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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 314

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/13/2006 9:59:11 PM | message detail
The Legend of Zelda is so screwed.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, save for three from 2002:
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/tre/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/top10/top10_100.html


!yawa tsoP
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/13/2006 9:59:27 PM | message detail
But Metal Gear still has a chance!
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/13/2006 10:00:18 PM | message detail
Like I said, these predictions do not fail.
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Commit it to memory.
Tai | Posted 7/13/2006 10:02:27 PM | message detail
MK > MM
SSB > Sonic

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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579987 - Wanna report a TOS violation! Go to Snack Attack and we can help!
Draco1214 | Posted 7/13/2006 10:03:11 PM | message detail
Final Fantasy >>> the rest of the field!
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/13/2006 11:50:39 PM | message detail
1592653589793238462643383279502884197169...

=D
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/14/2006 1:25:16 AM | message detail
Seems like it's been a while since we've had a good 500th post.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
LoopZoopTheBest | Posted 7/14/2006 1:26:04 AM | message detail
I believe we were discussing contest-related stats and discussion?
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!!
LoopZoopTheBest | Posted 7/14/2006 1:26:24 AM | message detail
Ya, that was just about the worst 500th post ever.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!!
The Real Truth | Posted 7/14/2006 1:26:29 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter
Posted 7/14/2006 1:23:55 AM
message detail Ridley isn't close to Kirby, but the point is you can't expect the site to universally side with a certain contestant based on affiliation, even if it is Nintendo. Even if you believe that Starcraft is miles out of Diablo's league, the fact is that as a PC game it got plenty of votes against Nintendo games that are simply not in Kirby's class. The affiliation isn't the thing that matters most, it's the intrinsic strength of the games. In that respect, I think Diablo trumps Kirby hands down.


Actually you make a good point with Starcraft. I'd probably agree more on Diablo > Kirby if I had actually paid attention to contests back then. I've been coming here for awhile but never even bothered to register until 2 years ago.
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Best Series Ever 11/12, FF > Diablo
dragoontheguy | Posted 7/14/2006 1:26:34 AM | message detail
Huzzah, that's my second 500 post in the stats topic and both of them stated TES > SF.

It's a sign!
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408
Draco1214 | Posted 7/14/2006 1:26:53 AM | message detail
The Elder Scrolls is, IMO, the toughest series to predict in this bracket. It could either upset Street Fighter or get completely obliterated (and somewhere in between of course).
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/14/2006 1:27:28 AM | message detail
Good chaps, I do say Final Fantasy is putting on something of a clinic today. Verily, I estimate that the chances of Super Mario Brothers and The Legend of Zelda are approximately equivalent to the status of so screwed.
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Commit it to memory.
dragoontheguy | Posted 7/14/2006 1:27:32 AM | message detail
Ya, that was just about the worst 500th post ever.

Incorrect.
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408
LoopZoopTheBest | Posted 7/14/2006 1:28:52 AM | message detail
The Elder Scrolls is, IMO, the toughest series to predict in this bracket.

You still believe this after Castlevania and Warcraft?
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be...
part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!!
The Real Truth | Posted 7/14/2006 1:29:16 AM | message detail
LeonhartForever
Posted 7/14/2006 1:24:02 AM
message detail Do you really think Fire Emblem beats Silent Hill without SSBM?

Yes. Marth and Roy never factored into the equation when I picked FE to win that match.


What really sucks is that that match is my only loss. I really wanted to change it before the match started, but only because I was like "Oh wait SSB." Had Roy and Marth not appeared in SSBM I'd keep my SH > FE pick even though FE won by a decent amount.
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Best Series Ever 11/12, FF > Diablo
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/14/2006 1:31:15 AM | message detail
Well, we always knew Castlevania had some strength to it...just turned out Halo was overrated enough for it to matter. And while it was surprising for many that Warcraft actually showed up for the match, I'd be willing to wager that was GTA flopping, too. I don't know if TES is going to turn out to be total fodder or become a decent midcarder at all...though I lean toward the former, regrettably.
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Commit it to memory.
The Real Truth | Posted 7/14/2006 1:31:28 AM | message detail
My hardest pick was Warcraft > GTA.
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Best Series Ever 11/12, FF > Diablo
Draco1214 | Posted 7/14/2006 1:31:37 AM | message detail
You still believe this after Castlevania and Warcraft?

Well, not so much now, but the upset potential is still there however small that may be.

For the record, I have my Oracle for Street Fighter somewhere around 65%. I don't think ES will do that well at all, but for some reason, I feel it has upset potential.
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/14/2006 1:32:25 AM | message detail
I am in shock at this result. Damn.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/14/2006 1:32:44 AM | message detail
I think Marth and Roy may have helped to hype up FE in the first place, which is what gave it its semi-healthy sales here in the first place...but if it had those same sales without those two, I would have still taken it over SH. Honestly, SH just didn't have the intangibles in that match.
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Commit it to memory.
The Real Truth | Posted 7/14/2006 1:34:21 AM | message detail
How well did Path of Radiance sell in the US?
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Best Series Ever 11/12, FF > Diablo
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/14/2006 1:37:45 AM | message detail
I love that match picture, too. Cloud, Tidus, and Squall for the win!

How well did Path of Radiance sell in the US?

It sold 173,858 copies.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/14/2006 1:37:52 AM | message detail
Heroic Mario should be able to fill you in once he stops orgasming.
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Commit it to memory.
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/14/2006 1:38:15 AM | message detail
Ten seconds earlier than expected!
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Commit it to memory.
The Real Truth | Posted 7/14/2006 1:41:57 AM | message detail
Yeah I'd likely still take SH had they not been in SSBM. Is PoR actually good or did it just receive good reviews due to it being like the 6th RPG for the GC? I was thinking of eventually picking it up, but ToS got mostly great reviews and I hated it. Even my brother said ToS was good. It's probably my love for SO2 that made me hate ToS.
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Best Series Ever 11/12, FF > Diablo
xp1337 | Posted 7/14/2006 1:47:47 AM | message detail
"Now witness the firepower of this fully armed and operational Final Fantasy."

So much for Zelda standing a chance.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SpC2k6 (11/12) FF v Diablo
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/14/2006 2:00:23 AM | message detail
All it has to do is use the Force!

Man, I guess KOTOR really would be unstoppable if it were in this contest!!!
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Commit it to memory.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 7/14/2006 2:05:41 AM | message detail
Heh, I love how some people on the board are actually disappointed with Final Fantasy. That's just insane.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
Draco1214 | Posted 7/14/2006 2:06:28 AM | message detail
For some reason, I find it funny that Diablo is only getting about 30 votes per update now.
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2
Happosai_yay | Posted 7/14/2006 2:18:12 AM | message detail
you know marth and roy hardly appear in FE...
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-KBD
TheCruelAngel | Posted 7/14/2006 2:20:44 AM | message detail
Though this match and my bracket say otherwise, Mario will beat FF. =P
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
Gooper Blooper | Posted 7/14/2006 2:23:30 AM | message detail
Ah, what the hell:

FACT or FICTION: Final Fantasy will have Cloud (or someone/thing else from FF7) in every single one of its match pictures.
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People are going to buy two machines. They're going to buy an Xbox and they're going to buy a Wii... for the price of one PS3. - Peter Moore
TheCruelAngel | Posted 7/14/2006 2:24:39 AM | message detail
Ciction. It will get screwed against Mario with a picture of Zidane, Amarant, and Kuja.
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
TheCruelAngel | Posted 7/14/2006 2:24:54 AM | message detail
Fiction, even!
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 7/14/2006 2:39:33 AM | message detail
Fiction. For at least one round Ceej will go old school as he is wont to do every year. At least one pic will have only sprites.
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Take a hike, and don't forget the trail mix *****. Hijack - MC Chris
Detective in Sir Chris' Police
voltch | Posted 7/14/2006 2:40:23 AM | message detail
Fiction. there is bound to be a pic with all the villains instead.
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Kilroy:Their fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft.
BrentfordFC-championship here we come
Childproof | Posted 7/14/2006 3:42:48 AM | message detail
We need lettuce Kefka
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is GrapefruitKing
Sp2k6 Oracle Challenge - Today's pick: Final Fantasy with 76.60%
XIII_rocks | Posted 7/14/2006 3:47:00 AM | message detail
This is disgusting.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
I admire MYC, for she is the pinnacle of human wit, poise, and beauty.
Kaxon | Posted 7/14/2006 4:44:11 AM | message detail
If the final is Lettuce Kefka vs Bacondorf, I might actually have to vote for Zelda.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
XIII_rocks | Posted 7/14/2006 4:51:04 AM | message detail
I actually can't believe this. FF is doing a little mroe than 5% worse on a respectable opponent than LoZ and Madden did on fodder! Ugh, another win for FF. It'll have won 5 out of 8 contests after this (Cloud in 2k3, Games '04 Sephy in Spring '05, Fall Top 10 Contest, This one.). God dammit.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
I admire MYC, for she is the pinnacle of human wit, poise, and beauty.
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/14/2006 4:54:46 AM | message detail
It's either Final Fantasy or Zelda when it comes to winning contests. Personally, I would rather it be Final Fantasy.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
XIII_rocks | Posted 7/14/2006 4:57:43 AM | message detail
I'm not a huge fan of either, but Zelda is the mediocre of two evils.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
I admire MYC, for she is the pinnacle of human wit, poise, and beauty.
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/14/2006 5:00:05 AM | message detail
Looking at the vote totals, this match is only 2,031 behind GTA/Warcraft at 7:55 AM EST. And it's ahead of SMB/Madden by 2,629.


Final Fantasy is insane.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/14/2006 5:05:34 AM | message detail
This is one of the greatest matches ever.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), WC3: Frozen Throne
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/14/2006 5:06:52 AM | message detail
Keeping in mind that Final Fantasy's opponent is far stronger than both Civilization and Madden, here are the individual vote totals for the Big Three at 8:00 AM EST ...

Super Mario Bros. -- 35,356
Final Fantasy -- 34,743
The Legend of Zelda -- 32,353

Final Fantasy is only 613 behind SMB's individual vote total. FF is a monster.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
Read_Only_Thx | Posted 7/14/2006 5:09:25 AM | message detail
I myself want Zelda to win, but that is clearly not going to happen.

Oh well, at least FF has FF3j and FF5. I can just ignore the games that are represented in the match pic and root for the ones that people clearly aren't voting for.

Anyway, anyone dare to guess how many votes Zelda/FF will get? 160k, 175k?
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sig
UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/14/2006 5:11:09 AM | message detail
I'd love to see a 100k-80k score between Zelda and FF.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), WC3: Frozen Throne
TessaTestarossa | Posted 7/14/2006 5:22:58 AM | message detail
I absolutely can't believe I went to bed, got up, refreshed, and the percentage was not only stable but had increased

This is pathetic!
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Sousuke!!
steve illumina | Posted 7/14/2006 5:25:54 AM | message detail
Ah the sweet sound of breaking brackets the next 2 days...music to my ears...thats all that matters right now are the next 2 days matches...far better ones than this snoozefest...
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Steve Illumina: Sage of Board 8, Hated by Fanbabies, Loved by the Masses.
Score: 13-0. Next Win: Mega Man!