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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 324

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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/22/2006 9:05:53 PM | message detail
This one's -OVER-, kiss your bracket goodbye Steve.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids
FastFalcon05 | Posted 7/22/2006 9:05:54 PM | message detail
We had the same thought there kh, and I say yes.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
Phediuk | Posted 7/22/2006 9:06:30 PM | message detail
One of the great mysteries of life is why people think Sonic is going to win this match. Oh, Sonic got 70% on DMC? Big ****ing whoop. SSB triples DMC with ease. As for SSB having only two games, it doesn't matter. Kingdom Hearts already proved that yesterday. Add in the fact that SSB is much more popular than KH or Halo and you've got the most overhyped match of the whole contest. SSB with 58%.

WHAT'S THAT YOU SAY? I WAS RIGHT?

And to think, you all just brushed me off. Geez.

I love gloating at times like this.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
cyko | Posted 7/22/2006 9:06:43 PM | message detail
Expect Sonic to come back big on this update, then it stay fairly close for awhile.....

or, expect SSB to increase it's percentage even more.

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"In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women...." - Homer Simpson
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/22/2006 9:07:27 PM | message detail
WHAT'S THAT YOU SAY? I WAS RIGHT?

And to think, you all just brushed me off. Geez.

I love gloating at times like this.


Yeah, it's not like this match has 23 hours, 55 minutes left.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Tai | Posted 7/22/2006 9:07:27 PM | message detail
FACT or FICTION: If SSB wins, it will lead at the beginning in SMB/SSB.

Fact. For fun, though. :-)

Lol @ steve's bracket. :D
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Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/22/2006 9:07:42 PM | message detail
I wanted Sonic to win, but at least now steve is not only losing his perfect, but he's eliminated from the guru contest.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Master Moltar | Posted 7/22/2006 9:07:52 PM | message detail
SSB wins!

BAH GAWD, IT'S OVAH KANG!
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Moltar Status: Disappointed, I lost my perfect bracket.
Sonic vs. Super Smash Bros. - Bracket: SSB - Vote: SSB (24/26)
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/22/2006 9:07:58 PM | message detail
OK, the 76% correct percentage for SMB/WarCraft is causing me a little grief here. In that a number of people thought GTA or WarCraft could beat Mario.
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Today's subliminal thought is:
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/22/2006 9:07:59 PM | message detail
Gloat all you want, your argument was still bull. No way DQ gets close to DMC, it's simply not that strong. Either Sonic brings this down significantly before it's all said and done, or this is SFF.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/22/2006 9:08:20 PM | message detail
Yeah. If SSB wins a couple of more updates like that, I would expect this to just continue to get worse.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
FFDragon | Posted 7/22/2006 9:08:41 PM | message detail
To think steve goes perfect all this way, only to get 2 matches wrong in the second round. Ouch.
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Married to PepsiPlunge June 01, 2005: HERO'S PLUNGE!
(Metal Gear Solid 2)
FastFalcon05 | Posted 7/22/2006 9:08:55 PM | message detail
...or we have a new contest champion.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
Tai | Posted 7/22/2006 9:09:31 PM | message detail
Yeah, it's not like this match has 23 hours, 55 minutes left.


Yep, SSB has all day to eat Sonic's corpse. :-)
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MnMZero | Posted 7/22/2006 9:09:37 PM | message detail
Can I actually get an analysis crew point??? Seriously, if SSB keeps this up, I will point back to Sonic 2 horribly underperforming against SMW. Plus, outside of Mario Kart, Nintendo has been outright dominant in this contest. There were just too many intangibles pointing towards SSB... All Sonic really had was "SSB is not a series".
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*Is therealmnm*
Proud Supporter of Mega Man X in Best. Series. Ever. Contest
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/22/2006 9:10:02 PM | message detail
Got damnit, lost my Internet connection jsut long enough for me to miss the start of the match.

At least I got to see this. ^_^

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/22/2006 9:10:04 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
24-----124-----95.1612903
23-----653-----96.9372129
22-----1736----93.1451613
21-----3055----90.6382979
20-----5099----87.5269661
19-----6805----84.8787656
18-----7354----80.5548001
17-----6642----75.7603132
16-----5376----70.1264881
15-----3543----63.9288738
14-----2284----57.9246935
13-----1463----54.6821599
12-----905-----46.8508287
11-----486-----49.5884774
10-----251-----32.2709163
9------157-----29.2993631
8------69------34.7826087
7------43------25.5813953
6------22------9.0909091
5------14------21.4285714

Overall prediction percentage: 76.46%
Everyone with a score of 4 or less got the match wrong.

Still no 100 prediction percentage. A mid-90 prediction percentage is still okay. Oddly the perfects faltered a bit on this match and are outdone by the -1s.

Two people fell off the Top 50 today. JFDrummer430 and BetaSquadron had Warcraft beating Super Mario Bros..
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/22/2006 9:10:06 PM | message detail
That's all Sonic had?

Bull.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
gtonizuka49 | Posted 7/22/2006 9:10:09 PM | message detail
This is one of the reasons I love these contests so much. Everything can change with the blink of an eye. Someone like steve illumina, who had an amazing 21-match winning streak, can be cast aside as quickly and effortlessly as a feather. After holding the board in the palm of his hand for three weeks, he joins the rest of us. To further demonstrate the nature of the beast, if Resident Evil beats Street Fighter, he will actually finish behind me in the Guru Contest, despite my losing one more match AND my 1000 Karma account.

It's gotta hurt, steve. I'm sorry.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!!
FFDragon | Posted 7/22/2006 9:10:22 PM | message detail
Up again. Daaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaamn.
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Married to PepsiPlunge June 01, 2005: HERO'S PLUNGE!
(Metal Gear Solid 2)
creativename | Posted 7/22/2006 9:10:25 PM | message detail
If you bash a guy beforehand and he ends up right, you've got to let him gloat at you. Them's the breaks.
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meche313 | Posted 7/22/2006 9:10:25 PM | message detail
You know, since the Game Contest, although SSB is loved in this board maybe even more than in the boards of SSB/M, there's always been doubts on it and understamating it on close matches. And I have never figure out why.
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“Impossible is a word people use to make themselves feel better when they quit.” - Vyse
Currently playing: Zelda: Alttp, Donkey Kong Country, Rogue Squadron II. Resident Evil: Code Veronica X, Kirby SuperStar
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/22/2006 9:10:47 PM | message detail
Did SSB just double it's lead from 300 to 600?
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Today's subliminal thought is:
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/22/2006 9:10:50 PM | message detail
And holy crap at SSB going up again.

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/22/2006 9:10:57 PM | message detail
Sonic's getting slaughtered.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/22/2006 9:11:28 PM | message detail
If you bash a guy beforehand and he ends up right, you've got to let him gloat at you. Them's the breaks.

Getting the match right and getting the argument right are not one and the same.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
HaRRicH | Posted 7/22/2006 9:11:37 PM | message detail
No way DQ gets close to DMC

I'm not sold on that. I'd still take DMC, but DQ could do well for itself -- I mean, come on, look at what SSB is doing to Sonic right now, heh.
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Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/22/2006 9:11:41 PM | message detail
Yeah. This one is about done, unfortunately.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
gtonizuka49 | Posted 7/22/2006 9:11:45 PM | message detail
QUICK WITHOUT THINKING

METAL GEAR VS. SUPER SMASH BROS.

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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!!
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/22/2006 9:11:55 PM | message detail
Metal Gear.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/22/2006 9:12:30 PM | message detail
Super Smash Bros.
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Today's subliminal thought is:
_Seer_ | Posted 7/22/2006 9:12:31 PM | message detail
Why would this be SFF. Did Sonic get absorbed into Super Smash Brothers?
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DEFENCE, DEFENCE
Seeraamaazu
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/22/2006 9:12:53 PM | message detail
Sonic got adopted into Nintendo, I guess.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/22/2006 9:13:26 PM | message detail
I'm not sold on that. I'd still take DMC, but DQ could do well for itself -- I mean, come on, look at what SSB is doing to Sonic right now, heh.

Hence, SFF. I'm not going to suddenly be deluded on DMC and DQ's natural strength because of Sonic underperforming against another Nintendo series -- hell, I explained my position on this right before the match began. If SSB beats Sonic to make DQ > DMC (and with the way it's rising it could very well do it), this is SFF. Period.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
XxSoulxX | Posted 7/22/2006 9:13:30 PM | message detail
Old-school SFF.

Basically, I consider Mario, Sonic and Mega Man to have very, very similar fanbases.
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Not changing signature until HHH pedigrees Candice through a table. 07/07/06
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/22/2006 9:13:31 PM | message detail
There is probably some SFF here, but nothing near what Megaman gets. Sonic isn't fully Nintendo yet.

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
FastFalcon05 | Posted 7/22/2006 9:13:34 PM | message detail
That's pretty damn impressive for melee, no matter how you slice it.

And it is odd that we've sort of been neglecting melee in considering fourth strongest series. Yeah this is early in the match talk, but still...
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
Tai | Posted 7/22/2006 9:13:59 PM | message detail
Sonic got adopted into Nintendo, I guess.

lol?
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Slowflake | Posted 7/22/2006 9:14:33 PM | message detail
That's because the beating SSB is going to take next round is going to make Link/Ganondorf look close
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Mario's not fun btw and only sells on nostalgia. I mean, you're just walking from one side of a level to the other at a tenth of Sonic's speed... -vego
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/22/2006 9:14:44 PM | message detail
Why would this be SFF. Did Sonic get absorbed into Super Smash Brothers?

Because of the whole "Nintendo vs. Sega" competition from the early and mid '90s. A lot of Nintendo fans remember it well and still support Nintendo, look how badly SMW slaughtered Sonic 2 in the Spring 2004 contest.

It's called SFF because, ironically, Nintendo owners have been buying the most Sonic games since Sega went third-party.
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Today's subliminal thought is:
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/22/2006 9:14:55 PM | message detail
Why would this be SFF. Did Sonic get absorbed into Super Smash Brothers?

Sonic and Nintendo have been very, very close as of this generation. There is no way I'd buy this performance, should it continue to keep up, being all SSB's strength. If the idea of SMW SFFing Sonic 2 holds ground, which I believe it does, that idea should certainly hold true here. But it's really not worth arguing about.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/22/2006 9:15:00 PM | message detail
Super Smash Brothers won't get beaten that badly.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
meche313 | Posted 7/22/2006 9:15:09 PM | message detail
SSB.
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“Impossible is a word people use to make themselves feel better when they quit.” - Vyse
Currently playing: Zelda: Alttp, Donkey Kong Country, Rogue Squadron II. Resident Evil: Code Veronica X, Kirby SuperStar
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/22/2006 9:15:14 PM | message detail

And it is odd that we've sort of been neglecting melee in considering fourth strongest series. Yeah this is early in the match talk, but still...


Not really... it's going to go up against SMB, where it will get SFF'd into the ground.

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Cheer Up Emo Kids
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/22/2006 9:15:19 PM | message detail
Neglecting it? I've had it as the frontrunner for a long time; this just happens to be the only indication we'll ever get of it -- and it seems to be SFF.

DQ is not that close to DMC, that's all there is to it. You want to think that, fine, you'll get burned later if there's ever a chance for it.
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Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior.
MnMZero | Posted 7/22/2006 9:15:26 PM | message detail
That's all Sonic had?

Bull.


That's all Sonic really had in my eyes that gave it an advantage over SSB.
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*Is therealmnm*
Proud Supporter of Mega Man X in Best. Series. Ever. Contest
Phediuk | Posted 7/22/2006 9:15:47 PM | message detail
Or--God forbid--Sonic games just aren't that strong! *gasp*

The only Sonic game on the Top 100 was at #38. Sonic 2 was slaughtered by SMW. NOTHING is pointing to Sonic being a powerhouse series.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
HaRRicH | Posted 7/22/2006 9:16:31 PM | message detail
...why would it be SFF, exactly, at least more than any other match between two popular series we've seen? If DQ really was stronger than DMC, I wouldn't be crushed by that.
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FastFalcon05 | Posted 7/22/2006 9:16:44 PM | message detail
I know with sff it won't directly be there. But we're usually smart enough to look past sff and determine a semi valid result. I was under the impression that, accounting for sff, smash still wasn't seen as in the running.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/22/2006 9:16:46 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]