GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 308
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| UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/10/2006 4:55:35 AM | message detail |
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So yeah, remember when people in the stats topic kept arguing that
Madden would have been a killer dark horse pick had it been in a better
spot on the bracket? I've played (and loved) every Madden game to death since 1992, and I was quietly laughing the whole time :) GameFAQs has always hated sports games. *Creativename's websites* Everything you could ever imagine: http://www.GameFAQsContests.com http://www.sc2k5.com http://www.sc2k4.com Sortable Table for Every Contest Match: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19 *Extrapolated Standings* Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11 Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left): http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ *Solarshadow's Sites* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating) http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html *Old Stats topics* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note) 2003-2004 Off-Season: http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note) Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL. Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm *Match Pictures* All the match pics, save for three from 2002: http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php *Miscellaneous* Creativename's Page of Links: http://sc2k4.com/links.php UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language): http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language): http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches: http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists: http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251 HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 TRE's poll listing (every poll!): http://members.shaw.ca/tre/Polls.html Aprosenf's Poll Script: http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt GameFAQs' Top 100 Games: http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/top10/top10_100.html !yawa tsoP |
| XIII_rocks | Posted 7/10/2006 4:56:30 AM | message detail |
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first --- http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz Beef Jerky, Catgirls, DESU DESU DESU! O_o |
| MyWorldIsTerra | Posted 7/10/2006 4:58:04 AM | message detail |
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WARCRAFT >>>>>>>>>>>>> GTA --- Nominate Celes Chere for SC2k6! *is raytan7585* at work |
| jonthomson | Posted 7/10/2006 4:58:24 AM | message detail |
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Nobody taught Madden the power sweep. It's nearly unstoppable. --- Jon Thomson - CATS, Jay Solano, Ridley, Scorpion, Alien Hominid, Duke Nukem, The Prince, Johnny Rocketfingers, two TBA |
| XIII_rocks | Posted 7/10/2006 4:58:56 AM | message detail |
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*looks at contest polls since I've been in London* ...God dammit Halo. I presume I'm out of the Guru challenge thanks to that x_X. That's the second time in two contests I've been talked out of an eventually correct pick. First was by the whole board last year, with Knux/Magus, and then this. Thanks a lot, HM >_> Every match has broken 100k so far, which is cool. Predictable that SH/FE was the lowest, but it still broke the barrier. --- http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz Beef Jerky, Catgirls, DESU DESU DESU! O_o |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/10/2006 7:38:04 AM | message detail |
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65 toss power trap! --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| Anal Storage | Posted 7/10/2006 9:54:04 AM | message detail |
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So yeah, remember when people in the stats topic kept arguing that
Madden would have been a killer dark horse pick had it been in a better
spot on the bracket? I've played (and loved) every Madden game to death since 1992, and I was quietly laughing the whole time :) GameFAQs has always hated sports games. That was me... yet I picked SMB with one of the higest percenatges out of anyone. I still think a Madden game could fair pretty well in a contest setting (fodder line well), but the way voters have been voting (Based on the actual series merits, despite the fact that we never give the voters enough credit), combined with it going up against SMB, one of the best and most notorious series of all time, makes it incredibly weak. Hell right now SMB is doing worse than I predicted, granted I wouldn't call it an underperformance either. Also, don't want a new discussion to break out in here before the other one hits 500, but you know, I couldn't help myself. --- Explicit Content I used to be Asian, but I didn't get good enough grades so my parents beat it out of me. - snalien |
| Guess how many teens | Posted 7/10/2006 9:56:44 AM | message detail |
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*is worried about tomorrow* --- There are 2 rules to being a success in life: 1. Never give out all the information. |
| Anal Storage | Posted 7/10/2006 10:17:43 AM | message detail |
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Power Sweep + Mass Juking = Instant Win. --- Explicit Content I used to be Asian, but I didn't get good enough grades so my parents beat it out of me. - snalien |
| capatillistpiglet | Posted 7/10/2006 10:19:20 AM | message detail |
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*Is worried about tomorrow as well* Maybe I should have learnt my lesson when Ness defeated CJ. Then again, never say never. --- Hay, my message and sig have been swapped around. Best. Series. Ever. Score: 8/8 Today's Pick: SMB |
| Draco1214 | Posted 7/10/2006 10:20:16 AM | message detail |
| [This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
| Draco1214 | Posted 7/10/2006 10:20:48 AM | message detail |
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I will never see why tomorrow's match is so debated... --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2 |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 7/10/2006 10:21:19 AM | message detail |
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Word up <_< --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa JUST LIKE UR MOM LOLO AND URS TO LALA-Tombolo |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 7/10/2006 10:21:53 AM | message detail |
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I hope GTA doubles Warcraft somehow --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa JUST LIKE UR MOM LOLO AND URS TO LALA-Tombolo |
| jonthomson | Posted 7/10/2006 10:22:55 AM | message detail |
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Match 10 - Grand Theft Auto vs Warcraft What a waste. This match is a huge waste of two franchises, considering the types of fodderific matches and walkovers that we've had up to now. On the one hand we've got Grand Theft Auto, which pretty much polarises the boards but has had multiple massive games of recent, and then we've got Warcraft, the one series in the contest which could either crash and burn horribly, or end up being a Starcraft-style dark horse. Either way, they don't make it out of the four pack they're in. If we swap, say, Warcraft for Pokemon, we not only have a massively comical match right here, but the potential for somewhat of a run and a potential upset. Oh well. So what to make of it? GTA's huge, no question about it, and one of the second tier of series that has a legitimate shot at 4th place. Vice City ran SSBM close, it's since had San Andreas, and has the earlier installments and other spinoffs like Liberty City Stories. Warcraft has had a steady series and now has World of Warcraft, which people seem to love or hate. Its potential strength has a wide margin for error. This is obvious to most people. It could get blown out of the water. We've also had people account betting for it. It's one of the more interesting matchups of round 1, between two big "casual" series. I'm tempted to say that it'll be fairly close, but GTA will have no real trouble. Regardless of how badly the characters have performed, board 8 is one of the few places that has real hate for GTA which may distort views. Needless to say, whoever wins gets killed in the next round, but for now I tip Rockstar over Blizzard. Bracket says: Grand Theft Auto Favourites bracket says: Grand Theft Auto Vote says: Grand Theft Auto Prediction: Grand Theft Auto with 54.47% Fun fact of the day: jonthomson is still gloating somewhat that he was the only person to pick Pacman > Ocelot in the prophet challenge. --- Jon Thomson - CATS, Jay Solano, Ridley, Scorpion, Alien Hominid, Duke Nukem, The Prince, Johnny Rocketfingers, two TBA |
| Draco1214 | Posted 7/10/2006 10:22:59 AM | message detail |
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I wouldn't be surprised in the slightest if GTA does. I'm banking on about 60-62% for GTA, though. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2 |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/10/2006 10:28:25 AM | message detail |
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I never thought I'd see the day when Grand Theft Auto was being underestimated. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| Draco1214 | Posted 7/10/2006 10:30:01 AM | message detail |
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In the face of Blizzard, everything is underestimated! --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2 |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 7/10/2006 10:47:23 AM | message detail |
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I really hope these next couple of matches take out a lotta perfects, I wanna get back in this thing damnit <_< --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa JUST LIKE UR MOM LOLO AND URS TO LALA-Tombolo |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/10/2006 10:48:10 AM | message detail |
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Unless GTA loses, you won't see a large number of perfects fall tomorrow. No way Sonic's losing to DMC, so no worries there. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 7/10/2006 10:49:51 AM | message detail |
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Well Mega Man/Mario Kart and SF/ES(in a lesser extent, but I'll be
damned if I don't see a lotta guys taking ES for the upset) are bound
to cause perfects to fall, no way around those. --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa JUST LIKE UR MOM LOLO AND URS TO LALA-Tombolo |
| Zeekade | Posted 7/10/2006 10:52:11 AM | message detail |
| I remain shocked at the amount of people I've seen pick ES over SF. |
| Tarrot | Posted 7/10/2006 10:54:05 AM | message detail |
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Warcraft has, roughly, a million players on the WoW servers. If you
thought bnet was bad, wait until you combine bnet (still very popular)
and the WoW realms. In pretty much a make or break pick, I got WoW in the Final Four, over Mario. That happens, I win. That doesn't, I wasn't going to win anyways. |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 7/10/2006 11:56:39 AM | message detail |
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| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/10/2006 12:06:42 PM | message detail |
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*sighs* Honestly, I really doubt most WoW players are going to care. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 7/10/2006 12:09:17 PM | message detail |
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Knuckles > Warcraft --- - "ertyu is actually a language. For example, 'dum' is ertyunese for 'godly'." - Topaz Kitsune Not changing signature until HHH pedigrees Candice through a table. 07/07/06 |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 7/10/2006 12:09:46 PM | message detail |
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My left earlobe > Warcraft --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa JUST LIKE UR MOM LOLO AND URS TO LALA-Tombolo |
| Anal Storage | Posted 7/10/2006 12:44:43 PM | message detail |
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My left ballsack > Warcraft. --- Explicit Content I used to be Asian, but I didn't get good enough grades so my parents beat it out of me. - snalien |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/10/2006 12:48:40 PM | message detail |
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Magus > Warcraft That ought to give you an idea of how sick I am of hearing about this match. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| cyko | Posted 7/10/2006 4:22:49 PM | message detail |
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in other news, i was looking through some old polls and i found this: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=482 Of the top 5 games on GameFAQs today, which is your favorite? Conker's Bad Fur Day 10.61% 1249 Final Fantasy IX 40.41% 4755 Onimusha 7.07% 832 Phantasy Star Online 17.69% 2082 Pokemon Gold/Silver 8.45% 994 I don't know, I haven't played any of them 15.77% 1856 TOTAL VOTES 11768 why didn't anyone ever pull this out before Xenogears vs. Pokemon G/S/C!!?!?!?! old poll, but losing to Conker and PSO and barely beating Onimusha?!? good grief...... --- "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women...." - Homer Simpson |
| rpgapzx | Posted 7/10/2006 5:14:57 PM | message detail |
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Can someone answer a question for me: What characters are most day/night neutral in this contest? --- SC2k6: 8/8 Leaderboard #7: ProfessorBen Today: Bracket: Mario Vote: Mario |
| SonicRaptor | Posted 7/10/2006 5:19:22 PM | message detail |
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why didn't anyone ever pull this out before Xenogears vs. Pokemon
G/S/C!!?!?!?! old poll, but losing to Conker and PSO and barely beating
Onimusha?!? good grief...... I find it amazing that FF9 got all those votes despite nobody talking about it today. --- "Never argue with a fool, people may not tell the difference" - Murphy's Law |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/10/2006 5:23:04 PM | message detail |
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I wager FFIX itself would do pretty well in a contest, but it wouldn't measure up to FFVI, FFVII, FFVIII, FFX, or FFT. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| charmander6000 | Posted 7/10/2006 5:23:20 PM | message detail |
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Match X: (4) Grand Theft Auto vs. (5) Warcraft ames in series Grand Theft Auto (PS, 1998) Grand Theft Auto 2 (PS, 1999) Grand Theft Auto: London, 1969 (PS, 1999) Grand Theft Auto III (PS2, 2001) Grand Theft Auto: Vice City (PS2, 2002) Grand Theft Auto Advance (GBA, 2004) Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas (PS2, 2004) Grand Theft Auto: Liberty City Stories (PSP, 2005) Warcraft: Orcs and Humans (PC, 1994) Warcraft II: Tides of Darkness (PC, 1995) Warcraft III: Reign of Chaos (PC, 2002) World of Warcraft (PC, 2004) Analysis: Grand Theft Auto, a game as the media put it where you steal cars and kill hookers. >_> Ever since the release of the series (though mostly after GTA3) the media and people such as Jack Thompson have trying to ban GTA. The reason why people love this game is because you have the freedom of doing whatever you want and completing the missions how ever you want. So you could use a hooker and then kill her, but at no point does the game tell you to do so. Warcraft is a PC series made by Blizzard and it has the best chance of making it to Round 2. In Warcraft you follow the story of a war with many different characters and surprises. At first there wasn’t much talk about this match, but as bracket predicting was coming to a close the match started to get more and more talk. The biggest reason why people think Warcraft could upset GTA is through vote rallying. Like Starcraft did in 2k4 people are predicting that the Warcraft boards will be packed with people advertising to go to GameFAQs and voting. I think people are putting too much stock into how much people will be rallying for this series. Starcraft was a 16 seed with a chance of upsetting the 1 seed Halo and as soon as the match started and people saw how close Starcraft was winning and later in the day losing people began to find out that every vote counts and began to rally. So unless Warcraft starts out going 50/50 with GTA don’t expect a whole lot of rallying. Starcraft also got a huge advantage once the poll was moved because people who came from Bnet and other sites were actually looking for the poll. Grand Theft Auto isn’t out of the wood works yet. Even though it had games during the Playstation era the games wasn’t as popular as the games are now and many people consider the series to be from the current gen and many series from this gen haven’t done so well. Soul Calibur lost by more than expected, Halo lost and Kingdom Hearts “underperformed”. Some people say that because of the newness of the series and they aren’t as establish as a series compare to others even though they have strong games as shown from the games contest (Though this may be because they were all in the same 4-pack as Starcraft). I’m not saying Warcraft it an established series, but GTA should watch out. In the end Grand Theft Auto should win easily, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Warcraft pulled a Starcraft and won the match with a lot of rallying. Too bad the winner has to be wasted on SMB. If this match was switched with FE/SH it would have made the division one crazy division. charmander6000’s Bracket: Grand Theft Auto over Warcraft charmander6000’s Prediction: Grand Theft Auto wins, 56.12% - 43.88% --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| therealmnm | Posted 7/10/2006 5:58:53 PM | message detail |
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I'm betting that the GTA pic will be similar to the Castlevania
picture... GTA III guy, Tommy Vercetti, and CJ with the Grand Theft
Auto logo at the bottom. --- Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6 Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC |
| Draco1214 | Posted 7/10/2006 6:00:05 PM | message detail |
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I wonder what Warcraft's will be. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2 |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/10/2006 6:02:28 PM | message detail |
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Mario should set the new record for most individual votes with this next update, and he'll have almost 3 hours left. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| Draco1214 | Posted 7/10/2006 6:04:50 PM | message detail |
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These should be the pics used for the GTA3 guy, Tommy Vercetti, and CJ: http://www.defunctgames.com/pic/award2002manoftheyear02.jpg http://www.kenston.k12.oh.us/khs/tplookalike_new/GTA.jpg http://images.amazon.com/images/G/01/videogames/editorial/screenshots/gta-carl.jpg --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2 |
| Kratos_42 | Posted 7/10/2006 6:09:24 PM | message detail |
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Let's talk about ES/SF. I think ES will slaughter SF, because SF is a
series everyone is tired of, much more so than Sonic. ES, on the other
hand, has the hugely successful Oblivion recently out, a ton of people
coming to GameFAQs looking for Oblivion FAQs, and the possibility for
series vote rallying. It should be a blowout, 70-30. --- He wields the blade of a fallen hero, but now he is the hero, and it is the others who fall. He is rising. CERtified user. |
| therealmnm | Posted 7/10/2006 6:09:42 PM | message detail |
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If the pictures were bigger, they need to throw Wu Zi Mu in the pic as well as some of the GTA "cover" chicks. --- Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6 Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC |
| Draco1214 | Posted 7/10/2006 6:10:07 PM | message detail |
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Street Fighter will demolish Elder Scrolls on name recognition alone. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2 |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/10/2006 6:10:21 PM | message detail |
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...You're obviously not familiar with how things work around here. If anyone does the blowing out, it'll be Street Fighter II. Regardless, I don't expect it to be a big blowout either way. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/10/2006 6:12:00 PM | message detail |
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There's the 100,000 mark for Super Mario Brothers. We're also about
2500 away from making this match the most popular of the contest so far. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| therealmnm | Posted 7/10/2006 6:12:02 PM | message detail |
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Let's talk about ES/SF. I think ES will slaughter SF, because SF is
a series everyone is tired of, much more so than Sonic. ES, on the
other hand, has the hugely successful Oblivion recently out, a ton of
people coming to GameFAQs looking for Oblivion FAQs, and the
possibility for series vote rallying. Who's tired of Street Fighter? Get your facts straight. Street Fighter is still a popular series. Elder Scrolls may be a popular game, but its fanbase is still niche. Everybody has played a Street Fighter game. I don't see how Elder Scrolls can actually win that fight. Street Fighter would actually have to be pretty pathetic to lose that. --- Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6 Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC |
| LordOfDabu | Posted 7/10/2006 6:14:01 PM | message detail |
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It should be a blowout, but it won't be. Not in that direction, anyway. --- The GameFAQs StarCraft Tournament of Champions 2006 Bracket: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=2000184&topic=28995048 |
| HaRRicH | Posted 7/10/2006 6:18:37 PM | message detail |
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Mario deserves every bit of this and more. SMB > FF, please...won't happen, but pplleeaassee. --- Miss my Four-Pack Of Fun? Go here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 |
| charmander6000 | Posted 7/10/2006 6:18:45 PM | message detail |
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SMB > LoZ in terms of votes --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/10/2006 6:19:36 PM | message detail |
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Everybody has played a Street Fighter game. Hmmm...I'd like to see a poll about that, actually. I'd be intrigued by what the results would be. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/10/2006 6:21:20 PM | message detail |
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And it looks like SMB might fall a tad short of winning by 100,000
votes. It's about 8000 votes away from doing it, and it took about 2
and a half hours to increase its lead by 8000. --- SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden |
| therealmnm | Posted 7/10/2006 6:25:44 PM | message detail |
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Hmmm...I'd like to see a poll about that, actually. I'd be intrigued by what the results would be. Of course, I'm also counting the Vs. games as they feature Street Fighter characters. Including those, I'm sure the play percentage would be pretty high... --- Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6 Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC |