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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 325

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KamikazePotato | Posted 7/23/2006 9:39:50 PM | message detail
Why didn't CJayC just flip the picture, anyway?

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
charmander6000 | Posted 7/23/2006 9:39:53 PM | message detail
popular theory that came about during the Villains Contest but one that's got more evidence against than for after Wesker still proved to be one weak character in SC2K5.

So Mithos > Lloyd
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:40:26 PM | message detail
Eh, I have a hard time taking Villains Contest stats seriously, at least as far as percentages are concerned.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
RPGuy96 | Posted 7/23/2006 9:40:26 PM | message detail
The deal with Kefka/Wesker was that it made Luca Blight look really bad (well, worse)...but we got the Mad Prince's value from Magus' 2k3 numbers. Whoops.
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Mustache...and green...
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/23/2006 9:40:48 PM | message detail
Final Fantasy is doing some nice damage right now. That tripling might not be out of the picture, which is awesome.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:41:27 PM | message detail
So Mithos > Lloyd

This is the point that makes me believe in Mario/Zero SFF than anything else. Wesker still ends up being quite weak regardless.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
transience | Posted 7/23/2006 9:41:30 PM | message detail
why in the world does what side the characters are on matter? the poll is top-bottom. if you can't figure out how to click "final fantasy", I seriously question your ability to use the internet.

the reason FF is on the right is because all old FF games' battle system is predominantly on the right side.
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/23/2006 9:42:09 PM | message detail
So Mithos > Lloyd

No, not really.

You could very well attempt to adjust the Ruin Division through SC2k5 Diablo, though I have no idea how that would look (and would be too lazy to do it).
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:42:30 PM | message detail
And Mega Man is a left-to-right moving character as well.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/23/2006 9:42:39 PM | message detail
the reason FF is on the right is because all old FF games' battle system is predominantly on the right side.

Is that what he said, our a reason we made up?

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/23/2006 9:43:07 PM | message detail
We made it up and I'm sticking to it!!
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
charmander6000 | Posted 7/23/2006 9:44:06 PM | message detail
You could very well attempt to adjust the Ruin Division through SC2k5 Diablo, though I have no idea how that would look (and would be too lazy to do it).

I did that in 2k5 and I think Wesker was weaker during the spring by 2.3% (Kefka was weaker during summer by .75%).
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
transience | Posted 7/23/2006 9:44:08 PM | message detail
go ahead and google Final Fantasy sprites. you're not going to find very many facing left, especially of the FF1 variety.

!!
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
transience | Posted 7/23/2006 9:44:25 PM | message detail
er, facing right I guess. on the left. whatever!!
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
longbladeofhiko | Posted 7/23/2006 9:44:57 PM | message detail
Poor old Mega Man suffering a BBQ quality beatdown :(
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LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:45:00 PM | message detail
You could very well attempt to adjust the Ruin Division through SC2k5 Diablo, though I have no idea how that would look (and would be too lazy to do it).

Heh, Diablo gets about a full percent less on Kefka in the SC2K5 stats, and Wesker gets about 4% more.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Mac Arrowny | Posted 7/23/2006 9:45:03 PM | message detail
No proof of that. I'd give it no more than 39% in a rematch.

I'd call that a substantial increase. Two percent higher in the stats brings it right up to FFVI, and almost as high as SMB3.

One interesting thing I noticed after yesterday's results was the surprisingly good performance of all the RPG series in the contest so far.

Suikoden: did surprisingly well against a potentially very strong MMX.

Pokemon: Shocked and awed us against Metroid.

Star Ocean: Actually looks decent after Pokemon's performance against Metroid.

Fire Emblem: Outdid SC against MG.

Kingdom Hearts: Surprised many by beating CV, despite only having two (three) games.

Harvest Moon: Performed amazingly against KH.

Dragon Quest: Now looks almost as strong as DMC.

Final Fantasy: No words needed.

Diablo: Well, it was pretty pathetic, but it was up against FF.

Elder Scrolls: Also poor, although we still have no idea how strong Street Fighter is.

Shadow Hearts: LOL.

Aside from those last three, RPGs have all been very impressive. I think that people here are underestimating the power of RPGFAQs. It's not just SquareFAQs anymore.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/23/2006 9:45:13 PM | message detail
From charmander6000 Posted 7/24/2006 12:37:00 AM
Didn't Kefka's sprite make him overperform against Wesker.

I would say that is his actualy performance while Lettuce Kefka makes him underperform.


TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/23/2006 9:45:41 PM | message detail
http://www.paperrad.org/ben/sprites/FinalFantasy3Sheet1.gif

They seem to be facing right just fine.

>_>

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/23/2006 9:46:06 PM | message detail
Decent update by MM, there.

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:46:43 PM | message detail
I'd call that a substantial increase

Not even 1.5%, really. And 39% was the maximum, not what I'd actually call for it to get. Still wouldn't take it even over FFVI.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 9:46:55 PM | message detail
I'd call that a substantial increase. Two percent higher in the stats brings it right up to FFVI, and almost as high as SMB3.

*1.43. If you're going to round, do it in the right direction ! !

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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 9:48:16 PM | message detail
Go to hell Leon ! !

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Karma Hunter | Posted 7/23/2006 9:49:34 PM | message detail
Alright, here's the question...would anyone here actually expect SSBM to beat FFVI...?

...no way in hell for me. Not a chance. I'll take refuge in whatever small SFF CT could have taken against FFVII before I take SSBM over the site's second strongest FF game.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/23/2006 9:51:06 PM | message detail
FFVI would win, but not by that much. I'm guessing 52%-53%.

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/23/2006 9:51:07 PM | message detail
Biggest update yet for FF there. Yeowch. Maybe the tripling isn't out of the question if it gets the day vote.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:51:12 PM | message detail
Yeah, FFVII/CT was almost automatically discredited as being SFF-less, for whatever the reason. An underperformance of some sort wouldn't surprise me. People weren't ashamed to call for a Vincent overperformance against Crono because of FFVII.

Come on, it's an optional character against Chrono Trigger's main character!
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Yesmar | Posted 7/23/2006 9:51:30 PM | message detail
A popular theory that came about during the Villains Contest but one that's got more evidence against than for after Wesker still proved to be one weak character in SC2K5.

If you plug Wesker's Summer 2005 number into the X-Stats formula and assume Kefka still gets 70% on him, Kefka jumps up to 25.93% on Base Link. Not a HUGE jump or anything, but it's fairly substantial and he'd probably fare even better with the laughing sprite.
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"Dropo! You're the laziest man on Mars."
transience | Posted 7/23/2006 9:51:38 PM | message detail
we argued this last November.. I get the feeling that FF6 is losing some popularity. the characters seem to be dropping (although they were never strong in the first place), FF6 placed "only" #10, etc etc. I think I'd take SSBM with the current shift to Nintendo. SSBM may not have been dominant in the game contest, but everything in the last two years has suggested it's getting stronger with time.
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/23/2006 9:52:34 PM | message detail
Yeah, FFVII/CT was almost automatically discredited as being SFF-less, for whatever the reason.

Probably because OoT is seen as being untouchable aside for FF7...I would really like to see another Games Contest now...
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 9:53:04 PM | message detail
...no way in hell for me. Not a chance. I'll take refuge in whatever small SFF CT could have taken against FFVII before I take SSBM over the site's second strongest FF game.

No chance in hell do I take SSBM over FF6. It might not be a blowout (unless we're talking Ulti-style), but there's nothing to convince me that SSBM would overtake FF6. As much as NintendoFAQs has come into being, FF6 is just too far ahead of it, and this site sure as hell loves it's RPGs and Final Fantasy, hell it was on a Nintendo console.


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LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:53:09 PM | message detail
the characters seem to be dropping

Kefka seems to be rather consistent, really.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/23/2006 9:53:50 PM | message detail
A consistent jobber!
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:55:12 PM | message detail
Jobbers are more consistent than we give them credit for !!
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
transience | Posted 7/23/2006 9:56:09 PM | message detail
and to comment on Vincent/Crono, that's usually attributed to an overperformance thanks to AC. I'm not going to argue it because we've been over it a thousand times, but that's usually what I hear. either way, I don't think it's that much at all, if at all.


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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
Mac Arrowny | Posted 7/23/2006 9:57:11 PM | message detail
Eh, I had FFVI in the finals in the games contest, but I still think it would lose to SSBM. The difference in the Top 10 list was fairly convincing, and the gap is extremely small. 2% is by no means insurmountable.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 9:57:19 PM | message detail
AC did **** for Vincent. Hell it wasn't even officially released, and Lara Croft opened in theaters the weekend before she had her match, and she plummeted.

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LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:57:35 PM | message detail
I don't think there was an overperformance either, but there are some who do.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/23/2006 9:58:33 PM | message detail
I can buy Vincent and Squall being that high. Vincent was a newcomer and Squall's potentially been behind SFF for years (perhaps every year depending on what you believe).

But Knuckles and Dante are worrisome. Yeah, I think they both overperformed a tad (Dante and his 1 seed, Knuckles and his bandwagon), but it couldn't have been that much. DMC3 being that big (yet the series itself being that weak)? Knux's boost being *that* much. Magus so far above Tidus? That stuff is troublesome.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:58:47 PM | message detail
A 4 spot difference is convincing?

And to be honest, I think Final Fantasy VI would get some default "It's Final Fantasy!" votes in a contest setting that it would not get in the Top 10 List format.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
DeepHyren12 | Posted 7/23/2006 9:58:50 PM | message detail
I seriously doubt people see the picture, then look straight at the bubbles and ignore the name next to it. It may confuse some voters, but I really doubt that they're as stupid as we often like to make them look.

HANGING CHADS OMG!
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"Civil government is in reality instituted for the defense of the rich against the poor" --Adam Smith
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 9:59:33 PM | message detail

HANGING CHADS OMG!


Crazy old people aren't voting on GameFAQ's. And tranny doesn't count ! !

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transience | Posted 7/23/2006 9:59:46 PM | message detail
AC did **** for Vincent. Hell it wasn't even officially released, and Lara Croft opened in theaters the weekend before she had her match, and she plummeted.

it's different though.. Tomb Raider fans (do they exist?) didn't come to GF afterwards. FF7 most definitely did and you could tell by the way FF7 shot up the FAQs list.
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 10:00:24 PM | message detail
Magus so far above Tidus?

What's wrong with the idea of Magus getting 53% on Tidus? It's not THAT far above him.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 10:02:17 PM | message detail
There's no reason for a movie to bring new fans to the site though, I seriously doubt that FF7 shooting up the charts was due to new users, and not previous ones who already loved or at least liked FF7, because honestly, who else would bother downloading a copy of it at that point in time? I see no reason for it to bring new FF7 fans to the site.

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transience | Posted 7/23/2006 10:02:31 PM | message detail
screw being complete:

Zelda/MMX at 01:00 - 12992
FF/mm at 01:00 - 14072

..whoa.
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 10:02:53 PM | message detail
Ohhhhh snap!

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Mac Arrowny | Posted 7/23/2006 10:02:58 PM | message detail
AC did **** for Vincent. Hell it wasn't even officially released, and Lara Croft opened in theaters the weekend before she had her match, and she plummeted.

Actually, it was the year after that that she plummeted. She overperfomed by 1% looking at 2k2, or 8% looking at 2k4.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 10:03:26 PM | message detail
lol top 10 votals in a match ever, more like top 10 votals in July 2006 m i rite? lol ya i am

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LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 10:04:48 PM | message detail
At the 1:00 mark, this match has 14072 votes. To compare with other matches at the same time:

GTA/Warcraft - 12400
Zelda/MMX - 12992
Castlevania/Kingdom Hearts - 13226
Sonic/SSB - 12580

The Legend of Zelda had 10406 individual votes at this time.
Final Fantasy has 10130 individual votes at this time.

Heh, Final Fantasy still manages to impress with its vote drawing numbers. On pace to break 100,000 individual votes despite only having 72% of the vote?

...This match would have exactly 140,000 votes if Final Fantasy got exactly 100,000 individual votes and had 71.43% of the vote. Insanity.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden