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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 325

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Janus5000 | Posted 7/23/2006 9:08:02 PM | message detail
Fact.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 9:08:10 PM | message detail
fact or fiction: Mario takes the lead on the board vote vs. Final Fantasy.

Initially, or after the first minute? Initially I give a definite yes, after the first minute... tricky.

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Tai | Posted 7/23/2006 9:08:21 PM | message detail
Yeah, dream on. FF7 and company's come to ******** the inferior n00blets, and it's taking no prisoners.
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Ed Bellis | Posted 7/23/2006 9:08:34 PM | message detail
fact or fiction: Mario takes the lead on the board vote vs. Final Fantasy.

How early are we talking? In the first five minutes, maybe. After that, unlikely.
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This was Ed Bellis.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:08:46 PM | message detail
LoZ might actually hold the lead over it for several updates...

Several? Unlikely. Ocarina of Time had no lead ever.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/23/2006 9:08:48 PM | message detail
Fact: HM's posting two italicised exclamation marks at the end of every post is getting annoying.

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 9:09:34 PM | message detail
It's a fact that if Cloud were present in the picture alone, Final Fantasy would already have the tripling!!

And if he were making out with Reno, 90%!

Seriously though, if we get user submitted pics again, somebody better create a badass pic with the Final Fantasy side having Cloud making out with Reno. I'd totally mark out.

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Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/23/2006 9:09:54 PM | message detail
You have some problems if two italicized exclamation points annoy you.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
Janus5000 | Posted 7/23/2006 9:10:32 PM | message detail
Quit joking around and break 70, punk.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/23/2006 9:10:34 PM | message detail
I thought tranny was the one that popularized it...stupid Zero Wing !!
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:10:42 PM | message detail
Just a little shy of 70% now. Hmmm...Looks like Ulti had good positioning, after all.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 9:10:44 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/23/2006 9:10:48 PM | message detail
.02% away from 70% on that update. I'm happy to see it'll at least finish this over 70%.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 9:10:53 PM | message detail
He has some problems if he doesn't use two italicized exclamation points ! !

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transience | Posted 7/23/2006 9:11:11 PM | message detail
I dunno.. the first five minutes, I guess!!

(I move that we all use italicized exclamation marks for the next ten minutes.)
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/23/2006 9:11:31 PM | message detail
I'm glad that Mega Man is avoiding a tripling, at least. This match still hurts, though.

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
FFDragon | Posted 7/23/2006 9:11:33 PM | message detail
Ahem. I've been doing the double italicised exclamation points since I took over the CATS Army... THREE YEARS AGO !!
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Married to PepsiPlunge June 01, 2005: HERO'S PLUNGE!
(Metal Gear Solid 2)
RockMFR 5 | Posted 7/23/2006 9:11:42 PM | message detail
I was really hoping Mega Man could prevent a doubling. So close...
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SonicRaptor | Posted 7/23/2006 9:11:44 PM | message detail
(I move that we all use italicized exclamation marks for the next ten minutes.)

Tomko: No
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Today's subliminal thought is:
creativename | Posted 7/23/2006 9:11:58 PM | message detail
So this is most likely going to end up in the 73% range, give or take. In other words it doesn't look like it will affect anybody's expectations much.
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LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:12:57 PM | message detail
And I suppose, unless the Legend of Zelda makes Final Fantasy a whipping boy, this somewhat confirms Zelda/MMX SFF !!
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 9:13:12 PM | message detail
It'll affect the expectations of LoZ fanboys ! !



I only posted that because I wanted to use two italicized exclamation points.... ! !

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KamikazePotato | Posted 7/23/2006 9:13:42 PM | message detail
Heh. I love causing stuff.

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 9:14:01 PM | message detail
I demand that this site stops making an error parsing my memcached response.

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transience | Posted 7/23/2006 9:14:22 PM | message detail
I agree !!

I'm actually curious to see how Zelda/MMX SFF is in relation to Zelda/Metroid. Metroid has every reason to get hit with more SFF since it shares every system with Zelda, along with the Nintendo name.
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/23/2006 9:14:23 PM | message detail
SNAAAAAAAAAAKE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Lovely looking, isn't it? Oh, and you could maybe relate that to me feeling bad that Metal Gear might not end up as the fourth strongest series. So it's kinda on topic!!

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/23/2006 9:14:45 PM | message detail
Man, and I thought my ~70% Crew pick would only be a little low. It looked awesome for 10 minutes, but I'll be surprised if FF gets below 75% at this point.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), WC3: Frozen Throne
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:15:01 PM | message detail
And I predict that Zelda will do better on Metroid than it did on Mega Man X!!

And actually, tranny started this!!
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/23/2006 9:15:19 PM | message detail
Final Fantasy will take the day and night vote tomorrow, I'm sure it'll break 75%.
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Today's subliminal thought is:
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/23/2006 9:15:29 PM | message detail
Mega Man gains!

In percent!

ZOMG COMEBACK

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/23/2006 9:15:41 PM | message detail
Hmm. Final Fantasy dropped a bit there. Nothing to worry about, of course, but yeah.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
transience | Posted 7/23/2006 9:16:01 PM | message detail
eh, it actually went down that time. I doubt this hits 75%. maybe 72 or 73.
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 9:16:16 PM | message detail
Man, and I thought my ~70% Crew pick would only be a little low. It looked awesome for 10 minutes, but I'll be surprised if FF gets below 75% at this point.

Despite the last update, I think you'd be crazy to expect FF to get more than 75% at this point.

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LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:16:16 PM | message detail
PERCENTAGE GAIN?!!
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/23/2006 9:16:17 PM | message detail
I just got a double Error parsing memcached response. What does that mean, anyway?

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/23/2006 9:17:20 PM | message detail
Exactly how much would you expect SSB to get on Final Fantasy if they met? Because there's no way I'm taking Mega Man to take that thing after seeing what it did to Sonic.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 9:17:44 PM | message detail
I just got a double Error parsing memcached response. What does that mean, anyway?

Double?! Back away from your computer, it's going to explode it if already hasn't ! !

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KamikazePotato | Posted 7/23/2006 9:17:55 PM | message detail
I think SSB would get 38%.

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 9:18:24 PM | message detail
If SSB got 38% on FF, I'd eat my hat.

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LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:18:30 PM | message detail
38% is wayyyy too generous considering SSBM couldn't even get that on Final Fantasy VII.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
transience | Posted 7/23/2006 9:18:42 PM | message detail
SSB got about 38% on FF7 alone. give me.. 31%,
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/23/2006 9:18:51 PM | message detail
I think SSB would get 38%.

...despite the fact that SSBM couldn't get that on FFVII? Uh huh...
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/23/2006 9:18:58 PM | message detail
I'm basing that off of Mega Man staying around 30%.

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
creativename | Posted 7/23/2006 9:19:04 PM | message detail
I really do think the old school sprites (as much as I love them) are hurting Final Fantasy by at least a point, probably a couple points (I was thinking this before the match too). This might also make Final Fantasy's day vote not as pronounced as it would otherwise be.
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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/23/2006 9:19:24 PM | message detail
I'm basing that off of Mega Man staying around 30%.

You're crazy considering Spring 04.

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junglebob22 | Posted 7/23/2006 9:19:26 PM | message detail
I think SSB would get 24%. But I don't think that is going to happen because SMB will beat SSB with 70%.
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swirIdude | Posted 7/23/2006 9:19:42 PM | message detail
I just got a triple memchaced response.

*explodes*
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And people made jokes about the PS3 being a grill. ~bokunokuso
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/23/2006 9:20:04 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
26-----118-----58.4745763
25-----633-----62.7172196
24-----1623----59.5194085
23-----2789----51.4879885
22-----4582----47.2064601
21-----6062----44.7047179
20-----6560----46.1585366
19-----6061----46.3124897
18-----5200----46.5576923
17-----3875----44.2322581
16-----2929----44.0764766
15-----2078----44.0808470
14-----1385----42.9602888
13-----904-----40.8185841
12-----562-----36.1209964
11-----291-----30.2405498
10-----194-----21.6494845
9------122-----20.4918033
8------47------17.0212766
7------35------14.2857143
6------20------40.0000000
5------11------18.1818182
4------11------9.0909091

Overall prediction percentage: 46.03%
Everybody with a score of 3 or less got the match wrong.

A bit of a slipup by the perfects today. The -1s do the best today and even the -2s are ahead of the perfects. There's not many chances left for a group to go 100. Will it be done tommorow?

18 people fell off the Top 50 today. czechster, Kadou, Kungfuanyone, nbf102004, Cloudstrife778, SaviorAngelX, Ep1ph0n, yoshiownz322, catfishman_0, Roshko, splingaking, _Shadow_Angel_, UncannyCrusher, slikquid, SpikyNinja, Naomi_Diamond, chaos67 and VincentGold had Sonic taking out SSB, but it just didn't happen.
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LeonhartForever | Posted 7/23/2006 9:20:09 PM | message detail
I'm basing that off of Mega Man staying around 30%.

Well, you're basically saying that SSB gets 61.53% on Mega Man in that case. I find that unlikely.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/23/2006 9:20:28 PM | message detail
You're crazy considering Spring 04.

Well I forgot about that match. I thought SSBM did better. I just couldn't imagine MM coming so close to SSB.

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL