL Gamertag - SuPer MiKe 86.
voltch | Posted 7/30/2006 11:26:19 AM | message detail
so if FF flattens SMB tomorrow then can it double Zelda?
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Tediz247 | Posted 7/30/2006 11:28:36 AM | message detail
The **** are you talking about? The only ones calling for a doubling... actually, you're the first I've seen to suggest a doubling. That's one of the stupidest things I've read in the stats topic.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
Draco1214 | Posted 7/30/2006 11:33:12 AM | message detail
Yeah, there's no way FF is doubling Zelda.

And really, I don't think the pic will affect tomorrow's match much. Mario is still going to get destroyed.
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charmander6000 | Posted 7/30/2006 11:37:09 AM | message detail
For Final Fantasy to double Metal Gear would have had to break 40% on Zelda and Final Fantasy triples SMB.
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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/30/2006 12:06:06 PM | message detail
I'm going to be on a plane from El Paso on the day SoaP is released. Pray for me stats topic.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
Tediz247 | Posted 7/30/2006 12:14:09 PM | message detail
El Paso? What are you doing way out here?
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
linkinpark27 | Posted 7/30/2006 12:15:10 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/30/2006 12:22:34 PM | message detail
I have to go to some shweet doctor. I'm still in New York right now, but I'll be flying back up from there when it's released.... I'm so screwed.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
HaRRicH | Posted 7/30/2006 12:39:59 PM | message detail
LoZ's impressing today. For FF winning the contest on its very first update, it looks like it's becoming more and more vurnerable as the rounds progress. Yes, we already knew that LoZ has a super-easy road to the championship thanks to SFF and we already know that SMB > MG so it'll be fairly hard to make a great comparison for the final match...but it's looking tougher and tougher against LoZ now for FF.
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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/30/2006 12:40:55 PM | message detail
What does SMB need to get on FF to make you think LoZ is taking it down?

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did!
YoAriel33 | Posted 7/30/2006 12:43:45 PM | message detail
Mid-forties.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!!