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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 303

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dragoontheguy | Posted 7/7/2006 3:23:59 AM | message detail

Silent Hill can be stronger with it, Fire Emblem can be weaker with it, it can be a combination of the two. Like I've been saying, I don't think it's going to be as much Silent Hill's day vote strength (which could very possibly beat Fire Emblem's even ignoring the "ambivalent vote") but the strength of the day votes that don't care about either series, which will be favoring Silent Hill out of recognition.

Why would this not be a significant factor now, but all of the sudden shift towards silent hill hugely during the day? Even in characters we've seen the recognition factor play a huge role with (well, pretty much just pac-man, but anyways >_>) it carried through both the day and night to some extent.

I really need to ask this, are you just suggesting this as a small possibility, or is this something you think will happen?
---
When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408

dragoontheguy | Posted 7/7/2006 3:26:00 AM | message detail

Sorry to say, guys, but this is all pretty pointless. This idea of voting ambivalence can get thrown around until the cows come home, but just think about it for a second: why would Silent Hill convincingly win the day vote against a Nintendo series that draws most of its power from the GBA and its ties to SSBM? Heck, just the fact that SH is putting up a fight now (in the dead of night) hints that it will get its butt kicked as soon as morning rolls around.

I never said it would happen, just that if it does it won't be nearly enough to win the match.
---
When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408

Lopen | Posted 7/7/2006 3:26:04 AM | message detail

Call it a "Nintendo series" all you want. I'll believe in Fire Emblem "performing like a Nintendo series" when I see it. Aside from the company name it seems to have all the ingredients of a series that would do better at night.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244

dragoontheguy | Posted 7/7/2006 3:28:27 AM | message detail

But anyways, it's 6:30 AM here, so uhh.... I'm going to get some sleep. Kind of odd since this is when a lot of people wake up, but I don't have anywhere to go today anyways, so whatever.

I'll just say this; if the record for biggest comeback ever is broken this contest, it isn't going to be by silent hill.
---
When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408

dragoontheguy | Posted 7/7/2006 3:30:37 AM | message detail

Call it a "Nintendo series" all you want. I'll believe in Fire Emblem "performing like a Nintendo series" when I see it. Aside from the company name it seems to have all the ingredients of a series that would do better at night.

Bah, I caught this comment just before escaping the abyss known as gamefaqs. Fire emblem doesn't need to have any sort of huge day vote, it just needs to stop what would be by far the biggest comeback in contest history from happening.
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408

dragoontheguy | Posted 7/7/2006 3:31:26 AM | message detail

Now I'm gone for real this time... I hope. 'night all.
---
When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408

Lopen | Posted 7/7/2006 3:33:04 AM | message detail

I'm not booking a comeback here, I'm just saying it's a possibility. I do think Silent Hill will do better with the day vote. Better enough? Maybe! I'm being optimistic.

This isn't really a Pac Man affair... I don't think any of Pac Man's opponents have been weak enough to generate as many impartial votes as I'm expecting. Nor is Pac Man weak enough on his own to ever be in danger of losing to such an opponent.

Vyse/Laharl is the only match that really compares to this one... but I can't really say "Vyse is massively more recognizable than Laharl", either.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244

cyko | Posted 7/7/2006 5:46:26 AM | message detail

well, now that Fire Emblem's lead is knocking on the door of 4000, all of this silly talk about a Silent Hill comeback can be laid to rest. i was really thinking Fire Emblem would win by more than this, but i guess a win is a win.

and, i'm think that Metal Gear gets pretty close to 75% on FE. i seriously doubt FE would beat SC, even with how much SC has dropped since it's prime.

---
"In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women...." - Homer Simpson

KamikazePotato | Posted 7/7/2006 6:03:18 AM | message detail

Lopen, just give up. Barring another George Romero, there is no chance for a comeback, at all.

---
Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL

Master Moltar | Posted 7/7/2006 6:05:07 AM | message detail

FE is sure taking this morning vote. If it keeps going during the day, it could get back up to 57% (which is nice for my Oracle)

Not too surprised to see that SH won some updates over night.
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Moltar Status: Excited, the Contest is here at last!
Fire Emblem vs. Silent Hill - Bracket: FE - Vote: FE (5/5)

jonthomson | Posted 7/7/2006 6:39:13 AM | message detail

Urgh, another dull match. Hopefully tomorrow will be more exciting, but seeing how I picked Castlevania, Halo will obviously win with like 62% or something.
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Jon Thomson - CATS, Jay Solano, Ridley, Scorpion, Alien Hominid, Duke Nukem, The Prince, Johnny Rocketfingers, two TBA

UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/7/2006 6:49:17 AM | message detail

Let it be known that Slowflake called this match for Fire Emblem before the match began.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne

UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/7/2006 7:05:44 AM | message detail

I think the "Fire Emblem won't perform like a typical Nintendo entity during the day" theory can be thrown out the window now. It's back to 100 votes per update mode.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne

UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/7/2006 7:11:24 AM | message detail

Going by contest history, what is the "point of no return"? ~6000 votes as per Master Hand?

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne

dragoontheguy | Posted 7/7/2006 7:21:47 AM | message detail

I don't think that 6,000 by MH really counts as a point of no return, since there's no way in hell MH would have caught up if it was weak enough to fall behind by that much. It was only ever behind by less then 500 votes... and promptly dominated the match handily (lol bad pun) after coming back.
---
When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408

charmander6000 | Posted 7/7/2006 7:24:22 AM | message detail

Personally I would use 2500-3000 as the point of no return. If one of them can get to it that fast, it's really hard to change that mometum (except in a few cases) or by the time it gets there the other thing wouldn't have enough time for a comeback.
---
"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush

Big Bob | Posted 7/7/2006 7:30:46 AM | message detail

Looking at the poll updates, Donkey Kong managed a 2000 vote lead against Master Chief before ultimately losing to him. That's Master Chief though.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v674/ImBigBob/PokemonvsMetroid.jpg

HaRRicH | Posted 7/7/2006 7:58:15 AM | message detail

Man, FE will probably continue to run away with the day-vote...but it'd be real nice if it stayed at about 56.5% and give me my Crew-point, heh.
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Phediuk | Posted 7/7/2006 8:13:04 AM | message detail

Notice how this match is well on track for 100,000 votes. The contest just keeps gaining momentum.
---
"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.

therealmnm | Posted 7/7/2006 8:16:03 AM | message detail

I figured that the huge presence of the Nintendo fanbase would give FE the day vote. Silent Hill's only hope was that the PS2/Xbox fanbase actually got behind it. But obviously it isn't, as Silent Hill isn't doing jack with the votes right now.

My oracle pick of 57% is looking good right now. I should have went ahead and upped it for my analysis crew pick as well. Like I said, Silent Hill still got its votes against Fire Emblem. It just wasn't enough to actually beat it. I never agreed with Fire Emblem handily taking it. This was a match of indifference.
---
Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC

Master Moltar | Posted 7/7/2006 8:29:27 AM | message detail

This is only a small preview of what we're going to see tommorrow when Halo's day vote crushes Castlevania.

Only difference is that Castlevania might actually try to build up a lead during the night. *Hopes for massive comeback*
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Moltar Status: Excited, the Contest is here at last!
Fire Emblem vs. Silent Hill - Bracket: FE - Vote: FE (5/5)

therealmnm | Posted 7/7/2006 8:33:16 AM | message detail

Halo will probably start out strong though. Castlevania might come back during the night, but by then, we already would have seen what Halo would probably do with the day vote. The only people that would be worried at that point are those that have no knowledge whatsoever about Halo's voting trends...

Wow, I wonder how bad the board will get?
---
Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC

dragoontheguy | Posted 7/7/2006 8:40:45 AM | message detail

Wow, I wonder how bad the board will get?

Why are goths beating Halo?!?!?!?!?!!?
---
When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408

Master Moltar | Posted 7/7/2006 8:41:18 AM | message detail

Since when has Halo started strong? Though you could be right with the earlier poll times and such.
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Moltar Status: Excited, the Contest is here at last!
Fire Emblem vs. Silent Hill - Bracket: FE - Vote: FE (5/5)

Tediz247 | Posted 7/7/2006 8:42:03 AM | message detail

Bold prediction: Halo will win with over 60%, and will only trail durin the first couple of updates. We seem to be forgetting how absolutely terrible Alucard's day vote is. He's lost it in every match he's ever been in. He even lost a couple of updates to Kratos. I think Castlevania's being overrated.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]

therealmnm | Posted 7/7/2006 8:43:58 AM | message detail

What does Alucard's day vote have to do with how strong Castlevania is? Having a weak day vote doesn't mean you get blown out... I really doubt that Halo reaches 60% on Castlevania.
---
Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC

steve illumina | Posted 7/7/2006 8:48:15 AM | message detail

Let it be known that Slowflake called this match for Fire Emblem before the match began.

Let it be known I called it in my expert satirical commentary, and that, my fans, carries more weight!

Silent who?
---
Steve Illumina: 'Sage of Board 8', Adored by Elites, Hated by Fanbabies, Loved by Girly Gamers!

UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/7/2006 8:55:48 AM | message detail

Forgot to mention that MGS/SC didn't crack any top tens. MGS's vote total did score around the 25 range, though.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne

Slowflake | Posted 7/7/2006 8:58:27 AM | message detail

Alucard has a weak day vote, yes.

But that also means he has the most devastating night vote known to man and vampire alike.
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I do declare, old chap! Even a Doom score could not possibly justify the unwarranted combustion of kittens!

TRE Public Account | Posted 7/7/2006 9:04:34 AM | message detail

Let it be known that Slowflake called this match for Fire Emblem before the match began.

He said Silent Hill would lose, but I don't recall him saying Fire Emblem would win. =D
---
"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."

dragoontheguy | Posted 7/7/2006 9:09:59 AM | message detail

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

dragoontheguy | Posted 7/7/2006 9:10:27 AM | message detail

For whatever it counts, this match is currently outpacing mmx vs. suikoden. It really does seem to have a good chance at breaking 100k votes... which might mean no match in this contest will have under that amount of votes.
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408

Xuxon | Posted 7/7/2006 9:41:48 AM | message detail

For under 100k (or lowest, anyway) I could see maybe Kingdom Hearts vs Harvest Moon or Resident Evil vs Shadow Hearts. Both are fairly strong but not overly powerful series facing weak, unknown RPGs. Similar to Mega Man X vs Suikoden. Or possibly Street Fighter vs TES? I really have no clue on that one.
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"Let's drop this Xbox statue on Naomi's head! Oof! This thing's big! It'll take over 3 years for it to start selling!" ~ Jaguar, Sega Fantasy VI

CaptainFlufflez | Posted 7/7/2006 10:21:46 AM | message detail

i was a little worried about this match today but not as much as tomorrow's match. castlevania has always been a little unpredictable in my eyes and has cost me a precious point or two in almost every contest. if halo wins it'll be the first big deal match so far. the only other matches first round that i'm at all concerned about are gta vs. warcraft and mm vs mk. my goal was just to be on that top50 for at least a short period of time this contest and i'm there hooray! so mission accomplished and good luck sports!
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All my base are belong to Yoblazer, winner of the Guru Contest.

Applekidjosh | Posted 7/7/2006 10:27:01 AM | message detail

I just have to say...

Janus5000 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:48:31 PM | message detail
Strange how the two entrants who seem to be the best with the day vote both have Master in their name.

Master Chief and Master Hand FTW!
---
www.guneva.net
"I'm willing to forgive France for Invading us 940 Years ago after Tonight's performance." The Hardcore Kid

UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/7/2006 10:39:55 AM | message detail

Since when do sales directly equal votes? All I keep hearing from the WoW faithful is 6 million this and 6 million that. I think I've lost about 90 IQ points in the past month.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne

Janus5000 | Posted 7/7/2006 10:48:12 AM | message detail

Since when has Halo started strong? Though you could be right with the earlier poll times and such.

The Chief wasn't exactly terrifying during the last three hours of the poll these past contests - he lost ever so little against CATS, and won ever so little against a monkey. He also lost 400 votes to Frog and his game lost 1000 votes to Starcraft (<3). Though he did go up a little against Crash... granted, he went up for the last 18 hours of the poll, but hey. Alucard and SOTN have won the last three hours of every poll they've been in (at least of those that have recorded updates).

And I never realized that SOTN lost 7% in the day to Goldeneye. Holy ow.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."

Slowflake | Posted 7/7/2006 11:24:17 AM | message detail

Not only that, but Perfect Dark actually caught up 500 votes during daytime (it was that one time that the poll stopped updating in the morning and only started again in the evening).

Castlevania is a marshmallow in the day.
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I do declare, old chap! Even a Doom score could not possibly justify the unwarranted combustion of kittens!

Lopen | Posted 7/7/2006 11:30:46 AM | message detail

Okay, okay... I concede defeat! *swears loudly for a long time*
---
Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244

Karma Hunter | Posted 7/7/2006 11:31:01 AM | message detail

therealmnm | Posted 7/7/2006 11:35:29 AM | message detail

Yeah, even if it turns out that Halo was so massively overrated by Starcraft that it barely turns out to be above Soul Calibur, and even if Castlevania ends up as strong as its biggest advocates are predicting, we still may very well see the biggest vote swing EVER. Castlevania's gonna have to make a humongous lead in the night hours and HOLD ON TIGHT in the daytime...

If Castlevania is truly more popular than Halo, then that's exactly what will happen. Voting trends don't determine the match, they simply describe it.
---
Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC

Lopen | Posted 7/7/2006 11:41:51 AM | message detail

Tomorrow's match is going to make me wish the polls started at 3am ET again. That's the only drawback to the new start time, I don't think the MC/Halo vote swings will be as huge because we get a taste in the beginning. It's a shame.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244

Ngamer64 | Posted 7/7/2006 11:42:29 AM | message detail

I don't know, voting trends both described and determined the result in Wind Waker/SC, it seems to me.

---
"lol x-stats" - The Contest Simulator: http://thengamer.com/xstats
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/

therealmnm | Posted 7/7/2006 11:44:02 AM | message detail

I don't know, voting trends both described and determined the result in Wind Waker/SC, it seems to me.

Starcraft is a special case though. It had cheaters and rallying going for it. Of course time of day has a major part in that. But as far as innate strength goes, it really doesn't matter.
---
Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC

LeonhartForever | Posted 7/7/2006 12:20:42 PM | message detail

I'm not exactly sure why starting later in the night makes Halo's day vote comeback smaller. Castlevania is strong at ALL hours of the night. Alucard was actually doing very well against Ganondorf for a long time. Halo...is not strong in the night. The last few hours of the poll, it died against StarCraft. It was pathetic.

And to sum up my thoughts about what I missed this week:

Pokemon/Star Ocean: *laughs at Pokemon's cutesy picture, checks results*

Holy crap, this wasn't even close. At least I picked Pokemon.

*checks prediction percentage*

...And so did nearly 84% of the brackets. That seemed insane at the time I saw it, but the more I think about it, the more it makes sense that Pokemon would have been the overwhelming favorite.

Metroid/Kirby: Well, went pretty much as expected. I hoped Kirby could do a little better than that, but alas.

Metal Gear/Soul Calibur: *sees match picture of the Twin Snakes and Psycho Mantis* AWESOME! Hey, at least this leaves no doubt that we're dealing with the MGS series in this for the voters.

*checks results*

EVEN BETTER! Nearly 70% on Soul Calibur! Maybe it can pull out being the fourth strongest series, after all. And it makes me feel a WHOLE LOT better about it winning the division.

Also, it turns out that the biggest bracket breaker so far has been...Suikoden/Mega Man X? One of the easiest picks in the bracket? Funny ol' world, innit?
---
SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden

Phediuk | Posted 7/7/2006 12:26:38 PM | message detail

*COMPARISONS GAME- (3) Castlevania vs. (6) Halo*

Sales-

Both of the Halo games have sold well over 4 million copies in the US alone. To my knowledge, no single Castlevania game has even come close to that number. I'm willing to bet that yes, indeed, 2 Halo games have managed to outsell the entire Castlevania series in America.

Advantage: Halo

Hype

Castlevania:

Not much. Castlevania is a rather niche series, and while its releases do get a fair amount of attention, they tend to be pretty quiet compared to major franchise games.

Halo:

Halo 3. That is all.

Advantage: Halo

Number of Games

Castlevania:

Main series-

Vampire Killer (MSX, 1986)
Castlevania (NES, 1987)
Castlevania II: Simon's Quest (NES, 1988)
Castlevania: The Adventure (GB, 1989)
Castlevania III: Dracula's Curse (NES, 1990)
Super Castlevania IV (SNES, 1991)
Castlevania II: Belmont's Revenge (GB, 1991)
Dracula X: Rondo of Blood (TCD, 1993)
Castlevania: Bloodlines (Genesis, 1994)
Castlevania: Symphony of the Night (PSX, 1997)
Castlevania Legends (GB, 1998)
Castlevania (N64, 1999)
Castlevania: Legacy of Darkness (N64, 1999)
Castlevania: Circle of the Moon (GBA, 2001)
Castlevania: Harmony of Dissonance (GBA, 2002)
Castlevania: Aria of Sorrow (GBA, 2003)
Castlevania: Lament of Innocence (PS2, 2003)
Castlevania: Dawn of Sorrow (DS, 2005)
Castlevania: Curse of Darkness (PS2, 2005)

Spinoffs/ports-

Castlevania (FDS, 1986)
Castlevania (MSX, 1987)
Castlevania II: Simon's Quest (FDS, 1987)
Haunted Castle (Arcade, 1988)
Castlevania (C64, 1990)
Castlevania (Amiga, 1990)
Castlevania (PC, 1990)
Kid Dracula (NES, 1991)
Castlevania (X68000, 1993)
Kid Dracula (GB, 1993)
Castlevania: Dracula X (SNES, 1995)
Castlevania: Symphony of the Night (Saturn, 1998)
Castlevania Chronicles (PSX, 2001)
Classic NES Series: Castlevania (GBA, 2004)
Castlevania (Mobile, 2004)
Castlevania: Curse of Darkness (Xbox, 2005)
Castlevania Double Pack (GBA, 2006)

Total- 36
--

Halo:

Main series-

Halo: Combat Evolved (Xbox, 2001)
Halo 2 (Xbox, 2004)

Spinoffs/ports-

Halo: Combat Evolved (PC, 2003)
Halo: Combat Evolved (Macintosh, 2003)
Halo 2 Multiplayer Map Pack (Xbox, 2005)

Total- 5

Advantage: Castlevania

GameFAQs Status

Number of FAQs:

Castlevania:

Vampire Killer- 2
Castlevania- 11
Castlevania II: Simon's Quest- 8
Castlevania: The Adventure- 4
Castlevania III: Dracula's Curse- 9
Super Castlevania IV- 8
Castlevania II: Belmont's Revenge- 5
Dracula X: Rondo of Blood- 5
Castlevania: Bloodlines- 4
Castlevania: Symphony of the Night- 21
Castlevania Legends- 7
Castlevania (N64)- 11
Castlevania: Legacy of Darkness- 6
Castlevania: Circle of the Moon- 22
Castlevania: Harmony of Dissonance- 18
Castlevania: Aria of Sorrow- 21
Castlevania: Lament of Innocence- 19
Castlevania: Dawn of Sorrow- 16
Castlevania: Curse of Darkness- 16
Total- 213

Halo:

Halo- 20
Halo 2- 32
Total- 52

Advantage: Castlevania

LeonhartForever | Posted 7/7/2006 12:27:06 PM | message detail

At the 15:20 mark, this match has 71758 votes. To compare with other matches at the same time:

Zelda/Civilization - 75624 (finished with 111332)
Suikoden/Mega Man X - 72133 (finished with 102288)
Pokemon/Star Ocean - 78158 (finished with 108886...Man, this match must've really died off after this. It was 3000 ahead of Zelda/Civilization and finished 3000 behind)
Metroid/Kirby - 73530 (finished with 106410)
Metal Gear/Soul Calibur - 76874 (finished with 110670)

Looks like even this match will break 100,000 or no doubt come close to it. If that's the case, I'm looking forward to what the rest of the contest and the Character Battle have in store for us.

---
SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden

Phediuk | Posted 7/7/2006 12:27:06 PM | message detail

Average review score/Number of reviews:

Castlevania:

Vampire Killer- 6.00 (2)
Castlevania- 7.65 (43)
Castlevania II: Simon's Quest- 7.75 (32)
Castlevania: The Adventure- 4.52 (21)
Castlevania III: Dracula's Curse- 9.37 (27)
Super Castlevania IV- 8.14 (35)
Castlevania II: Belmont's Revenge- 8.14 (7)
Dracula X: Rondo of Blood- 9.59 (17)
Castlevania: Bloodlines- 8.28 (25)
Castlevania: Symphony of the Night- 9.36 (53)
Castlevania Legends- 6.14 (7)
Castlevania (N64)- 7.24 (29)
Castlevania: Legacy of Darkness- 8.28 (18)
Castlevania: Circle of the Moon- 8.83 (48)
Castlevania: Harmony of Dissonance- 7.63 (40)
Castlevania: Aria of Sorrow- 8.96 (50)
Castlevania: Lament of Innocence- 7.80 (50)
Castlevania: Dawn of Sorrow- 9.19 (42)
Castlevania: Curse of Darkness- 7.61 (18)
Series average- 7.92 (564)

Halo:

Halo- 9.12 (75)
Halo 2- 8.57 (96)
Series average- 8.85 (171)

Advantage: Halo/Castlevania

Board activity:

The Halo 2 board has more activity than the entire Castlevania series combined.

Advantage: Halo

Board Odds Project

Match prediction:

Halo- 99
Castlevania- 34

Despite being one of the most debated matches of the first round, there's still a very clear consensus for Halo.

Advantage: Halo

Point value:

Halo- 159
Castlevania- 56

For some reason, people think either of these series are capable of taking down Kingdom Hearts. Does the theory of natural selection apply to bracket-making, too?

Advantage: Halo

Previous contest representation

Castlevania:

SC2002-

Alucard (26th)
Simon Belmont (34th)

SC2003-

Alucard (22nd)

Sp2004-

Castlevania: Symphony of the Night (32nd)

SC2004-

Alucard (59th)

SC2005-

Alucard (36th)

Top 100-

Castlevania: Symphony of the Night (#15)

Halo:

SC2003-

Master Chief (26th)

Sp2004-

Halo (10th)

SC2004-

Master Chief (15th)

SC2005-

Master Chief (21st)

Top 100-

Halo (#9)
Halo 2 (#85)

Advantage: Halo

Intangibles

Xbox hate is virtually gone now, and let's face it: Halo is a household name, and Castlevania isn't. Halo has continued to grow stronger from contest to contest, while Castlevania hasn't done anything since 2002.

Advantage: Halo

Conclusion

Halo shouldn't have much trouble putting away Castlevania. 58% for Chief and co.
---
"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.

Master Moltar | Posted 7/7/2006 12:30:38 PM | message detail

I'm too lazy to repost all the Crew analyses here, so if you want to read them, they're up in the topic.

Summary though, everyone has Halo winning. As for percentages...

Me - 56%
Ulti - 57.67%
Soul - 68.72%
HaRR - 52.12%
Leon - 54.98%
HM - 62%
Yo - 53%
Mnm - 54.32%
Lopen - 54.75%
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Moltar Status: Excited, the Contest is here at last!
Fire Emblem vs. Silent Hill - Bracket: FE - Vote: FE (5/5)

therealmnm | Posted 7/7/2006 12:31:36 PM | message detail

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