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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 288

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LeonhartForever | Posted 6/8/2006 11:28:51 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/sum05_who.php
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
yoblazer33 | Posted 6/8/2006 11:28:58 PM | message detail
I have no idea how to stretch write-ups for matches like Zelda/Civilization without resorting to random dribble. Ah well! Dribble for all!
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Board 8: Where Wii treat each other right.
yoblazer33 | Posted 6/8/2006 11:29:30 PM | message detail
Oh, nice find, Leon.
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Board 8: Where Wii treat each other right.
yoblazer33 | Posted 6/8/2006 11:29:59 PM | message detail
Wait a second... what the
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Board 8: Where Wii treat each other right.
Lopen | Posted 6/8/2006 11:32:17 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/sum05_who.php

XD. Kirby's so damn ugly there. Agent 47 is in Dragon Quest? etc. etc. That's awesome.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 6/8/2006 11:33:15 PM | message detail
I like how Tidus is representing Mega Man. That seems so fitting.

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"Princess, there's no need for worry. Who do you think I am? I'm the hero of the story. And the hero never dies."
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/8/2006 11:33:36 PM | message detail
It also appears to confirm that Sora will appear in Super Smash Brothers Brawl.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Lopen | Posted 6/8/2006 11:33:52 PM | message detail
Street Fighter coincidentally matched up with Chun Li. And Auron with Kingdom Hearts is slightly related too.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
Janus5000 | Posted 6/8/2006 11:33:52 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/sum05_who.php

Mega Man is screwed.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/9/2006 12:06:31 AM | message detail
Let's say, for example, that CJayC does another poll like last year's Villains Contest where he asks which lower seed you would most like to see pull the upset...Given these options, rank them in the order you think they would finish:

Star Ocean
Devil May Cry
Mario Kart
Warcraft
Street Fighter
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Lopen | Posted 6/9/2006 12:09:06 AM | message detail
Street Fighter > Devil May Cry > Mario Kart > Warcraft >> Star Ocean.

That's what I'm seeing there.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
Dilated Chemist | Posted 6/9/2006 12:09:44 AM | message detail
Mario Kart
Street Fighter
Devil May Cry
Warcraft
Star Ocean

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=DC=
Chemistry can be a good and bad thing. Chemistry is good when you make love with it. Chemistry is bad when you make crack with it.
Lopen | Posted 6/9/2006 12:11:38 AM | message detail
So I had a funny thought there... what if one option were to draw over 50% of the vote in one of those? Can you pretty much call the match for that option? Heh heh.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 6/9/2006 12:12:29 AM | message detail
Star Ocean > > Mario Kart > Street Fighter > Warcraft > Devil May Cry


... Okay, fine.

Mario Kart > Street Fighter > Warcraft > Devil May Cry > Star Ocean

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"Princess, there's no need for worry. Who do you think I am? I'm the hero of the story. And the hero never dies."
RPGuy96 | Posted 6/9/2006 12:18:31 AM | message detail
Mario Kart > Street Fighter >> Devil May Cry > WarCraft >> Star Ocean
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/NintendoDesktop2.jpg
greatone10 | Posted 6/9/2006 12:19:39 AM | message detail
what if one option were to draw over 50% of the vote in one of those? Can you pretty much call the match for that option?

No, considering that the poll does not reveal vital information like the opponent.

Though, it would definitely be something to consider.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
"I set my ATM card's number to "0001" because I'm number one!" - Manfred von Karma
Kaxon | Posted 6/9/2006 12:26:16 AM | message detail
There's also no "I don't want any of these games to upset" option, so it wouldn't mean much.

Mega Man beat Sonic with 50.37%. Assuming those two series were lined up for a second round meeting, who wins and with what percentage?

Personally I'd expect the Mega Man series to beat the Sonic series pretty comfortably. I may be biased, but I think Mega Man's best games are more loved than Sonic's best games, and he has more of them.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/9/2006 12:29:07 AM | message detail
But it's been a while since Mega Man had a meaningful release, for what it's worth. The 3-D days haven't been the greatest for Sonic, but SA2 was still a pretty popular game.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Lopen | Posted 6/9/2006 12:29:51 AM | message detail
Alright, guys, I can't find any of the other Analysis Crew write ups, and the ones I really wanted were the ones from the last contest.

Any help?
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/9/2006 12:30:55 AM | message detail
Didn't NGamer post a link to his site with all of the stat topics archived on it in the last topic? They would be there, for sure, though they would be really spread out.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Lopen | Posted 6/9/2006 12:32:44 AM | message detail
though they would be really spread out.

My problem exactly.

Eh, beggars can't be choosers. I'll do it the hard way.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
greatone10 | Posted 6/9/2006 12:33:54 AM | message detail
*throws Pokeball at Zero*
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
"I set my ATM card's number to "0001" because I'm number one!" - Manfred von Karma
longbladeofhiko | Posted 6/9/2006 12:36:47 AM | message detail
I love how at the beginning of this topic everyone was like "wtf dis bracket sux" and now everyones all like "OMG MEGA MAN VS MARIO KART IS SOOOOO HARSH :O" <_<
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Lopen | Posted 6/9/2006 12:37:31 AM | message detail
Eyagh, I can't find that either. Perhaps it was actually 2 topics ago? Regardless, anyone have a link to that site in question?

Now I just feel like reading them... for the sake of reading them.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
longbladeofhiko | Posted 6/9/2006 12:39:30 AM | message detail
But it's been a while since Mega Man had a meaningful release, for what it's worth.

You don't call the MM and MMX collections meaningful :O
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The WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/9/2006 12:42:22 AM | message detail
I wouldn't call them meaningless, but Sonic had a similar collection of his own, and I believe it sold better.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 6/9/2006 12:46:52 AM | message detail
Didn't NGamer post a link to his site with all of the stat topics archived on it in the last topic? They would be there, for sure, though they would be really spread out.

http://thengamer.com/stats

I'll upload Parts 283-287 some time in the near future.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
Lopen | Posted 6/9/2006 12:48:54 AM | message detail
Curses! It's right there too! I sorta just wrote that off as an alias for the LOL X-Stats thing.

Thanks, TRE.
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Raiden is still [!!] nominations short!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=27664244
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 6/9/2006 1:04:12 AM | message detail
I was looking around for something for my Star Ocean/Pokemon analysis, and I ran across sales figures for the entire Star Ocean franchise, for those who may be curious ...

1.) Star Ocean (SNES)
Japan -- 235,000
America -- N/A
Total: 235,000

2.) Star Ocean : The Second Story (PSX)
Japan -- 724,000
America -- 370,000
Total: 1.09 million

3.) Star Ocean : Blue Sphere (GBC)
Japan -- 130,000
America -- N/A
Total: 130,000

4.) Star Ocean 3 : Till the End of Time (PS2)
Japan -- 478,000
America -- 630,000 [This is a more accurate number according to NPD's recently released]
Total: 1.10 million

5.) Star Ocean 3 : Till the End of Time - Director's Cut (PS2)
Japan -- 164,000
Total: 164,000

(http://www.tri-ace.com/en/company/sales.html)

Now, it's certainly true that Pokemon slaughters the sales of pretty much everything not named Mario, but I just wanted to throw this out there for those who think Star Ocean is somehow really obscure or cult or whatever. Considering every game that released over here broke the 300,000 mark (which is basically just two games, but two of the most important games; Star Ocean on the SNES would have had to gotten downloaded through ROM for people to play it here) it's not anything that labels it as obscure. Sure, it's not a Final Fantasy, but RPGs over here have a hard time selling over a million if they aren't named Final Fantasy. Also pretty notable is the fact that sales of Star Ocean 3, in particular, are pretty impressive given that it released on a RPG dominated platform.

But yeah, I hope no one thinks it's on par with something likes Skies of Arcadia or Suikoden or whatever that someone compared it to. <<

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"Princess, there's no need for worry. Who do you think I am? I'm the hero of the story. And the hero never dies."
yoblazer33 | Posted 6/9/2006 1:07:17 AM | message detail
Hmm... I didn't know two of SO's four games never even made it to the US. I can't see a series like Star Ocean taking out Pokemon with only one main game.
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Board 8: Where Wii treat each other right.
HaRRicH | Posted 6/9/2006 1:08:11 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1453

Let me add to Silent Hill's pain:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=775


It's also probably worth noting that pyramid head barely ranked above luca ****ing blgiht in the 2k5 spring contest.

In that case, it's also probably worth noting that Diablo had linkage in his match against Kefka but not against Ganon, thus, making Kefka and his four-pack (which includes Luca) over-rated.



Glancing at the bracket again, Halo has a 6-seed...since considering the boards ruled the nomination process, this doesn't surprise me. Compare this to Halo being #9 and Halo 2 being one of the two successful write-ins at #85, and you can tell that those who tend to like Halo rreeaallllyy like Halo. This also fits in good with the general inconsistancy of MC in contest matches -- it really does seem to keep him from being blown out in any situation.
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LeonhartForever | Posted 6/9/2006 1:08:18 AM | message detail
There was only one Xenogears, and it won handily...
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 6/9/2006 1:09:50 AM | message detail
Err, most people don't even know about Blue Sphere. It's not what I would call a "main game" at all. It mainly lacks Star Ocean, which has the benefit of emulation at this point, but still isn't something I took into account when I figured Star Ocean beating Pokemon. It was mainly due to Star Ocean 2 and Star Ocean 3, which is what did make it over here and both sold quite well. And, again, it's not like Pokemon is any type of powerhouse. Xenogears sold worse and it beat Pokemon G/S/C.

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"Princess, there's no need for worry. Who do you think I am? I'm the hero of the story. And the hero never dies."
HaRRicH | Posted 6/9/2006 1:10:46 AM | message detail
I would also think Xenogears is bigger than the SO series, as would I think the Pokemon series is bigger than Pokemon G/S/C.

You can't just count out the power of Pokemon Snap like that, dammit.
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Miss my Four-Pack Of Fun? Go here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/9/2006 1:11:49 AM | message detail
Xenogears bigger than Star Ocean? Not by a wide margin, if at all.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 6/9/2006 1:13:28 AM | message detail
I would also think Xenogears is bigger than the SO series

I disagree there. If Star Ocean 3 went up against Xenogears, even accounting for potential FFVII SFF, I would take Star Ocean 3 to beat it. It's a bigger series than people give credit for, and I can't help but think that some people unfamiliar with either wouldn't be thinking Xenogears was bigger if it hadn't beat Pokemon. I'm not trying to downplay Xenogears' popularity, but Star Ocean isn't lacking in it either, like some people want to believe.

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"Princess, there's no need for worry. Who do you think I am? I'm the hero of the story. And the hero never dies."
yoblazer33 | Posted 6/9/2006 1:13:43 AM | message detail
Yea, Xenogears seems like it would beat Star Ocean easily. Despite less than stellar sales, it's a pretty recognizable name in the gaming world. Hell, even I have known about Xenogears for years. Now if that isn't directly related to contest strength, I just don't know what is.
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Board 8: Where Wii treat each other right.
longbladeofhiko | Posted 6/9/2006 1:15:32 AM | message detail
You must also take into account that Star Ocean: Till The End of Time is done by Square Enix, however Star Ocean: The Second Story was only done by Tri-Ace and Enix...as trivial as that may seem, it could affect the game's overall sales. You never once saw a Star Ocean Second Story commercial, however Till The End Of Time was advertised pretty well. Then again, Xenogears wasn't exactly advertised that much either, but there were a few demos of it in stuff like Brave Fencer Musashi which also came with an FF8 demo, so yeah. Just bits of trivial information here...<_<
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The WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
Dilated Chemist | Posted 6/9/2006 1:20:06 AM | message detail
Xenogears > Entire SO series.


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=DC=
Chemistry can be a good and bad thing. Chemistry is good when you make love with it. Chemistry is bad when you make crack with it.
ESY16 | Posted 6/9/2006 1:24:33 AM | message detail
I don't know...I just can't buy into SO beating Xenogears. It wouldn't be a blowout, but Xenogears would win without too much trouble.

That being said, I also don't buy the Pokemon Series being that much more popular than G/S/C. Sure there are more games in the series, and they have sold well, but I don't think that the fanbase would be that much bigger. You are either a fan of the series or not, the games aren't generally that much different in concept IIRC, so I don't see a large increase in fanbase. Sure it may be more popular, but not by much.

Anyway, I figure Pokemon > SO to be a fairly safe choice.
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If you build a man a fire, he will be warm for a day. If you set a man on fire, he will be warm for the rest of his life.
longbladeofhiko | Posted 6/9/2006 1:28:42 AM | message detail
Pokemon will pull it through barely, I believe.
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The WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 6/9/2006 1:30:46 AM | message detail
Glancing at the bracket again, Halo has a 6-seed...since considering the boards ruled the nomination process, this doesn't surprise me.

Actually it's pretty surprizing that Halo is here at all. Based on Lucid Faia's topic, 54 series had more nominations than Halo. It's seems likely that it got in because CJayC decided to intervene.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
Dilated Chemist | Posted 6/9/2006 1:30:53 AM | message detail
I'm now having second thoughts on my Pokemon > SO pick.

I hate Pokemon so that might be why. DIE POKEMON DIE.

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=DC=
Chemistry can be a good and bad thing. Chemistry is good when you make love with it. Chemistry is bad when you make crack with it.
Ayvuir | Posted 6/9/2006 1:32:26 AM | message detail
No way, people will realise the awesomeness of the Pokemon series back in the day, and will therefore vote for it. It will beat Star Ocean, and i even think it has a solid chance against Metroid
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How can you be religious? The Bible says that a boat was made big enough to hold two of every species on the planet! - MYC
Ayvuir | Posted 6/9/2006 1:33:17 AM | message detail
Also do people have Super Smash Bros beating Dragon Quest yeh? Do you have it going further too, cos i'm really not sure how strong it will be, despite its seeding
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How can you be religious? The Bible says that a boat was made big enough to hold two of every species on the planet! - MYC
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/9/2006 1:35:35 AM | message detail
Well, even though the nominations never went to the front page, I doubt only Board 8 nominated, and it's not like everyone on Board 8 put their nomination list in that topic.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 6/9/2006 1:38:11 AM | message detail
This doesn't seem like it's going to get anywhere until the actual match. Anyway, I just wanted to bring that up for those curious on how well it actually sold -- and because we need to drop the whole "Star Ocean is obscure and no one has heard of it!" bit.

You must also take into account that Star Ocean: Till The End of Time is done by Square Enix, however Star Ocean: The Second Story was only done by Tri-Ace and Enix...as trivial as that may seem, it could affect the game's overall sales.

Well, it's true that Square RPGs sell more than usual, though Xenogears would be proof that you cannot sell entirely on the fact that you come from Square. Still, one cannot take away from what sales Star Ocean 2 did make up here in America, which were pretty good.

Xenogears > Entire SO series.

Pfft~! Get those filthy lies out of here.

I don't know...I just can't buy into SO beating Xenogears. It wouldn't be a blowout, but Xenogears would win without too much trouble.

This would very likely be true if we were talking about Star Ocean 2, but I don't think Star Ocean 3 loses to Xenogears. If it did, I don't think Xenogears is going to do so without much trouble. It would have to fight to come away with that one. I initially figured that SO3 would win without trouble, but then Realm brought up the FFVII/Xenogears SFF, which would change some things.

That being said, I also don't buy the Pokemon Series being that much more popular than G/S/C. Sure there are more games in the series, and they have sold well, but I don't think that the fanbase would be that much bigger. You are either a fan of the series or not, the games aren't generally that much different in concept IIRC, so I don't see a large increase in fanbase. Sure it may be more popular, but not by much.

I would agree with everything you said here. It's hard for me to imagine someone being a fan of only one particular set in the series and hating the rest. If you liked one game, you probably liked the majority of them. I didn't want to get eaten alive by the local Pokemon freak (Hiya, Slow! =p) but if you have played one of them, you probably have basically gotten the idea behind all of them. Sure, there are things like breeding, double team, more Pokemon, and all that jazz, but they're not drastically different in concept. That said, I could see it being a little more popular than where G/S/C ended up (G/S/C might be a little lower than usual if you factor in SFF) if only because R/B/Y were the big popular ones of the series. Still, Xenogears would have still beaten Pokemon if it was R/B/Y without any trouble either, even if it were closer.

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"Princess, there's no need for worry. Who do you think I am? I'm the hero of the story. And the hero never dies."
Uwe Boll | Posted 6/9/2006 1:39:43 AM | message detail
We have no joke entry. This saddens me. I would have liked to see Leisure Suit Larry in there.
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Watch out! It's the THRILLER!
OW!
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/9/2006 1:40:22 AM | message detail
What do you mean, no joke entry? Did you not see who Super Mario Brothers is facing?
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
longbladeofhiko | Posted 6/9/2006 1:40:28 AM | message detail
Madden is practically a joke entry
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The WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa