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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 328

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trannyscience | Posted 7/25/2006 9:05:14 PM | message detail
yeah, down to 83%!!!!! WHAT NOW LINK
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TheCruelAngel | Posted 7/25/2006 9:05:16 PM | message detail
O_O

And I thought my 80% prediction was too high, even taking severe SFF into account.
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Squall: ...Flower.
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/25/2006 9:05:40 PM | message detail
GOGOGO METROID

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/25/2006 9:05:42 PM | message detail
Legend of Zelda is so screwed.
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/25/2006 9:06:01 PM | message detail
Aw, I wanted Zelda to keep dominating. I get a fuzzy feeling inside when it does.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/25/2006 9:06:35 PM | message detail
Because now it's not dominating in the slightest!
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
Zombies Yay | Posted 7/25/2006 9:06:36 PM | message detail
Fact or Fact: I will win this contest if KH > MG >_>
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Lopen | Posted 7/25/2006 9:06:39 PM | message detail
Well, I was assuming that Mega Man X got SFFed a tad too... I mean we've seen Mega Man tussle with Nintendo before. That's why I wasn't expecting quite this much.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
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Master Moltar | Posted 7/25/2006 9:06:47 PM | message detail
C'mon Metroid, fight for 20%!
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Moltar Status: Disappointed, I lost my perfect bracket.
Legend of Zelda vs. Metroid - Bracket: LoZ - Vote: Metroid (30/32)
Tai | Posted 7/25/2006 9:07:09 PM | message detail
Wow. And I thought Link vs Ganondarf was SFF in the worst way. :(
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Samurai7 | Posted 7/25/2006 9:08:26 PM | message detail
Good thing these Xstats will be useless anyway har har
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Did you know 86% of all statistics are made up on the spot?
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/25/2006 9:08:27 PM | message detail
MMX got SFFed, yes, but I'm thinking it could give Metroid a good match (mostly because I'm hoping it could give Pokemon a match at least), and MMX didn't get SFFed as much as Metroid is right now. It has the Playstation games to diversify it a little, but Samus has been in Link's shadow from day one.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
cyko | Posted 7/25/2006 9:08:27 PM | message detail
BTW - as of right now, Kirby would be expected to get 9.58% against Zelda.................

that puts Kirby below the level of Pong, Guybrush Threepwood and Ratchet - at the same level as Yuri Hyuga, Panzer Dragoon Saga and Civilization ............OUCH.

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TheCruelAngel | Posted 7/25/2006 9:08:44 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/25/2006 9:08:51 PM | message detail
Because now it's not dominating in the slightest!

Duh! It needs to be 85% for that!


And I noticed that Zelda has yet to be brought under 80% yet. Unprecedented, I believe.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
creativename | Posted 7/25/2006 9:09:10 PM | message detail
I was thinking this would get real bad until I saw the pic...forgot that with uber-series pics shouldn't matter; mid-carders and fodder could be pic-sensitive, but not the Big Three.
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/25/2006 9:09:11 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
30-----69------68.1159420
29-----390-----67.9487179
28-----994-----69.5171026
27-----1634----61.8727050
26-----2740----59.9635036
25-----3943----59.9036267
24-----5305----59.0197926
23-----6006----57.9753580
22-----5796----56.4527260
21-----4950----55.9191919
20-----4109----54.6361645
19-----3112----52.1850900
18-----2309----51.4075357
17-----1619----48.3631872
16-----1119----45.6657730
15-----735-----42.3129252
14-----475-----37.4736842
13-----286-----41.6083916
12-----210-----39.0476190
11-----112-----17.8571429
10-----64------35.9375000
9------52------25.0000000
8------26------26.9230769
7------14------21.4285714
6------7-------14.2857143
5------8-------12.5000000

Overall prediction percentage: 55.8%
Everybody with a score of 4 or less got the match wrong.

Top performers this time were the -2s! The perfects and -1s don't do too badly with an almost 70 prediction percentage. We're down to 47 perfects so a few lucky -1s are now on the leader board.

14 people fell off the Top 50 today. CantFaketheFunk, ShadowShot, TeamkillingNoob, pikachuss, pkmn_rckt, BrassKnux, eyenuh300, UnsignedCode, VashtheChipmonk, Rabite, Lyre, Muk1000, Tolkoto and SlapShot1124 had Street Fighter taking out Resident Evil.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 7/25/2006 9:09:55 PM | message detail
I was hoping for a thrashing aimilar to Link vs Ganondorf.

okay, now that's crazy. there are enough Metroid fans on this site to prevent a blowout as that.
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TheCruelAngel | Posted 7/25/2006 9:10:18 PM | message detail
Went up again! ^_^
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
FFDragon | Posted 7/25/2006 9:10:20 PM | message detail
LoZ goes up some more !!
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KamikazePotato | Posted 7/25/2006 9:10:26 PM | message detail
Crap.

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/25/2006 9:10:38 PM | message detail
And up it goes. I'm thinking Zelda had a hiccup before, I'd be shocked if this dropped below 82%.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/25/2006 9:10:46 PM | message detail
Back over 84%!

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/25/2006 9:10:51 PM | message detail
OH GOD THE % WENT UP.

Final Fantasy is so screwed.
TheCruelAngel | Posted 7/25/2006 9:11:09 PM | message detail
okay, now that's crazy. there are enough Metroid fans on this site to prevent a blowout as that.

I realize. Didn't stop me from wishing otherwise though.
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 7/25/2006 9:13:19 PM | message detail
meh, >_> though I do prefer Zelda, how good it does doesn't make me feel any better.
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“Back in my day we used to actually play our videogames instead of watching them”- Vivi0198
Draco1214 | Posted 7/25/2006 9:14:07 PM | message detail
Heh, Civilization > Kirby.
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Slowflake | Posted 7/25/2006 9:14:57 PM | message detail
God ****ing dammit. This is the worst match result EVER. And I'm usually not one to complain, either.

Now after Mario/Samus and now this, I have no clue how Samus managed to score so high on Link in 2003.
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i thought people on gamefaqs had good taste in games i guess i was wrong -EstUmbra
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/25/2006 9:15:13 PM | message detail
Hmm. Link had a 80%+ run in 2004, so that unprecedented stuff is out the window. Interestingly, he won that year too.

The loser of Zelda/Final Fantasy losing and getting 100,000 votes? Let's hope!

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/25/2006 9:15:18 PM | message detail
Indeed, the extent of Zelda's SFF doesn't really help it out in that inevitable finals match.

Now if this were, say, Resident Evil here, people might have reason to rejoice.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
trannyscience | Posted 7/25/2006 9:15:40 PM | message detail
christ, it's stabilizing too. ow.
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SERIOUS REMINDER: vote for Kingdom Hearts. raytan's perfect bracket depends on it!
NORG WILL NOT GO DOWN SO EASILY
MarioSuperstar | Posted 7/25/2006 9:16:21 PM | message detail
I still think Samus got SFF'd by Link making it seemed like Samus never boosted.
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“Back in my day we used to actually play our videogames instead of watching them”- Vivi0198
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/25/2006 9:16:24 PM | message detail
If LoZ was doing this to RE... wow. Just wow.

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Cheer Up Emo Kids
Slowflake | Posted 7/25/2006 9:16:29 PM | message detail
And I'm expecting this to get even worse when the sun rises. DAMN.
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i thought people on gamefaqs had good taste in games i guess i was wrong -EstUmbra
greatone10 | Posted 7/25/2006 9:17:11 PM | message detail
Samus >>>>>>> Metroid

She would probably be a high tier midcarder without SSB.
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trannyscience | Posted 7/25/2006 9:17:22 PM | message detail
heh, before the contest I was saying how people would be overreacting because nothing was going to get 25% on Zelda until the semifinals. turns out it's 20%. yeesh.
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SERIOUS REMINDER: vote for Kingdom Hearts. raytan's perfect bracket depends on it!
NORG WILL NOT GO DOWN SO EASILY
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/25/2006 9:17:24 PM | message detail
Yeah, if anything, trends show this to be Metroid's best time and Zelda only gets better in the day.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 7/25/2006 9:17:38 PM | message detail
But that would mean that Samus is *so* much more to Metroid than Link is to Zelda it's unbelievable. Well, it's already unbelievable to me, but you get the point...
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
Ed Bellis | Posted 7/25/2006 9:18:35 PM | message detail
...yeah, where in the hell does Samus get her popularity from if not from Metroid? Smash?
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This was Ed Bellis.
Slowflake | Posted 7/25/2006 9:18:46 PM | message detail
From Karma Hunter | Posted 7/26/2006 12:17:38 AM | #188
But that would mean that Samus is *so* much more to Metroid than Link is to Zelda it's unbelievable. Well, it's already unbelievable to me, but you get the point...

Agreed. Even with SSB in mind, this is just sick.

Still, I expect a gajillion casuals to draw conclusions from this, like ZELDA WINS FF HAS NO CHANCE.
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i thought people on gamefaqs had good taste in games i guess i was wrong -EstUmbra
creativename | Posted 7/25/2006 9:19:09 PM | message detail
Has the Metroid series ever failed to underwhelm us?

Even those who expect it to underwhelm keep overestimating it.

The one bright spot is Wind Waker/Metroid Prime. Maybe it shows how hated Wind Waker really is by many.
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DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 7/25/2006 9:19:13 PM | message detail
If SF won I would have been in the top 150 :( Damn RE. Well we're gonna have all perfects in the top 10 probably.
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Sp2k6: 28/32 Rank: Tied for 2162nd Losses: Halo, GTA but im gonna cry if he (Sonic) loses.
Yesterday's Pick: SF Today: Zelda Tomorrow: Metal Gear - Zikten on the Sonic/SSB match
trannyscience | Posted 7/25/2006 9:19:48 PM | message detail
oh, Samus gets the majority of her strength from Metroid.. it's just that it's an SFF match. this is like asking where Ganondorf gets his strength from. it's just massive SFF.
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SERIOUS REMINDER: vote for Kingdom Hearts. raytan's perfect bracket depends on it!
NORG WILL NOT GO DOWN SO EASILY
Slowflake | Posted 7/25/2006 9:19:57 PM | message detail
From creativename | Posted 7/26/2006 12:19:09 AM | #191
Has the Metroid series ever failed to underwhelm us?

Even those who expect it to underwhelm keep overestimating it.

The one bright spot is Wind Waker/Metroid Prime. Maybe it shows how hated Wind Waker really is by many.


Summer 2004. Samus had one kickass run that year.
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i thought people on gamefaqs had good taste in games i guess i was wrong -EstUmbra
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/25/2006 9:20:12 PM | message detail
The number one reason why I think Wind Waker is overrated isn't Starcraft. It's that it performed so poorly against Metroid Prime.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
trannyscience | Posted 7/25/2006 9:20:27 PM | message detail
but really, Metroid is a mere 7 games, and only two of them are thought to be great. Zelda's got all that plus more. I suppose this isn't too surprising.
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SERIOUS REMINDER: vote for Kingdom Hearts. raytan's perfect bracket depends on it!
NORG WILL NOT GO DOWN SO EASILY
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/25/2006 9:20:31 PM | message detail
Metroid, not Samus...
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
trannyscience | Posted 7/25/2006 9:20:48 PM | message detail
eh, 8. I always forget Hunters exists.
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SERIOUS REMINDER: vote for Kingdom Hearts. raytan's perfect bracket depends on it!
NORG WILL NOT GO DOWN SO EASILY
TheCruelAngel | Posted 7/25/2006 9:21:04 PM | message detail
Hmm. Metroid is terrible during the day while Zelda is even more of a monster, right? Predictions for the final percentage?

If SF won I would have been in the top 150 :( Damn RE. Well we're gonna have all perfects in the top 10 probably.

Same. =(
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
creativename | Posted 7/25/2006 9:21:25 PM | message detail
Yeah...Metroid, not Samus.
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