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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 304

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DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 7/7/2006 10:21:14 PM | message detail
I think you people have to realize you cannot look at the times of the past matches to predict. You have to look at the total votes. Frog had a lead of 1400 after 15000 total votes were casted. CV only has a lead of 950.
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...little Weezing it's gonna stand up against my ****in' Charizard? Just get back on your bike
and keep pretending to be cool with your lame ass mohawk ****er. - phoenix1487 Sp2k6: 6/6
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/7/2006 10:21:35 PM | message detail
Ahh, 1003 vote lead for Castlevania. It's okay though. Halo's got it right where it wants them. That 10,000 vote swing is guaranteed.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
transience | Posted 7/7/2006 10:22:17 PM | message detail
*comes home*
*votes*
*reads stats topics*

this one looks like a hell of a match! also, lol 68%
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xyzzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/7/2006 10:22:41 PM | message detail
How I could have forgotten to put this as my sig for so long, BTW, I can't understand.
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Commit it to memory.
RPGuy96 | Posted 7/7/2006 10:23:25 PM | message detail
This match is on pace for a good 20,000 more total votes than Frog/MC, so that doesn't work terribly well either.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/RPGuy.jpg
transience | Posted 7/7/2006 10:23:51 PM | message detail
and man, had I put FE > SH on my #1 bracket, I would look like a genius right now!
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xyzzy
RPGuy96 | Posted 7/7/2006 10:25:16 PM | message detail
Hey, I'm currently #29, and have CV winning. Only Edouble stands between me and first place!
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/RPGuy.jpg
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/7/2006 10:26:08 PM | message detail
Edouble cannot lose. He has inside info on the plan!
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Commit it to memory.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 7/7/2006 10:26:24 PM | message detail
From: RPGuy96
This match is on pace for a good 20,000 more total votes than Frog/MC, so that doesn't work terribly well either.

Exactly. Even a better opportunity for Halo to swing back.
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...little Weezing it's gonna stand up against my ****in' Charizard? Just get back on your bike
and keep pretending to be cool with your lame ass mohawk ****er. - phoenix1487 Sp2k6: 6/6
transience | Posted 7/7/2006 10:27:17 PM | message detail
with the vote starting so much earlier, I'm wondering if even Halo has the day vote strength to come back. this is gonna be fun to watch today. hopefully CV doesn't go that insane here.
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xyzzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/7/2006 10:28:12 PM | message detail
Knuckles could beat Castlevania here!
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Commit it to memory.
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/7/2006 10:28:19 PM | message detail
Everything is clear to me now ...

The shift of the contest?

KONAMIFAQS -- Metal Gear > Zelda confirmed!

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
HaRRicH | Posted 7/7/2006 10:28:20 PM | message detail
Yeah, when you've got a smaller lead in a match that'll have more votes and you're more likely to lose the day-vote than Frog...things don't bode so well.
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LeonhartForever | Posted 7/7/2006 10:28:24 PM | message detail
I hope Castlevania rips it a new one. Makes my insane Sonic > SSB pick look a little better!

Sure, none of you are going to see it that way, but whatever!

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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
BlastTheSpeaker | Posted 7/7/2006 10:29:22 PM | message detail
This is totally not apart of the plan...<_<
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Blast the Speakers!!
Hopeful Soon To Be WWEGSB FPV DL Member
transience | Posted 7/7/2006 10:30:25 PM | message detail
looking at the early results.. maybe board 8 bracket votes more than we thought?
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xyzzy
XxSoulxX | Posted 7/7/2006 10:30:37 PM | message detail
this one looks like a hell of a match! also, lol 68%

>_<!
--- -
"ertyu is actually a language. For example, 'dum' is ertyunese for 'godly'." - Topaz Kitsune
Not changing signature until HHH pedigrees Candice through a table. 07/07/06
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/7/2006 10:31:09 PM | message detail
looking at the early results.. maybe board 8 bracket votes more than we thought?

No, Board 8 just has less influence than before due to the earlier starting time.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/7/2006 10:31:17 PM | message detail
1,112 vote lead! Let's keep those 60 per update coming!

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
transience | Posted 7/7/2006 10:33:40 PM | message detail
No, Board 8 just has less influence than before due to the earlier starting time.

that doesn't explain Halo leading for the first minute and the first minute only though. I guess you can just call it an anomaly.. meh, not worth worrying about anyway.

I'm torn here.. I want CV to win, but I also kinda want it to lose because I just didn't have the balls to pick it to win. I'm gonna kick myself if this is my only loss.
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xyzzy
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 7/7/2006 10:34:54 PM | message detail
It WAS just an anomoly, all the pre-polls had CV >>>>> Halo.
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...little Weezing it's gonna stand up against my ****in' Charizard? Just get back on your bike
and keep pretending to be cool with your lame ass mohawk ****er. - phoenix1487 Sp2k6: 6/6
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/7/2006 10:35:53 PM | message detail
1,205 vote lead!

Alucard begins the night assault in full force!!

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 7/7/2006 10:37:01 PM | message detail
93 Vote Gain

=/
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin
UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/7/2006 10:39:43 PM | message detail
Nothing from FE/SH cracked any all-time top tens.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne
HaRRicH | Posted 7/7/2006 10:40:32 PM | message detail
...that update looked HUGE.
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Miss my Four-Pack Of Fun? Go here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/7/2006 10:40:35 PM | message detail
It cracked my all time "Holy Crap I Can't Believe That Match Actually Got 100,000 Votes" list!
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Commit it to memory.
Yesmar | Posted 7/7/2006 10:40:37 PM | message detail
For what it's worth, Starcraft had 55.56% two hours into its match with Halo.
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"Dropo! You're the laziest man on Mars."
therealmnm | Posted 7/7/2006 10:40:41 PM | message detail
For the record, the possibility of Castlevania > Halo was the final reason for me taking KH > Halo. Damage control. <_<;
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
Sir Bormun | Posted 7/7/2006 10:40:42 PM | message detail
I was thinking about the whole "will there be perfects in this contest" thing. It seems like Castlevania might very well be the thing that screws with that possibility this time around, especially if it beats KH.
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Need new sig.
transience | Posted 7/7/2006 10:40:47 PM | message detail
59.28% for that last update.... MC is going to need an unprecedented comeback to win this one.
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xyzzy
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/7/2006 10:41:03 PM | message detail
103 votes that update!

1,308 lead!

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/7/2006 10:41:06 PM | message detail
Yikes, Castlevania's really looking like it wants to take off now. Two straight 100~ vote updates?
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/7/2006 10:41:48 PM | message detail
The match is over.

Figures, the one time Board 8 actually wants Halo to work miracles, it fails.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/7/2006 10:42:32 PM | message detail
For what it's worth, Starcraft had 55.56% two hours into its match with Halo.

For what it's worth, StarCraft's peak lead was 1108.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Applekidjosh | Posted 7/7/2006 10:42:42 PM | message detail
If any match is going to have the amazing comeback that we talk about years later, it's gonna be this one.
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Kingdom Hearts > Metal Gear. BOOK IT
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/7/2006 10:42:55 PM | message detail
Ulti you know it only works when Slow calls the match dangit
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Commit it to memory.
HaRRicH | Posted 7/7/2006 10:43:24 PM | message detail
DOOOOOOOOOON'T STOP, BELEEEEEEIIIIIIVING!!!


If Castlevania beats Halo, there's a decent chance of no perfects...and if it beat KH too, then I almost guarantee no perfects.
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Draco1214 | Posted 7/7/2006 10:43:27 PM | message detail
Yeah, I've lost all faith in Halo. Oh well, there goes a point.
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2
RPGuy96 | Posted 7/7/2006 10:43:42 PM | message detail
Here comes the night vote, people.

Everything is going according to Alucard's Plan.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/RPGuy.jpg
Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/7/2006 10:44:18 PM | message detail
Still 22 hours to go... have faith.

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=DC=
Chemistry can be a good and bad thing. Chemistry is good when you make love with it. Chemistry is bad when you make crack with it.
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/7/2006 10:44:27 PM | message detail
Not so! I have Castlevania on some of my alt brackets. Of course, the trick is making it line up with the other "toss up" matches.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Ed Bellis | Posted 7/7/2006 10:45:33 PM | message detail
Guys, I think we're all missing the larger issue here:

If Castlevania beats Halo, I will very likely have the lowest Guru contest score. Again.

>_>
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This was Ed Bellis. Summer 2005 Fanfiction Project:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=28403845
Lopen | Posted 7/7/2006 10:45:41 PM | message detail
I find the lack of Halo faith in this topic disturbing. Yes, it's behind by more, that's because vote totals are up.

Halo can easily turn a 3000 vote deficit, people! And with these %s I don't believe it'll even get that far!
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"I need a weapon." - Master Chief
*Waves M$ flag*
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/7/2006 10:46:00 PM | message detail
Things I would take over Halo now:

1.) The entire 32-64 Division
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Commit it to memory.
Malikishtel | Posted 7/7/2006 10:46:32 PM | message detail
on a side note it looks like fire emb. was a major upset for a lot of people, this morning the number of peopl,e in 1st place was around 22k now it just above 12k.
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Look at Vader. He made them tea and brunch! He went through all the trouble of slaving over a hot stove just to get shot at by the ungrateful Han.-Darth Lampe
LeonhartForever | Posted 7/7/2006 10:46:47 PM | message detail
Two out of every three Halo comebacks end in defeat for Halo anyway!
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/7/2006 10:48:03 PM | message detail
Damn it, Ed! I started laughing so loud that I woke my family up!

Mom: What are you doing???

Me: Using my left index finger to constanly F5 the poll, LOL (pronouncing it 'ell oh ell')

Everyone: Go to bed you idiot!

Damn you... =(
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Commit it to memory.
Sir Chris | Posted 7/7/2006 10:48:13 PM | message detail
I am not going to jinx it, but go Castlevania.
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Sir Chris, Chief of Police @ Board 8
AND THAT'S THE BOTTOM LINE, CAUSE SIR CHRIS SAID SO.
transience | Posted 7/7/2006 10:49:06 PM | message detail
don't worry, Ed. you can mess up your whole bracket and still beat anybody that picked Zelda over FF!
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xyzzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/7/2006 10:49:35 PM | message detail
Which means...Final Fantasy is so screwed
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Commit it to memory.