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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 327

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LegendarySnake | Posted 7/24/2006 11:25:51 PM | message detail
It's because everyone expects RE to run away with this come daybreak.
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
Aprosenf | Posted 7/24/2006 11:26:45 PM | message detail
Everyone's asleep. I'm going to hit the hay soon.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
transience | Posted 7/24/2006 11:28:44 PM | message detail
this is a lot different than CV/Halo or CV/KH. in those matches, big day vote swings were expected. one is expected here too, but it's the series that's in the lead, so there's nothing to really discuss. there would have to be some serious "picture factor" for RE to falter here.

this is likely our last debatable match though, so we might as well get the most out of it. am I the only one that's thinking FF is going to completely slaughter RE, Zelda/MMX style?
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/24/2006 11:29:00 PM | message detail
It's going slow tonight... usually in a slim lead like this everyone is in this topic.

There would be more discussion if Street Fighter was in the lead. As it is now, Resident Evil is winning at night and given Street Fighter's lackluster day vote, many would expect this to get worse come morning.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
Tjian | Posted 7/24/2006 11:46:42 PM | message detail
Does someone have the Capcop favorite games poll? I need to show someone it. Thanks.
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Happiness is like peeing on yourself. Everyone can see it, but only you feel it's warmth.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 7/24/2006 11:46:51 PM | message detail
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu
It's going slow tonight... usually in a slim lead like this everyone is in this topic.

There would be more discussion if Street Fighter was in the lead. As it is now, Resident Evil is winning at night and given Street Fighter's lackluster day vote, many would expect this to get worse come morning.


Very true. Very sad truth...

Anyway, SF with a couple of small wins. Stop getting my hopes up SF! It's just gonna get smashed down next update, I can feel it :(
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Sp2k6: 28/30 Rank: Tied for 460th Losses: Halo, GTA but im gonna cry if he (Sonic) loses.
Yesterday's Pick: FF Today: SF Tomorrow: Zelda - Zikten on the Sonic/SSB match
LegendarySnake | Posted 7/24/2006 11:47:30 PM | message detail
Man, these updates are all over the place. Resident Evil can't quite break the 400 vote lead. At 2:45, Castlevania's lead over Halo was 338. Resident Evil's is 373. Those two have been oddly similar thus far, with the series behind doing some stalling and occasional lead cutting before the series in front bounces back with a big update.

Hopefully, the trend will continue in full and Street Fighter will end up victorious!
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 7/24/2006 11:47:37 PM | message detail
Tijan:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1454
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Sp2k6: 28/30 Rank: Tied for 460th Losses: Halo, GTA but im gonna cry if he (Sonic) loses.
Yesterday's Pick: FF Today: SF Tomorrow: Zelda - Zikten on the Sonic/SSB match
LegendarySnake | Posted 7/24/2006 11:48:07 PM | message detail
Castlevania's lead over Kingdom Hearts, that is. Not Halo.
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 7/24/2006 11:49:05 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 7/24/2006 11:50:56 PM | message detail
There SF goes again... keeps getting my hopes up.
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Sp2k6: 28/30 Rank: Tied for 460th Losses: Halo, GTA but im gonna cry if he (Sonic) loses.
Yesterday's Pick: FF Today: SF Tomorrow: Zelda - Zikten on the Sonic/SSB match
LegendarySnake | Posted 7/24/2006 11:51:33 PM | message detail
Man, I wish Street Fighter wasn't being such a tease. I mean, I just know it's going to lose once the day vote hits, and yet I want to believe. Make me a believer!
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
YoAriel33 | Posted 7/24/2006 11:51:46 PM | message detail
am I the only one that's thinking FF is going to completely slaughter RE, Zelda/MMX style?

After seeing what Final Fantasy VII did to Metal Gear Solid after that game destroyed RE, there's virtually no doubt in my mind. Resident Evil should be SO thankful that it has been introduced to the Nintendo audience over the past few years, or else this one would be truly ghastly.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!!
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 7/24/2006 11:56:20 PM | message detail
Holy ****, 45 vote gain for SF.
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Sp2k6: 28/30 Rank: Tied for 460th Losses: Halo, GTA but im gonna cry if he (Sonic) loses.
Yesterday's Pick: FF Today: SF Tomorrow: Zelda - Zikten on the Sonic/SSB match
Draco1214 | Posted 7/24/2006 11:56:23 PM | message detail
Whoa, huge slice into the lead by Street Fighter
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Street Fighter Alpha 3, New Super Mario Bros.
LegendarySnake | Posted 7/24/2006 11:56:58 PM | message detail
Go Street Fighter!

Wait, stop giving me false hope!

Wait, GO STREET FIGHTER!

BAH, I'm so torn.
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
LegendarySnake | Posted 7/25/2006 12:00:48 AM | message detail
Street Fighter's got it under 300 for the first time in an hour.
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
Draco1214 | Posted 7/25/2006 12:00:52 AM | message detail
Looks like the comeback is for real this time...
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Street Fighter Alpha 3, New Super Mario Bros.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 7/25/2006 12:01:03 AM | message detail
Smallest lead in 2 hours....

...............

I bet anyone 5 bucks RE gains 20 next update.
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Sp2k6: 28/30 Rank: Tied for 460th Losses: Halo, GTA but im gonna cry if he (Sonic) loses.
Yesterday's Pick: FF Today: SF Tomorrow: Zelda - Zikten on the Sonic/SSB match
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/25/2006 12:01:31 AM | message detail
Looks like Street Fighter might try to do something before daybreak.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
LegendarySnake | Posted 7/25/2006 12:02:25 AM | message detail
Yeah, the last time SF brought it under 300, Resident Evil responded with a 38 vote gain.
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
transience | Posted 7/25/2006 12:05:43 AM | message detail
this match is just a stall. I'm going to bed, hoping we still have a match when I get up.
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 7/25/2006 12:05:55 AM | message detail
Eh, only 8. I still saw a regain coming though.
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Sp2k6: 28/30 Rank: Tied for 460th Losses: Halo, GTA but im gonna cry if he (Sonic) loses.
Yesterday's Pick: FF Today: SF Tomorrow: Zelda - Zikten on the Sonic/SSB match
LegendarySnake | Posted 7/25/2006 12:06:21 AM | message detail
Well, only a gain of 8 that time for Resident Evil. Not too bad.

I wasn't around for SMRPG/SFII, and we don't have an updater for it. Anybody know when Mario RPG really started taking over?
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
transience | Posted 7/25/2006 12:07:47 AM | message detail
if memory serves, it was pretty early in the morning. it had a small lead until the sun came up.
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
Draco1214 | Posted 7/25/2006 12:10:03 AM | message detail
Resident Evil is no Mario RPG. SMRPG managed to bring down Chrono Trigger's percentage from 74% to 67% by the end of the match.
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Street Fighter Alpha 3, New Super Mario Bros.
transience | Posted 7/25/2006 12:10:54 AM | message detail
Ulti's PCA:

Throughout the first 5 hours of the poll, Street Fighter 2 managed to not only climb back into the match, but it took a lead of around 120.

so.. 6am, I guess.
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
transience | Posted 7/25/2006 12:11:19 AM | message detail
Resident Evil is no Mario RPG. SMRPG managed to bring down Chrono Trigger's percentage from 74% to 67% by the end of the match.

no, Chrono Trigger did that.
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
LegendarySnake | Posted 7/25/2006 12:12:07 AM | message detail
Yeah, I was just looking at the CT/SMRPG poll updater, and I had no idea that Chrono Trigger had a tripling to start that match. That makes turning 49% into 56% make more sense. Resident Evil definitely won't have THAT kind of day vote.
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
LegendarySnake | Posted 7/25/2006 12:13:21 AM | message detail
no, Chrono Trigger did that.

For what it's worth, CT did much better damage control against SMW and even better against Mario 3.
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
LegendarySnake | Posted 7/25/2006 12:13:41 AM | message detail
Oh, and virtually no ground lost to Link to the Past, but that goes without saying.
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
Draco1214 | Posted 7/25/2006 12:14:28 AM | message detail
Even though Street Fighter traditionally sucks with the day vote, RE has never really been that good with it. Also, with a pic that rivals Solid **** in suck, I don't think RE will do much of anything during the day.
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Street Fighter Alpha 3, New Super Mario Bros.
LegendarySnake | Posted 7/25/2006 12:16:24 AM | message detail
Mario 3/Chrono Trigger was odd though. Mario 3 actually had the lead to begin with. FFVII couldn't even manage that.
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
Draco1214 | Posted 7/25/2006 12:20:10 AM | message detail
Actually, we may be overrating how bad SF's day vote is. Looking at some of Ryu's updates, he doesn't do too badly with it and actually used the day vote to recover a bit in percentage against Bowser, for whatever that's worth.
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Street Fighter Alpha 3, New Super Mario Bros.
LegendarySnake | Posted 7/25/2006 12:22:08 AM | message detail
He started gaining back with the afternoon vote, at any rate. Bowser destroyed him and Chun-Li both with the morning vote.

Another nice cut for SF. A little SF gaining and a little RE falling.
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
Lopen | Posted 7/25/2006 12:23:27 AM | message detail
Yeah, I think SF's day vote is being hated on a bit too much. And I'm just not seeing RE as being some sorta Day Vote beast, either. I'd think this would also be it's strongest time. This match is still up in the air for now methinks.

Love those huge updates by SF.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
YoAriel33 | Posted 7/25/2006 12:26:39 AM | message detail
I'd agree with you, Lopen, but it's tough for me to imagine the day vote not going RE's way after a very popular Gamecube game.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!!
Draco1214 | Posted 7/25/2006 12:26:44 AM | message detail
If SF can manage to build a considerable lead by morning, I'll feel a lot better about its chances.
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Street Fighter Alpha 3, New Super Mario Bros.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 7/25/2006 12:27:20 AM | message detail
I was all ready to go to bed but now I wanna see this >_> frig SF is cutting into it bad now. 200 votes gone in an hour.
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Sp2k6: 28/30 Rank: Tied for 460th Losses: Halo, GTA but im gonna cry if he (Sonic) loses.
Yesterday's Pick: FF Today: SF Tomorrow: Zelda - Zikten on the Sonic/SSB match
rpgapzx | Posted 7/25/2006 12:28:11 AM | message detail
Mmmm... After Halo/CV I was worried that most time changes didn't exist. SF clearly has the midnight vote!!!

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SC2k6: 29/30 Perfect brackets left to leap: 69
Today: Bracket: Street Fighter Vote: Street Fighter
SuperiorSnake | Posted 7/25/2006 12:29:08 AM | message detail
If Street Fighter leads, it wouldn't be by anything more than a couple of hundreds votes, I'd imagine. "Considerable lead" won't be in the equation.

And I would also imagine RE4 helping out Resident Evil's day vote for whatever reason. With Street Fighter's less than spectacular day vote, it wouldn't be like Resident Evil would need much at all.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
LegendarySnake | Posted 7/25/2006 12:29:52 AM | message detail
Looking at SF's poll history, SMRPG, Sonic, Bowser, and Diablo really destroyed Street Fighter with the day vote, but they're all noted for being very good with it. Against KOS-MOS, Ryu didn't lose much ground at all. Once Bison stabilized against Albedo, he didn't lose that much either.
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
LegendarySnake | Posted 7/25/2006 12:30:47 AM | message detail
but it's tough for me to imagine the day vote not going RE's way after a very popular Gamecube game.

Are you saying Street Fighter was never popular on the SNES?!
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
Lopen | Posted 7/25/2006 12:31:32 AM | message detail
But Street Fighter is Nintendo, too! Street Fighter was for the SNES, man! Thinking about it, what has SF fought in which it has lost %? Sonic, Nintendo, and X-Box... maybe the reason we all think it's so bad with it is because the opponent is just better.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
LegendarySnake | Posted 7/25/2006 12:32:53 AM | message detail
And really, the percentage that SF lost against the Elder Scrolls wasn't that bad either. It went from low 66s to high 64s.
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
rpgapzx | Posted 7/25/2006 12:36:08 AM | message detail
Down to 201!!!
I'm so excited we're even talking about SF leading past the first few minutes. That's already way beyond epectations.


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SC2k6: 29/30 Perfect brackets left to leap: 69
Today: Bracket: Street Fighter Vote: Street Fighter
SuperiorSnake | Posted 7/25/2006 12:36:13 AM | message detail
The Street Fighter Defence Force is out in full tonight, I see!! =p

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
LegendarySnake | Posted 7/25/2006 12:36:34 AM | message detail
Man, down to 201. Street Fighter hasn't been under 200 since the 00:25 mark. Come on, SF! Even if you don't win, at least lead for one update!
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I am the man who makes the impossible possible. I am the man, the legend: Solid Snake!
YoAriel33 | Posted 7/25/2006 12:37:08 AM | message detail
I think Street Fighter will lead for a few hours.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!!
LegendaryRaiden | Posted 7/25/2006 12:38:52 AM | message detail
Hey Snake, the only reason RE's struggling is because they used you in the match pic.

Yeah, I'm talking about the blobbed thing Ryu's shooting a Hadouken at.
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Did you say “nerd”? - Raiden
Yes, I did. Your hearing is flawless, you heard correctly. Get to the nerd. - Campbell