GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 323
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| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/21/2006 10:41:36 PM | message detail |
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Well, other than Metal Gear, Mega Man/RE/SF are the only series that stand much of a chance. And I'd only seriously consider Mega Man. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 7/21/2006 10:41:47 PM | message detail |
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Sonic will get some form of SFF if it faces Mario, so stat-wise it's
looking like Metal Gear will take it (unless MM surprises in a few
days). --- - "ertyu is actually a language. For example, 'dum' is ertyunese for 'godly'." - Topaz Kitsune Not changing signature until HHH pedigrees Candice through a table. 07/07/06 |
| creativename | Posted 7/21/2006 10:43:05 PM | message detail |
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I might well take SSB over Metal Gear in a direct match (especially
with a crappy sprite for Metal Gear and a loaded pic for SSB...) But Harrich is right, due to highly probable SFF it won't be #4. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| HaRRicH | Posted 7/21/2006 10:44:39 PM | message detail |
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I don't buy SMB SFF'ing Sonic, at least no more than SMB SFF'ing any other series. --- Miss my Four-Pack Of Fun? Go here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 |
| creativename | Posted 7/21/2006 10:44:42 PM | message detail |
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Also I fully expect Zelda to at least double Metal Gear. And I think
there's a decent shot of Metal Gear not breaking 30% in extrapolation
relative to Final Fantasy. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| gtonizuka49 | Posted 7/21/2006 10:45:05 PM | message detail |
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Agreed. Do people still think that SMB can't break 40% on FF? I always figured Mario would break 40% without TOO much trouble, but I can't wait to see what the board says in two days. Seriously, it seems impossible to overrate the Big Three at this point. I can just imagine predicting 90% for Final Fantasy and slamming my head through the monitor as it finishes with 92%. --- Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!! |
| transience | Posted 7/21/2006 10:45:37 PM | message detail |
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Mega Man has a good chance. I get the feeling that going up against the
(likely) champion is the best way to go for x-stats. I suppose RE has a
chance too, but it'll have to rely heavily on RE4. --- xyzzy I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE! |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/21/2006 10:46:06 PM | message detail |
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Well, after SMW/Sonic 2, I can't imagine SMB not overperforming a little. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| creativename | Posted 7/21/2006 10:46:07 PM | message detail |
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I didn't even think about SMB SFFing Sonic. I definitely think that's a possibility. Way more than it SFFing a random series. But my confidence in SSB>Sonic is high now, so I don't think we'll be able to ever verify that. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Ed Bellis | Posted 7/21/2006 10:46:23 PM | message detail |
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...dammit, where are the newer topics? I want to check something WAAAAAAAAH --- THIS WAS STILL DIABLO YO |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 7/21/2006 10:46:47 PM | message detail |
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Shut up, Diablo! --- Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior. |
| creativename | Posted 7/21/2006 10:47:30 PM | message detail |
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On thinking about it, since I think Mega Man could push 30% against
Final Fantasy, I suppose the people saying it has a real good shot at
#4 are right. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Ed Bellis | Posted 7/21/2006 10:48:02 PM | message detail |
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>_> <_< ...DIABLO PWNS --- This was Ed Bellis. |
| HaRRicH | Posted 7/21/2006 10:48:07 PM | message detail |
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Bah to SMW/S2 SFF, man -- I ain't goin' to start that one again. --- Miss my Four-Pack Of Fun? Go here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 |
| Draco1214 | Posted 7/21/2006 10:48:14 PM | message detail |
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I think Mega Man is going to get tripled by Final Fantasy. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2 |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/21/2006 10:48:34 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, no need to journey to WRONGSVILLE again, am I right? ...Something like that. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| HaRRicH | Posted 7/21/2006 10:49:15 PM | message detail |
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...30% from Mega Man? Well, here's to hoping, but I cannot see that happen. --- Miss my Four-Pack Of Fun? Go here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/21/2006 10:49:46 PM | message detail |
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I'm wagering on closer to 20% for Mega Man, personally. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| transience | Posted 7/21/2006 10:50:38 PM | message detail |
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I'll say... 76-24. maybe a little bit higher. I don't think it outperforms Zelda, thas for sure. --- xyzzy I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE! |
| Ed Bellis | Posted 7/21/2006 10:50:46 PM | message detail |
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I would have considered Mega Man with 30% before the Diablo debacle.
Now I'll be surprised - nay, amazed - if it avoids the tripling. Final
Fantasy had an impressive first round there, and it's set itself up for
high standards. --- This was Ed Bellis. |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/21/2006 10:52:28 PM | message detail |
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If Final Fantasy outdoes Zelda HERE...I really don't see how anyone can say Zelda still has a chance to win. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/21/2006 10:56:35 PM | message detail |
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only that IE tends to account for around 60% of the site's traffic overall. LOL Firefox --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| Master Moltar | Posted 7/21/2006 10:57:50 PM | message detail |
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That's a shame...so many people using that...that... garbage It was IE's fault KH won! --- Moltar Status: Disappointed, I lost my perfect bracket. Super Mario Bros. vs. WarCraft - Bracket: SMB - Vote: SMB (22/24) |
| creativename | Posted 7/21/2006 11:01:51 PM | message detail |
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We should be beyond amazed if Final Fantasy gets 80% on Mega Man. I really don't see how that could happen. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Draco1214 | Posted 7/21/2006 11:02:33 PM | message detail |
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If Final Fantasy gets 80% on Mega Man, then it winning the contest is a lock. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2 |
| Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/21/2006 11:20:33 PM | message detail |
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Score-Brackets-% Right 22-----323-----38.3900929 21-----1767----36.9552915 20-----4499----34.1631474 19-----6663----29.1310221 18-----7799----27.4009488 17-----7502----27.7659291 16-----6206----27.2639381 15-----4162----29.3849111 14-----2726----31.6214233 13-----1830----33.0054645 12-----1180----35.5932203 11-----645-----36.7441860 10-----358-----40.5027933 9------206-----37.8640777 8------103-----36.8932039 7------71------40.8450704 6------24------16.6666667 5------14------7.1428571 4------13------15.3846154 3------38------2.6315789 Overall prediction percentage: 29.9% Everybody with a score of 2 or less got the match wrong. What a mess this match is. Top performers were the people with a score of 7. Too high to be a serious zero bracket, too low to be a series prize bracket. The perfects still do realtively well when compared to everyone else. 27 people fell off the Top 50 today. 46% prediction percentage is pretty darn good. Xuxon, punk030, tttiiimmmmmmyyy, MattMan0, chadmille20, L4zythe2nd, Dohnuts17, rorshacma, dyme969, JSNowitzki, kubevubin, zombielynx21, Champ78, Blackbelt5610, goku9456, Pigglypoo, TruePhoenix1984, SixShotSymphony, lordyshadow, Logik_Zer0, The_Wall_PG, BionicLT, Dark_Knightmare, Revenant27, mostcorrupt, crynyd and mbeverage took Castlevania over Kingdom Hearts and have fallen. --- "Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..." "All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..." |
| Xuxon | Posted 7/21/2006 11:22:03 PM | message detail |
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How hilarious would it be if Mega Man was tripled and it was still the fourth strongest? I could actually see that happening. --- Take off every sig. |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/21/2006 11:24:13 PM | message detail |
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I wouldn't be shocked. After Final Fantasy mauled Diablo, this is pretty much what I've come to expect. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| transience | Posted 7/21/2006 11:26:49 PM | message detail |
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TRE's breakdown makes the predictions today look even worse. how many
round 2 matches have had that low of a prediction percentage? *checks Villains contest* man, more people had Diablo winning its fourpack than Kingdom Hearts. weird. --- xyzzy I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE! |
| greatone10 | Posted 7/21/2006 11:28:15 PM | message detail |
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I would wager that the gap between the 3rd and 4th strongest series will make the Villians bracket look balanced. --- RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005 "I set my ATM card's number to "0001" because I'm number one!" - Manfred von Karma |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/21/2006 11:29:56 PM | message detail |
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Well, the thing is that this bracket may actually look balanced...once you get past the top 3. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/21/2006 11:36:41 PM | message detail |
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Hmmm...SMB is starting to leak percentage. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| yoshifan823 | Posted 7/21/2006 11:39:48 PM | message detail |
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I've got a chat started. If you wanna join IM me. Umebaka. --- http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=585036&topic=28425244 GAMEFAQS ARENA! Come fight with us. |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/21/2006 11:43:03 PM | message detail |
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Also, I'm kinda wondering why CJayC decided to change the picture theme in the middle of the round. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| transience | Posted 7/21/2006 11:49:28 PM | message detail |
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I feel like making a random lowest prediction percentage list that I'm sure exists elsewhere. 30% and below: 2k3 final - Cloud > Sephiroth - 6.03% Spring 2004 Round 4 - SSBM > Starcraft - 7.16% Spring 2004 Round 3 - Starcraft > Wind Waker - 7.91% 2k5 round 3 - Vincent > Squall - 12.47% 2k2 final - Link > Mario - 12.80% 2k3 semifinal - Cloud > Link - 13.37% Spring 2005 round 3 - Diablo > Kefka - 14.76% 2k3 Round 4 - Mega Man > Snake - 14.53% 2k2 Round 4 - Crono > Snake, 14.60 Spring 2004 Round 2 - Starcraft > Kingdom Hearts, 15.62% 2k2 Round 3 - Scorpion > Pac-Man, 17.30% 2k4 Round 2 - Frog > Master Chief, 22.56% 2k5 semifinal - Crono > Mega Man, 24.49% 2k5 round 2 - Vincent > Dante, 25.14% 2k5 final - Mario > Crono, 26.17% 2k2 Round 2 - Alucard > Duke Nukem, 28.90% Series round 2 - Kingdom Hearts > Castlevania, 29.90% kinda surprising how few there are, all told. I also like how Frog > MC is the single most unpredictable result in 2k4 by far. --- xyzzy I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE! |
| Draco1214 | Posted 7/21/2006 11:51:40 PM | message detail |
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I thought Starcraft > Halo had less than 30% of the brackets. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2 |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/21/2006 11:51:45 PM | message detail |
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Holy crap, Mega Man > Solid Snake and Zero > Vercetti are the next most "unexpected" results of SC2K4? Heh, Vivi/DK is 4th despite being a first round match, and Link/Cloud is 5th despite being the finals. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| TheRye | Posted 7/21/2006 11:52:17 PM | message detail |
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I really think that the FF and Mega Man fanbases are different enough that Mega Man can pull off 35% or so. --- In 2006, nominate Captain Falcon “TheRye is like Jesus, if Jesus ever played video games.” -Inviso |
| transience | Posted 7/21/2006 11:52:57 PM | message detail |
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woops, skipped it by accident. 24.09%. --- xyzzy I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE! |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 7/21/2006 11:54:48 PM | message detail |
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No freaking way Mega Man avoids the doubling against Final Fantasy. No
way. I'll eat my -- wait, wait, this is getting too familiar. 40% for Mega Man --- Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 7/21/2006 11:55:52 PM | message detail |
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I am also starting Xenogears now and can't get the sound to work. I'm even more confused than I probably should be! --- Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior. |
| transience | Posted 7/21/2006 11:56:38 PM | message detail |
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Xenogears music is the best in video games! stop your crazy emulating this instant! --- xyzzy I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE! |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 7/21/2006 11:57:55 PM | message detail |
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I'll just acquire the OST later! --- Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior. |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/21/2006 11:58:51 PM | message detail |
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To celebrate Castlevania's run, I shall soon be in possession of Symphony of the Night! And it'll be my first Castlevania game, too! --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| Janus5000 | Posted 7/22/2006 12:00:14 AM | message detail |
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1. Aluc- wait, wrong guy. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." |
| transience | Posted 7/22/2006 12:01:44 AM | message detail |
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I should replay SOTN sometime. --- xyzzy I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE! |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 7/22/2006 12:01:55 AM | message detail |
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Speaking of Alucard...we're all aware that whoever beats CV/Alucard
ends up meeting a gruesome fate in the next round (Sephiroth aside, but
the Plan was for him to look good enough to beat Cloud and burn
bracketmakers in 2k4). 80% for Metal Gear. --- Do not kill. Do not rape. Do not steal. These are principles which every man of every faith can embrace. These are codes of behavior. |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/22/2006 12:02:08 AM | message detail |
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Hmmm...I wonder if SMB will maintain the quadrupling at this rate. Well, it should get the day vote. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/22/2006 12:03:53 AM | message detail |
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Don't know if it's been mentioned yet (Only read up the page 5 of 8),
but the perfects are seemingly getting whittled down to the more
knowledgable. We've been seeing around 20/50 picking LoZ for the
victory, know we've rocketed up to 30/50 picking FF for the victory. --- Explicit Content Cheer Up Emo Kids |
| FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/22/2006 12:04:13 AM | message detail |
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I'm going to spell the word "knowledgeable" wrong until the day I die. --- Explicit Content Cheer Up Emo Kids |