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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 308

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SonicRaptor | Posted 7/10/2006 9:04:50 PM | message detail
I wonder what will happen in the next update, I predict a drop on GTA's end.
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"Never argue with a fool, people may not tell the difference" - Murphy's Law
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/10/2006 9:04:54 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
8------3100----99.3225806
7------14381---98.1572909
6------17086---96.3244762
5------8291----94.4397540
4------2545----91.6306483
3------558-----88.8888889
2------137-----60.5839416
1------76------7.8947368
0------24------4.1666667

Close but not quite. The perfects were just 21 people off having a perfect prediction percentage. The match was easy so we have the top performers doing the best again. We lost a zero bracket somehow. No idea what kind of bracket it could have been to suddenly get a point now.

Nobody fell off the Top 50 today.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
Lopen | Posted 7/10/2006 9:04:57 PM | message detail
I expected Warcraft to just die... but after an initial deficit, it held tight. Will it keep it up? I hope so, I want to see a good match here.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
yoblazer33 | Posted 7/10/2006 9:05:16 PM | message detail
OMMGFMGFMFNMGFNGKJWSEJ
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/10/2006 9:05:17 PM | message detail
The bracket vote is pretty damn split here, though. Warcraft > GTA was the most popular upset for a LONG time.
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Commit it to memory.
transience | Posted 7/10/2006 9:05:24 PM | message detail
huh, and it went down 1%. this is worrisome.
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xyzzy
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/10/2006 9:05:29 PM | message detail
The lead was cut by 1% in the last five minutes.
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"Never argue with a fool, people may not tell the difference" - Murphy's Law
Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/10/2006 9:05:34 PM | message detail
Hm... I'll stay up for ten more minutes, see how the next two updates go, and go to sleep.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/10/2006 9:05:35 PM | message detail
GTA is pretty popular on this board? No.

Fixed your punctuation errors.
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/10/2006 9:06:29 PM | message detail
Although, the number I kept using for GTA's advantage in this match was 10,000 votes. So I was always thinking 55-45. But it could still end up much higher for GTA.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/10/2006 9:06:30 PM | message detail
Man, I can't believe I'm going to miss the majority of this match, especially the part where the WoW servers are down for.


TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
Draco1214 | Posted 7/10/2006 9:06:37 PM | message detail
GTA's lead increased by almost 90 votes in that last update.
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2
rpgapzx | Posted 7/10/2006 9:07:00 PM | message detail
In terms of the day/night split, GTA is expected to run in the day, right?
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SC2k6: 9/9 Leaderboard #7: ProfessorBen
Today: Bracket: GTA Vote: Warcraft
Phediuk | Posted 7/10/2006 9:07:05 PM | message detail
Don't tell me we have another Count Chokeula on our hands here.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
Applause Sign | Posted 7/10/2006 9:07:09 PM | message detail
I'm not saying this poll is gonna go down to the wire... but if we have one that does, we're not gonna know who won, because the ending poll count is acting screwy again.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/10/2006 9:07:46 PM | message detail
In terms of the day/night split, GTA is expected to run in the day, right?

Day and night votes barely exist in this contest, but if WC is anything like every other Blizzard entry then yes, it does best at night.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Applause Sign | Posted 7/10/2006 9:08:03 PM | message detail
Don't tell me we have another Count Chokeula on our hands here.

Don't tell me you're seriously equating this with Halo.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids
THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/10/2006 9:08:05 PM | message detail
Hmmm....Unless GTA does a lot of gaining (and based on every match so far, large percentage fluctuations are not likely), we may have lost a candidate for 4th strongest series.
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
cyko | Posted 7/10/2006 9:08:13 PM | message detail
blast. i really thought Warcraft wouldn't be able to keep it this close. >_<

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"In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women...." - Homer Simpson
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/10/2006 9:08:24 PM | message detail
Uh, Diablo did noticably better in the day in all his matches.
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Commit it to memory.
Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/10/2006 9:08:48 PM | message detail
Uh, Diablo did noticably better in the day in all his matches.

Really? My mistake then.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
swirIdude | Posted 7/10/2006 9:08:55 PM | message detail
Hopefully GTA can get it going soon. If rallying is a threat, close percentages will entice stronger rallying.
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Xbox 360 melts disks!
And people made jokes about the PS3 being a grill. ~bokunokuso
Janus5000 | Posted 7/10/2006 9:09:11 PM | message detail
but if WC is anything like every other Blizzard entry

Didn't Diablo do best during the afternoon?
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/10/2006 9:09:21 PM | message detail
When do the WoW servers go down for maintenance, by the way?
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"Never argue with a fool, people may not tell the difference" - Murphy's Law
THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/10/2006 9:09:30 PM | message detail
Diablo was a day beast, and StarCraft was a night beast. No idea what Warcraft would be.
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/10/2006 9:09:36 PM | message detail
Yeah, I actually had a visual image of Snake *****-slapping me in the face for all my GTA/SSB > MG talk.
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Commit it to memory.
Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/10/2006 9:09:53 PM | message detail
Didn't Diablo do best during the afternoon?

I SAID I WAS SORRY STOP HARASSING ME YOU BULLY!
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/10/2006 9:09:53 PM | message detail
GTA should definitely do better during the day and WarCraft during the night, I would say. I doubt we'll have a huge swing in percentage though. No match so far has swung very much from the first few updates.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
rpgapzx | Posted 7/10/2006 9:10:07 PM | message detail
On that note, I had another question that wasn't previously answered. What characters seem to be most neutral in terms of the day/night split?


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SC2k6: 9/9 Leaderboard #7: ProfessorBen
Today: Bracket: GTA Vote: Warcraft
Mac Arrowny | Posted 7/10/2006 9:10:15 PM | message detail
Vice City increased from the start of the match against SSBM, and we all know from Master Hand what a beast that game is during the daytime.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/10/2006 9:10:25 PM | message detail
From THEJackSparrow Posted 7/11/2006 12:08:05 AM #218
Hmmm....Unless GTA does a lot of gaining (and based on every match so far, large percentage fluctuations are not likely), we may have lost a candidate for 4th strongest series.

I doubt it. To be really honest, I think a lot of people are letting their WoW hate undermine how strong Warcraft might be. Or maybe it's just me.

Regardless, GO KILL IT GTA.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne
transience | Posted 7/10/2006 9:10:55 PM | message detail
I'd think WC will be a day vote kind of series thanks to rallying.. plus, Diablo was pretty damn good with the day vote.

I was hoping for some more separation here.. I'd think that rallying would be far more likely in a close match. if this was 60+%, people probably wouldn't even bother.
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xyzzy
Janus5000 | Posted 7/10/2006 9:11:05 PM | message detail
I SAID I WAS SORRY STOP HARASSING ME YOU BULLY!

poll 2087
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
longbladeofhiko | Posted 7/10/2006 9:11:06 PM | message detail
LETS GO GTA LETS GO!!! In honor of GTA, I'm totally gonna go on a couple killing sprees in San Andreas.
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
JUST LIKE UR MOM LOLO AND URS TO LALA-Tombolo
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/10/2006 9:11:17 PM | message detail
Yeah, I actually had a visual image of Snake *****-slapping me in the face for all my GTA/SSB > MG talk.

That's what you get. I told you heathens that was nonsense!

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/10/2006 9:11:30 PM | message detail
WoW servers are down from about 3am pacific to 11am pacific, whic is like the peak time in China, and a good chunk of the morning for the east coast.


TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/10/2006 9:11:44 PM | message detail
Honestly, I can't see Warcraft being in the upper class. Maybe high-mid, but not a contender for the 4th strongest series.
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/10/2006 9:12:00 PM | message detail
Hm. Well, as far as percentage is concerned, Warcraft is doing nicely. It's still giving up lead though.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 7/10/2006 9:12:07 PM | message detail
So much for a 60%+ win for GTA.

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"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." ~ Benjamin Franklin
Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/10/2006 9:12:30 PM | message detail

poll 2087


;__________;
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Big Bob | Posted 7/10/2006 9:13:00 PM | message detail
Weren't Ridley, M. Bison, and Kefka all beating Diablo at the very start of their matches?
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v674/ImBigBob/PokemonvsMetroid.jpg
Adept of Aiur | Posted 7/10/2006 9:13:58 PM | message detail
Well, GTA has a bigger lead than Castlevania did right now. Just saying...

Basically, I doubt WC is winning this match. It's just closer than a lot of us though.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
transience | Posted 7/10/2006 9:14:03 PM | message detail
what kind of day/night vote did VC have in 2k4? I'd think it to have a good night vote, but I'm not sure.
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xyzzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/10/2006 9:14:07 PM | message detail
I have Halo to the third round. GO WARCRAFT
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Commit it to memory.
Slowflake | Posted 7/10/2006 9:14:44 PM | message detail
Hmm. I'm fully expecting GTA to get the day vote (it's against Warcraft for crissakes), so if Warcraft doesn't get its ass in gear soon it's over.

I've been thinking, other than Diablo and Kratos Aurion, can you think of any other non-Square RPG character capable of breaking 20% against Link? (Even there, I'd think Kratos is pretty borderline.)
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Mario's not fun btw and only sells on nostalgia. I mean, you're just walking from one side of a level to the other at a tenth of Sonic's speed... -vego
Janus5000 | Posted 7/10/2006 9:14:54 PM | message detail
Ridley never lead Diablo except maybe during the initial board vote.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/10/2006 9:15:04 PM | message detail
From what I remember of Ulti's analysis, VC was able to keep it close until SSBM got a day vote lift. I wasn't here for most of that match though, so I couldn't tell ya.
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Commit it to memory.
transience | Posted 7/10/2006 9:15:13 PM | message detail
whoa.
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xyzzy
Master Moltar | Posted 7/10/2006 9:15:20 PM | message detail
Wow...it got close all of a sudden...
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Moltar Status: Disappointed, I lost my perfect bracket.
Grand Theft Auto vs. Warcraft - Bracket: GTA - Vote: GTA (8/9)
longbladeofhiko | Posted 7/10/2006 9:15:28 PM | message detail
WHOOP SOME ASS GTA~! God I'm into this matchup!
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
JUST LIKE UR MOM LOLO AND URS TO LALA-Tombolo