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Summer 2005 Contest

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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 280

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/28/2006 6:44:17 AM | message detail
Insomnia blows. Getting up at 4 in the morning when you have nothing to do until 10 is such a waste of time.

*adds the missing Ngamer link*



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Summer 2002 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/13

Summer 2003 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/14

Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/15

SFF Adjusted Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/16

Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/17

SFF Adjusted Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/18

Spring 2005 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/27

SFF Adjusted Summer 2005 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/33

Summer 2005 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/32

All Time Extrapolated Standings:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/alltimexstats.htm



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, save for three from 2002:
http://www.sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites:
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007



!yawa tsoP
Big Bob | Posted 3/28/2006 6:49:47 AM | message detail
First post!
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Currently Playing: Tetris DS, Metroid Prime Hunters
LeonhartForever | Posted 3/28/2006 1:29:49 PM | message detail
Solid Snake > You
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Ramza, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
SephirothG | Posted 3/28/2006 1:37:28 PM | message detail
Insomnia rules.
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Got a nomination rally/drive/army/crusade? Post it here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585012
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/29/2006 11:22:54 PM | message detail
Best 500 in awhile.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Kingdom Hearts 2, FF4A, Deus Ex, C&C
Ngamer64 | Posted 3/29/2006 11:24:06 PM | message detail
Nice work Ulti! That's your finest link-job yet!

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"lol x-stats" - The Contest Simulator: http://thengamer.com/xstats
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/29/2006 11:24:55 PM | message detail
Only because it's all your stuff that's been added <_<

<3`

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Kingdom Hearts 2, FF4A, Deus Ex, C&C
HaRRicH | Posted 3/29/2006 11:26:28 PM | message detail
AKI Man > Link, 2k6.
---
Miss my Four-Pack Of Fun? Go here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/29/2006 11:27:44 PM | message detail
If there was any decent taste around, it would be Sora > Link.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Kingdom Hearts 2, FF4A, Deus Ex, C&C
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 3/29/2006 11:42:18 PM | message detail
From the last topic ...

my question: for those of you who are playing KH2, which characters have significant roles? and which have the most "potential" to boost?

While I am not exceptionally far, as my gaming switches between a replay of FFX and KH2, the biggest roles in the game from Square characters are from Cloud and Leon (Squall) -- Cloud even has an extra side story dedicated to him, though it does not effect the main storyline. Those two, above all else, have the biggest roles of the Final Fantasy characters. Next up would be Sephiroth and Auron, I would imagine.

Auron's role may be small in that it is only in one section of the game -- from what I know -- but that role has him joining your party for a few fights. You get to fight alongside of him and he apparently is exceptionally badass (Surprise, surprise!) with his limit and overall usefulness in the battle. I think he could get a very nice sized boost due to the fact that he was not already exposed through Kingdom Hearts and his role is cool enough to warrant him some points.

I would likely say that the biggest boosts from Square characters directly from the game, and not just apart of an influx of Square voters, would be Cloud, Squall, Sephiroth, and Auron. I would expect boosts of characters like Vivi and Tifa, too, just not necessarily equal to the others mentioned.

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"Outside the dream world, life can be harsh -- even cruel, but it is life." -- Auron
transience | Posted 3/29/2006 11:47:34 PM | message detail
hmm. those are characters that already have significant strength - they don't have much to gain, in other words. clearly they'll be stronger, but they aren't going to go through the roof like a weaker character potentially could. if someone like Zidane had a significant role in the game, he would boost more because of how weak his starting point is.

that said, I fear the unpredictability of characters like Auron. Auron vs. Ganon probably still goes to Ganon, but I'm definitely not 100% sure.
---
xyzzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 3/29/2006 11:47:43 PM | message detail
*MINOR KHII SPOILERS*








So far, out of all the FF characters I've seen, Auron has made the biggest impression, for all the reasons HM stated and more. Its complete unavoidability and prominence don't hurt, either. Expect something of a boost out of him.

No other character has had a standout role so far, except perhaps Squall. He's basically just reprising his KH role though, albeit with less prominence.








*END MINOR KHII SPOILERS*
---
Please, nominate Aeris Gainsborough for SC2k6:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=26571751
Karma Hunter | Posted 3/29/2006 11:49:50 PM | message detail
The problem is the weaker characters that make an appearance in KHII tend to have roles that flat out suck.
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Please, nominate Aeris Gainsborough for SC2k6:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=26571751
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 3/29/2006 11:51:30 PM | message detail
I really do not think you are going to find an already existing character who is weaker, has a big role in KH2, and will see a significant jump in strength. The only way I could see that happening is if there was someone who was altogether knew to the contest, such as Seifer, and goes on to exceed expectations by massive amounts.


Without Twilight Princess to help Ganon, I would be willing to say that with KH2 and just an overall influx of Square voters as a whole, he can make up enough to beat Ganon. At the least, that match becomes much, much harder to predict and an overall much closer result, even if Auron were to lose.

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"Outside the dream world, life can be harsh -- even cruel, but it is life." -- Auron
transience | Posted 3/29/2006 11:52:12 PM | message detail
yeah, so I have heard. I was just commenting on what would happen if a lesser character was in Auron's shoes. their contest strength could be absolutely anywhere.
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xyzzy
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 3/29/2006 11:53:43 PM | message detail
That is not to say I expect that from Seifer, as people seem to dislike his role more than like it, but it was just an example.

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"Outside the dream world, life can be harsh -- even cruel, but it is life." -- Auron
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 3/30/2006 12:33:57 AM | message detail
In fact, here is a list of the Final Fantasy characters that make an appearance in Kingdom Hearts II. The characters you think would have a great role are likely the ones that do and are likely the ones who will be making the most notable boosts.

Contest Experience
Cloud Strife -- [Final Fantasy VII]
Tifa Lockhart -- [Final Fantasy VII]
Aerith Gainsborough -- [Final Fantasy VII]
Sephiroth -- [Final Fantasy VII]
Squall Leonhart -- [Final Fantasy VIII]
Vivi Oriniter -- [Final Fantasy IX]
Auron -- [Final Fantasy X]
Yuna -- [Final Fantasy X]
Rikku -- [Final Fantasy X]

No Contest Experience
Setzer Gabbiani -- [Final Fantasy VI]
Yuffie Kisaragi -- [Final Fantasy VII]
Cid Highwind -- [Final Fantasy VII]
Selphie Tilmitt -- [Final Fantasy VII]
Seifer Almasy -- [Final Fantasy VIII]
Fujin -- [Final Fantasy VIII]
Rajin -- [Final Fantasy VIII]
Paine -- [Final Fantasy X]

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"Outside the dream world, life can be harsh -- even cruel, but it is life." -- Auron
transience | Posted 3/30/2006 12:55:05 AM | message detail
so.. to stimulate discussion, how do you think these matches would go:

Auron vs. Squall

Auron and Squall vs:

Bowser
Zelda
Kirby

I'd say Squall > Auron, Bowser > both of them and both Squall and Auron over Zelda and Kirby.
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xyzzy
Nominate_Tails | Posted 3/30/2006 12:59:54 AM | message detail
Auron vs. Squall

Auron and Squall vs:

Bowser
Zelda
Kirby


Squall over anyone.

Bowser over Auron

Kirby over Auron

Auron over Zelda.

But I dislike Auron, so it's possible that I underestimate him.

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Neonreaper: if you guys are as cool as you like to pretend you are, you wouldn't be posting here
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 3/30/2006 1:07:06 AM | message detail
Auron vs. Squall

Squall, according to the current stats, gets 56.08% against Auron before Kingdom Hearts II. I do believe that Auron will be getting a bigger boost than Squall from KHII, but he also has plenty of catchup to do. Any boost Squall would get from KHII only makes that gap harder to overcome.

I am really rather torn on how SFF in such a match might go. Squall is a lead, but Auron is just universally liked. I would love for Auron to win that match, but in all likelihood Squall would win. I would also probably take Squall in my bracket, too.

Squall (Auron) v. Bowser (Kirby, Zelda)

The biggest deal of these matchups is probably Squall and Bowser. Even before any sort of boosts, Squall and Bowser are really close in the stats with the slight nudge to Bowser -- so close that even using them is rather pointless. I think with Kingdom Hearts II and expected Square influx should be enough to put Squall over Bowser, who will also have New Super Mario Bros. I think that will do little for him in comparison to what it would do for Mario and Luigi.

I would take Squall and Auron over both Kirby and Zelda, though. I would be rather confident in those choices, too. That would be different if Zelda had Twilight Princess, but with that out of the picture I feel pretty confident with both of them being able to beat her and the pink puffball.

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"Outside the dream world, life can be harsh -- even cruel, but it is life." -- Auron
therealmnm | Posted 3/30/2006 1:36:27 AM | message detail
I'd take Squall easily over Auron. I'd take Bowser over both of them. Squall and Auron over Zelda and Kirby as well.
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC, Jade Empire
Nominate_Tails | Posted 3/30/2006 4:05:59 AM | message detail
When can we expect CjayC to announce the spring contest? On monday?
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Neonreaper: if you guys are as cool as you like to pretend you are, you wouldn't be posting here
fortybelowsummer | Posted 3/30/2006 4:12:09 AM | message detail
^Let's hope so. I can't really remember exactly when the Spring contests have been announced in the past, but it should be very soon.
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During universal times of deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act. - George Orwell
Love is a joke with no punchline.
charmander6000 | Posted 3/30/2006 6:25:44 AM | message detail
The contest was announced on April 4th last year, which was a monday. So if we get nothing next week then there's going to be no contest.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
LeonhartForever | Posted 3/30/2006 6:55:32 AM | message detail
Has Bowser even been confirmed for New Super Mario Bros. yet?
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Ramza, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 3/30/2006 7:00:47 AM | message detail
Yeah. He was confirmed way back when ...

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"Outside the dream world, life can be harsh -- even cruel, but it is life." -- Auron
LeonhartForever | Posted 3/30/2006 7:05:18 AM | message detail
Hmmm...I haven't heard a thing about him. Has a screenshot of him been released?
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Ramza, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 3/30/2006 7:07:35 AM | message detail
Not yet. We still have not see him or the Koopa Kids in any screenshots or artwork.

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"Outside the dream world, life can be harsh -- even cruel, but it is life." -- Auron
LeonhartForever | Posted 3/30/2006 7:09:38 AM | message detail
Wait...The Koopa Kids are in this game?

*desire to own this game has just multiplied infinitely*
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Ramza, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 3/30/2006 7:14:16 AM | message detail
Yeah, they are in there. Bowser Jr. is in there, too, but only has a recurring boss -- think along the lines of Boom Boom in SMB3.

Some other nice tidbits you might have missed include 8 worlds, 80 levels, a SMB3-esque world map, multiple exits in levels like SMW, and ... I think that covers the more recent information. But yeah, it should be awesome. Oh, and it comes out May 15th.

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"Outside the dream world, life can be harsh -- even cruel, but it is life." -- Auron
LeonhartForever | Posted 3/30/2006 7:15:11 AM | message detail
Yeah, I knew the release date.

But ewww, Bowser Jr.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Ramza, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
therealmnm | Posted 3/30/2006 10:34:04 AM | message detail
I hope the other Koopalings beat him up. Seriously.
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC, Jade Empire
NewLib | Posted 3/30/2006 11:01:04 AM | message detail
Just dont expect KH 2 to give the same boost as KH. Its appearing very late in the console cycle which will decrease sales and its not going to bring that new audience to Square characters as the first will.

There will be a boost, but I dont want people throwing out ideas like Sora beating Sonic and Sephiroth beating Link.
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Where am I?
LeonhartForever | Posted 3/30/2006 11:03:31 AM | message detail
I don't think anyone is expecting an increase the size of the first one, but just because people played the original and buy the sequel doesn't mean there won't be an increase. If that's the case, we might as well say that Link isn't going to get anything from Twilight Princess because it's going to be mostly fans of the series buying the game. Same for New Super Mario Bros. Come on, guys. You know better than that.

Plus, KHII is releasing close enough to the contest to create a larger influx of Square voters.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Ramza, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
NewLib | Posted 3/30/2006 11:07:44 AM | message detail
Did you even read my post?
LeonhartForever | Posted 3/30/2006 11:10:00 AM | message detail
I know, but there have been people who have thrown out the "It's the same people buying the first one!!!!!!" argument to downplay a boost.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Ramza, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
therealmnm | Posted 3/30/2006 11:12:26 AM | message detail
Sora will probably get the biggest boost, although people will probably exaggerate it seeing the way he bombed against Snake. He's bound for a rebound from that regardless of KH2.

As for everyone else, I don't think we will be nearly seeing the boost that everyone else is expecting. With Kingdom Hearts, Cloud, Squall and co had been missing in action since their respective games.

I don't think we are going to be seeing dramatic boosts this year... especially not stuff like Auron coming back and beating Ganon in a rematch and stuff. KH2 is simply not as big an event as far as "OMG, Cloud's in the game! Sephiroth! Squall!" You can already sense that the effect isn't nearly as big. I don't think the boosts will be as big as what the general expectations around here are.
---
Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC, Jade Empire
LeonhartForever | Posted 3/30/2006 11:15:46 AM | message detail
At least from what I've seen, Cloud, Squall, Auron, and Sephiroth are all going to be getting some "Whoa! Awesome!" scenes in Kingdom Hearts II.

I have been drooling over this game since I saw the screenshot of Cloud and Squall back-to-back, surrounded by Heartless.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Ramza, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
LeonhartForever | Posted 3/30/2006 11:16:58 AM | message detail
And from what early impressions indicate, I wouldn't be surprised to see Roxas in the field this summer.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Ramza, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
therealmnm | Posted 3/30/2006 11:28:46 AM | message detail
Oh, I didn't say that they wouldn't have awesome scenes. Cloud, Squall, and Auron kicking ass is pretty much expected out of them. It's why they're popular! I'm just saying that the novelty of them being in the game won't be nearly as big as it was for KH. I don't think the "boost" for them will even be as big as some people are thinking.
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC, Jade Empire
LeonhartForever | Posted 3/30/2006 11:30:19 AM | message detail
Plus, I think being able to fight them as well was a big selling point. As long as they keep that (redo Cloud and Squall for sure), it'll be good.

Besides, Squall doesn't need TOO much to be able to take down all but the Noble Nine.
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SC2K6 Nominations: Squall, Ramza, Serge, Seifer, Laguna, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden
HaRRicH | Posted 3/30/2006 12:04:04 PM | message detail
I restate: KH2 itself doesn't worry me so much...nor it even having FF:AC released here soon after. It's that a THIRD big Square release in DoC will be mixed with it before the contest starts, not to mention DoC is probably the last big release by the industry before the contest will start.

Those three together, and KH2F doesn't seem too unlikely. Had they all been released with a much larger span between each one, I'd feel much better about this.
---
Miss my Four-Pack Of Fun? Go here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007
_SmurfX_ | Posted 3/30/2006 12:05:24 PM | message detail
Doc will get delayed until after the contest, methinks.
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Rising Stream The board 8 Rpg . DOWNLOAD!
www.geocities.com/characterbattle2004
HaRRicH | Posted 3/30/2006 12:13:37 PM | message detail
At least we'll be able to tell before the contest starts, thankfully.

*stares at FF:AC*
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Miss my Four-Pack Of Fun? Go here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007
Kaxon | Posted 3/30/2006 2:47:32 PM | message detail
So, would anyone take Squall over Snake if they had a rematch this year? That would be an epic turnaround if he pulled it off.

Second question: did Snake SFF Squall at all in 2002? We always assumed Squall's increase was entirely due to KHF, but after seeing Snake/Sora and Sephiroth/Liquid Snake, maybe we should reconsider.
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Nominate Aeris for SC2k6
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=26571751
yoshifan823 | Posted 3/30/2006 2:48:40 PM | message detail
As for Sora the people who look at the method perhaps him of bombing vis-a-vis the snake perhaps exaggerate that, but the largest boost is obtained. As for him then in spite even in KH2.As for everyone me you do not think of that you look at the boost which we everyone have almost expected for reacting, it is divided. It has the center of the kingdom, cloud, squall and co are the missing who directly is during fighting ever since their respective games. It seems like Auron where I return, us dramatic boost... strike Ganon of the re-tournament and the raw materials you do not think of that this year you intend to look at the raw materials which especially are not. KH2 is possible and that it is large "to the cloud of the game of OMG, thing simply is not! Sephiroth! As for squall! "The effect is large already, it can feel that the sea urchin almost it is not. I when some boost where general egg z of here is large do not think of thing.

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"It was a weird night, with the Sexual Foot of Desire and the Sexual Moose of Lust and all"- Iamdead7.
Buy A Dreamcast | Posted 3/30/2006 2:48:50 PM | message detail
I still believe in the Noble Nine's power, so I would not take Squall.
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MasterMage119/Adept of Aiur
therealmnm | Posted 3/30/2006 2:57:42 PM | message detail
As for Sora the people who look at the method perhaps him of bombing vis-a-vis the snake perhaps exaggerate that, but the largest boost is obtained. As for him then in spite even in KH2.As for everyone me you do not think of that you look at the boost which we everyone have almost expected for reacting, it is divided. It has the center of the kingdom, cloud, squall and co are the missing who directly is during fighting ever since their respective games. It seems like Auron where I return, us dramatic boost... strike Ganon of the re-tournament and the raw materials you do not think of that this year you intend to look at the raw materials which especially are not. KH2 is possible and that it is large "to the cloud of the game of OMG, thing simply is not! Sephiroth! As for squall! "The effect is large already, it can feel that the sea urchin almost it is not. I when some boost where general egg z of here is large do not think of thing.

What?


Did you just take my post and discombobulate it?
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: KH2, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC (wow, my PS2 is actually getting play!)
trannyscience | Posted 3/30/2006 2:59:30 PM | message detail
nah, he's been doing that in every topic. I think he's taking a translator and running his posts through it and back or something.
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xyzzy
therealmnm | Posted 3/30/2006 3:03:23 PM | message detail
Oh, okay. That is my post in there... somewhere...
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Nominate Carmen Sandiego for SC2k6
Currently playing: KH2, MGS3:S, GTA:SA, MMAC (wow, my PS2 is actually getting play!)