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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 308

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Lopen | Posted 7/10/2006 9:22:12 PM | message detail

OUR TOWN IS UNDER SIEGE!

Oh man, I'm loving this. I've been dying for a real match... or something that even resembled one. In a way I'm glad my bracket is already screwed. I can root for Warcraft with all of my heart, here.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244

Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/10/2006 9:22:12 PM | message detail

I just hope WC doesn't win because then we'll have to listen to people claim rallying is such a huge factor forever. If WC wins, it'll do it on its own strength, but so many people will fail to realize that.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."

transience | Posted 7/10/2006 9:22:31 PM | message detail

well, the best way to tell with vote rallying is to compare the vote totals..

00:20:

GTA/WC - 5257
CV/Halo - 4714
KH/HM - 4539
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xyzzy

swirIdude | Posted 7/10/2006 9:22:34 PM | message detail

WHERE CAN YOU SEND A FEEDBACK TICKET ABOUT THE POLL UPDATER MISSING THE FINAL UPDATE OF THE POLL?

Someone already did this, and Ceej already responded.
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Xbox 360 melts disks!
And people made jokes about the PS3 being a grill. ~bokunokuso

UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/10/2006 9:22:45 PM | message detail

Slow, one of these days you're going to learn never to call anything in advance.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne

Silencer S | Posted 7/10/2006 9:22:52 PM | message detail

This isn't a match. The full might of THE HORDE will crush GTA and might bet SMB and SSB.

Heard it here first.

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God Bless America.
"Knowing is not enough; we must apply. Willing is not enough; we must do."

Slowflake | Posted 7/10/2006 9:22:56 PM | message detail

Actually, I take the day vote comment back. It's as if the new start hour kills any swing we might otherwise see. We've already seen this 9 times, including a match ENGINEERED as to beat records in that aspect.
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Mario's not fun btw and only sells on nostalgia. I mean, you're just walking from one side of a level to the other at a tenth of Sonic's speed... -vego

Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/10/2006 9:23:12 PM | message detail

WHERE CAN YOU SEND A FEEDBACK TICKET ABOUT THE POLL UPDATER MISSING THE FINAL UPDATE OF THE POLL?

http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/feedback/new.html?typeid=20
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."

BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/10/2006 9:23:17 PM | message detail

I lol at the people calling for a GTA blowout. Even if Warcraft loses, it looks like it can keep it within 55%

TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1

alpha door | Posted 7/10/2006 9:23:31 PM | message detail

I'd say here, EC:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/feedback/new.html?typeid=15

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Official Chrono Trigger Fan
I. Want. Spore. Now.

Applause Sign | Posted 7/10/2006 9:23:55 PM | message detail

Someone already did this, and Ceej already responded.

And it was fixed. And then yesterday it got ****ed up again. Blah blah blah, I NEED AN ANSWER DAMMIT.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids

Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 7/10/2006 9:24:30 PM | message detail

I never understood the 60%+ margins people were calling for but I suppose it really doesn't matter now. Hopefully this match will stay epic.

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"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." ~ Benjamin Franklin

Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/10/2006 9:24:34 PM | message detail

well, the best way to tell with vote rallying is to compare the vote totals..

00:20:

GTA/WC - 5257
CV/Halo - 4714
KH/HM - 4539

Hm... It's still kind of early to tell, but it was a pretty highly anticipated match which will usually lead to high vote totals. And it's also not disappointing in terms of closeness.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."

rpgapzx | Posted 7/10/2006 9:25:14 PM | message detail

GTA back in the DRIVERS Seat!!!
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SC2k6: 9/9 Leaderboard #7: ProfessorBen
Today: Bracket: GTA Vote: Warcraft

Aprosenf | Posted 7/10/2006 9:25:23 PM | message detail

http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/feedback/index.html
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener

Slowflake | Posted 7/10/2006 9:25:30 PM | message detail

From UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/11/2006 12:22:45 AM | #305
Slow, one of these days you're going to learn never to call anything in advance.

~*ST*~

And I believe someone scoffed at the prospect of Warcraft winning.
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Mario's not fun btw and only sells on nostalgia. I mean, you're just walking from one side of a level to the other at a tenth of Sonic's speed... -vego

Janus5000 | Posted 7/10/2006 9:25:35 PM | message detail

OUR HERO HAS FALLEN
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."

longbladeofhiko | Posted 7/10/2006 9:25:49 PM | message detail

COME OOOOON GTA!!! GO GO GO!!!
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
JUST LIKE UR MOM LOLO AND URS TO LALA-Tombolo

transience | Posted 7/10/2006 9:26:10 PM | message detail

*exhales*

hmm... I have no idea what to make of this. if I could change my bracket right now.. well, I'd probably still pick GTA, but god only knows what's going to happen in the daytime.
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xyzzy

Draco1214 | Posted 7/10/2006 9:26:12 PM | message detail

GTA strikes back!
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2

Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/10/2006 9:26:16 PM | message detail

Lead jumps back up now...

I... well, I don't want to say there is cheating, but it might not be so impossible... I hate making that accusation though.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."

rpgapzx | Posted 7/10/2006 9:26:19 PM | message detail

And I believe someone scoffed at the prospect of Warcraft winning.

To be fair, scoffing at someone winning is not at the level up of "calling" a match.
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SC2k6: 9/9 Leaderboard #7: ProfessorBen
Today: Bracket: GTA Vote: Warcraft

Kratos_42 | Posted 7/10/2006 9:26:21 PM | message detail

.17 more for GTA!
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He wields the blade of a fallen hero, but now he is the hero, and it is the others who fall. He is rising. CERtified user.

BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/10/2006 9:27:00 PM | message detail

GTA gains 40 votes, but loses percentage. And percentage is what's going to draw the WoWers to rally.

TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1

V for Vendetta | Posted 7/10/2006 9:27:04 PM | message detail

GTA!
GTA!
GTA!

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This message was brought to you by the letter V

Slowflake | Posted 7/10/2006 9:27:09 PM | message detail

But I never really called it. I was just observing the current trend.
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Mario's not fun btw and only sells on nostalgia. I mean, you're just walking from one side of a level to the other at a tenth of Sonic's speed... -vego

Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/10/2006 9:27:38 PM | message detail

GTA gains 40 votes, but loses percentage. And percentage is what's going to draw the WoWers to rally.

*sigh*
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."

longbladeofhiko | Posted 7/10/2006 9:27:53 PM | message detail

GTA gains 40 votes, but loses percentage. And percentage is what's going to draw the WoWers to rally.

NOO! KICKOUT CACTUS! KICKOUT!!!
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
JUST LIKE UR MOM LOLO AND URS TO LALA-Tombolo

NewLib | Posted 7/10/2006 9:28:08 PM | message detail

Its obvious Romero has returned to help GTA.

[/stupidopinion]
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Where am I?

Read_Only_Thx | Posted 7/10/2006 9:28:17 PM | message detail

Janus5000 | Posted 7/10/2006 9:28:18 PM | message detail

I'm curious - why do WC supporters think server downtime will help WC? That means less opportunity to rally.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."

RPGuy96 | Posted 7/10/2006 9:28:25 PM | message detail

Well, we've seen StarCraft tank during the day, (admittedly, against Halo, Zelda, and Melee), and Diablo rock the day (admittedly, against Kefka and Ridley) - any guess on how WarCraft does during the day?
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"It's two children and a duck. Be careful!" ~ Leo, Suikoden III

Karma Hunter | Posted 7/10/2006 9:28:27 PM | message detail

Slow, you must realize that simply breathing toward a prospective candidate for winning on your part can change the result of a match.
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Commit it to memory.

Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/10/2006 9:28:27 PM | message detail

I just hope WC doesn't win because then we'll have to listen to people claim rallying is such a huge factor forever. If WC wins, it'll do it on its own strength, but so many people will fail to realize that.

The unfortunate truth.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake

BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/10/2006 9:28:27 PM | message detail

Or are you ignoring those 100 votes that GTA lost in one update? You think that's all the rallying WoW has? The servers aren't even down yet.

TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1

Ed Bellis | Posted 7/10/2006 9:28:52 PM | message detail

I just hope WC doesn't win because then we'll have to listen to people claim rallying is such a huge factor forever. If WC wins, it'll do it on its own strength, but so many people will fail to realize that.

If I am around tomorrow, I am going to just keep reposting this for emphasis. Over and over.
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This was Ed Bellis.

XxSoulxX | Posted 7/10/2006 9:28:54 PM | message detail

I hate you all. Really, I do.

You made me sway away from my original thoughts. GTA being extremely strong? I laughed at that first, then believed it. Going back on my original predictions always get me bitten in the ass.
--- -
"ertyu is actually a language. For example, 'dum' is ertyunese for 'godly'." - Topaz Kitsune
Not changing signature until HHH pedigrees Candice through a table. 07/07/06

Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/10/2006 9:28:57 PM | message detail

I'm curious - why do WC supporters think server downtime will help WC? That means less opportunity to rally.

Because everyone knows that when WoWers aren't PLAYING WoW, they're talking about it on the forum. Making it easier to rally them since they're already on the internet instead of in the game.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."

Applause Sign | Posted 7/10/2006 9:29:08 PM | message detail

These updates are all over the place. Granted it's only 30 minutes in, so I don't want to call anything just yet. But it should definitely be watched.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids

transience | Posted 7/10/2006 9:29:14 PM | message detail

I... well, I don't want to say there is cheating, but it might not be so impossible... I hate making that accusation though.

well, I think it's fair to say that there's going to be some vote rallying no matter what. there's already been topics made on WoW forums after all. the question is how much - you'd think that it'd take some time for the word to spread, so WoW's rallying power isn't even close to being realized right now.

I think we'll have a better idea in an hour or so. if this is blowing the hell out of every votal thus far, I'll probably call shenanigans.
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xyzzy

SonicRaptor | Posted 7/10/2006 9:29:14 PM | message detail

Well, someone already posted the link to the contest on the official WoW forums. Won't say anymore.
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"Never argue with a fool, people may not tell the difference" - Murphy's Law

Slowflake | Posted 7/10/2006 9:29:46 PM | message detail

Seriously, if there's any night/day shift, I'd expect Warcraft to do similar to Starcraft. Could be wrong - hope I'm not.
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Mario's not fun btw and only sells on nostalgia. I mean, you're just walking from one side of a level to the other at a tenth of Sonic's speed... -vego

rpgapzx | Posted 7/10/2006 9:29:53 PM | message detail

The first ten minutes, GTA got around 700 votes per five-minute update, while Warcraft averaged around 550. Since then, GTA's dropped down to around 550 with Warcraft slightly doing better.

That last update, GTA did the same but Warcraft dripped below 500. Interesting.

Maybe a fluke, or is the rush ending prematurely?

It's very hard to read into vote swings in the beginning of a match. The 700 bulge is explained by the BoaRacket vote, though.

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SC2k6: 9/9 Leaderboard #7: ProfessorBen
Today: Bracket: GTA Vote: Warcraft

Ed Bellis | Posted 7/10/2006 9:30:05 PM | message detail

Yeah, but I posted a link to this contest on the ESPN forums and that didn't do a lot !!
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This was Ed Bellis.

DarkFireDragoon9999 | Posted 7/10/2006 9:30:11 PM | message detail

*Call to rms*

*Casts blizzard on gta*

Kratos_42 | Posted 7/10/2006 9:30:23 PM | message detail

BIG LOSS FOR GTA!
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He wields the blade of a fallen hero, but now he is the hero, and it is the others who fall. He is rising. CERtified user.

GalacticMage777 | Posted 7/10/2006 9:30:33 PM | message detail

Sigh. It's so nice to have such conflict between two games of different genres. It allows combination jokes to be a good 1 or 2 standard deviations above the mean MB humor level.

...

Meat Wagon Drive-by time!

Chuga-chuga-chuga-BAM BAM BAM BAM-chuga-chuga-chuga-chuga...
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It's funny that violence is socially acceptable when sex isn't; violence is the one that will kill you most of the time.- Ultimaterilizer

SonicRaptor | Posted 7/10/2006 9:30:54 PM | message detail

I'm going to watch this for another half-hour, then I go get something to eat then sleep.
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"Never argue with a fool, people may not tell the difference" - Murphy's Law

Applause Sign | Posted 7/10/2006 9:30:59 PM | message detail

I have a feeling that this match is going to be pure sex. PURE SEX.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids

Karma Hunter | Posted 7/10/2006 9:31:00 PM | message detail

F'ing A. This isn't rallying. This is GTA tanking.
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Commit it to memory.

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