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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 305

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ApplesauceSign | Posted 7/8/2006 9:17:31 AM | message detail
I would love nothing mroe than to see 5000 votes get removed from CV, I don't expect it, but it would be glorious to see this board.

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Cheer Up Emo Kids.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 7/8/2006 9:20:39 AM | message detail
Heh if CjayC removed 5000 votes from Castlevania it would still be leading :)
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1f u c4n r34d th1s u r34lly n33d t0 g37 l41d
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 9:21:00 AM | message detail
If you can cheat 3000 votes and not get caught, you can cheat 10000, it's as simple as that. Now granted, I don't think Starcraft cheated anywhere near that many, but that's due to the relatively low votals that match had. Sure, you can write it off as an 'overperformance', but I'm not convinced cheating wasn't involved in some of the other notable 'overperformances' we've had over the years.

And if Mario/Crono I is any indication, then Ceej seems more than willing to downplay the amount of cheated votes a given match receives. And for good reason: what kind of credibility would a contest match have if Ceej said 5000 or so votes had been cheated? Heck, not nearly as many were taken away in Kefka/Vercetti and there was still a major blowup; that's about as clear-cut an example of cheating as one can get. The difference is SSBM held on, so there wasn't a reason to take away anything in the end.

I'm not saying that cheat votes HAVE to be the reason by any means, but I certainly consider it a viable possibility. And Starcraft could have done plenty of other things to screw up its half-division that don't fall under the lines of 'cheating', either. I still blame it.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/8/2006 9:25:52 AM | message detail
From RPGuy96 Posted 7/8/2006 11:38:16 AM #251
Ahahahahaha! So what happened to Castlevania being a niche series? Or Halo blowing out GoldenEye?

Castlevania is a niche series. Halo just isn't a series.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 9:26:25 AM | message detail
Neither is Super Smash Brothers!
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/8/2006 9:30:09 AM | message detail
Exactly. Sonic winning that won't surprise me.

What'll really be hilarious is if Castlevania beats Kingdom Hearts.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne
V for Vendetta | Posted 7/8/2006 9:31:29 AM | message detail
I don't think CV will anything better than 46% on KH

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Anal Storage | Posted 7/8/2006 9:31:47 AM | message detail
I don't understand how anyone in their right minds can justify a CV > Halo pick, and then take SSB > Sonic. It's completely contradicting your own logic, and I truly think Sonic has the advantage going into that match. Also, the amount of people that still believe KH > CV is a lock amuses me.

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I used to be Asian, but I didn't get good enough grades so my parents beat it out of me. - snalien
Anal Storage | Posted 7/8/2006 9:32:18 AM | message detail
V for Vendetta | Posted 7/8/2006 12:31:29 PM | message detail
I don't think CV will anything better than 46% on KH


Thanks for proving my point. >_>

lol boards hard-on for kh

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I used to be Asian, but I didn't get good enough grades so my parents beat it out of me. - snalien
V for Vendetta | Posted 7/8/2006 9:33:41 AM | message detail
notice how I didn't use the word 'lock'? >_>

That is just how I see the match at this point, could change after tomorrow's results


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Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 9:34:27 AM | message detail
I think it would be funny if MG tripled KH/CV.

Thus giving it the easiest division since Link 2k2
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Anal Storage | Posted 7/8/2006 9:35:09 AM | message detail
Halo, won the last update, time for a 100 vote increase by CV.

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I used to be Asian, but I didn't get good enough grades so my parents beat it out of me. - snalien
andaca | Posted 7/8/2006 9:36:04 AM | message detail
I actually ran the numbers on what things would have been like if there had been 10,000 cheat votes for Starcraft in the SSBM match.

Halo would still beat SotN with 69%.

Did Starcraft make Halo seem stronger in the X-stats than it was? Probably by a bit, sure.

But by anything that would even begin to serve as a valuable explanation to what is happening today? Not even remotely close.

Personally, Castlevania as a series being much stronger than we imagined seems to be the best explanation we have available, followed closely by Halo having gone down a bit since we last saw it. Any attempt to explain this result away using SC cheat votes is horribly premature, but it also would fly directly in the face of reality.
Anal Storage | Posted 7/8/2006 9:37:31 AM | message detail
notice how I didn't use the word 'lock'? >_>

That is just how I see the match at this point, could change after tomorrow's results


Considering that everything Halo has always been stronger than everything KH, and by a safe amount, people were banking on KH2 to elevate it over Halo, now that we're seeing CV rock Halo, I don't understand how KH could make a 10% vote swing to make CV win with 55, to lose with 45. And that would be assuming it was as strong as Halo pre-KH2, which is simply wasn't.


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I used to be Asian, but I didn't get good enough grades so my parents beat it out of me. - snalien
transience | Posted 7/8/2006 9:37:54 AM | message detail
*wakes up*

....ouch!
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xyzzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 9:38:32 AM | message detail
Um, I wouldn't expect the SotN in the SpC2k4 X-Stats to beat Halo if Starcraft had received 20,000 cheat votes. However, since it's blatantly obvious that MGS and Goldeneye suffered respective SFF from FFVII and OoT, SotN is vastly underrated. Adjusting for that SFF is what's missing there.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/8/2006 9:38:56 AM | message detail
Regulars on the Halo boards keeps answering "Why is Halo losing"? questions with "Castlevania is the better, more important series". It doesn't even look like Halo is going to try making this a match.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne
UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/8/2006 9:41:45 AM | message detail
And I'm completely stunned that Castelevania has managed to beat Halo down during its strongest time.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 9:46:30 AM | message detail
After this match, Halo and co. will have four wins (all from Master Chief)...and five losses. The wins will be against Felix, Crash Bandicoot, CATS, and...Donkey Kong.

lol halol
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SonicRaptor | Posted 7/8/2006 9:47:25 AM | message detail
Warcraft/GTA and Mega Man/Mario Kart are the only two other matches in the first round I have worries over.

I have Warcraft (I figure it'll pull a StarCraft or Diablo) and Mega Man will be victorious.
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"Never argue with a fool, people may not tell the difference" - Murphy's Law
Anal Storage | Posted 7/8/2006 9:48:30 AM | message detail
I have Warcraft (I figure it'll pull a StarCraft or Diablo) and Mega Man will be victorious.

Yeah, because Diablo is sooooooo strong and managed to vote rally over other people. lol wate i mess up

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I used to be Asian, but I didn't get good enough grades so my parents beat it out of me. - snalien
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 9:50:02 AM | message detail
You know...if people are actually voting on if things are an actual series, I'd actually want to see Chrono in this thing. Because I still doubt that it would actually *lose* to, say...Metal Gear, or something.
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andaca | Posted 7/8/2006 9:50:20 AM | message detail
I'm not trying to say there aren't other factors that explain it away, I'm saying that "Starcraft cheated against SSBM" is a really, really poor attempt to explain anything about this match at all.
Ed Bellis | Posted 7/8/2006 9:51:15 AM | message detail
if people are actually voting on if things are an actual series

Where did this theory come from? I sincerely doubt people are not voting for Halo because they're going "Two games? WTF that's not a series!"

Of course, if you meant that people are voting for a series as a whole and not based on their strongest game, then ignore that comment.
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This was Ed Bellis. Summer 2005 Fanfiction Project:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=28403845
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 9:52:46 AM | message detail
*safely ignores*
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Anal Storage | Posted 7/8/2006 9:53:06 AM | message detail
*safely fondles*

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I used to be Asian, but I didn't get good enough grades so my parents beat it out of me. - snalien
Ed Bellis | Posted 7/8/2006 9:53:10 AM | message detail
Ed Bellis is so screwed
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This was Ed Bellis. Summer 2005 Fanfiction Project:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=28403845
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 9:53:45 AM | message detail
I did phrase that poorly, though. I blame the Ed Bellis Award for Disruptive Posting that was given to me last night.

Time to see if DMC > Sonic pays off!
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dethfdddddh | Posted 7/8/2006 9:54:04 AM | message detail
Maybe Starcraft continuously built up it's false strength through cheating against Halo, WW and SSBM?
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Just Got Owned By Guru winner Voltch.
BlastTheSpeaker | Posted 7/8/2006 9:54:28 AM | message detail
Did Halo just gain an update or am I seeing things?
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Blast the Speakers!!
Hopeful Soon To Be WWEGSB FPV DL Member
yoblazer33 | Posted 7/8/2006 9:54:33 AM | message detail
http://media.putfile.com/Halo-Is-Owned

I apologize in advance.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
Ed Bellis | Posted 7/8/2006 9:54:35 AM | message detail
*safely fondles*

Ed Bellis is so screwed

...

...nice timing. XD

Time to see if DMC > Sonic pays off!

Oh, it will. It defies all logic and common sense, but IT WILL. I will have my revenge some day !!
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This was Ed Bellis. Summer 2005 Fanfiction Project:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=28403845
Anal Storage | Posted 7/8/2006 9:55:03 AM | message detail
Did Halo just gain an update or am I seeing things?

Halo's won a few updates, the last one is not one of them.

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I used to be Asian, but I didn't get good enough grades so my parents beat it out of me. - snalien
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/8/2006 9:55:29 AM | message detail
Yeah, because Diablo is sooooooo strong and managed to vote rally over other people. lol wate i mess up

I'm referring to his run in the villains contest, where he made the Final Four including beating Kefka (which only 6% or something got, which I was included in).
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"Never argue with a fool, people may not tell the difference" - Murphy's Law
red sox 777 | Posted 7/8/2006 9:55:54 AM | message detail
The lead's past 7000.
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July 2006 Contest --- Score: 6/6 --- Rank: T-1
Today's Pick: Halo --- Today's Vote: Halo
Draco1214 | Posted 7/8/2006 9:56:19 AM | message detail
Because we all know Kefka is the epitome of strength in these things, right?
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2
Master Moltar | Posted 7/8/2006 9:56:40 AM | message detail
There goes 7,000...

*hands this match a Fishy Stick*

You deserve it!
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Moltar Status: #37 on the Leaderboard!!
Castlevania vs. Halo - Bracket: Halo - Vote: Halo (6/6)
transience | Posted 7/8/2006 9:56:43 AM | message detail
I think this is more people underestimating Castlevania than it is Halo "not being a series". if Halo is overrated, it's because we overestimated its power thanks to Starcraft and that List and not "Halo only has two games, Castlevania is a classic". I really doubt that would come into play if you think Castlevania is somehow an unknown series that not very many people have played.
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xyzzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 9:57:05 AM | message detail
yo, if that's you talking, I want more lamenting sound files uploaded. NOW.
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yoblazer33 | Posted 7/8/2006 9:57:59 AM | message detail
Yes, that was me. Naturally, I blame it all on this cheap mic.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
SonicRaptor | Posted 7/8/2006 9:58:47 AM | message detail
Because we all know Kefka is the epitome of strength in these things, right?

I know Diablo was a flash in the pan and the villains contest had a weak roster with many being fodder in any other contest.
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"Never argue with a fool, people may not tell the difference" - Murphy's Law
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 9:59:17 AM | message detail
Then why are you betting your bracket on WARCRAFT???
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transience | Posted 7/8/2006 9:59:24 AM | message detail
holy christ that yoblazer thing cracked me up more than it should have
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xyzzy
Anal Storage | Posted 7/8/2006 10:00:33 AM | message detail
So then why are you comparing the two? GTA is a strong series on here, it's proven it time and time again.

And yo, I now have that playing on loop.

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I used to be Asian, but I didn't get good enough grades so my parents beat it out of me. - snalien
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 10:01:09 AM | message detail
I like how it sort of syncs up with the Halo theme. <.<
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Anal Storage | Posted 7/8/2006 10:03:08 AM | message detail
That was kinda the point KH. >_>

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I used to be Asian, but I didn't get good enough grades so my parents beat it out of me. - snalien
Anal Storage | Posted 7/8/2006 10:03:24 AM | message detail
Also, WTF, Quaarma actually got a match right!

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I used to be Asian, but I didn't get good enough grades so my parents beat it out of me. - snalien
Quaarma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 10:04:52 AM | message detail
Quaarma gets all the matches right! Granted I don't actually check the polls, but hey. Infallibility here.
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*is Karma Hunter*
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/8/2006 10:14:26 AM | message detail
*comes back from errands*

WTF?!

Halo losing the day vote.....TO CASTLEVANIA!?!?!

Could Halo be the new Magus?


TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 10:17:39 AM | message detail
Pssh, Halo was a big time choker long before Magus hit the scene, thank you very much 1 seed losing in the first round.
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