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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 285

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yoblazer33 | Posted 5/28/2006 4:09:22 PM | message detail
If they don't want the game, I doubt the chances of them voting for the series is very high. Madden is like... the sky or something. It's there for everyone. Everyone knows about it. That doesn't mean anyone necessarily thinks about it or likes it. In this case, of course, there are actually many people who REALLY REALLY HATE the sky.

Wow. I should get that published. It's just so deep.
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Board 8: Where Wii treat each other right.
transience | Posted 5/28/2006 4:14:29 PM | message detail
damn, the things I miss when I decide to go to bed.

we had the "what's the fourth strongest series?" debate on H's board when nominations were posted (about four years ago, it seems), along with some nice MGS-GTA arguments. I personally think that MGS is the fourth strongest series, followed closely by SSB, Chrono and GTA.

as for MGS SFF, there are three pieces of evidence:

- FF7 destroying MGS
- Sephiroth destroying Liquid Snake
- MGS placing #8 last fall

I believe MGS is the strongest in the series. the other two are pretty close, but I guess I give the edge to MGS3 based on The List.

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xyzzy
transience | Posted 5/28/2006 4:15:32 PM | message detail
oh, and was that poll taken around the time that the NFL/EA agreement was announced? some of the "EA hate" could have come from that.
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xyzzy
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/28/2006 4:16:42 PM | message detail
SFF or not, I think Grand Theft Auto would take down Metal Gear Solid in a poll. I don't think it's a stretch to consider SSB as the fourth series.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Resident Evil 4, KH:COM, Fire Emblem 7, Larussa 92
LeonhartForever | Posted 5/28/2006 4:58:16 PM | message detail
Well, everyone loves to stretch SSB's power, so you could be stretching it. I personally don't see it being top 5 myself.

Any SFF would go the way of MGS in a MGS/GTA matchup, I would think.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
HaRRicH | Posted 5/28/2006 5:09:44 PM | message detail
Ya know, SSB might be the fourth strongest...but then look at Chrono. CT and SSBM are the biggest games of each series and CT > SSBM, both are two-game series, and I wouldn't be surprised if CC and SSB weren't far off from one-another. For kicks, since I also saw these three polls when I skimmed (keep in mind the vote-totals and they are OLD)...

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=362
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=31
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=38

...I'd like to see them face off in the second round with the winner facing GTA or MGS...or, hell, the winner of GTA/MGS would be bad-ass too.
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LeonhartForever | Posted 5/28/2006 5:11:18 PM | message detail
Chrono Cross > Final Fantasy Tactics, eh?

Oddly amusing.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
HaRRicH | Posted 5/28/2006 5:12:03 PM | message detail
Heh, that's why I posted it. Funny stuff.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 5/28/2006 5:13:07 PM | message detail
*nominates WWF Wrestlemania 2000 for the next game contest*
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
LeonhartForever | Posted 5/28/2006 5:13:13 PM | message detail
Either way, it's a very old poll and should be disregarded in terms of relevance to this contest, though this contest itself is rapidly ceasing to be relevant.

Twenty days.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
transience | Posted 5/28/2006 5:16:20 PM | message detail
I'd wager that Cross was brand new at the time. I like Cross a lot more than the other people on this board, but there's no way it'd beat FFT.
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xyzzy
transience | Posted 5/28/2006 5:16:54 PM | message detail
(also, Xenogears > FFT, book it!)
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xyzzy
HaRRicH | Posted 5/28/2006 5:19:38 PM | message detail
Yeah, agreed, though my point was to be that CC and SSB may not be so far off. SSBM ain't much above LoZ:WW, and CC outranks both it and LoZ:MM, a N64 game arguably stronger than SSB. CC was also a sequel to the biggest game of its series while SSB is a prequel to the biggest game of its series...

...I'm just saying Chrono/SSB would be a great series-match where I would take Chrono, is all.
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transience | Posted 5/28/2006 5:21:22 PM | message detail
there are so many holes with that logic... for one, this place was wayyyyyyyyyy more Square-dominated in 2000 than it is now. add the Nintendo edge here, the fact that CC isn't new anymore, the sample size of the poll, the age of the poll... SSB is way stronger than CC is. (and I like CC more than SSB or SSBM!)
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xyzzy
HaRRicH | Posted 5/28/2006 5:36:01 PM | message detail
I realize it's faulty, I'm not trying to make it sound like it's a perfect fit. CT > SSBM though, that much is certain. Once SSBM hit, it seemed as if most people forgot about SSB...whereas there isn't that same feeling about CT at all when CC was released. The Top 100 List is simply something I mentioned on top of it because I try to consider all aspects of the information we have, and -- whether or not it fits in with contest-strength or not -- CC outdid the past two LoZ games that were released on consoles while CT is just under LoZ:OoT in both the Top 100 List and in contest-strength (as well as being above SSBM, as already mentioned). We know LoZ:WW was close to SSBM, and LoZ:MM/SSB could be debatable just as N64 games...

...perhaps I should just shorten it to this: CC stands out more from the original Chrono game than SSB does from its series' biggest hit, and the best rep from Chrono beats the best rep from Super Smash Bros. Seeing as how they're both two-game series, that is a burden on SSB's shoulders, and it doesn't help when there are faint signs that CC > SSB, either.
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LeonhartForever | Posted 5/28/2006 5:36:26 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=855

Heh, the original Kingdom Hearts wasn't that greatly anticipated around here, and look at the impact it had. Just a reminder not to take those KHII polls for TOO much.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=578

Just thought that was a humorous 3rd option, considering Board 8's feelings on that particular game. Looks like 1926 people were psychics...

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=522

Chrono held its own fairly decent there as well, for what it's worth. Again, old poll.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=525

I know it's old, but...Super Mario challenge the Legend of Zelda? Heh, even Sonic had difficulty doing as well as that in the Sega poll, and its top competition was...Phantasy Star? Donkey Kong was quite pathetic in that poll, too.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=426

Poor souls, never knew what hit 'em.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=418

A fitting poll for around this time. How big would that second option be for the PS3?

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=366

Hey, that's around the same time as the CC > FFT poll! Chrono over Final Fantasy? BOOK IT!

For the record, that poll and the CC > FFT poll took place on 11/29/2000 and 11/25/2000, respectively. Chrono Cross was released on 8/15/2000, so around thre months before those polls.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
LeonhartForever | Posted 5/28/2006 5:43:09 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=294

It's a slaughter! That was barely a month after Chrono Cross released. This should give us an idea of just how big of an impact "freshness" of a release can have.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=205

And because I can poke fun at myself, too. Man, 47.74% of those people must've been sorely disappointed.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Vile Requiem | Posted 5/28/2006 5:44:41 PM | message detail
Ah, time to sign up.

1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - Team Rocket Elite
3 - Ngamer64
4 - yoblazer33
5 - transience
6 - Heroic Mario
7 - Viviff
8 - silverkiller
9 - Undeniable
10 - Kaxon
11 - Applekidjosh
12 - HaRRicH
13 - Lopen
14 - Z1mZum
15 - Chinballz
16 - A World's Envy
17 - Zylothewolf
18 - greatone
19 - cavedog0
20 - DomaDragoon
21 - Big Bob
22 - Ed Bellis
23 - expaniol
24 - Buzzup
25 - Radix
26 - RPGuy96
27 - Dethwing
28 - soiledtrousers
29 - consolefreak
30 - SephirothG
31 - ExquisiteSamurai
32 - Dark115
33 - NewLib
34 - Draco1214
35 - jonthomson
36 - MegatokyoEd
37 - Voltch
38 - Lucid Faia
39 - Master Moltar
40 - KleenexTissue50
41 - red sox 777
42 - Mithrandir1331
43 - arkenaga
44 - Tai
45 - Mario Superstar
46 - neonreaper
47 - XxSoulxX
48 - SonicRaptor
49 - ChichiriMuyo
50 - OMG its Pale!
51 - dragoontheguy
52 - XIII is cool
53 - Shivan Reincarnated
54 - outback
55 - DarkLink89
56 - dethfdddddh
57 - Ayvuir
58 - Janus5000
59 - War13104
60 - andaca
61 - swirldude
62 - Explicit Content
63 - Meche313
64 - HeroicVivi
65 - FastFalcon05
66 - Tnote
67 - Yesmar
68 - Mac Arrowny
69 - MasterMage119
70 - King Morgoth
71 - Aprosenf
72 - Phediuk
73 - charmander6000
74 - Rufus Shinra 18
75 - Mister Mario
76 - Luis Sera89
77 - longbladeofhiko
78 - shadow8021
79 - Lieutenant Kettch
80 - RPGGamer0
81 - WiggumFan267
82 - MetaRidleyX
83 - chocoboslayer
84 - FFDragon
85 - GrapefruitKing
86 - Lagoona
87 - The CruelAngel
88 - Fett0001
89 - cyko
90 - Dunkeroo23
91 - Bobby200614
92 - Tediz247
93 - Samurai7
94 - Jman_GamerX8
95 - ps2rulezzz
96 - Dilated Chemist
97 - Guess how many Teens
98 - Prometheus321
99 - Steinershocker
100 - TheLivingDemon
101 - Tirofog
102 - TheRye
103 - Vile Requiem
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HaRRicH | Posted 5/28/2006 5:54:59 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=525

F-Zero gets owned again. There's just no way Captain Falcon gets any strength from his racing games -- he'll be the perfect example of how much strength a charismatic character can get from SSB/M.....

*is now out to personally archive polls owning particular series*
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HaRRicH | Posted 5/28/2006 5:56:25 PM | message detail
And to beat all, it barely beat Fire Emblem...in 2000 (as in a full year before SSBM came out). Yikes, maybe Marth should have beat CF in the NRT afterall.
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LeonhartForever | Posted 5/28/2006 5:57:32 PM | message detail
Or maybe Laguna should've beaten both of them...

</bitterness>
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Roxas, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
rpgapzx | Posted 5/28/2006 6:05:44 PM | message detail
1 - UltimaterializerX
2 - Team Rocket Elite
3 - Ngamer64
4 - yoblazer33
5 - transience
6 - Heroic Mario
7 - Viviff
8 - silverkiller
9 - Undeniable
10 - Kaxon
11 - Applekidjosh
12 - HaRRicH
13 - Lopen
14 - Z1mZum
15 - Chinballz
16 - A World's Envy
17 - Zylothewolf
18 - greatone
19 - cavedog0
20 - DomaDragoon
21 - Big Bob
22 - Ed Bellis
23 - expaniol
24 - Buzzup
25 - Radix
26 - RPGuy96
27 - Dethwing
28 - soiledtrousers
29 - consolefreak
30 - SephirothG
31 - ExquisiteSamurai
32 - Dark115
33 - NewLib
34 - Draco1214
35 - jonthomson
36 - MegatokyoEd
37 - Voltch
38 - Lucid Faia
39 - Master Moltar
40 - KleenexTissue50
41 - red sox 777
42 - Mithrandir1331
43 - arkenaga
44 - Tai
45 - Mario Superstar
46 - neonreaper
47 - XxSoulxX
48 - SonicRaptor
49 - ChichiriMuyo
50 - OMG its Pale!
51 - dragoontheguy
52 - XIII is cool
53 - Shivan Reincarnated
54 - outback
55 - DarkLink89
56 - dethfdddddh
57 - Ayvuir
58 - Janus5000
59 - War13104
60 - andaca
61 - swirldude
62 - Explicit Content
63 - Meche313
64 - HeroicVivi
65 - FastFalcon05
66 - Tnote
67 - Yesmar
68 - Mac Arrowny
69 - MasterMage119
70 - King Morgoth
71 - Aprosenf
72 - Phediuk
73 - charmander6000
74 - Rufus Shinra 18
75 - Mister Mario
76 - Luis Sera89
77 - longbladeofhiko
78 - shadow8021
79 - Lieutenant Kettch
80 - RPGGamer0
81 - WiggumFan267
82 - MetaRidleyX
83 - chocoboslayer
84 - FFDragon
85 - GrapefruitKing
86 - Lagoona
87 - The CruelAngel
88 - Fett0001
89 - cyko
90 - Dunkeroo23
91 - Bobby200614
92 - Tediz247
93 - Samurai7
94 - Jman_GamerX8
95 - ps2rulezzz
96 - Dilated Chemist
97 - Guess how many Teens
98 - Prometheus321
99 - Steinershocker
100 - TheLivingDemon
101 - Tirofog
102 - TheRye
103 - Vile Requiem
104 - rpgapzx
HaRRicH | Posted 5/28/2006 6:11:56 PM | message detail
I'm all for Laguna making it in, but I'm not going to support both him and Seifer...one or the other, not both, and Seifer had/has a rally going on alongside an appearance in KH2, so that's where I'll probably stay.
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TheKeyofDestiny | Posted 5/28/2006 6:13:15 PM | message detail
Well, I only say Laguna because he actually made it into the final group.

Though Captain Falcon did knock off Seifer, if I recall.
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"You make a good other."
Dekar TKB | Posted 5/28/2006 6:18:11 PM | message detail
"http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=525

F-Zero gets owned again. There's just no way Captain Falcon gets any strength from his racing games -- he'll be the perfect example of how much strength a charismatic character can get from SSB/M.....

*is now out to personally archive polls owning particular series*"

Are you saying that Fox doesn't get strength from Star Fox? o_O.

Just because it's no one's favorite series doesn't mean no one likes it. I mean, I love them, but I wouldn't have voted for F-Zero there, either.
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TheKeyofDestiny | Posted 5/28/2006 6:23:40 PM | message detail
I personally don't think Fox is much more than a low midcarder anyway. He got tripled by Cloud BEFORE Kingdom Hearts. That's hardly impressive.
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"You make a good other."
HaRRicH | Posted 5/28/2006 6:26:31 PM | message detail
Fox is much more to Star Fox than Captain Falcon is to F-Zero. Debate?
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TheKeyofDestiny | Posted 5/28/2006 6:27:25 PM | message detail
Man, I still remember the old Master Hand > Falco debates. Those were good times.
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"You make a good other."
WilhuffTarkin | Posted 5/28/2006 6:28:08 PM | message detail
Yeah, he got tripled by Cloud before KH, but that doesn't mean anything, right? After all, he's only the main character from the most popular game on this website. But hey, without KH, he's nothing right?

In theory, I would expect Fox to be pretty close to around Kirby's strength... I don't see why he wouldn't be. But then again, I would also expect Donkey Kong to be able to beat the stuffing out of Samus or Solid Snake, so that goes to show how much "in theories" from me are worth.
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Favorite game ever: Super Mario 64
SquallidSnake | Posted 5/28/2006 6:29:16 PM | message detail
A tripling by Cloud before Kingdom Hearts would put Fox around where I said I think he is: A low midcarder.

Again, hardly impressive in terms of strength.
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Knowing your enemy is the quickest path to victory.
WilhuffTarkin | Posted 5/28/2006 6:30:55 PM | message detail
Never put too much emphasis on X-Stats.
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Grand Moff Wilhuff Tarkin
Favorite game ever: Super Mario 64
SquallidSnake | Posted 5/28/2006 6:32:25 PM | message detail
Yeah, because head-to-head matchups are meaningless.

Either way, I haven't seen much from Fox to warrant him being much more than that anyway, other than theories.
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
Knowing your enemy is the quickest path to victory.
WilhuffTarkin | Posted 5/28/2006 6:34:36 PM | message detail
Er... I'm not quite sure I understand what that first part is supposed to mean... But if it helps, head-to-heads and X-Stats represent two different things to me.

And to be fair, Fox hasn't had a really telling crack yet. SFF'd by Link... chewed up by Cloud... I can't quite bring myself to believe that we've seen all that Fox has to offer.
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Grand Moff Wilhuff Tarkin
Favorite game ever: Super Mario 64
therealmnm | Posted 5/28/2006 6:35:17 PM | message detail
I personally don't think Fox is much more than a low midcarder anyway. He got tripled by Cloud BEFORE Kingdom Hearts. That's hardly impressive.

Yes, because 2k2 is entirely credible with matches involving popular characters like Cloud that still drew less than 75,000 votes. Servbot would dispatch Fox and the likes of Bomberman and Raziel would easily rip him a new one, right?
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HaRRicH | Posted 5/28/2006 6:36:23 PM | message detail
Yeah yeah, I over-estimated MH -- guess who he still beat though. =P


In theory, I would expect Fox to be pretty close to around Kirby's strength... I don't see why he wouldn't be.

Just trust me, and know he wouldn't.
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WilhuffTarkin | Posted 5/28/2006 6:37:29 PM | message detail
Yeah. Like I said, my "in theories" aren't worth a lot.
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Grand Moff Wilhuff Tarkin
Favorite game ever: Super Mario 64
SquallidSnake | Posted 5/28/2006 6:39:39 PM | message detail
I never said the 2002 stats in and of themselves were credible, but I personally find a matchup against Cloud to be credible (with the exception of Mario, but there were several extenuating well-known circumstances at work).

Honestly, I don't think bringing up the "It only drew 75,000 votes" argument is valid here. How often do we see the percentage drastically change in a blowout from votes 75,000 to 100,000?
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
Knowing your enemy is the quickest path to victory.
SquallidSnake | Posted 5/28/2006 6:41:16 PM | message detail
And for what it's worth, I suppose I could discredit the results of most the games contest due to crappy vote totals as well.
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
Knowing your enemy is the quickest path to victory.
HaRRicH | Posted 5/28/2006 6:41:41 PM | message detail
In Fox's favor though, he did stomp the hell out of Pikachu in 2k3 before getting SFF'd by Link...then, since then, he's has two releases (one outside of his general genre, though I hear it essentially sucked) and may have a part of the Nintendo Boost from last year. He's still be a mid-carder, yeah, I don't don't know if "low-midcarder" would still fit for him.
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SquallidSnake | Posted 5/28/2006 6:43:08 PM | message detail
Whomping on Pikachu is hardly an accomplishment, especially with potential (and in my opinion, almost certain) SFF involved. I'd put Fox around 22-23% on BL, which qualifies as low midcarder to me.
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
Knowing your enemy is the quickest path to victory.
SquallidSnake | Posted 5/28/2006 6:43:44 PM | message detail
And Star Fox Adventures wasn't THAT bad, though it seems I'm in the minority there.
---
Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
Knowing your enemy is the quickest path to victory.
WilhuffTarkin | Posted 5/28/2006 6:44:32 PM | message detail
I wasn't around for 2002... and this isn't exactly relevant to the current topic, but does it seem to anyone else that, with a few exceptions (Mega Man should have been seeded higher for example, and Donkey Kong), that the seedings that year were the closest thing there's ever been to accurate seedings? And by "accurate", I mean accurate in the sense the seedings represented how relevant to the gaming industry in general each character was/is? Mario, Pac-Man and such were top seeds for example, and those are probably the two most relevant characters in all of video gaming.

Now, contest strength wise were they accurate? No. But in terms of relevancy, with a few exceptions, they seem to have been pretty good.
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Grand Moff Wilhuff Tarkin
Favorite game ever: Super Mario 64
HaRRicH | Posted 5/28/2006 6:45:40 PM | message detail
Honestly, I don't think bringing up the "It only drew 75,000 votes" argument is valid here. How often do we see the percentage drastically change in a blowout from votes 75,000 to 100,000?

For what it's worth, 20,273 votes very well could be the reason why you get to say Strider did better against Link than Scorpion.
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SquallidSnake | Posted 5/28/2006 6:46:29 PM | message detail
Well, they were seeded with that in mind (though people weren't exactly expecting some of those high seeds to be as pathetic as they were).
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
Knowing your enemy is the quickest path to victory.
SquallidSnake | Posted 5/28/2006 6:47:42 PM | message detail
For what it's worth, 20,273 votes very well could be the reason why you get to say Strider did better against Link than Scorpion.

The difference would be fairly negligible, above or below.

If it makes you feel better, we can say for all intents and purposes that they were equal. Either way you slice it, it doesn't make Scorpion look good.
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
Knowing your enemy is the quickest path to victory.
WilhuffTarkin | Posted 5/28/2006 6:47:50 PM | message detail
Yes, gaming industry relevance seems to not have much to do with contest strength. Every top seed save for Mario lost to a #5 seed.
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Grand Moff Wilhuff Tarkin
Favorite game ever: Super Mario 64
mr_BRIAN | Posted 5/28/2006 6:49:26 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
mr_BRIAN | Posted 5/28/2006 6:49:50 PM | message detail
And Mario almost did too.
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therealmnm | Posted 5/28/2006 6:50:38 PM | message detail
And you ignore the meat of my post. If you think that Fox would lose to the likes of Servbot, Bomberman, and Raziel, I have some nice swampland in Southwest Florida that I'd like to sell to you as well.

It's pretty apparent by looking at other Nintendo stars that Fox is underrated based on his one match against Cloud, which is the only match we have to gauge him from. I definitely wouldn't say that Ness is more popular than Fox, and Ness himself is a low-midcarder. I see no reason why he wouldn't be able to compete with the likes of Yuna, Chun-Li, or Leon Kennedy. I'd put Fox near DK's popularity level myself. He's definitely not as popular as Kirby, but he definitely isn't a low mid-carder when you look at the likes of who is around that level.
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Mega Mana | Posted 5/28/2006 6:51:37 PM | message detail
*insert stats and/or discussion here*
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