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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 303

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/6/2006 2:48:07 PM | message detail
Silent Hill sure got screwed by that match pic -- just like Pokémon!!



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, save for three from 2002:
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/tre/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/top10/top10_100.html



!yawa tsoP
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 7/6/2006 2:48:35 PM | message detail
So your saying SH is getting 66%? HOLY CRAAAAP!
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I'm a 6' 238 lb Gladiator!(longbladeofhiko/Masa)
Dagan Bomb For The WIN!
Icehawk | Posted 7/6/2006 2:48:40 PM | message detail
The match pic people annoy me to no end. Like people on GameFAQs don't play games and all vote on the pic or something.
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Future Manager of the Year Jim Leyland
Future Rookie of the Year Justin Verlander
trannyscience | Posted 7/6/2006 2:49:38 PM | message detail
FE/SH is the one match that a match picture would be important on, because a lot of people are going to be like "uh, I've never played either of these." that said, I don't think it matters any more than a percent or two. FE wins this anyway.
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xyzzy
therealmnm | Posted 7/6/2006 2:50:17 PM | message detail
What match pic would actually help Silent Hill? It isn't exactly the most photegenic of series...
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
eclipsedv1 | Posted 7/6/2006 2:52:18 PM | message detail
These match pics as a whole are terrible this year. The characters are all just crammed into the frame, or it's just a character battle like Kirby and Metroid.
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"Silence! You are in the presence of octopus royalty!
A lowborn thug like you could never defeat me!" - Ultros
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 7/6/2006 2:52:29 PM | message detail
Heather looks pretty damn good in photos.
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I'm a 6' 238 lb Gladiator!(longbladeofhiko/Masa)
Dagan Bomb For The WIN!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/6/2006 2:53:08 PM | message detail
From eclipsedv1 Posted 7/6/2006 5:52:18 PM #006
These match pics as a whole are terrible this year. The characters are all just crammed into the frame, or it's just a character battle like Kirby and Metroid.

What would be better, though? Seriously.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/6/2006 2:53:37 PM | message detail
Yeah, SH would need some strange Maria/Heather/that one girl from SH4 whose name escapes me in order to get any significant advantage.

...basically, distance itself as far from what SH actually is as much as possible and hope for TJF!
BlastTheSpeaker | Posted 7/6/2006 2:55:38 PM | message detail
Actually most chicks in Silent Hill games don't have much as TJF goes....but they do look good.
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Blast the Speakers!!
Hopeful Soon To Be WWEGSB FPV DL Member
Karma Hunter | Posted 7/6/2006 2:56:42 PM | message detail
Some is better than none! And it's Eileen, now that I remember. Looks like SH4 didn't leave too much of an impression on me!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/6/2006 4:08:09 PM | message detail
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=29013865

^ My analysis topic. Read away!


TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
greatone10 | Posted 7/6/2006 6:45:34 PM | message detail
I would have just stuck Pyramid Head in the picture and be done with it.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
"I set my ATM card's number to "0001" because I'm number one!" - Manfred von Karma
The n00b Avenger | Posted 7/6/2006 6:46:48 PM | message detail
I would have put the dog from the SH2 ending
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
Draco1214 | Posted 7/6/2006 6:55:54 PM | message detail
FE with 57%
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2
SephirothG | Posted 7/6/2006 6:58:26 PM | message detail
Silent Hill with 52%. (I can only hope for my bracket's sake).
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[Something clever was here before the sig wipe]
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585012
Eggplant Lord | Posted 7/6/2006 7:00:34 PM | message detail
*reminder to add Board Odds Project link to list of links please*

///
*Stares at FFVA game info with bloodshot eyes*
Release date... Coming...
Mac Arrowny | Posted 7/6/2006 7:40:14 PM | message detail
What match pic would actually help Silent Hill? It isn't exactly the most photegenic of series...

Maybe a picture from this?

http://gmodparticleman.ytmnd.com/
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
yoblazer33 | Posted 7/6/2006 7:43:03 PM | message detail
you guys talking about silent hills girls are sick
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/6/2006 7:43:04 PM | message detail
FE with 69.69%

Read my analysis for my reasoning.


TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
TheLastOblesik | Posted 7/6/2006 8:47:28 PM | message detail
Kairi vs. Aeris

Who would win?
HaRRicH | Posted 7/6/2006 8:48:51 PM | message detail
the jp.
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Miss my Four-Pack Of Fun? Go here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007
Master Moltar | Posted 7/6/2006 8:48:55 PM | message detail
Aeris...with ease
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Moltar Status: Excited, the Contest is here at last!
Fire Emblem vs. Silent Hill - Bracket: FE - Vote: FE (5/5)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/6/2006 8:49:13 PM | message detail
Aeris, EASILY


TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
creativename | Posted 7/6/2006 9:28:19 PM | message detail
I'm surprised many people are saying Silent Hill will get better with the day vote. Like dragoontheguy said, "Survival horror games seem like the genre that would have strong night votes and weak day votes." Whereas the other game is a GameCube/GameBoy series with SSBM ties. Could be wrong, but it doesn't make sense for Fire Emblem to be weaker relatively during the day than a game like Silent Hill.

While SH should close the gap overnight, Fire Emblem should do better during the day and widen it from however close it gets. I don't see this match ending more than a couple points below where it is right now, and it could end up right around 59+%.

---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/6/2006 9:29:54 PM | message detail
turtle, you don't need to tell people to read your topic every time you post. People aren't posting in there because they aren't interested, not because they don't know about it.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/6/2006 9:31:57 PM | message detail
=(

And I for one am expecting a really lopsided day vote in FE's favour.


TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/6/2006 9:32:42 PM | message detail
And I'm just posting the link on the first page of all the stats topics.


TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
Slowflake | Posted 7/6/2006 9:35:54 PM | message detail
And to keep the comeback theme, MC/DK also holds the biggest vote comeback record. God was that humiliating.
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I do declare, old chap! Even a Doom score could not possibly justify the unwarranted combustion of kittens!
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/6/2006 9:36:07 PM | message detail
Aw! Fire Emblem went up some ...

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
yoblazer33 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:36:36 PM | message detail
From the last topic:

And Master Chief had a lot of trouble blowing out CATS (CATS!) and nearly lost to Donkey Kong.

Master Chief also surprised everyone against Crono in the very next match. To me, that shows that Halo fans are always on the ready to rally and fight for their cause. Save for a huge surprise against Crash, Master Chief won't really blow anything out, but he won't go down without guns blazing, either. Can the same be said for Castlevania? We have no idea. I think Castlevania needs to establish a very solid lead throughout the night hours, because if the match ever looks like it could go either way, it will probably go Halo's way.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
NewLib | Posted 7/6/2006 9:36:39 PM | message detail
Im not going to lie. I feel VERY CONFIDENT with my bracket.

Two upsets. Halo > KH and Mario Kart > MM. Both I think are looking healthy.
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Where am I?
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/6/2006 9:37:09 PM | message detail
I'd like to see if Castlevania/Halo can beat that record.


TuRtLe
~~~
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/6/2006 9:39:58 PM | message detail
Konkai wa boku no kachi da ne?

Go Fire Emblem!
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
HaRRicH | Posted 7/6/2006 9:41:31 PM | message detail
If we still had the same poll-timing, I would expect a MMAASSSSIIVVEE comeback. However, as-is, while I still expect some lead-switching, I just don't think it'll be the same.....
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Miss my Four-Pack Of Fun? Go here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007
NewLib | Posted 7/6/2006 9:43:15 PM | message detail
Also if FE wins expect an abnormally low prediction percentage.


Im feeling 55%.
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Where am I?
Yesmar | Posted 7/6/2006 9:43:25 PM | message detail
And to keep the comeback theme, MC/DK also holds the biggest vote comeback record. God was that humiliating.

I still don't get that match. Why would the games fanbases shift enough to allow a fanbase to occur? Shouldn't they have had virtually the exact same fanbase?

Oh, and I can't really remember any survival horror entrants having a good day vote. Jill lost her lead against Ryu H., during the day, and only made the match close with the ending night vote. Wesker wasn't able to do anything against Kefka, one of the entrants with the worst day votes.
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"Dropo! You're the laziest man on Mars."
RPGuy96 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:44:27 PM | message detail
MC/Halo are 1-2 in close matches, so I'm not too terribly worried about Halo's rally power. It exists, sure, but I think the site likes CV enough that it won't matter. Looking at Alucard's matches, he appears to be a pretty good vote draw; I don't know if you want to correlate that to anything or not but it's there.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/RPGuy.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:44:49 PM | message detail
Im not going to lie. I feel VERY CONFIDENT with my bracket.

Two upsets. Halo > KH and Mario Kart > MM. Both I think are looking healthy.


That's my bracket as well sadly you have the higher tiebreaker, but Radix has a higher one than you.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
dmendoza615 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:46:29 PM | message detail
MC rallied because bungie.net put up a link to the poll IIRC.
Slowflake | Posted 7/6/2006 9:46:30 PM | message detail
Dunno. I'd have expected DK to at least hold onto a 2500+ vote lead. He's freakin' Nintendo, for God's sake. He defeated Aya thanks to the day vote and stayed alive against Vercetti thanks again to the day vote.
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I do declare, old chap! Even a Doom score could not possibly justify the unwarranted combustion of kittens!
Slowflake | Posted 7/6/2006 9:47:24 PM | message detail
bungie.net is a fansite, not the Bungie site.
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I do declare, old chap! Even a Doom score could not possibly justify the unwarranted combustion of kittens!
dragoontheguy | Posted 7/6/2006 9:47:58 PM | message detail
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=29113167

lol board 8 taking me seriously.
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408
KamikazePotato | Posted 7/6/2006 9:48:30 PM | message detail
I knew that when FE won, an influx of stupid topics would appear. That seems to have come true.

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Angsty_Lou: Everything has a sexual connotation if you just look long and hard enough.
Theo72: U SED LONG AND HARD LOL
Janus5000 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:48:31 PM | message detail
Strange how the two entrants who seem to be the best with the day vote both have Master in their name.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
charmander6000 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:48:33 PM | message detail
Vercetti used the day vote to get ahead of DK (they were 50/50 at around noon)
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Slowflake | Posted 7/6/2006 9:48:58 PM | message detail
What you fail to realize is that during contest time, the board is crawling with n00blets who will say that and mean every word of it.

Sorry for you, I guess. But you played with fire, and got burned.
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I do declare, old chap! Even a Doom score could not possibly justify the unwarranted combustion of kittens!
Janus5000 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:49:03 PM | message detail
Probably because those appear every match without fail.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
dmendoza615 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:50:05 PM | message detail
bungie.net is their site brah
dragoontheguy | Posted 7/6/2006 9:50:06 PM | message detail
I got burned? I find those responses hilarious.
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408