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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 315

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THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/14/2006 8:50:56 PM | message detail
SUPER FIGHTING ROBOT...

C-3PO!


Wait...

*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, save for three from 2002:
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/tre/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/top10/top10_100.html


!yawa tsoP
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
Rex Seven | Posted 7/14/2006 8:51:13 PM | message detail
First.


RX7
SephirothG | Posted 7/14/2006 8:51:52 PM | message detail
Ulti's gonna be pissed. >_>
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[Something clever was here before the sig wipe]
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585012
Draco1214 | Posted 7/14/2006 8:51:56 PM | message detail
MM > MK
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2
steve illumina | Posted 7/14/2006 9:17:26 PM | message detail
Ulti wont be pissed...he agreed with the Sage here and picked MM :)
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Steve Illumina: Sage of Board 8, Hated by Fanbabies, Loved by the Masses.
Score: 14-0. Next Win: Street Fighter!
Ed Bellis | Posted 7/14/2006 9:20:10 PM | message detail
Man, I suck. >_<
---
This was Ed Bellis. Summer 2005 Fanfiction Project:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=28403845
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 7/14/2006 9:20:14 PM | message detail
Sage for the win.
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Feel my truth.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/14/2006 9:20:34 PM | message detail
Mega Man is pushing 58% now.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
steve illumina | Posted 7/14/2006 9:20:40 PM | message detail
314 stats threads...ive been in them since the 1st...and I never got the 500th post til #314 :)

hehe

Onto Hard Man now!
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Steve Illumina: Sage of Board 8, Hated by Fanbabies, Loved by the Masses.
Score: 14-0. Next Win: Street Fighter!
Master Moltar | Posted 7/14/2006 9:20:43 PM | message detail
Sometimes, I bump games/characters to a higher or lower seed, depending on mitigating factors (lower seeds for "rallied" characters that won't do as well among the general public, higher seeds for ones appearing in brand new games).

lol 3 seed curse

Going back now, if I tally up all the people who nominated both "Crono", "Chrono", and "Crhono" ... (does some math)... the game might have been a 7 seed, but still more than likely doomed for an early exit.

Really now? More like bracket buster.
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Moltar Status: Disappointed, I lost my perfect bracket.
Mega Man vs. Mario Kart - Bracket: MM - Vote: MK (11/13)
Sir Bormun | Posted 7/14/2006 9:20:59 PM | message detail
Actually, I think there is a slight amount of SFF in this match, since big fans of Mega Man Soccer would logically also be fans of a sports game spinoff of another famous platformer series, so they would vote Mario Kart against most but not against Mega Man because it is *explodes from overthinking*
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Need new sig.
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/14/2006 9:21:11 PM | message detail
lol Chrono

Chrono probably takes out all the 2-seeds aside from SSB with minimal effort...but I'm more convinced than ever people are taking entire series into mind when voting. I wouldn't be terribly shocked to see Metroid give it a fight or even upset (lol 2 over 7 upset).
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Commit it to memory.
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/14/2006 9:22:21 PM | message detail
If Mega Man breaks 60%, I say it beats FF.

What? That's illogical? So is your face/mom/bracket!

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/14/2006 9:22:32 PM | message detail

Shouldn't you be vote stuffing right now?


Oh man, your quick witted humor slays me.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Janus5000 | Posted 7/14/2006 9:22:52 PM | message detail
Kinda like Ceej's axe!
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 7/14/2006 9:22:53 PM | message detail
Chrono would take SSB.
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Feel my truth.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/14/2006 9:22:55 PM | message detail
With the way this contest has been playing out, do you really think Chrono could be that strong essentially relying on Chrono Trigger? Sure, it's strong, but still...I don't know how much Chrono Cross would add to it. The voters are seeing this as a Series Contest, and 1-for-2 isn't a good success rate.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
steve illumina | Posted 7/14/2006 9:23:03 PM | message detail
Sage for the win

WORD!

In all seriousness...each passing day brings this possibility closer to reality.

Elder Scrolls is up next on the chopping block...and then...Shadow Hearts? BAHAHAHAHAHAH!

Top Man u are next to fall...I am in MM Tribute mode tonight!
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Steve Illumina: Sage of Board 8, Hated by Fanbabies, Loved by the Masses.
Score: 14-0. Next Win: Street Fighter!
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/14/2006 9:23:20 PM | message detail
Hey, say what you will about my face/mom, but leave my bracket out of this. ;_;
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Commit it to memory.
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 7/14/2006 9:23:49 PM | message detail
From: FlamboyantSpy | Posted: 7/14/2006 10:22:32 PM | Message Detail

Shouldn't you be vote stuffing right now?

Oh man, your quick witted humor slays me.


Ouch.
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Feel my truth.
Ed Bellis | Posted 7/14/2006 9:24:16 PM | message detail
At this point in time I would not take Chrono over Metroid. Or SSB. I'd have a hard time deciding between it and Resident Evil... but we'll have to wait and see on that one.

Kingdom Hearts/Chrono has interesting potential, though.
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This was Ed Bellis. Summer 2005 Fanfiction Project:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=28403845
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/14/2006 9:24:21 PM | message detail
Ah, don't feel so bad. I picked Halo. And GTA. And Pokemon.

Pokemon in the second round.

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 7/14/2006 9:25:28 PM | message detail
Pokemon vs Star Fox

gogogogo
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Feel my truth.
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/14/2006 9:25:33 PM | message detail
The fact that Chrono got owned by people who can't spell and that Leon's such a stickler for that stuff makes it all the more hilarious to me.
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Commit it to memory.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/14/2006 9:26:20 PM | message detail
Whoa, big jump for Mega Man.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/14/2006 9:26:42 PM | message detail
Ouch.

Fine, I'll take a page out of your book of non-humorous one liners.


Shouldn't you be attempting to shove your entire head up Illumina's ass right now? I mean kissing it doesn't seem to be enough for you anymore.

Damn, two lines.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/14/2006 9:26:43 PM | message detail
Like I said, MM>FF. Book it.

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
DeepHyren12 | Posted 7/14/2006 9:27:11 PM | message detail
"With the way this contest has been playing out, do you really think Chrono could be that strong essentially relying on Chrono Trigger? Sure, it's strong, but still...I don't know how much Chrono Cross would add to it. The voters are seeing this as a Series Contest, and 1-for-2 isn't a good success rate."

True, but keep in mind that correlation is not causation. Most of the two-hit wonders we've seen are very recent, whereas the long-running series are older. This could simply belie a bias for older games, or at the least a bias against this generation of games instead of the fact that people prefer long series. After all, we never got to see much generational conflict in the first games contest.
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"Civil government is in reality instituted for the defense of the rich against the poor" --Adam Smith
Tai | Posted 7/14/2006 9:27:13 PM | message detail
Poor MK..it deserves BETTER!
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579987 - Wanna report a TOS violation! Go to Snack Attack and we can help!
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 7/14/2006 9:28:36 PM | message detail
From: FlamboyantSpy | Posted: 7/14/2006 10:26:42 PM | Message Detail
Ouch.

Fine, I'll take a page out of your book of non-humorous one liners.


Shouldn't you be attempting to shove your entire head up Illumina's ass right now? I mean kissing it doesn't seem to be enough for you anymore.

Damn, two lines.


Are you mad? You must be mad to get 50 or so words out of a single word.
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Feel my truth.
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/14/2006 9:28:44 PM | message detail
I seriously doubt series are benefiting from being older. It's named best series ever for a reason, and it's been shown that the voters are voting based on the series merits.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/14/2006 9:29:02 PM | message detail
Mega could end up above 60% here soon...damn. You *can* be a strong series without a super strong game, and this proves it right here. I would never take any MM game over the MK heavy-hitters, and yet Mega Man is just owning like mad here. The quality of quantity, people...or something.
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Commit it to memory.
longbladeofhiko | Posted 7/14/2006 9:30:08 PM | message detail
Whoop some ass Mega
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
JUST LIKE UR MOM LOLO AND URS TO LALA-Tombolo
DeepHyren12 | Posted 7/14/2006 9:30:16 PM | message detail
"I seriously doubt series are benefiting from being older. It's named best series ever for a reason, and it's been shown that the voters are voting based on the series merits."

Voters are certainly not voting for the series as a whole in all respects. The dead weight of the unpopular later Sonic games and unpopular later Mega Man games hasn't been slowing them down much.
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"Civil government is in reality instituted for the defense of the rich against the poor" --Adam Smith
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/14/2006 9:30:26 PM | message detail
Are you mad? You must be mad to get 50 or so words out of a single word.

Livid. Furious. Running around my house breaking things. In fact, I just pimp slapped my mom I'm so angry. Now I'm punting babies out of my 2nd story window.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids
FastFalcon05 | Posted 7/14/2006 9:30:52 PM | message detail
I seriously doubt series are benefiting from being older. It's named best series ever for a reason, and it's been shown that the voters are voting based on the series merits.

They're voting wrong today then! : (

Even though I know nothing about Megaman, I'll claim Mario Kart is infinitely better than it. It's consistently awesome, and, excluding super circuit for me, each entry has been an outstanding game.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/14/2006 9:30:57 PM | message detail
Sure, it's strong, but still...I don't know how much Chrono Cross would add to it.

Not much, Chrono fans pretty much ignored or hated Cross and a lot of people just plain forgot about it.
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Current Contest Score: 12/12 Next Winner: Final Fantasy
I'll just put something to fill another line here.
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/14/2006 9:31:05 PM | message detail
Voters are certainly not voting for the series as a whole in all respects. The dead weight of the unpopular later Sonic games and unpopular later Mega Man games hasn't been slowing them down much.


*sigh* Some people still don't get it, do they...
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Commit it to memory.
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 7/14/2006 9:31:19 PM | message detail
I have a feeling that I'm waking up to a 15,000 MM lead. 1,000 in 30 minutes?

*sighs*
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Feel my truth.
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/14/2006 9:31:39 PM | message detail
Aaaah. The percetage didn't cannon upward for MM. It was only a leap.

---
Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
steve illumina | Posted 7/14/2006 9:31:58 PM | message detail
Plenty of time to jump on the Illumina bandwagon my friend...I know for a fact peeps are imitating my oracle picks...got me a solid Top 5 spot in that awesome contest.
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Steve Illumina: Sage of Board 8, Hated by Fanbabies, Loved by the Masses.
Score: 14-0. Next Win: Street Fighter!
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 7/14/2006 9:32:10 PM | message detail
From: FlamboyantSpy | Posted: 7/14/2006 10:30:26 PM | Message Detail

Livid. Furious. Running around my house breaking things. In fact, I just pimp slapped my mom I'm so angry. Now I'm punting babies out of my 2nd story window.


I called it.
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Feel my truth.
Draco1214 | Posted 7/14/2006 9:32:10 PM | message detail
Gogogo Mega Man!

This makes me feel great about having Sonic > SSB now.
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2
Sir Chris | Posted 7/14/2006 9:32:25 PM | message detail
It just occured to me if both steve and I are perfect until RE vs SF, I'd be the one to eliminate steve if RE won.
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It's a fact, look it up.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/14/2006 9:32:48 PM | message detail
EC, please stop responding to Tequila in this topic. We don't want it wasted by arguing with a bad troll.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/14/2006 9:32:49 PM | message detail
And RE *will* win!
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Commit it to memory.
steve illumina | Posted 7/14/2006 9:33:21 PM | message detail
Go SF!

*waves to Sir Chris*
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Steve Illumina: Sage of Board 8, Hated by Fanbabies, Loved by the Masses.
Score: 14-0. Next Win: Street Fighter!
Sir Chris | Posted 7/14/2006 9:33:43 PM | message detail
by perfect I mean perfect from here on out. I have -1 he has perfect. two point swing would mean a victory for me

hm...
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It's a fact, look it up.
Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/14/2006 9:33:57 PM | message detail
You guys aren't going to be perfect. CV is going to beat KH.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Sir Chris | Posted 7/14/2006 9:34:02 PM | message detail
Steve and I are officially rivals :o
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It's a fact, look it up.