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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 302

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Masato_Tanaka | Posted 7/6/2006 9:10:17 PM | message detail
This match is a strange one. One could make a case that SH could comeback during the day, but who the **** knows. Glad I picked FE regardless.
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I'm a 6' 238 lb Gladiator!(longbladeofhiko/Masa)
Dagan Bomb For The WIN!
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/6/2006 9:10:46 PM | message detail
Aw, I was hoping that Silent Hill would bring that below 60% with that update. Getting there though ...

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
dragoontheguy | Posted 7/6/2006 9:10:55 PM | message detail
That was a pretty stable update. SH really is doomed it seems.
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408
Aprosenf | Posted 7/6/2006 9:11:10 PM | message detail
Let's hope FE can keep it above 60% for the rest of the match.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
Master Moltar | Posted 7/6/2006 9:11:16 PM | message detail
It's official (if it stays 60-40)

IT'S VYSE VS LAHARL 2!!!
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Moltar Status: Excited, the Contest is here at last!
Fire Emblem vs. Silent Hill - Bracket: FE - Vote: FE (5/5)
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/6/2006 9:11:37 PM | message detail
I would think Silent Hill would do really well during the day.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
yoblazer33 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:11:52 PM | message detail
I really doubt Silent Hill will push during the day. It needs to make strides now.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
HaRRicH | Posted 7/6/2006 9:12:03 PM | message detail
For what it's worth, PH rose in percentage against Bowser in the ending hours of the match...but, then again, Bowser's NEVER won that time of the votes.
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cyko | Posted 7/6/2006 9:12:27 PM | message detail
500 vote lead after 10 minutes? yeah, Silent Hill is done.

*waves bye to tranny*

i could see SH pull as close as 57%, but if anyone gets the minor day vote, it'll be Fire Emblem.


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"In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women...." - Homer Simpson
UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/6/2006 9:12:40 PM | message detail
I'm the only Crew member that picked FE with over 60%! If this keeps up, it's an easy point for me.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne
greatone10 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:13:18 PM | message detail
The only remote hope SH has left is that all the casuals during the day will come to vote, and even that is a false hope.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
"I set my ATM card's number to "0001" because I'm number one!" - Manfred von Karma
Master Moltar | Posted 7/6/2006 9:13:46 PM | message detail
SH with the day vote could chop it down to 55-57%, but I wouldn't count FE out. It might do surprisingly well with it and keep it near my analysis pick!
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Moltar Status: Excited, the Contest is here at last!
Fire Emblem vs. Silent Hill - Bracket: FE - Vote: FE (5/5)
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 7/6/2006 9:13:57 PM | message detail
I really doubt Silent Hill will push during the day. It needs to make strides now.

I don't really see a case of SRPGs doing good in the day though. Horror is the more casual vote appeal I'd believe. But hell, probably not.
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I'm a 6' 238 lb Gladiator!(longbladeofhiko/Masa)
Dagan Bomb For The WIN!
dragoontheguy | Posted 7/6/2006 9:14:49 PM | message detail
I would think Silent Hill would do really well during the day.

I just took a look at pyramid head vs. bowser, and it would appear to be the opposite. I would personally expect SH to have a similar day/night vote to resident evil, but that's just me. Survival horror games seem like the genre that would have strong night votes and weak day votes.
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408
therealmnm | Posted 7/6/2006 9:15:28 PM | message detail
I doubt Silent Hill will really make strides. It's obvious that we still have a large concentration of Nintendo fans on the site (for whatever reason). 95% of them are going to be voting for Fire Emblem. It looks like that Xbox/PS2 fanbase are going to remain indifferent for the most part...

What are the vote totals looking like?
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/6/2006 9:15:31 PM | message detail
I'm not sure why everyone thinks Fire Emblem would take the day vote or not drop very much. Silent Hill seems more like the series that would do better with casuals, just from namesake alone. It is not even going to threaten Fire Emblem's win here, but I think it'll do a nice cut into the percentage tomorrow. Unless Fire Emblem is somehow good with the day vote ...


But, uh, yeah, anyone thinking Silent Hill still has a chance to win is a little crazy right now.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
yoblazer33 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:16:26 PM | message detail
Well, Fire Emblem is a series that simply has to draw a lot of its power from the handheld fans (two of its three US games are on the GBA) and Super Smash Bros. Melee. I'd think those voters will help it during the day. Silent Hill may have more casual appeal overall, but this is GameFAQs. It's rather uncared for here.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/6/2006 9:17:22 PM | message detail
I just took a look at pyramid head vs. bowser, and it would appear to be the opposite.

... Eh, I really wouldn't use that as a reason to expect Silent Hill not to do well during the day. Pyramid Head just seems like he'd suck regardless of the time of day. But I suppose we'll find out ...

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
BlastTheSpeaker | Posted 7/6/2006 9:17:34 PM | message detail
I still say a 55/45 is very plausible. Maybe even 53/47, but thats pushing it >_>
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Blast the Speakers!!
Hopeful Soon To Be WWEGSB FPV DL Member
RPGuy96 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:18:13 PM | message detail
At 0:15
Pokemon/Star Ocean - 3506
Metal Gear/Soul Calibur - 3486
Fire Emblem/Silent Hill - 3389
Legend of Zelda/Civilization - 3268
Mega Man X/Suikoden - 3209
Metroid/Kirby - 3044
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Mustache...and green...
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Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/6/2006 9:18:13 PM | message detail
Hey, got that under 60%!

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
BlastTheSpeaker | Posted 7/6/2006 9:18:46 PM | message detail
This is Hiko's other alt BTW <_<
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Blast the Speakers!!
Hopeful Soon To Be WWEGSB FPV DL Member
Slowflake | Posted 7/6/2006 9:18:56 PM | message detail
Well well, looks like we'll have to wait a little longer for the first upset of the tournament. But I can't say I'm surprised... I never ever thought Silent Hill could win this. In fact, I was expecting a Vergil/Ghaleon kind of score. Guess not.
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I do declare, old chap! Even a Doom score could not possibly justify the unwarranted combustion of kittens!
dragoontheguy | Posted 7/6/2006 9:19:08 PM | message detail
Pyramid Head just seems like he'd suck regardless of the time of day.

lol

True I suppose. But he seemed to suck slightly less during the night. Maybe SH will manage to have more of a day vote then I think though, but I still think FE will maintain its percentage during the day at the very least, if not raise it.
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408
RPGuy96 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:19:30 PM | message detail
The first upset is coming tomorrow.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/RPGuy.jpg
Slowflake | Posted 7/6/2006 9:20:32 PM | message detail
Personally, I think the day vote goes to FE. Just my gut speaking, though. It's notorious for having been wrong before.
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I do declare, old chap! Even a Doom score could not possibly justify the unwarranted combustion of kittens!
greatone10 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:20:37 PM | message detail
I just took a look at pyramid head vs. bowser, and it would appear to be the opposite.

Well, no ****, Bowser is a well known Mario character, he'll beat anyone in the day vote.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
"I set my ATM card's number to "0001" because I'm number one!" - Manfred von Karma
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/6/2006 9:20:58 PM | message detail
If Silent Hill even gets a slight favoring with the day vote, I'll be happy. It's looks like it'll keep falling for a bit right now.

Get FE down to 55%!!

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 7/6/2006 9:21:28 PM | message detail
FWIW Fire Emblem stayed fairly constant in its match with FFTA.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/6/2006 9:21:54 PM | message detail
The first upset is coming tomorrow.

I hope, even if I lose a point!

*doesn't expect it to happen*

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
Aprosenf | Posted 7/6/2006 9:22:24 PM | message detail
By the way, if anyone wants a shell script that automatically grabs poll updates, here's what I'm using. You'll need to be running Linux or Mac OS X (or Windows with the programs curl, grep, sed, tr, date, dc, and xargs available from the command line):

for (( x=0; x <= 10000; x++ )); do date; curl http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=`curl http://www.gamefaqs.com/index.html 2> /dev/null | grep '/poll/index.html' | sed 's/.*\/poll\/index\.html?poll=\([0-9]*\).*/\1/'` 2> /dev/null | grep TOTAL | sed -e 's/<tr><td><b>\([^<]*\)<\/b><\/td><td><b>\([^<]*\)<\/b><\/td><td><[^>]*><\/td><td><b>\([^<]*\)<\/b><\/td><\/tr>/\1 \2 \3\\/g' -e 's/<tr>.*<b>TOTAL VOTES<\/b><\/td><td><b>\([^<]*\)<\/b><\/td><\/tr><\/table>/TOTAL VOTES: \1\\/' | tr '\\' '\n'; date | sed 's/.*..:\(..\):\(..\).*/3600 \1 60 * \2 + - 300 % 3 + p/' | dc | xargs sleep; done

Basically what it does is it waits until 3 seconds past every multiple of 5 minutes, downloads gamefaqs.com/index.html to get the current pollid, downloads gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=(pollid), parses the HTML, and prints out the current poll results in a human readable format. You can run this in a terminal window and put it wherever you want on your screen, and it'll grab the current poll results every 5 minutes. It doesn't catch the action at the beginning of a poll. Your system clock doesn't need to be synchronized with GameFAQs, but if it is you'll get slightly more up-to-date results.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
dragoontheguy | Posted 7/6/2006 9:23:51 PM | message detail
Well, no ****, Bowser is a well known Mario character, he'll beat anyone in the day vote.

I don't know, bowser seems to have a very neutral day/night vote, if not a slightly weaker day vote. He did in the villain contest at least.
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408
MarioSuperstar | Posted 7/6/2006 9:25:04 PM | message detail
I was expecting a Vergil/Ghaleon kind of score.

I said that days ago.. it's also like Vyse/Laharl. Bah.
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* Is Dranze *
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/6/2006 9:26:02 PM | message detail
Pretty dip than the others for that update.

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
trannyscience | Posted 7/6/2006 9:26:04 PM | message detail
that update was 55.6-44.4... interesting!
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xyzzy
Slowflake | Posted 7/6/2006 9:27:14 PM | message detail
Don't go hoping for a good match. FE has a 900+ lead 25 minutes in. Even if it was Castlevania leading Halo like that I'd call it a day.
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I do declare, old chap! Even a Doom score could not possibly justify the unwarranted combustion of kittens!
Master Moltar | Posted 7/6/2006 9:27:41 PM | message detail
Give up Tranny, it's OVA!

You know what would be funny, if the votals in this match weren't as bad as we all thought.
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Moltar Status: Excited, the Contest is here at last!
Fire Emblem vs. Silent Hill - Bracket: FE - Vote: FE (5/5)
ApplesauceSign | Posted 7/6/2006 9:27:43 PM | message detail
Hey look, it's whining on the board!

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 7/6/2006 9:28:33 PM | message detail
You know what would be funny, if the votals in this match weren't as bad as we all thought.

Well, it does look to be a lot closer than any other match so far. May help it out ...

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"Building the future and keeping the past alive are one in the same thing." -- Solid Snake
RPGuy96 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:31:18 PM | message detail
I'm still not really sure why people don't at least expect this to be close. Soul Calibur and Halo are linked through StarCraft, and Soul Calibur just laid a huge egg. Meanwhile, Metal Gear Solid and GoldenEye (and therefore SotN) are in the same boat, and Metal Gear just impressed. Add to it that Castlevania is much more than just SotN (Simon's in the same area of the stats as Zidane or Geno, and CV I, II and IV are hardly character centric), the GBA/DSs performing fairly well in GotY polls, and you've essentially got 20-some games on every system ever versus two XBox games...and I don't see what screams blowout here, and I like what I see for Castlevania.

And Master Chief had a lot of trouble blowing out CATS (CATS!) and nearly lost to Donkey Kong. I'd take Alucard over Master Chief without thinking too hard, and the Castlevania series is much more than Alucard.
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Mustache...and green...
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trannyscience | Posted 7/6/2006 9:32:00 PM | message detail
oh this match is definitely over.. I just like to see percentages plummet, that's all.

what's the biggest deficit someone's come back from, not in terms of votes but in terms of where the percentage stabilized?
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xyzzy
MarioGolfMaster | Posted 7/6/2006 9:32:31 PM | message detail
Golden Sun should've been in over FE! *lies*
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"In the United States, doing good has come to be, like patriotism, a favorite device of persons with something to sell."
Slowflake | Posted 7/6/2006 9:32:55 PM | message detail
I believe DK lost after holding 55% against - guess who - Master Chief.
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I do declare, old chap! Even a Doom score could not possibly justify the unwarranted combustion of kittens!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/6/2006 9:33:07 PM | message detail
Logically speaking, someone falls from 100% in every match.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne
Draco1214 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:33:15 PM | message detail
Screw my bracket. Castlevania >>> Halo for life!
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Capcom vs. SNK 2
Aprosenf | Posted 7/6/2006 9:33:31 PM | message detail
Golden Sun, Star Fox, Donkey Kong Country, Ratchet & Clank, Jak & Daxter, and the list goes on... all deserved to get in more than Suikoden, Star Ocean, and Silent Hill.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
Janus5000 | Posted 7/6/2006 9:34:02 PM | message detail
Fire Emblem >

Ooooohhhhhh
Ooooohhhhhh

Lights on the avenue
All seem so far away
I'm up here drinking a toast to you
On such a special day

Tonight is the night for I love you's
Wish we could have this feeling
Throughout the year
Christmas is here
Christmas is here

Ooooohhhhhh

Tonight is the night for I love you's
And if you hold me near you
You'll feel my heart
Beating for two

Tonight is the night for I love you's
Up above the snow is falling
And stars disappear
My heart is calling
Christmas is here
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
NewLib | Posted 7/6/2006 9:34:20 PM | message detail
You forgot one big one.


CHRONO. ;_;
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Where am I?
MarioGolfMaster | Posted 7/6/2006 9:34:34 PM | message detail
FFTA is the greatest game ever made.
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"In the United States, doing good has come to be, like patriotism, a favorite device of persons with something to sell."
Aprosenf | Posted 7/6/2006 9:34:39 PM | message detail
Harvest Moon > Kingdom Hearts (or at least according to my vote)
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener