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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 295

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Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 6/28/2006 9:07:12 PM | message detail
(although before the game contest I would have said KH over a lot of things...like the entire 128 division >_<).

Ouch. =p

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"A legend is nothing but fiction. Someone tells it, someone else remembers, everybody passes it on."
Quaarma Hunter | Posted 6/28/2006 9:10:03 PM | message detail
...Anyone think FFT might have rSFF'd MGS? I've never seen the idea thrown around before, to my knowledge.

I've mulled it over once or twice, and after much thought I'd have to say no. We can already see that, as HaRRicH pointed out, the four games with the biggest increases in ranking on the top 100 list from their SpC2k4 rankings were MGS, FFT, Goldeneye, and SotN. While it may have done *something* to a small degree, and while I used to hold that FFT benefitted largely from franchise voting (which is why it scared me to death in that bracket), I now believe that was really its true strength here on GameFAQs. Sure, you wouldn't expect a spinoff strategy RPG to be that popular, but I wouldn't have expected many things to be such a force here (CT at the number 3 game still boggles my mind, especially with all the people who seem to have been introduced via emulation). Plus, there's always the whole 'Final Fantasy' thing...right?
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*is Karma Hunter*
yoblazer33 | Posted 6/28/2006 9:11:54 PM | message detail
Super Smash Bros. Melee performed a full 9% better against FFVII. If anything, it's even stronger now. Do you really see Metal Gear Solid "hanging" with SSBM? Like... really?
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Board 8: Where Wii treat each other right.
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Quaarma Hunter | Posted 6/28/2006 9:13:44 PM | message detail
But let's put things another way...the theory of Squall being SFFed by Snake has come up in a few forms here, right? So, does that mean that MGS can suddenly SFF FF8? Or can FF8 SFF MGS? You'd think it would be logical for FF8 to beat MGS, since FFT would seemingly be weaker than the numbered series...

Is it FFVII itself that can deliver such a varied and brutal form of 'SFF', or is that a property of the Final Fantasy namesake as a whole?
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*is Karma Hunter*
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/28/2006 9:14:14 PM | message detail
Super Smash Bros. Melee performed a full 9% better against FFVII. If anything, it's even stronger now. Do you really see Metal Gear Solid "hanging" with SSBM? Like... really?

Considering FFVII almost certainly overperformed (I won't call it a lock since we don't have any concrete evidence to confirm it) on MGS and that I have no doubt whatsoever it's stronger than MGS2, I believe it COULD hang with SSBM. Now, that depends on your definition of "hanging," but I have no trouble believing it gets 45% or so in that match. SSBM may be a part of the Super Seven, but it's not head and shoulders above the rest of the pack.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/28/2006 9:15:42 PM | message detail
But let's put things another way...the theory of Squall being SFFed by Snake has come up in a few forms here, right? So, does that mean that MGS can suddenly SFF FF8? Or can FF8 SFF MGS? You'd think it would be logical for FF8 to beat MGS, since FFT would seemingly be weaker than the numbered series...

Is it FFVII itself that can deliver such a varied and brutal form of 'SFF', or is that a property of the Final Fantasy namesake as a whole?


Snake/Squall is partially what made me think of MGS/FFT "rSFF," I admit. After all, you're dealing with two of the most popular currently-Playstation franchises.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
yoblazer33 | Posted 6/28/2006 9:16:01 PM | message detail
That is an excellent post, KH, and it's one of the main reasons I want to see a games contest done right.
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Board 8: Where Wii treat each other right.
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Quaarma Hunter | Posted 6/28/2006 9:17:05 PM | message detail
Super Smash Bros. Melee performed a full 9% better against FFVII. If anything, it's even stronger now. Do you really see Metal Gear Solid "hanging" with SSBM? Like... really?

Comparing a Square/Nintendo match (where the loser usually looks their best or has a tendency to overperform) to a now suspected SFF match? I guess Samus has no shot against Crono, just look at their matches against Mario!

Looking at the top ten list again, there's again no telling what MGS does without its split votes. Cut its dead weight away (MGS2 and MGS3) and see how high it can go.

Not that I think it can beat SSBM now on NintendoFAQs, but I would have certainly entertained the possibility (and still would perhaps in the future).
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*is Karma Hunter*
yoblazer33 | Posted 6/28/2006 9:19:02 PM | message detail
Hey, I think there was SFF in that match as well. But nine full percent better is a sizable gap to make up, especially when you figure that Smash is probably stronger now. I'd take the Nintendo game with 55%.
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Board 8: Where Wii treat each other right.
Proud member of the Putty Patrol
NewLib | Posted 6/28/2006 9:20:59 PM | message detail
So a general question. What matchup gave you the most trouble?

My Top 5 are

5. Fire Emblem vs Silent Hill
4. Mario Kart vs Mega Man
3. Super Smash Brothers vs Super Mario Bros
2. Halo vs Kingdom Hearts
1. Pokemon vs Star Ocean

I dont know why but I just struggled over Pokemon/Star Ocean

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Where am I?
Janus5000 | Posted 6/28/2006 9:23:18 PM | message detail
But nine full percent better is a sizable gap to make up

Magus did 23% better than Ganondorf on Link and still almost lost to him.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
Draco1214 | Posted 6/28/2006 9:23:29 PM | message detail
Only match that's giving me trouble at this point is Mega Man vs. Mario Kart.

And Smash Bros. will not be beating Mario.
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Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac
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Slowflake | Posted 6/28/2006 9:24:10 PM | message detail
If you struggled to figure out that Mario would SFF SSB to hell and back, I don't think you'll be winning any prizes >_>
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Everything is "Ridiculous! Nonsense! If you believe that, you're a fool! How can that be when..." You'd make a great PW witness. -Shake to Vlado
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/28/2006 9:24:29 PM | message detail
The fact that people actually struggle with SMB/SSB is proof of just how much this board overrates Super Smash Brothers.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
RPGuy96 | Posted 6/28/2006 9:24:48 PM | message detail
Yeah, I think MGS (and 007!) can hang with the best of Div128...but I'm not sure how high the best of Div128 really is. We've had a lot of problems with tight fourpacks burning us (Seph/Samus/MM/Sonic, Magus/Gdorf/Tidus, Frog/MC/Liquid, most notably), and, well, when you stick an entire division in that situation (save FFTA, FE, Skies, and Shenmue) and throw in StarCraft and all the headaches it caused, I think you're asking for trouble. I know I wouldn't expect Melee, WW, or FFX to really keep it close with the last couple members of the Super Seven (say, SMB3 and FFVI).
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Slowflake | Posted 6/28/2006 9:25:39 PM | message detail
This makes me pat myself on the back for taking BOTH lists in the 10th anniversary contest BOP. SSBM absolutely slaughtered everything else on the favorites list, remember?
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Everything is "Ridiculous! Nonsense! If you believe that, you're a fool! How can that be when..." You'd make a great PW witness. -Shake to Vlado
yoblazer33 | Posted 6/28/2006 9:26:07 PM | message detail
If you're comparing the SFF between two different series (made by two different companies and utilizing two completely different styles of play) to Link/Ganondorf, you really are grasping for straws. We've seen time and again that Nintendo SFF is the strongest, and Link/Ganon was the most unbelievable instance of SFF we've ever seen.
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Board 8: Where Wii treat each other right.
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therealmnm | Posted 6/28/2006 9:26:09 PM | message detail
The fact that people actually struggle with SMB/SSB is proof of just how much this board overrates Super Smash Brothers.

Blah blah
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
Slowflake | Posted 6/28/2006 9:26:57 PM | message detail
Oh, and BTW, that BOP had SSBM pegged to beat SMB3 in the actual top 10 list as well.

How lovingly incompetent this board is at gauging SSB.
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Everything is "Ridiculous! Nonsense! If you believe that, you're a fool! How can that be when..." You'd make a great PW witness. -Shake to Vlado
Lopen | Posted 6/28/2006 9:27:08 PM | message detail
I really don't think SMB will be doing any huge SFFing of Smash. But I don't think Smash has any chance, either. SMB3 alone outdoing your flagship game is not a good thing.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
therealmnm | Posted 6/28/2006 9:27:14 PM | message detail
This makes me pat myself on the back for taking BOTH lists in the 10th anniversary contest BOP. SSBM absolutely slaughtered everything else on the favorites list, remember?

Do you have that data handy?
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
Quaarma Hunter | Posted 6/28/2006 9:27:16 PM | message detail
55% actually seems kind of reasonable now for SSBM, though I would have put MGS much closer before the Ninty boost...and would have likely gone for the outright upset if I didn't think MGS as a whole had lost a bit of a step here (thanks, MGS2). That, and the whole game contest having HORRENDOUS votals. Snake and MGS have always performed better in my eyes with high votes, and I maintain that MGS beats FFT by more if the front page layout wasn't the worst one could possibly imagine, as I also maintain Bowser beats Snake if we have that same layout for that match.
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*is Karma Hunter*
Slowflake | Posted 6/28/2006 9:27:46 PM | message detail
Go to the BOP topic, click on the link to the current BOP. Last sheet on the file.
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Everything is "Ridiculous! Nonsense! If you believe that, you're a fool! How can that be when..." You'd make a great PW witness. -Shake to Vlado
Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 6/28/2006 9:28:41 PM | message detail
SSB won't even have a chance to lose to SMB because it's losing to Sonic !

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"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." ~ Benjamin Franklin
therealmnm | Posted 6/28/2006 9:29:12 PM | message detail
Silly me. I knew the link, but forgot you kept the old contest on separate sheets in the same file.
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
NewLib | Posted 6/28/2006 9:29:43 PM | message detail
Well really only the top two matches gave me legit problems. I just think people are underrating Halo and overrating Kingdom Hearts coming into this.
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Where am I?
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/28/2006 9:29:48 PM | message detail
Blah blah

It's really hard to deny, quite frankly.

Whether I'm overstating the competition is another matter entirely.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
yoblazer33 | Posted 6/28/2006 9:30:13 PM | message detail
Yep, the vote totals really were horrible. Combine a larger voting pool with the Nintendo shift, and I think LttP will easily (by easily, I mean that it would defeat Chrono Trigger in much less of a struggle than their 2004 match) be the third strongest game in a new games contest.
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Board 8: Where Wii treat each other right.
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Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 6/28/2006 9:31:12 PM | message detail
Super Smash Bros. Melee performed a full 9% better against FFVII. If anything, it's even stronger now. Do you really see Metal Gear Solid "hanging" with SSBM? Like... really?

Certainly. SSBM is not a game that is clearly above everything in its general area. It is very beatable. Can MGS make it all up and beat SSBM? I dunno. I'm not saying it would undoubtedly happen, but taking it over SSBM as something of an upset? Sure, why not. There is enough reason to believe that is a possibility. I think, at the least, you're looking at a good 45%+ for MGS. From there, you would have a number of varying opinions on if MGS can make up the remaining gap and close out a close win. But yeah, I can really see it hanging with SSBM.

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"A legend is nothing but fiction. Someone tells it, someone else remembers, everybody passes it on."
yoshifan823 | Posted 6/28/2006 9:31:12 PM | message detail
Agreed.
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LeonhartForever | Posted 6/28/2006 9:31:50 PM | message detail
Didn't CT/LttP actually have decent vote totals?

And Chrono Trigger wins today if the match is held.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
NewLib | Posted 6/28/2006 9:32:55 PM | message detail
I cant. SSBM has gone in only one direction since the last Games contest. I could potentially see SSB:M > FFVI right now.
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Where am I?
Slowflake | Posted 6/28/2006 9:33:35 PM | message detail
Looking at that sheet, I realized something frightening. Half of the entire board has SSBM in their top 10. My #24 pretty much makes me look like hater now, right?
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Everything is "Ridiculous! Nonsense! If you believe that, you're a fool! How can that be when..." You'd make a great PW witness. -Shake to Vlado
therealmnm | Posted 6/28/2006 9:34:07 PM | message detail
I doubt it. The Nintendo fanbase has increased since then. The match could have gone the other way in a rematch then. Now, I would definitely take LttP.
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 6/28/2006 9:34:49 PM | message detail
If there was a FFX/SSBM rematch and SSBM was represented with Master Hand and FFX had all its characters in the match pic...... what would happen?

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"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." ~ Benjamin Franklin
yoblazer33 | Posted 6/28/2006 9:35:15 PM | message detail
And Chrono Trigger wins today if the match is held.

Well, ya. There's only two and one half hours left in "today." Damn CT night vote. Hold the same match tomorrow, though, and watch out!
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Board 8: Where Wii treat each other right.
Proud member of the Putty Patrol
NewLib | Posted 6/28/2006 9:35:35 PM | message detail
Also does anyone else agree that if the Games contest was redone exactly like the 2004 this year that it would SSB:M over Halo in the 128 division not SSB:M over Starcraft?
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Where am I?
Slowflake | Posted 6/28/2006 9:35:35 PM | message detail
With the same bracket as two years ago, I wouldn't hesitate a second in picking LttP/FF7 as the final.
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Everything is "Ridiculous! Nonsense! If you believe that, you're a fool! How can that be when..." You'd make a great PW witness. -Shake to Vlado
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 6/28/2006 9:35:43 PM | message detail
And Chrono Trigger wins today if the match is held.

I'm inclined to agree.

I cant. SSBM has gone in only one direction since the last Games contest. I could potentially see SSB:M > FFVI right now.

This is what Leonhart means by "overrating" SSBM.

Half of the entire board has SSBM in their top 10. My #24 pretty much makes me look like hater now, right?

I don't even have it in the top 50!

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"A legend is nothing but fiction. Someone tells it, someone else remembers, everybody passes it on."
RPGuy96 | Posted 6/28/2006 9:35:53 PM | message detail
Melee is #31 here...I must really despise the game.
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Mustache...and green...
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Quaarma Hunter | Posted 6/28/2006 9:35:53 PM | message detail
If there was a FFX/SSBM rematch and SSBM was represented with Master Hand and FFX had all its characters in the match pic...... what would happen

FFX wins, beats Starcraft, then proceeds to make the entire 128 division look like fodder.
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*is Karma Hunter*
Janus5000 | Posted 6/28/2006 9:36:06 PM | message detail
FFX would win because it's a ****ing glove.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/28/2006 9:36:31 PM | message detail
FFX is a sexy upset pick because virtually nobody on the board would take it. Honestly, we've said that games =/= characters in terms of strength, and I still believe the "boost" would apply less to games than most people around here want to believe. Chrono Trigger is still the 3rd strongest game here, and I believe that firmly.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
NewLib | Posted 6/28/2006 9:37:38 PM | message detail
How can you believe it firmly if CT BARELY won over LTTP last time? Even if nothing has changed, a general fluctuation could change the outcome of that match.
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Where am I?
Quaarma Hunter | Posted 6/28/2006 9:38:02 PM | message detail
You're asking for trouble when you consider SSBM over FFVI. Can you see SSBM putting up as much of a fight against CT as FFVI did against LttP? Somehow I doubt it.
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*is Karma Hunter*
yoblazer33 | Posted 6/28/2006 9:38:09 PM | message detail
You are wrong, Leonhart. So very wrong.
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Board 8: Where Wii treat each other right.
Proud member of the Putty Patrol
Slowflake | Posted 6/28/2006 9:38:25 PM | message detail
Heck, had the match happened one day before or after LttP could've won then.
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Everything is "Ridiculous! Nonsense! If you believe that, you're a fool! How can that be when..." You'd make a great PW witness. -Shake to Vlado
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/28/2006 9:38:34 PM | message detail
The same reason that everyone firmly believes that SSBM couldn't POSSIBLY lose a rematch to Final Fantasy X.

Arrogance and stubbornness.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
MarioSuperstar | Posted 6/28/2006 9:38:45 PM | message detail
SSBM is my #3
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Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 6/28/2006 9:38:56 PM | message detail
SO > pkmn
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"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." ~ Benjamin Franklin