GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 304
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| transience | Posted 7/8/2006 12:05:13 AM | message detail |
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DK gained consistently until about 11am EST, or 8am PST. this is going to hit 3000 votes without a problem. --- xyzzy |
| DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 7/8/2006 12:06:19 AM | message detail |
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Another medium increase. Well, I'm REALLY going to bed this time. --- ...little Weezing it's gonna stand up against my ****in' Charizard? Just get back on your bike and keep pretending to be cool with your lame ass mohawk ****er. - phoenix1487 Sp2k6: 6/6 |
| Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/8/2006 12:08:37 AM | message detail |
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Hmm. In that case, Castlevania should have no problems
clearing 3,000. It's already above 2,000 with a ton of time to work
with. I suppose in the early morning hours Halo will start to really
slow Castlevania down, though, but yeah. Castlevania is looking mighty
good right now, I think. --- "Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake |
| HaRRicH | Posted 7/8/2006 12:09:26 AM | message detail |
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Were poll-time starts at 3 AM Eastern back during the Game Contest? If
so, C:SotN hit its stabalized peak at 5:41 AM against Goldeneye
(47.54%) and hit its low seventeen hours later at 10:41 PM (40.14%) --
between those times, except for a seven-hour stall at 43.##%,
Castlevania steadily and quickly dropped. So, there's a 7.4% difference
there...and I would think the Halo series would be more of a day-time
beast than Goldeneye was. So, time will tell what happens tomorrow, but
I'm not fretting. Goin' to bed now, g-nite. --- Miss my Four-Pack Of Fun? Go here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 |
| TheCruelAngel | Posted 7/8/2006 12:11:34 AM | message detail |
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Ouch! I hope this keeps up. --- Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!? Squall: ...Flower. |
| transience | Posted 7/8/2006 12:13:28 AM | message detail |
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yeah, I'd say Castlevania has this unless Halo does something
completely unprecedented. I think it holds on to about a 900 vote lead
for the win. we'll see. high vote totals are going to favour it. let me check the vote totals as compared to our highest match: at 12:10 PST: Zelda/Civ - 22808 CV/Halo - 25173 yeah, we're looking at about 120k for this match, which is about 22000 higher than DK/MC. so there's still hope.. but Halo has to slow CV down before noon. --- xyzzy |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 7/8/2006 12:18:39 AM | message detail |
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To feel safe I'd ask for a bigger lead than 2300 against Halo. Of
course it'll get a bigger lead, But considering Halo's peak hours and
the poll time change I think it's capable of also making a bigger
comeback (CV has more time to make an early lead but virtually no time
to regain ground towards the end). --- Take a hike, and don't forget the trail mix *****. Hijack - MC Chris Detective in Sir Chris' Police |
| transience | Posted 7/8/2006 12:21:33 AM | message detail |
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well if you look at DK/MC, MC kept gaining all the way until the end of
the poll. I'm not sure if that would repeat with CV though. --- xyzzy |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 7/8/2006 12:24:30 AM | message detail |
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No, I'm fairly sure it wouldn't DK doesn't even have a night vote, far
as I'm concerned. CV can possibly make some ground back up, but it's
not going to be to the degree it once was. Due to that, if Halo comes
up on top for more than an hour I think it stays on top. We're
basically left waiting to see what Halo can actually do during the day
(and how misserably weak CV gets at the same time). --- Take a hike, and don't forget the trail mix *****. Hijack - MC Chris Detective in Sir Chris' Police |
| transience | Posted 7/8/2006 12:28:07 AM | message detail |
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also, I think that if Halo makes it close, rallying and other such
things might come into play. I don't know what sites usually link here,
so I'm not sure where to look. needless to say I'm not in touch with
the Halo community. up to 2400 now... this might shoot past 3000 with ease. --- xyzzy |
| voltch | Posted 7/8/2006 12:28:31 AM | message detail |
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if this match gets 120k can anyone here really see castlevania getting more 60k in this match? --- Kilroy:Their fate will be in each other's hands as they decide whether to share or to shaft. BrentfordFC-championship here we come |
| transience | Posted 7/8/2006 12:31:59 AM | message detail |
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*looks at 15k in three and a half hours* uh, yep. --- xyzzy |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 12:33:08 AM | message detail |
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Yeah, the thing about MC/DK is that people don't keep in mind that DK
actually has a pretty solid day vote when compared to his night vote.
Castlevania, to put it plainly, has sucked it up with the day vote in
virtually every single one of its matches. On a relative scale, perhaps
more than any other competitor (even Snake! <_<). The daylight is going to come like a firestorm, for Halo AND against Castlevania. This match ain't over yet. --- Commit it to memory. |
| Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/8/2006 12:33:09 AM | message detail |
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2,449 right now. I'm almost expecting nearly 4,000 before Halo does anything ... --- "Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake |
| transience | Posted 7/8/2006 12:35:01 AM | message detail |
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DK has a strong day vote? he started off strong vs. Fisher and dropped
the rest of the day. (I have no idea if Fisher's day vote is good or
not though.) --- xyzzy |
| Draco1214 | Posted 7/8/2006 12:35:59 AM | message detail |
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For what it's worth, I think DK has a much stronger day vote than Alucard. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2 |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 12:36:14 AM | message detail |
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Meh, I wouldn't have a clue with Fisher (though he's traditionally
associated with XBox, so there ya go). I was more drawing from
DK/Vercetti in terms of trends. --- Commit it to memory. |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 7/8/2006 12:37:50 AM | message detail |
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Ouch, CV is absolutely killing halo right now. Surprisingly, if CV is
just as bad as alucard with the day vote, this still might not be over
quite yet. It's looking very good for CV though. --- When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo {WoT}~> Board 408 |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 12:38:35 AM | message detail |
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Contest Contestants Traditionally Associated With XBox, by the by: Master Chief Ryu Hayabusa Sam Fisher (SC started off as an XBox exclusive, and sells the best on XBox) ...I'm trying to remember others. --- Commit it to memory. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 7/8/2006 12:41:10 AM | message detail |
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Well, on the bright side, CV isn't getting 100 vote updates anymore. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2 |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 7/8/2006 12:42:48 AM | message detail |
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A quick note: I initially had the CV > Halo upset pick, but decided
against it. Then in my absolute brilliance, I changed my pick again
from KH > Halo to halo > KH and MG about 24 hours before brackets
closed... You can all proceed to laugh at me now. wtf was I thinking? --- When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo {WoT}~> Board 408 |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 12:43:26 AM | message detail |
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Oh! Conker, and...um...maybe Joanna Dark now that PDZ is out...other
than that, those are all the XBox associated characters I can think of. I'd expect them all to do better in the day as well. --- Commit it to memory. |
| transience | Posted 7/8/2006 12:47:16 AM | message detail |
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Well, on the bright side, CV isn't getting 100 vote updates anymore. and for good reason - it's getting later and less votes are being made. the last update was 60-40 exactly, the biggest update yet percentage-wise. found TV/DK's updates on NGamer's archives: http://www.thengamer.com/gamefaqs/03Summer/TommyVsDKupdates.txt DK didn't exactly stage a huge comeback. I'd say he's average at the day vote, whereas CV is flat out bad. hmm, maybe there's still a good chance yet.. I always figured that DK sucked in the day due to the way MC abused him last year and how he lost percentage vs. SF. --- xyzzy |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 12:51:21 AM | message detail |
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Oh, he's nothing great with it by any means, but he will use it from
time to time. DK/Aya is another great example of him actually using the
day vote to WIN a match, though Aya was a niche Square beast and we all
know how that turns out in terms of voting trends... DK seems to have a lackluster start, picks up slightly during the day...and then as the evening comes he just starts to throw his opponents votes like it's Christmas in July. That's how the big ape rolls; jolly old thing! --- Commit it to memory. |
| yoblazer33 | Posted 7/8/2006 12:55:06 AM | message detail |
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I'm looking at yesterday's match, and Fire Emblem began to roll with
the day vote exactly eight hours into the match. If we assume Halo
makes its move at around the same time, Chief has to bite the bullet
for about four more hours. Of course, there are two questions: 1. What kind of lead will Castlevania have in four hours? 2. Will it really be as bad with the day vote as Halo fans are hoping (hell, it's obviously more recognizable than Alucard)? --- Board 8: Where people treat each other right. |
| Ayvuir | Posted 7/8/2006 12:55:27 AM | message detail |
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I initially had the CV > Halo upset pick, but decided against it I dont understand how Castlevania over Halo is an upset pick?! Castlevania with its history and much wider game base is a sure fire win. Halo is an XBox game, with 2 in its series, need i say more? Also Alucard's plan... --- Guess how many teens got owned by overrating England? |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 7/8/2006 12:55:42 AM | message detail |
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We don't call him the contests greatest choke artist for nothing. If CV
keeps getting updates like this, its going to create too big of a lead
for anything to overcome, even halo. Then again, alucard is so
completely and utterly horrid with the day vote, I don't know quite
what to think. --- When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo {WoT}~> Board 408 |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 12:57:34 AM | message detail |
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Castlevania: SotN is more recognizable than Alucard, too. It still
ended up losing 7% from its peak against Goldeneye after all was said
and done. Not to mention going 50/50 with a game it otherwise blew out... --- Commit it to memory. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 7/8/2006 12:57:35 AM | message detail |
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| Draco1214 | Posted 7/8/2006 12:59:17 AM | message detail |
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Well, according to Ngamer at the update topic, SotN began to fall apart
against Goldeneye at about 5:41 AM EST. It dropped about 7% from that
point to the end of the poll. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2 |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 7/8/2006 12:59:29 AM | message detail |
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I dont understand how Castlevania over Halo is an upset pick?!
Castlevania with its history and much wider game base is a sure fire
win. Halo is an XBox game, with 2 in its series, need i say more? So what you're saying is madden nfl > halo? Castlevania is very niche when compared to halo. If you want other reasons for why this is an upset, you can consult just about every stat ever compiled on halo... --- When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo {WoT}~> Board 408 |
| Ayvuir | Posted 7/8/2006 1:00:44 AM | message detail |
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You can't compare Madden to Castlevania, that's just completely not getting what i'm saying. Fan base wise on here CV is much more well respected. Madden is just a bit of a joke --- Guess how many teens got owned by overrating England? |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 1:00:46 AM | message detail |
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Let's have some more Starcraft related fun! Hmm...what's the strongest game you can see Starcraft breaking 60% on? Be honest, now. --- Commit it to memory. |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 7/8/2006 1:01:17 AM | message detail |
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Well, according to Ngamer at the update topic, SotN began to fall
apart against Goldeneye at about 5:41 AM EST. It dropped about 7% from
that point to the end of the poll. ...Holy crap. It did that badly in the day against halo? I knew sotn did poorly in the daytime, but... holy crap, that bad? Then again, I probably shouldn't be too surprised. I mean alucard actually lost a few updates to kratos in the day; someone who he beat 60/40. --- When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo {WoT}~> Board 408 |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 7/8/2006 1:02:55 AM | message detail |
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You can't compare Madden to Castlevania, that's just completely not getting what i'm saying. You stated a long running series was a reason for CV beating halo... so it's actually exactly what you were saying. Fan base wise on here CV is much more well respected. Madden is just a bit of a joke Fire Emblem > Halo? --- When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo {WoT}~> Board 408 |
| transience | Posted 7/8/2006 1:05:58 AM | message detail |
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Well, according to Ngamer at the update topic, SotN began to fall
apart against Goldeneye at about 5:41 AM EST. It dropped about 7% from
that point to the end of the poll. I think that's 4:41, actually. could be wrong here! Hmm...what's the strongest game you can see Starcraft breaking 60% on? Be honest, now. I know what you're getting at here. Starcraft is so fluky that I don't trust it to ever get 60%. maybe, um.... Mario RPG? I don't know, it really depends on what you think of the games around it. I personally believe that Starcraft outperforms Melee on FF7, so take that as you will. --- xyzzy |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 1:15:22 AM | message detail |
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Ew, Starcraft is projected to get a mere 63% on Mario RPG...though
there is the idea that it took Something Fishy courtesy of Chrono
Trigger, I guess. I would have actually said Metal Gear. ...the original Metal Gear! --- Commit it to memory. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 7/8/2006 1:16:43 AM | message detail |
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Castlevania should be reaching 3000 vote lead in a couple of updates. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2 |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 7/8/2006 1:18:00 AM | message detail |
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I don't know, it's hard to tell just how much cheating starcraft got.
In it's matchagainst kh for instance, I don't think it got any
significant vote rallying/cheating/ whatever because it was never in
danger of losing the match. --- When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo {WoT}~> Board 408 |
| misterchief02 | Posted 7/8/2006 1:18:48 AM | message detail |
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This whole poll is stupid. you can't compare CV to Halo. They are
completely different. That's like saying Burnout is better than
Oblivion cause it has more cars! --- My gamertag is GeneralLeesLast. |
| yoblazer33 | Posted 7/8/2006 1:19:32 AM | message detail |
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...the heck? --- Board 8: Where people treat each other right. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 1:19:38 AM | message detail |
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It is! That is why Zelda will lose to Metal Gear. Not enough cars. Good thing for MG GTA's at the other side of the bracket! --- Commit it to memory. |
| transience | Posted 7/8/2006 1:19:46 AM | message detail |
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I nominate that for most useful post of the year. SC only does what is necessary... why cheat/rally when you've got the lead? --- xyzzy |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 7/8/2006 1:20:50 AM | message detail |
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This whole poll is stupid. you can't compare CV to Halo. They are
completely different. That's like saying Burnout is better than
Oblivion cause it has more cars! Yeah, but oblivion has TSF (the steed factor) working for it in that case. Go immortal horse whose name I can't remember at the moment, go! --- When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo {WoT}~> Board 408 |
| Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/8/2006 1:21:08 AM | message detail |
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Surprisingly, if CV is just as bad as alucard with the day vote,
this still might not be over quite yet. It's looking very good for CV
though. I would imagine that Castlevania would be better than Alucard with the day vote, even with SotN's drastic fall of 7%. I think the name "Castlevania" should have enough of a namesake not to completely drop the ball during the day. It has built up a lead of 2,800 votes right now, and it should clearly pass 3,000 in a few more updates. It's already approaching the "point of no return" and even with Halo's massive day vote, 3,000 votes is nowhere near a guarantee. The voting has slowed down considerably, but Castlevania should still get enough of the remaining votes in this timeframe to build up, say, a 3,500+ vote lead before Halo even begins its charge back with the day vote. The most recent update (4:15 AM EST) saw Castlevania getting 60 votes, which may or may not be a bit above what it usually is pulling in (someone would have to confirm that for me). It's lead is now at 2,914. It's basically at 3,000 already -- and continually rising -- so Halo is going to definitely have its work cut out for it, massive day vote or no. Right now, I'm feeling really confident in saying that Castlevania will be able to hold on and pull out a victory. Halo is going to have to really do some pushing with that day vote to retake the lead from Castlevania. If the time yoblazer pointed out is any indication of when the day vote might begin (7:00 AM EST), Castlevania is going to have a ton of time to build a lead. 4,000 votes, as I mentioned earlier, might well be in the question, if not higher. I don't think anything has turned that around before, not even Halo. That kind of deficit almost requires less than legit voting. --- "Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 7/8/2006 1:22:35 AM | message detail |
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C'mon Halocraft! --- Commit it to memory. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 7/8/2006 1:22:56 AM | message detail |
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I'd find it hilarious if just as CV's vote lead gets to 3000, Halo begins its charge. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2 |
| transience | Posted 7/8/2006 1:23:17 AM | message detail |
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I'm wondering if the Nintendo CV titles will help it out with the day
vote. Alucard and SOTN don't have either of those on its side. ..bah, I'm overanalyzing this match. time to go do something else! --- xyzzy |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 7/8/2006 1:25:29 AM | message detail |
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With halos probably day vote, and castlvanias probably day vote, I'm
not sure if it's impossible yet. If CV is every bit as crappy with it
as SOTN and Alucard, which I don't personally see why it wouldn't, halo
does have some chance at coming back. A 4,000 vote lead would be nice
for CV, but I'm not sure if it can attain it or not yet. --- When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo {WoT}~> Board 408 |
| Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/8/2006 1:26:25 AM | message detail |
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3,000 vote barrier broken! Castlevania leads with 3,046!! --- "Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake |