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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 311

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THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/11/2006 4:45:42 PM | message detail
I've got a jar of dirt! I've got a jar of dirt! And guess what's inside it!

*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, save for three from 2002:
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/tre/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/top10/top10_100.html


!yawa tsoP
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
transience | Posted 7/11/2006 4:46:20 PM | message detail
who is this noob trying to make a stats topic jesus
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xyzzy
bobby200614 | Posted 7/11/2006 4:46:23 PM | message detail
1st?

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You know the kinda people that come to these Stacy concerts, these dudes have got energy to spare. I'm talking guys who beat off four times a day!
creativename | Posted 7/11/2006 6:24:26 PM | message detail
I argued for Warcraft being a force in these contests years ago, before anybody had really even heard of World of Warcraft. Few believed me. Sigh...
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
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TheFreeshooter | Posted 7/11/2006 6:24:59 PM | message detail
As if!
creativename | Posted 7/11/2006 6:26:32 PM | message detail
"Remember this as the day you almost defeated RTS and MMORPG, Warcraft!" <falls off ledge and is splashed by the tides>
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
transience | Posted 7/11/2006 6:27:05 PM | message detail
I don't think WC is even close without WoW, not to mention that it probably doesn't make the field.
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xyzzy
creativename | Posted 7/11/2006 6:41:56 PM | message detail
Yet more underestimation...Warcraft III is popular. Far more so than people around here give it credit for. Without WoW the series obviously wouldn't beat GTA, but it would still show some strength. No way it would be fodder.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
CompmanJX3 | Posted 7/11/2006 6:43:23 PM | message detail
I'm pretty sure that as close as this is Warcraft loses if ANY of its games don't exist, with the possible exception of the original.
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Support Captain Falcon!
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/11/2006 6:47:16 PM | message detail
This match has now entered the top 10 all time for total votes.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Read_Only_Thx | Posted 7/11/2006 7:13:06 PM | message detail
Woo, go Warcraft.
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sig
Tai | Posted 7/11/2006 7:13:14 PM | message detail
Boo @ GTA. :-(
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579987 - Wanna report a TOS violation! Go to Snack Attack and we can help!
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/11/2006 7:13:21 PM | message detail
That 500 was a little unsportsmanlike...but at least it was better than the 499!!!
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Commit it to memory.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 7/11/2006 7:14:49 PM | message detail
Kingdom Hearts > Metal Gear!

Not a chance anymore, sadly. =(
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Everything's 10X better with a RKO and Orton pose. ~ Donkey111
LegendaryLocke | Posted 7/11/2006 7:15:25 PM | message detail
More like, "Fortunately!"

*steals ExTha's RKO and flushes it down the toilet*
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Locke Cole--Winner of the NCAA Character Battle 2005
*steals your underwear*
FastFalcon05 | Posted 7/11/2006 7:15:28 PM | message detail
That 499 will be the truth!



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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/11/2006 7:16:25 PM | message detail
Kingdom Hearts > Metal Gear!

Not a chance anymore, sadly. =(


SADLY?! You are dead to me, Ex, dead to me!!!!

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
FastFalcon05 | Posted 7/11/2006 7:16:49 PM | message detail
We're just going to hide behind the "you can't judge kh off of how it did on harvest moon, since hm was a new entry" wall, and not worry about anything else.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
SSJ3 Miroku | Posted 7/11/2006 7:19:44 PM | message detail
I've been thinking to myself, since everyone is complaining about vote stuffing and such, would this entry just be thrown out the window and everyone given a free point? It would sure save a lot of arguing. Or maybe, it just might create more. lol >.<
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Fighter: Me - Doken!
BM: I taught him that one. ~8 - Bit Theatre
yoblazer33 | Posted 7/11/2006 7:20:23 PM | message detail
That would be pure crap.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/11/2006 7:20:41 PM | message detail
Stop trying to make things interesting, GTA.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/11/2006 7:22:01 PM | message detail
If Mario/Crono II didn't get thrown out, no match will.

And GTA is making me laugh with how it decides *now* to make some consistent cuts. I'm actually rooting for WarCraft to bite back next update.
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Commit it to memory.
Master Moltar | Posted 7/11/2006 7:22:17 PM | message detail
No, it would be re-held tommorrow and only GameFAQs users would be able to vote so GTA would win 61-39.








Hey, it'd be nice for my Crew pick!
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Moltar Status: Disappointed, I lost my perfect bracket.
Grand Theft Auto vs. Warcraft - Bracket: GTA - Vote: GTA (8/9)
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/11/2006 7:23:11 PM | message detail
You have no idea what kind of arguments would arise from giving everyone a point. People who picked Warcraft would be livid.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
Tai | Posted 7/11/2006 7:30:53 PM | message detail
It's all part of the plan, people. :-)

CJayC's gonna post at 24:00 that Warcraft cheated, penalize, and it's game over. :D

Game over, Warcraft. Game over. :-)
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579987 - Wanna report a TOS violation! Go to Snack Attack and we can help!
cyko | Posted 7/11/2006 7:35:34 PM | message detail
I argued for Warcraft being a force in these contests years ago, before anybody had really even heard of World of Warcraft. Few believed me. Sigh...

sorry, creativename, but there is no way that Warcraft even breaks 45% in this match without WoW (if that, even).

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"In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women...." - Homer Simpson
transience | Posted 7/11/2006 7:46:36 PM | message detail
WC wouldn't be fodder, but it also wouldn't be a threat to a big-name series either. WC with WoW is a potential force.

if I had to guess, I'd say that this is one of the less appealing matches to the average GF voter. I wouldn't expect this to get more votes than any match except for FE/SH. seeing it 20-30k votes ahead of where you'd expect it shows you WoW's rallying power alone, and that's not counting the strength it has on this site alone.
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xyzzy
creativename | Posted 7/11/2006 7:50:09 PM | message detail
sorry, creativename, but there is no way that Warcraft even breaks 45% in this match without WoW (if that, even).

Of course it would be significantly less strong than it is, but that would still make it a force. GTA is probably decently strong for a mid-carder.

20-30k votes ahead of where you'd expect it shows you WoW's rallying power alone

20K votes from one-time visitors? That is extremely unrealistic IMO.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
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Tediz247 | Posted 7/11/2006 7:50:19 PM | message detail
Prediction percentage for Warcraft? I'll go with 41.7%.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
Tai | Posted 7/11/2006 7:53:00 PM | message detail
nice gain by GTA! :D
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579987 - Wanna report a TOS violation! Go to Snack Attack and we can help!
Draco1214 | Posted 7/11/2006 7:53:20 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/bse/bse11.jpg
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/11/2006 7:53:40 PM | message detail
Too little, too late.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Tediz247 | Posted 7/11/2006 7:53:50 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/bse/bse11.jpg

Team Sonic could use a lot less Shadow. Not bad, but could be a lot better.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/11/2006 7:54:20 PM | message detail
Holy crap there's a lot of badassitude going on in Sonic's side of the picture.
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Commit it to memory.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/11/2006 7:54:39 PM | message detail
Whoa! Sonic, Knuckles, and Shadow in one match picture against a bad picture of Dante and Vergil?

Game over.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Master Moltar | Posted 7/11/2006 7:54:44 PM | message detail
What? That pic alone wins for Shadow!

DMC is so screwed...
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Moltar Status: Disappointed, I lost my perfect bracket.
Grand Theft Auto vs. Warcraft - Bracket: GTA - Vote: GTA (8/9)
Big Bob | Posted 7/11/2006 7:55:02 PM | message detail
Sonic, Shadow, and Knuckles all in the picture?

Dante's ****ed.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v674/ImBigBob/PokemonvsMetroid.jpg
MarioSuperstar | Posted 7/11/2006 7:56:08 PM | message detail
and now GTA makes a push. pfft, why didn't it do this earlier!
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* Is Dranze *
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 7/11/2006 7:56:22 PM | message detail
Yeah, GTA needs like 90 something (I'm estimating) votes per update to win, not happening.
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Economic Left/Right: 7.50
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: 0.26
Mario Man53245 | Posted 7/11/2006 7:57:29 PM | message detail
GTA is impressing me with it's sudden will to win. It won't be enough though.
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"Nothing helps a bad mood like spreading it around" - Calvin
therealmnm | Posted 7/11/2006 7:59:59 PM | message detail
Ceej didn't need to put Vergil in the picture. DMC is pretty much focused on Dante. Should have had multiple action shots of Dante in the background or something.
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
Draco1214 | Posted 7/11/2006 8:00:53 PM | message detail
Great, now is when GTA starts getting into gear.
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/11/2006 8:01:49 PM | message detail
Silly GTA!
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Commit it to memory.
Tai | Posted 7/11/2006 8:03:58 PM | message detail
I thought Warcraft would have a night vote....

I guess SMB will slap up Warcraft and show them who's fanbase. ;-)
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=579987 - Wanna report a TOS violation! Go to Snack Attack and we can help!
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/11/2006 8:04:24 PM | message detail
That's a fantastic Sonic picture.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
HaRRicH | Posted 7/11/2006 8:10:22 PM | message detail
Back from work...highlights from the past topic or so I missed, please?
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Miss my Four-Pack Of Fun? Go here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/11/2006 8:11:12 PM | message detail
Virtually nothing has happened as far as the match is concerned. It's been doing the same thing all day.

But Sess, EC, and Luster Soldier were axed for vote stuffing with alts.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/11/2006 8:12:13 PM | message detail
GTA making a few teases, nothing of note materializing. Standard arguments about the 128 division.

And as of last update, these votals have surpassed Link/Cloud 2k4 as well as Link/Cloud 2k5. Only Link/Cloud 2k3 to go!! <____<
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Commit it to memory.
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/11/2006 8:14:40 PM | message detail
Oh, and it's solidified its place as 4th most popular poll of all time. Yeah...GTA/Warcraft...

The next rounds better have some killer votals. -_-
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Commit it to memory.
creativename | Posted 7/11/2006 8:19:14 PM | message detail
I was suspecting a Sonic overperformance in this match even before the picture.
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