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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 291

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Quaarma Hunter | Posted 6/14/2006 1:38:36 PM | message detail
Eh...I'd probably draw the line at Squall for Zero (I do think he dropped a *smidge* looking at his other matches in 2k5), and I wouldn't sweat over taking post-KH2 Squall over him.
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*is Karma Hunter*
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/14/2006 1:40:28 PM | message detail
For what it's worth, Zero's performance against Hayabusa was less than impressive, based on what we were expecting out of him. How much of that you chalk up to the ninja picture is subjective, of course.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
therealmnm | Posted 6/14/2006 1:54:36 PM | message detail
I probably wouldn't take Zero over Squall now due to KH2, but I definitely feel they were at the same level. Ryu Hayabusa went up regardless of how you feel on Zero/Mario SFF, so it's pretty clear that the picture did have an effect. How much is the debatable thing, but we can't say for sure on any front.

I always say that sure, the picture probably won't mean anything to people who already are Ryu Hayabusa fans. But what about those that aren't, and those who don't exactly know the name "Ryu Hayabusa"? You can't possibly expect them to look at those Dead or Alive pictures and say "Oh, that's the guy from Ninja Gaiden".

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/displayimage.php?album=2&pos=48
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/displayimage.php?album=6&pos=2

You can't say that there isn't a huge difference between those two representations. You don't have to be a huge fan of the Ninja Gaiden games to give Ryu a vote. It at least helps that more people are able to recognize him as the Ninja Gaiden guy. It's more than what I can say about that DoA picture against Sora. Even I wouldn't know that was Ryu if I didn't see the name right there. And as I said, Ryu went up regardless, so it's clear that there was a difference.

As for Lloyd, we have nothing to base him off of except for Wesker's villain contest data, which is hardly something that I would call reliable. Anyways, it's a moot point as we obviously feel different. I'm just stating why I feel that Zero has always at least been around Squall level, and certainly not where he ranks in the 2k5 stats...
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
trannyscience | Posted 6/14/2006 2:02:47 PM | message detail
I'd like to see Ganon/Zelda.. but also Bowser/Zelda. I'd probably take Zelda once TP hits, and I think Zelda could outperform Kirby on Bowser. not sure if it's enough to win though..
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xyzzy
yoblazer33 | Posted 6/14/2006 2:04:26 PM | message detail
I would have definitely taken Bowser over Ganondorf before Twilight Princess. Now it's all about waiting to see what type of role Dorfy plays in that game.
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Board 8: Where Wii treat each other right.
therealmnm | Posted 6/14/2006 2:06:24 PM | message detail
I don't know about taking Zelda over any of the other Nintendo characters in her area, even Kirby. We have yet to see how much Nintendo fans care about her over the others, unless you want to count her match against Mega Man...
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
yoblazer33 | Posted 6/14/2006 2:07:18 PM | message detail
I'd take Zelda over Ganondorf.
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Board 8: Where Wii treat each other right.
therealmnm | Posted 6/14/2006 2:09:52 PM | message detail
I wouldn't. For all we know, Link SFF's Zelda to the ground too in that 2k4 match against Ganondorf.
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
trannyscience | Posted 6/14/2006 2:09:53 PM | message detail
well Mega Man shows she's far above Yoshi... I don't know, I don't feel comfortable taking any of the second tier Nintendo characters over each other due to the overlap. I feel weird trying to gauge their strength through extrapolation; it all depends on who the fanbase sides with.

I always got the feeling that Zelda fans would vote Zelda characters over anything. that's how Zelda got 40% on Mega Man and how Ganon got 40% on Samus. it all depends on if the rest of the Nintendo fanbase supports them.
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xyzzy
yoblazer33 | Posted 6/14/2006 2:12:32 PM | message detail
For all we know, Link SFF's Zelda to the ground too in that 2k4 match against Ganondorf.

I think Zelda is in the better position as far as that argument is concerned. I'd rather take the more unproven character over the one who suffered the biggest SFF humiliation in history (especially in a match that's all about SFF).
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Board 8: Where Wii treat each other right.
Big Bob | Posted 6/14/2006 2:14:58 PM | message detail
I have a feeling that Zelda would get SFF'd by Ganondorf. Just think:

Would Aeris get SFF'd harder by Cloud or Sephiroth?
Would Peach get SFF'd harder by Mario or Bowser?

I know it's untested and there's nothing to support this, but I think that villains would do better than the hero if they were placed against the "damsel in distress" of their games.
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trannyscience | Posted 6/14/2006 2:17:10 PM | message detail
Mario would kill Peach way harder than Bowser would. same with Cloud and Aeris.

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xyzzy
Quaarma Hunter | Posted 6/14/2006 2:17:38 PM | message detail
See, I find it fairly obvious that Cloud SFFs Aeris more and Mario SFFs Peach more. In fact, on another note I think Sephiroth would probably SFF Aeris the least compared to any of the other lesser FFVII characters.

For...y'know, reasons.
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*is Karma Hunter*
Mac Arrowny | Posted 6/14/2006 3:07:09 PM | message detail
This topic has too much discussion of Zelda and not enough discussion of Midna. >_<

If Midna gets into SSBB (which she should), and she's as cool in TP as she looks right now (which she will be), she could be quite the contender...I'd put her between Yoshi and Leon in the stats.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 6/14/2006 3:08:22 PM | message detail
Let it be known that Leon would beat the hell out of Midna, SSBB or no.

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"If you're asking for a date, forget it. Because I made it a point not to go out with women who shoot me in the head."
Ed Bellis | Posted 6/14/2006 3:25:12 PM | message detail
Speaking of Mega Man, are you going to finish your writeups on MM7 and MM8, Karma Hunter? The original topic purged.

As soon as I stop needing to leech off public computers!


FYI, I have the first writeups saved. Just because you respect your own material doesn't mean I don't! :-P

Back on topic, I honestly thought the consensus on Mega Man/Zero was that it was the rare case of rSFF - of Zero overperforming based on his opponent.
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This was Ed Bellis. Summer 2005 Fanfiction Project:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=28403845
therealmnm | Posted 6/14/2006 3:47:12 PM | message detail
Back on topic, I honestly thought the consensus on Mega Man/Zero was that it was the rare case of rSFF - of Zero overperforming based on his opponent.

But Zero didn't overperform at all... He got just what he was supposed to. It just showed that there is a split between the classic and X series, and we pretty much already knew that.
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
Ed Bellis | Posted 6/14/2006 3:56:25 PM | message detail
I mean "overperform" in terms of the fact that there was no SFF in the match. He may have gotten what he was "supposed" to get, but I thought people expecting him to do much worse and get SFFed; hence, the label of "rSFF." I didn't think the "split between the classic and X series" was as widely accepted back then.
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This was Ed Bellis. Summer 2005 Fanfiction Project:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=28403845
Quaarma Hunter | Posted 6/14/2006 4:15:06 PM | message detail
After seeing so much hype about Midna, finally seeing her for myself was an utter, utter disappointment. I see her as nothing more than a lower midcard, and that's with SSBB (which is no assurance).

Very, very overrated character design, to say the least.
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*is Karma Hunter*
XIII_rocks | Posted 6/14/2006 4:25:59 PM | message detail
Who the hell is Midna? >_>
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Ed Bellis | Posted 6/14/2006 4:31:11 PM | message detail
Midna is a new character confirmed to be in Twilight Princess. She's supposed to be an ally of Link or something. HAVE IT AGAIN LOL

http://www.perfect-zelda.net/midna.jpg
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This was Ed Bellis. Summer 2005 Fanfiction Project:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=28403845
therealmnm | Posted 6/14/2006 5:10:17 PM | message detail
I don't see what the big deal about Midna is myself. I think people are overhyping her just because she's finally another addition to the Zelda universe, i.e., looking for another Zelda character that could be strong. It's just not happening though. I don't see Midna being anymore popular than Tetra... And it's hinted that there's a connection between her and Zelda as well...
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
Mac Arrowny | Posted 6/14/2006 5:47:30 PM | message detail
After seeing so much hype about Midna, finally seeing her for myself was an utter, utter disappointment. I see her as nothing more than a lower midcard, and that's with SSBB (which is no assurance).

Very, very overrated character design, to say the least.


Majora's Mask + Cel-shaded Hand coming out of head = win. Plus, she has the sweet BoF5 Ryu look going on with her skin, and she can shoot blue fire out of her hands. Midna is easily the coolest looking character I've seen, and is as of now the thing that excites me most about Twilight Princess.

Oh, and she's one of two playable Zelda characters, and we all know how strong playable Zelda characters are. >_>
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
therealmnm | Posted 6/14/2006 5:51:59 PM | message detail
Oh, and she's one of two playable Zelda characters, and we all know how strong playable Zelda characters are.

Medli! Makar!
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: Fable, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC
Mac Arrowny | Posted 6/14/2006 6:08:56 PM | message detail
Damn...I knew I was forgetting someone.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
HaRRicH | Posted 6/14/2006 6:09:27 PM | message detail
Don't worry SephG, I've still been able to keep up with every post. I just, ya know...haven't had much to say and have been pretty busy.

Since I still hear SF/RE talk, I will make a sig-bet with anybody right now: RE will break 55% without question in that match. I'll take on anybody I know (no more sig-bets against alts for me!).
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heroic tranny | Posted 6/14/2006 6:10:12 PM | message detail
RE4 would beat every SF game with over 55% alone.
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xyzzy
HaRRicH | Posted 6/14/2006 6:14:45 PM | message detail
This I know. People still insist on SF > RE though -- which is totally fine with me bracket-wise -- so I'm making the bet. I believe HM still has SF > RE..... =P
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007
Ed Bellis | Posted 6/14/2006 6:14:52 PM | message detail
I'd take Resident Evil breaking 55% over Castlevania. No way in hell am I anticipating less against Sf2/TES.
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This was Ed Bellis. Summer 2005 Fanfiction Project:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=28403845
heroic tranny | Posted 6/14/2006 6:17:19 PM | message detail
I'm really looking forward to the Oracle this year... no x-stats to rely on means people are going to be all over, especially in round 1.

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xyzzy
HaRRicH | Posted 6/14/2006 6:17:52 PM | message detail
Believe it or not, this bet isn't intended for those already taking RE in SF/RE.
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Miss my Four-Pack Of Fun? Go here:
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Ed Bellis | Posted 6/14/2006 6:18:59 PM | message detail
Believe it or not, this bet isn't intended for those already taking RE in SF/RE.

Whew! For a second, I thought you were talking to me!

...I have RE over Elder Scrolls.

>_>
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This was Ed Bellis. Summer 2005 Fanfiction Project:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=28403845
heroic tranny | Posted 6/14/2006 6:19:05 PM | message detail
I've already got a GTA/WC sig bet and a SMB/Madden account bet. and, of course, the Guru.

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xyzzy
dragoontheguy | Posted 6/14/2006 6:30:42 PM | message detail
...I have RE over Elder Scrolls.

Same here. I don't see why elder scrolls couldn't fall between both series in overall strength.
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408
dragoontheguy | Posted 6/14/2006 6:31:51 PM | message detail
and a SMB/Madden account bet.

Wait, what? Somebody actually made an account bet betting on Madden of all things? 0_o
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408
Applause Sign | Posted 6/14/2006 6:34:58 PM | message detail

And looking back at two polls:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2121

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2328

Unless Mario gets, like almost ALL of those other votes, does Mega outscore him against Yoshi?

My brain hurts...


Samus > MM > Mario in the next great character battle. Book it!

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LeonhartForever | Posted 6/14/2006 7:29:59 PM | message detail
Mario would kill Peach way harder than Bowser would. same with Cloud and Aeris.

I dunno. I think Sephy would kill her pretty badly.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/14/2006 8:08:51 PM | message detail
heh

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM (Sora), Larussa 92 (NYY), NSMB, FE8, WC3: Frozen Throne
Kaxon | Posted 6/14/2006 8:14:04 PM | message detail
I'm really looking forward to the Oracle this year... no x-stats to rely on means people are going to be all over, especially in round 1.

Indeed, this is why I'm more excited about this contest than the character battle, and wish it were going to be 63 matches.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
Yesmar | Posted 6/14/2006 8:15:04 PM | message detail
Since when did character design play such a huge role in character popularity?

Sure it plays some role, but if Minda does have a substantial role in TP, I doubt her character design would matter much. We've never seen any lesser Zelda characters in a contest before, so it's really hard to judge anyway.
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"What's wrong with boot blacking? I like it very much."
heroic tranny | Posted 6/14/2006 8:16:26 PM | message detail
trudat, Leon.

character design means a lot. hero-type with a sword? instant popularity. big fat ugly guy? probably not as popular.

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xyzzy
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/14/2006 8:16:34 PM | message detail
It's rather difficult for any new character to be a big shot these days. Other than Dante and Master Chief, it's hard to name one.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Yesmar | Posted 6/14/2006 8:16:36 PM | message detail
*Midna
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"What's wrong with boot blacking? I like it very much."
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/14/2006 8:17:26 PM | message detail
hero-type with a sword? instant popularity. big fat ugly guy? probably not as popular.

Then why did Ganondorf beat Auron? This saddens me.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
heroic tranny | Posted 6/14/2006 8:18:23 PM | message detail
cause Zelda > Final Fantasy !!
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xyzzy
Adept of Aiur | Posted 6/14/2006 8:19:14 PM | message detail
Then why did Ganondorf beat Auron? This saddens me.

Because Ganondorf is a villain/pig with a sword. How do you beat a villain/pig?!?!
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
heroic tranny | Posted 6/14/2006 8:19:28 PM | message detail
..but if you wanted a fair comparison (relatively equal popularity), you'd like Seph-Ganon. people are surprised Ganon was even that close.
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xyzzy
Yesmar | Posted 6/14/2006 8:19:35 PM | message detail
It's rather difficult for any new character to be a big shot these days. Other than Dante and Master Chief, it's hard to name one.

Auron?

Besides, Dante and Master Chief are higher than what people were speculating Midna at.
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"What's wrong with boot blacking? I like it very much."
heroic tranny | Posted 6/14/2006 8:19:54 PM | message detail
GTA 99.999%
Warcraft 00.001%
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xyzzy
dragoontheguy | Posted 6/14/2006 8:19:54 PM | message detail
Elder Scrolls > Street Fighter
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When dictatorship is a fact, revolution becomes a right. ~ Victor Hugo
{WoT}~> Board 408