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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 312

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Karma Hunter | Posted 7/12/2006 9:03:05 PM | message detail
Nah, I wouldn't expect it to change too much. This just shows how loved DQ is on GameFAQs.

...not much.
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Commit it to memory.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/12/2006 9:03:09 PM | message detail
Sonic had 78% at the first freeze, too, heh.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
cyko | Posted 7/12/2006 9:03:30 PM | message detail
so, Sonic with 77% of the brackets?

Not a bad guess!


BOO-YA!! ^_^

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"In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women...." - Homer Simpson
PaladinKnight5 | Posted 7/12/2006 9:03:49 PM | message detail
How can people say that smash brothers was a great series when only two games have been released. It is a great game no question, but people that vote for it over Dragon quest are not thinking of how dragon quest revolutionized the gaming industry as the first graphical RPG. Keep that in mind before you vote!
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/12/2006 9:04:10 PM | message detail
I was waiting for that!
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Commit it to memory.
transience | Posted 7/12/2006 9:04:23 PM | message detail
I dunno, 73% or something. if this stays up at 78%, I'll be pretty impressed. so much for old series having the power!
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/12/2006 9:04:40 PM | message detail
The thing I love about the SSB/DQ picture is Hero is looking over his shoulder at the SSB line-up as if to say "AH ****! There's too many of them!"
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Current Contest Score: 11/11 Next Winner: Super Smash Bros.
I'll just put something to fill another line here.
mabauti | Posted 7/12/2006 9:04:53 PM | message detail
tag
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YAY! d('.')
_\_ ~~ Nominate Aerith Gainsborough for Summer Contest 2006 ~~_/_
charmander6000 | Posted 7/12/2006 9:05:14 PM | message detail
You know almost everyone in this topic has already voted so it's too late.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Janus5000 | Posted 7/12/2006 9:05:19 PM | message detail
It... went... up...

XD
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/12/2006 9:05:24 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
10-----1218----88.5057471
9------6668----85.3179364
8------14752---81.1889913
7------14126---75.5769503
6------6606----68.4680593
5------2090----62.8229665
4------503-----56.4612326
3------119-----38.6554622
2------69------13.0434783
1------41------9.7560976
0------6-------0.0000000

And the 0s go perfect! It would have been pretty sad if one of the 6 went down on this match. The top groups are doing the best again. No group has gotten a 100 prediction percentage yet. Perhaps tommorow?

Two people fell off the top 50 today. LiquidZerox12 and Brooodijzer had DMC over Sonic. Still a couple of joke brackets on the Top 50.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
transience | Posted 7/12/2006 9:05:26 PM | message detail
Oh Dear
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/12/2006 9:05:32 PM | message detail
Ooh boy. This isn't good.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/12/2006 9:05:33 PM | message detail
And SSB increases the percentage. Yeah, DQ's not gonna do well here.
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Commit it to memory.
Lopen | Posted 7/12/2006 9:05:41 PM | message detail
Dragon Quest isn't old. Its first game came out less than a year ago! How is it even eligible what the crunk!?

Now Dragon Warrior... hoo boy, if that had gotten in.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
Master Moltar | Posted 7/12/2006 9:06:11 PM | message detail
Ahh, the board vote. Going to be nice to look at for SSB/Sonic.

It would be impressive if SSB could hold the tripling, but I'm predicting the percentage will drop like a rock overnight.
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Moltar Status: Disappointed, I lost my perfect bracket.
Super Smash Bros. vs. Dragon Quest - Bracket: SSB - Vote: SSB (9/11)
plasmabeam | Posted 7/12/2006 9:06:19 PM | message detail
Glad to see reality slapping all the "DQ WILL KEEP IT CLOSE" people in the face.

Go Smash

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Best Series Ever Contest - 9 pts, Next: Sonic
Jacksonville Jaguars (12-5) Eliminated from playoffs
PaladinKnight5 | Posted 7/12/2006 9:06:23 PM | message detail
hahahahahahaha
RPGuy96 | Posted 7/12/2006 9:06:30 PM | message detail
Mm. SSB needed to be impressive...and it's being impressive. I can't call a favorite in SSB/Sonic, unless SSB settles down (or takes off).
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"It's two children and a duck. Be careful!" ~ Leo, Suikoden III
GrapefruitKing | Posted 7/12/2006 9:07:10 PM | message detail
So, Smash will beat Sonic apparently.

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SpC2k6 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Super Smash Bros. with 75.26%
GFK: 26th on the Oracle Leaderboard
transience | Posted 7/12/2006 9:07:26 PM | message detail
SSB wins the board vote easily against Sonic- I'm pretty sure a significant chunk of the board bracket votes in close matches and most people picked SSB.

I do feel a little better seeing this though. shame for DQ, but nice for the SSB pick.
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/12/2006 9:07:26 PM | message detail
Glad to see reality slapping all the "DQ WILL KEEP IT CLOSE" people in the face.

Go Smash


Only Smurf called for 40% for Dragon Quest. No chance of getting that ridiculous 85% you predicted, and I doubt it can climb up to 80% either.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/12/2006 9:07:31 PM | message detail
I love the stats topic.
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Commit it to memory.
dragoontheguy | Posted 7/12/2006 9:07:34 PM | message detail
SSBM is having a strong start. Much stronger then I expected, especially with that unbelievable percentage gain after five minutes. 0_o

I just realized something. If I had made a favourites bracket it would be doing better then my current serious bracket. lmao that makes me look bad.
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408
Lopen | Posted 7/12/2006 9:09:05 PM | message detail
This isn't impressing me. This is what I expected Smash to get. I'm still calling Sonic the favorite against SSBM...

It'll win with over 72%!

... what?
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
Mac Arrowny | Posted 7/12/2006 9:09:17 PM | message detail
Master Hand, the only SSB character we've seen, increased 10% from five minutes into the poll.

89% ftw!
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/12/2006 9:10:32 PM | message detail
Master Hand, the only SSB character we've seen, increased 10% from five minutes into the poll.

89% ftw!


You DO realize that going from 79 to 89 is a MUCH larger jump than anything in the 40-50 range.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
dragoontheguy | Posted 7/12/2006 9:10:33 PM | message detail
Master Hand, the only SSB character we've seen

I'm assuming you phrased that wrong, and meant the only character exclusive to the SSB series that we've seen.
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408
therealmnm | Posted 7/12/2006 9:10:33 PM | message detail
This is actually surprising for some people?
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/12/2006 9:10:34 PM | message detail
So, Smash will beat Sonic apparently.

Yeah, to be honest I can see SSBM breaking 80% on DQ. If it can hold it or not is another question.
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Current Contest Score: 11/11 Next Winner: Super Smash Bros.
I'll just put something to fill another line here.
transience | Posted 7/12/2006 9:10:42 PM | message detail
that's because it beat the hell out of your beloved DMC! next Castlevania's going to double Metal Ge... oh.
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xyzzy
I lost a sig bet to War13104. Yes, the same guy who had Kefka over Crono. FOR THE HORDE!
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/12/2006 9:11:50 PM | message detail
Haha, take THAT, SSB! A percentage drop! Your fate against Sonic is sealed!

I'm getting ahead of the usual stats topic rate and calling the NEXT round's match over in ten minutes!
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Mac Arrowny | Posted 7/12/2006 9:11:59 PM | message detail
You DO realize that going from 79 to 89 is a MUCH larger jump than anything in the 40-50 range.

You DO realize that I was being MUCH more sarcastic than serious.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/12/2006 9:12:24 PM | message detail
It shouldn't be surprising. SSB's doing what it should -- slaughtering jobber fodder. Yeah, I'd give it the edge against HM and Suikoden, but for it to be considered in their league was telling.

So the question is...how do you think a DMC/DQ match would go?
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Commit it to memory.
dragoontheguy | Posted 7/12/2006 9:12:31 PM | message detail
This is actually surprising for some people?

I fully expected DQ to get completely thrashed, but I thought about a tripling was in order, maybe. I expect SSB to have a strong enough day vote to push it up to 80% or so, which would kind of surprise me.
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/12/2006 9:13:12 PM | message detail
So the question is...how do you think a DMC/DQ match would go?

I'd give it to DMC with a little under 60% of the vote. Then again, that's just a guess.
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Current Contest Score: 11/11 Next Winner: Super Smash Bros.
I'll just put something to fill another line here.
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/12/2006 9:13:55 PM | message detail
If SSBM catches anything significant with the day vote, I'll be shocked. This contest has just laid waste to voting trends.
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Commit it to memory.
Master Moltar | Posted 7/12/2006 9:13:58 PM | message detail
SSB owning the board vote? No surprise.

Now if SSB can hold this percentage? I'll be a bit surprised.

And I'd still take DMC over DQ 60-40...for now.
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Moltar Status: Disappointed, I lost my perfect bracket.
Super Smash Bros. vs. Dragon Quest - Bracket: SSB - Vote: SSB (9/11)
GrapefruitKing | Posted 7/12/2006 9:14:09 PM | message detail
DMC between 62 and 67
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SpC2k6 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Super Smash Bros. with 75.26%
GFK: 26th on the Oracle Leaderboard
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 7/12/2006 9:14:36 PM | message detail
Meh. I'm willing to bet that Dragon Quest is total fodder, and that SSB and Sonic will be pretty close, with hopefully Sonic winning, although I'm not sure on that.

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Can't think of a good sig.
Slowflake | Posted 7/12/2006 9:15:22 PM | message detail
Hmm. SSB is still in the game against Sonic, it looks like.

Or is it the Tetris syndrome?
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Mario's not fun btw and only sells on nostalgia. I mean, you're just walking from one side of a level to the other at a tenth of Sonic's speed... -vego
Big Bob | Posted 7/12/2006 9:16:11 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
GrapefruitKing | Posted 7/12/2006 9:16:25 PM | message detail
SSB'll probably raise to 80-81 during the day and come back to 77-78 in the evening and night.

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SpC2k6 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Super Smash Bros. with 75.26%
GFK: 26th on the Oracle Leaderboard
dragoontheguy | Posted 7/12/2006 9:16:28 PM | message detail
Well so much for SSB dropping in percentage, and owing much of its start to the board vote. What a huge turn in events that last update was.
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408
Big Bob | Posted 7/12/2006 9:16:40 PM | message detail
*pinches face* >.< If I would only learn to stick with my gut instead of listening to logic and reason. Every time I change my oracle pick, it ends up being further away than it used to be.

Except that I considered changing Sonic/Dante from 60-40 to 70-30 but didn't. And look what happened.

Stupid brain.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v674/ImBigBob/PokemonvsMetroid.jpg
transcience | Posted 7/12/2006 9:16:57 PM | message detail
Or is it the Tetris syndrome?

possible, but DQ8 should be its main source of strength and that's on a different system. SSB isn't even on a console that a DW game is.
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xyzzy
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/12/2006 9:16:58 PM | message detail
DQ is fodder because it's not very well-established in North America. This is due to all the Dragon Warrior naming, Nintendo watering down the game and Enix just plain not caring to release 5 and 6 here. Not to mention them releasing DQ7 a year after the Japanese release (when the PS1 was being written off for the PS2).

Dragon Quest 8 was the first time Square-Enix said "OK, here is the serious North American Dragon Quest game".
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Current Contest Score: 11/11 Next Winner: Super Smash Bros.
I'll just put something to fill another line here.
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/12/2006 9:18:17 PM | message detail
SSB seems to be more or less stabilizing around 78%...anything above a percent in change from here to the end of the match would stun me, really.
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Commit it to memory.
rpgapzx | Posted 7/12/2006 9:18:48 PM | message detail
Hmm. SSB is still in the game against Sonic, it looks like.

More a general questions to everyone, when did SSB go from favorite to not?
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SC2k6: 10/11
Today: Bracket: SSB Vote: SSB
dragoontheguy | Posted 7/12/2006 9:19:38 PM | message detail
SSB seems to be more or less stabilizing around 78%

It went up over half a percent last update. Not a lot for this early on, but enoguh for me to not think the percentage is stable.
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408