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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 331

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Janus5000 | Posted 7/27/2006 9:05:15 PM | message detail
...Yeah, that's better.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
Master Moltar | Posted 7/27/2006 9:05:21 PM | message detail
Over 61% now...but still, impressive.
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Moltar Status: Wanting you to Nominate Shadow the Hedgehog!
Super Mario Bros. vs. Super Smash Bros. - Bracket: SMB - Vote: SSB (38/40)
THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/27/2006 9:05:30 PM | message detail
Yeah, I was actually thinking about lowering my SMB/SSB prediction a little bit, too. I didn't believe SSB was going to get crushed like some people thought. I just figured...it couldn't quite get 30% or so even on its own.

Wow, this makes Sonic look a little better, at least!
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
FastFalcon05 | Posted 7/27/2006 9:05:38 PM | message detail
Okay, so that hurt, but it's still not too shabby.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
transience | Posted 7/27/2006 9:05:40 PM | message detail
well, Mario goes up, but not nearly as high as one would think. looks like SSB is by far #4. I doubt Metal Gear stays this close on Zelda.
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
creativename | Posted 7/27/2006 9:06:22 PM | message detail
That's much better.

I'm still in a bit of disbelief though. SMB only got 62.58% on that last update.

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Big Bob | Posted 7/27/2006 9:06:24 PM | message detail
...Yeah, Super Smash Bros. is 4th strongest.
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This space reserved for a new sig.
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/27/2006 9:06:28 PM | message detail
What now, KH? I knew it should at least resist the SFF.

*looks back at poll*

Good Lord, this board loves SSB like nothing else.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/27/2006 9:06:29 PM | message detail
I doubt Mario stays this close on Zelda.
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
Lopen | Posted 7/27/2006 9:06:38 PM | message detail
I figured that was my tea... I figured I had the highest SMB prediction. Unexpected Analysis Crew results, there.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
Samurai7 | Posted 7/27/2006 9:07:48 PM | message detail
People wouldn't listen when I said SFF wouldn't be that bad >.>

Since SSB draws support from every nintendo franchise I think it is rather SSF resistant.
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Did you know 86% of all statistics are made up on the spot?
THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/27/2006 9:07:56 PM | message detail
Who's had more impressive day votes? Melee or Mario?

I doubt it's going to make much of a difference one way or the other in terms of significant percentage shifts.

Yeah, so...those of you who said before they'd take Mario 64 > SSBM, what about now?
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
creativename | Posted 7/27/2006 9:08:15 PM | message detail
70% is looking like a real stretch right now.

And if SMB can't get 65%...well, I'll be scratching my head.
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gtonizuka49 | Posted 7/27/2006 9:08:47 PM | message detail
Nothing is certain after five minutes, but the following arguments do look better right now:

1. Diablo and Warcraft (and, as such, GTA) are all very, very weak.

2. Super Smash Bros. is most likely the fourth strongest series on this site.

3. SSBM is more popular now than it was during SpC2K4.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!!
dethfdddddh | Posted 7/27/2006 9:08:54 PM | message detail
hay guyz how bout them newer series bombing lolololol
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Just Got Owned By Guru winner Voltch.
Lopen | Posted 7/27/2006 9:09:15 PM | message detail
I didn't really think there was going to be excessive SFF... I just thought Mario would be stronger than this... especially after seeing what it did against Warcraft.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
charmander6000 | Posted 7/27/2006 9:09:15 PM | message detail
I can see SMB finishing at mid/high 60's.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/27/2006 9:09:33 PM | message detail
3. SSBM is more popular now than it was during SpC2K4.

I'm not sure you can prove that from this.
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/27/2006 9:09:34 PM | message detail
I think 20 perfects falling on MG/KH should cause more concern than silly percentages! Srsly... the fact that only 27/47 got that match right is amazingly sad. This almost assures me that if we had a 64 entrant field, even if it was all fodder, these bastards would not have perfects.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids
cyko | Posted 7/27/2006 9:09:47 PM | message detail
good grief. Super Mario Bros. is the pinnacle series of gaming!!! BAH!

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please NOMINATE BAHAMUT!!!
or i will eat your soul.
transience | Posted 7/27/2006 9:09:47 PM | message detail
I have no idea what to make of this.. SMB weakness or SSB(M) strength. makes me think about SSBM/Mario 3 though, along with SSBM/FF6.
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
Just Some Person | Posted 7/27/2006 9:11:16 PM | message detail
This is pretty much in line with what I was expecting

SMB is a very storied series, reaching 20 years into the past. I think series like that tend to lose luster the older they become, but still retain the tried-and-true nostalgia backers. SSB has a large fanbase consisting of younger Nintnedo fans who are more Internet-friendly.

I'm predicting a 64-36 split by the time it's all said and done.

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¤ ¹ ² ³ ² ¹ ¤
THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/27/2006 9:11:21 PM | message detail
Well, SSB is definitely strong, but I think this tells me that SMB isn't as close to FF and Zelda as we might have figured.
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/27/2006 9:11:33 PM | message detail
Perfects Champ Breakdown:

Final Fantasy - 17
LoZ - 7
Metal Gear - 2
SSB - 1
SMB - 0
RE - 0

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Cheer Up Emo Kids
creativename | Posted 7/27/2006 9:11:43 PM | message detail
Looks like the "SSB will avoid SFF" people were right. But it beats the hell out of me how.

I am befuddled.

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Karma Hunter | Posted 7/27/2006 9:11:51 PM | message detail
Be generous and say Mega Man = Sonic. Assuming SMB finishes with 65% (being even more generous here), how much does it get on Final Fantasy?
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
Slowflake | Posted 7/27/2006 9:12:35 PM | message detail
Wow. This is INSANE. SSB is basically saying, NO, that fourth place belongs to ME with that.
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i thought people on gamefaqs had good taste in games i guess i was wrong -EstUmbra
Oooh... Yeah... I need... condom... sixty nine!! -IENJOYHAM
gtonizuka49 | Posted 7/27/2006 9:12:41 PM | message detail
Well, let's think about it like this:

Super Smash Bros. Melee has been THE Nintendo game of the past five years. It's also the most popular Nintendo game since Ocarina of Time. Obviously, this surprises the hell out of me, but I'm not thinking this is Mario weakness. In my opinion, this all rests on the shoulders of one game; one game that has arguably been the lone savior for Nintendo fans since 2001.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!!
Janus5000 | Posted 7/27/2006 9:13:32 PM | message detail
Funny you should ask that, Karma...

Janus5000
Posted 7/27/2006 7:59:59 PM
message detail If Mega Man = Sonic, and SMB gets 43% against FF, SSB would get 35.44% on SMB before SFF, for the record.

...Still not all that reassuring for SSB fans.


So a bit over 43%.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
FastFalcon05 | Posted 7/27/2006 9:14:03 PM | message detail
Well, the nice thing for ssb here is, there almost has to be some sff, and I'd think any of it is going to Mario.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/27/2006 9:14:24 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
36-----47------57.4468085
35-----265-----70.5660377
34-----710-----73.9436620
33-----1129----65.3675819
32-----1911----63.0036630
31-----2920----60.1369863
30-----4108----57.3758520
29-----4895----54.5454545
28-----5240----50.9351145
27-----5033----49.1158355
26-----4527----44.4002651
25-----3560----41.2359551
24-----2849----35.6265356
23-----2134----31.9119025
22-----1592----25.9422111
21-----1205----25.2282158
20-----934-----22.5910064
19-----760-----23.2894737
18-----576-----20.6597222
17-----439-----21.4123007
16-----336-----21.7261905
15-----264-----21.9696970
14-----217-----24.4239631
13-----115-----19.1304348
12-----112-----16.0714286
11-----85------12.9411765
10-----40------17.5000000
9------38------23.6842105
8------18------5.5555556
7------12------8.3333333

Overall prediction percentage: 46.21%
Everyone with a score of 6 or less got the match wrong.

Horrible performace by the perfects here. The -1s, -2s, -3s, -4s and -5s all do better that the perfects. The -1s also end up doing worse than the -2s. It seems that those who had KH beating Castlevania had it taking out Metal Gear as well.

20 people fell off the Top 50 today. reddevils5000, Denji2000, Allamo, MarioFanaticXV, ABoondockSaint, Sses, _GenisSage_, Relm_Arrowny, Kanto_Kobek, lilmidget, KirbyDude65, mrtatertot, PesticideReborn, baccardi45, Sinjoda, TheGreatMongols, VeryInsane, BDawg250, Valdamos and former first place Fingolfin16 all had KH taking out Metal Gear.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/27/2006 9:15:46 PM | message detail
From DGZFIGHTERS Posted 7/27/2006 10:58:06 PM #091
Buy or Sell:

Zelda will be able to SFF Metal Gear to a small extent.


Buy, given that everyone on this site has played a Zelda game.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY)
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/27/2006 9:16:40 PM | message detail
Everyone has played a Zelda game = Link SFFes everyone?

Magus would like to talk to you about that.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/27/2006 9:16:44 PM | message detail
FACT OR FICTION: We lose 14 or more perfects on this match. (27 currently)

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transience | Posted 7/27/2006 9:17:37 PM | message detail
wouldn't that be part of its natural strength if it SFFs everything?
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
Slowflake | Posted 7/27/2006 9:17:53 PM | message detail
FICTION. People who are still perfect can't be that stupid. Then again, this is GameFAQs, where people make the impossible possible in terms of stupidity.
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i thought people on gamefaqs had good taste in games i guess i was wrong -EstUmbra
Oooh... Yeah... I need... condom... sixty nine!! -IENJOYHAM
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/27/2006 9:17:58 PM | message detail
Fiction, if I want my sanity to stay intact.

But forget that. This is worse than Mario/Shadow. This is ONE game humiliating the most deserving series in the entire contest.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/27/2006 9:18:00 PM | message detail
Buy, given that everyone on this site has played a Zelda game.

So...Mario SFFs everything, too?
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
Janus5000 | Posted 7/27/2006 9:18:26 PM | message detail
Link/Magus was clearly rSFF.

For Link.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/27/2006 9:18:28 PM | message detail
FICTION. People who are still perfect can't be that stupid. Then again, this is GameFAQs, where people make the impossible possible in terms of stupidity.

I point you to where 20/47 people had KH beating MG!

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Cheer Up Emo Kids
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/27/2006 9:18:44 PM | message detail
So...Mario SFFs everything, too?

Haven't you been listening to Lopen?!
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
cyko | Posted 7/27/2006 9:18:57 PM | message detail

But forget that. This is worse than Mario/Shadow. This is ONE game humiliating the most deserving series in the entire contest.


AGREED.

Mario had better be above 70% by the time i wake up or heads will roll!

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please NOMINATE BAHAMUT!!!
or i will eat your soul.
transience | Posted 7/27/2006 9:19:10 PM | message detail
heh... is SSB doing better than Sonic would?
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
rpgapzx | Posted 7/27/2006 9:19:48 PM | message detail
DEBATE: So will FF obilerate SMB or does SSB have 4th locked up?

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SC2k6: 29/32
Today: Bracket: Zelda Vote: Zelda
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 7/27/2006 9:19:57 PM | message detail
Mario/Shadow Pt 2.
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin
THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/27/2006 9:20:19 PM | message detail
Mario had better be above 70% by the time i wake up or heads will roll!

65% is looking doubtful at this point, really.
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
Slowflake | Posted 7/27/2006 9:20:39 PM | message detail
I don't think picking KH to win was stupid per se. Hopeful, maybe, but definitely not stupid. If anyone wanted an upset not called Zelda over FF in the closing stages, this was the way to go.
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i thought people on gamefaqs had good taste in games i guess i was wrong -EstUmbra
Oooh... Yeah... I need... condom... sixty nine!! -IENJOYHAM
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/27/2006 9:20:48 PM | message detail
NintendoFAQs will ensure Mario doesn't get destroyed by any stretch of the imagination. Barring an absolutely miraculous performance from MG, SSB should have this.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
Master Moltar | Posted 7/27/2006 9:20:51 PM | message detail
But forget that. This is worse than Mario/Shadow. This is ONE game humiliating the most deserving series in the entire contest.

*Likes the result of both matches*

I guess the joke is on me, eh?
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Moltar Status: Wanting you to Nominate Shadow the Hedgehog!
Super Mario Bros. vs. Super Smash Bros. - Bracket: SMB - Vote: SSB (38/40)
creativename | Posted 7/27/2006 9:21:04 PM | message detail
Some good signs there, 65+%.
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