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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 316

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Phediuk | Posted 7/16/2006 6:59:07 PM | message detail
Average review score/Number of reviews:

Resident Evil:

Resident Evil- 8.55 (33)
Resident Evil 2- 8.80 (40)
Resident Evil 3: Nemesis- 8.80 (40)
Resident Evil Code: Veronica- 8.95 (39)
Resident Evil (GC)- 9.06 (66)
Resident Evil Zero- 8.47 (6)
Resident Evil 4- 9.44 (106)
Series average- 8.87 (330)

Shadow Hearts:

Shadow Hearts- 8.72 (50)
Shadow Hearts: Covenant- 9.10 (41)
Shadow Hearts: From the New World- 8.06 (18)
Series average- 8.63 (109)

Advantage: Resident Evil/Resident Evil

Board activity:

LOL

Advantage: Resident Evil

Board Odds Project

Match prediction:

Resident Evil- 133
Shadow Hearts- 0

Anyone surprised?

Advantage: Resident Evil

Point value:

Resident Evil- 353
Shadow Hearts- 0

HOLY CRAP WHAT A SHOCK

Advantage: Resident Evil

Previous contest representation

Resident Evil:

SC2002-

Claire Redfield (13th)
Jill Valentine (16th)

SC2003-

Jill Valentine (28th)

Sp2004-

Resident Evil (43rd)

SC2004-

Jill Valentine (29th)

Sp2005-

Nemesis (9th)
Wesker (25th)

SC2005-

Leon Kennedy (26th)
Wesker (56th)

Top 100-

Resident Evil 4 (#14)
Resident Evil (#53)

Shadow Hearts:

SC2005-

Yuri (67th)

Advantage: Resident Evil

Intangibles

I'm inventing a new factor: the LOL Factor. It states that whenever the victor in a match is blatantly obvious, the obvious winner actually becomes stronger because of it.

Advantage: Resident Evil

Conclusion

RE in a landslide. 85%.
---
"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
jonthomson | Posted 7/16/2006 7:04:23 PM | message detail
If SF can just drop another 0.3% my oracle pick will be spot on.

Ironically, I finished up my second annual "best game ever" poll on Newgrounds today, and there were more Elder Scrolls games in the top 20 than Final Fantasy games. lol casuals.
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Jon Thomson - CATS, Jay Solano, Ridley, Scorpion, Alien Hominid, Duke Nukem, The Prince, Johnny Rocketfingers, two TBA
jonthomson | Posted 7/16/2006 7:31:33 PM | message detail
Based on those aforementioned post 202 results, some lol casuals influenced fact or fictions...

FACT or FICTION: If rerun today, Vice City wouldn't manage 40% on SSBM.

FACT or FICTION: Warcraft 3 would be the single strongest Blizzard game in a games contest, and Diablo 2 would be comfortably weaker than Starcraft.

FACT or FICTION: Metal Gear Solid is the strongest MGS game.

FACT or FICTION: Halo would beat Half-Life in a series match, but only just.

FACT or FICTION: God of War would not be completely disgraced (i.e. fodder) if it showed up in a games contest any time soon.
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Jon Thomson - CATS, Jay Solano, Ridley, Scorpion, Alien Hominid, Duke Nukem, The Prince, Johnny Rocketfingers, two TBA
steve illumina | Posted 7/16/2006 7:31:45 PM | message detail
You heard me. There are people out there who are clueless enough to believe that.

See, Slow, these are the types of noobs and fanbabies I love to mock everyday...the clueless types who think thoughts so irrational it is beyond reproach!
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Steve Illumina: Sage of Board 8, Hated by Fanbabies, Loved by the Masses.
Score: 15-0. Next Win: Res Evil!
NewLib | Posted 7/16/2006 7:35:38 PM | message detail
"FACT or FICTION: If rerun today, Vice City wouldn't manage 40% on SSBM."

FACT

"FACT or FICTION: Warcraft 3 would be the single strongest Blizzard game in a games contest, and Diablo 2 would be comfortably weaker than Starcraft."

Fiction. Warcraft 3 might be stronger than Diablo 2, but I still think Starcraft and WoW beats it.

"FACT or FICTION: Metal Gear Solid is the strongest MGS game."

Fiction. MGS3 is.

"FACT or FICTION: Halo would beat Half-Life in a series match, but only just."

Fact.

"FACT or FICTION: God of War would not be completely disgraced (i.e. fodder) if it showed up in a games contest any time soon."

errr I guess Fact.
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Where am I?
Aprosenf | Posted 7/16/2006 7:36:04 PM | message detail
FACT: If rerun today, Vice City wouldn't manage 40% on SSBM.

FICTION/FACT: Warcraft 3 would be the single strongest Blizzard game in a games contest, and Diablo 2 would be comfortably weaker than Starcraft.
Starcraft easily beats Warcraft III and Diablo II.

FACT: Metal Gear Solid is the strongest MGS game.

FACT: Halo would beat Half-Life in a series match, but only just.

FACT: God of War would not be completely disgraced (i.e. fodder) if it showed up in a games contest any time soon.
It would be right around the fodder line.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/16/2006 7:37:51 PM | message detail

And I second HM about Pokémon. Not only can it lose votes on name recognition, but only 20 people in the entire world are still with the series these days. I just so happens that 18 of them are on board 8, and one of the remaining two's my brother.


Actually, Pokemon games still sell absurdly well.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Xuxon | Posted 7/16/2006 7:39:46 PM | message detail
FACT or FICTION: If rerun today, Vice City wouldn't manage 40% on SSBM.

Fiction. Vice City is old news, but that's quite a jump. It would be close, though.

FACT or FICTION: Warcraft 3 would be the single strongest Blizzard game in a games contest, and Diablo 2 would be comfortably weaker than Starcraft.

Fiction. The second part is correct but Starcraft and WoW > Warcraft 3.

FACT or FICTION: Metal Gear Solid is the strongest MGS game.

Fact.

FACT or FICTION: Halo would beat Half-Life in a series match, but only just.

Fiction. 60% for Halo, at least.

FACT or FICTION: God of War would not be completely disgraced (i.e. fodder) if it showed up in a games contest any time soon.

Fact. Or at least very close.
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"Let's drop this Xbox statue on Naomi's head! Oof! This thing's big! It'll take over 3 years for it to start selling!" ~ Jaguar, Sega Fantasy VI
Slowflake | Posted 7/16/2006 7:39:49 PM | message detail
I know that. But with everyone's perpetual hard-on over RBY, you could say they're "stuck" there.
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Mario's not fun btw and only sells on nostalgia. I mean, you're just walking from one side of a level to the other at a tenth of Sonic's speed... -vego
Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/16/2006 7:41:04 PM | message detail
I know that. But with everyone's perpetual hard-on over RBY, you could say they're "stuck" there.

Well, I think Diamond/Pearl could surpass R/B/Y if the online is done in a way that doesn't feel crappy. And by crappy, I mean the way Mario Kart DS' and Tetris DS' online feel.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/16/2006 7:48:46 PM | message detail
If rerun today, Vice City wouldn't manage 40% on SSBM.

Fact. There may not be a ton of reasoning behind this, but I just feel as though GTA games are something that slowly lose strength over time.

Warcraft 3 would be the single strongest Blizzard game in a games contest, and Diablo 2 would be comfortably weaker than Starcraft.

Fiction. StarCraft still takes the cake as the strongest Blizzard entry we'll see in a contest, and Diablo II wouldn't be far behind.

Metal Gear Solid is the strongest MGS game.

Fact. I have no idea how anyone can say otherwise.

Halo would beat Half-Life in a series match, but only just.

Fact.

God of War would not be completely disgraced (i.e. fodder) if it showed up in a games contest any time soon.

God of War would do quite well for itself, I think. Not only has it easily passed the million mark in America recently, but tons of people love it and it did really well in the GotY poll.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
shadow8021 | Posted 7/16/2006 7:51:11 PM | message detail
"FACT or FICTION: If rerun today, Vice City wouldn't manage 40% on SSBM."

Fact. The voting pool has changed a lot since 2004, and GTA has lost it's luster around here, while SSBM is still going strong.

"FACT or FICTION: Warcraft 3 would be the single strongest Blizzard game in a games contest, and Diablo 2 would be comfortably weaker than Starcraft."

Fiction for the first, because I doubt that Warcraft 3 could even beat World of Warcraft in a head-to-head poll, let alone Starcraft, and fact for the second, because Starcraft fans are more dedicated than Diablo fans.

"FACT or FICTION: Metal Gear Solid is the strongest MGS game."

Easily fact.

"FACT or FICTION: Halo would beat Half-Life in a series match, but only just."

Hmm...I'll say fact, but I'm really starting to doubt Halo's popularity around here. GFNW makes me think otherwise, though.

"FACT or FICTION: God of War would not be completely disgraced (i.e. fodder) if it showed up in a games contest any time soon."

It depends on who it would face, but I think that there just aren't enough Xbox fans around here for God of War not to get embarassed by even a midcard-type game, so I'll say fiction.

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Series Contest Score: 12/14
Today's Pick: Street Fighter
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/16/2006 7:53:09 PM | message detail
Fiction. MGS3 is.

MGS3 is second at best. No way is it stronger than MGS.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
NewLib | Posted 7/16/2006 7:55:22 PM | message detail
Well. I can see MGS 3 being quite a bit stronger than MGS 2.
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Where am I?
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/16/2006 7:57:45 PM | message detail
It depends on who it would face, but I think that there just aren't enough Xbox fans around here for God of War not to get embarassed by even a midcard-type game, so I'll say fiction.

God of War is on the PS2.

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/16/2006 7:59:57 PM | message detail
Metal Gear Solid > Metal Gear Solid 3 > Metal Gear Solid 2 is how I see the chain going.

When MGS4 comes out, it'll either be first or second depending on certain things. So yeah, MGS3 is going to be stronger than MGS2, I imagine, but it's not touching MGS.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/16/2006 8:47:19 PM | message detail
It's going to be hard for ANYTHING to touch the original Metal Gear Solid in that series, especially once Snake's no longer a part of it.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
NewLib | Posted 7/16/2006 8:55:20 PM | message detail
72.1% for SF
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Where am I?
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/16/2006 8:56:26 PM | message detail
I'll go a little low and say 68.41% for Street Fighter.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Aprosenf | Posted 7/16/2006 8:57:15 PM | message detail
I'll go a little higher and say 78% for SF.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
Draco1214 | Posted 7/16/2006 8:58:02 PM | message detail
65% for SF
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2
Master Moltar | Posted 7/16/2006 9:00:18 PM | message detail
Resident Evil 70.91% 39
Shadow Hearts 29.09% 16
TOTAL VOTES 55

ownt
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Moltar Status: Disappointed, I lost my perfect bracket.
Resident Evil vs. Shadow Hearts - Bracket: RE - Vote: RE (13/15)
KohlrabiGod | Posted 7/16/2006 9:00:36 PM | message detail
Resident Evil 75% 6
Shadow Hearts 25% 2
TOTAL VOTES 8

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*Stares at FFVA game info with bloodshot eyes*
Release date... Coming...
Janus5000 | Posted 7/16/2006 9:00:49 PM | message detail
Resident Evil 75% 6
Shadow Hearts 25% 2
TOTAL VOTES 8

Looks like going low wasn't low enough!
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
Master Moltar | Posted 7/16/2006 9:01:46 PM | message detail
65.96% for SF, nice call Draco.
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Moltar Status: Disappointed, I lost my perfect bracket.
Resident Evil vs. Shadow Hearts - Bracket: RE - Vote: RE (13/15)
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/16/2006 9:01:56 PM | message detail
Resident Evil 85.68% 377
Shadow Hearts 14.32% 63
TOTAL VOTES 440


Domination.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
Childproof | Posted 7/16/2006 9:02:00 PM | message detail
RE looks ready to kick ass
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is GrapefruitKing
Sp2k6 Oracle Challenge - Today's pick: Resident Evil with 76.49%
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/16/2006 9:02:16 PM | message detail
Heh, 85% for Resident Evil at the freeze.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
KohlrabiGod | Posted 7/16/2006 9:03:21 PM | message detail
Looks like we'll have 3 zero brackets ^_^

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*Stares at FFVA game info with bloodshot eyes*
Release date... Coming...
XxSoulxX | Posted 7/16/2006 9:03:53 PM | message detail
We lost over 150 perfects and a zero last round. Ouch.
--- -
"ertyu is actually a language. For example, 'dum' is ertyunese for 'godly'." - Topaz Kitsune
Not changing signature until HHH pedigrees Candice through a table. 07/07/06
steve illumina | Posted 7/16/2006 9:04:25 PM | message detail
From 618-478... 140 foolish perfects fell tonight to Guile & Friends!!!

To the 478 of us...I salute you! :) 16-0!!!
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Steve Illumina: Sage of Board 8, Hated by Fanbabies, Loved by the Masses.
Score: 16-0. Next Win: ZELDA!
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/16/2006 9:04:39 PM | message detail
We lost a little under 150, actually.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
NewLib | Posted 7/16/2006 9:05:37 PM | message detail
Wow. 87.6%

I have a feeling RE is going to try to push 90%.
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Where am I?
Master Moltar | Posted 7/16/2006 9:05:41 PM | message detail
Up to 87.63%

RE > SF!!</stats topic pet peeve> =P
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Moltar Status: Disappointed, I lost my perfect bracket.
Resident Evil vs. Shadow Hearts - Bracket: RE - Vote: RE (13/15)
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/16/2006 9:05:41 PM | message detail
Whoa, nearly a 2% jump.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
shadow8021 | Posted 7/16/2006 9:06:36 PM | message detail
We just might get 90%.

lol imagine if Resident Evil also manages to break 100k! 0_o
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Series Contest Score: 13/15
Today's Pick: Resident Evil
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/16/2006 9:06:46 PM | message detail
Woah. I expected SH to be crap, but....jeez.

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
Ed Bellis | Posted 7/16/2006 9:07:03 PM | message detail
....holy crap.

Madden > Shadow Hearts lol
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This was Ed Bellis. Summer 2005 Fanfiction Project:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=28403845
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/16/2006 9:07:42 PM | message detail
The power of Leon Kennedy.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
Aprosenf | Posted 7/16/2006 9:07:58 PM | message detail
I'm not normally one to jump to conclusions, but RE's looking mighty good against SF.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
Janus5000 | Posted 7/16/2006 9:08:29 PM | message detail
RE > Samus
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
NewLib | Posted 7/16/2006 9:08:37 PM | message detail
Unless RE breaks 90%, I still expect SH > Madden. I really think RE might have some strength. Obviously not top 4 strength. But I can see it falling right before the Mega Man/Sonic/SSB trio.
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Where am I?
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/16/2006 9:08:56 PM | message detail
Yeah, I figured 80s was a given, mid-80s was probable, but 90%?

Perhaps Shadow Hearts is even weaker than we thought, if that's possible.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/16/2006 9:09:40 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
14-----618-----77.3462783
13-----3626----73.4693878
12-----9263----72.3307784
11-----12423---68.4375755
10-----10081---64.7356413
9------5821----58.5294623
8------2721----53.3259831
7------1082----48.4288355
6------308-----48.0519481
5------96------34.3750000
4------42------45.2380952
3------39------12.8205128
2------45------17.7777778
1------29------17.2413793
0------4-------25.0000000

Overall prediction percentage: 65.96%

Great job by the perfects. They did a good deal better than any other group. The -1s and -2s do fairly well being able to stay above 70. We lose a 0, but we still have three left and all three should be safe.

10 people fell off the Top 50 today. rubedokukai, ShadowDino, GrayFox43, SagaNewbie, SkullVader, crosoverdrible, AtreyuGmork, epsilon59, pttrnagainstusr and, the only person with a Metal Gear champion, Itsgoingdown.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
NewLib | Posted 7/16/2006 9:09:48 PM | message detail
So who ya got Resident Evil Vs Castlevania.
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Where am I?
Lopen | Posted 7/16/2006 9:10:03 PM | message detail
Heh... well, I figured SH would be somewhere around Suikoden in strength... boy was I wrong. Suikoden probably beats it 70-30.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
steve illumina | Posted 7/16/2006 9:10:13 PM | message detail
Oh stop kiddies...this match means nothing. SH is not a real opponent... Weakest RPG here in this field of 32...
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Steve Illumina: Sage of Board 8, Hated by Fanbabies, Loved by the Masses.
Score: 16-0. Next Win: ZELDA!
creativename | Posted 7/16/2006 9:10:31 PM | message detail
I had always figured Shadow Hearts would be the weakest contest entry, until Madden's performance. But it looks like it might still be the weakest even after that.

It's...almost impressive, in a perverse way.

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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/16/2006 9:10:31 PM | message detail
I'm not normally one to jump to conclusions, but RE's looking mighty good against SF.

SH is pure fodder in these contests, these results were typical.
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Current Contest Score: 14/14 Next Winner: Street Fighter
I'll just put something to fill another line here.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/16/2006 9:11:21 PM | message detail
Whew, Resident Evil dropped back down a bit. Now...I just need it to fall down in the neighborhood of 84% here...
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden