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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 269
From: therealmnm | Posted: 10/29/2005 11:18:06 PM | Message Detail
Oh yeah?

How about James Bond vs. Solid Snake? <_<
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 10/29/2005 11:21:35 PM | Message Detail
Huge surprise, and possibly the most pleasant I've experienced in all my time following these Contests. And that's saying something.

From the Guru topic:

Only 4 of our 58 Gurus were wise enough to back GE, a stunning mere 7.00%. This leaves us with 0 Perfect brackets, though we still have 2 perfectly wrong brackets still standing, amazingly. I didn't think we had a chance of having someone miss an entire half of the Top Ten, but these two seem determined to prove me wrong!

4 down, 6 to go... 2 days ago I would have told you that the Super Six were a sure thing to hold those final positions, but after what we've just been through, I'm no longer willing to promise anything. I was sure Mario 64 was going to land on here, but what would it push out? LttP? Melee? Hmmm...

Oh, and for the record, I'd like to state that for over two weeks the final two games on my Top Ten were Mario 64 and Goldeneye. But then on reconsideration I said, "come on now, stop letting your personal bias get in the way. this is GameFAQs, the Land of Square; it's got to be an FF in that final spot."


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the-elite.net congratulates Jman, Guru Contest Champ!
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: Ngamer64 | Posted: 10/29/2005 11:23:05 PM | Message Detail
Oh, and I'd take GE over MGS in a nailbiter, but Mario 64 over either with about 53%.

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the-elite.net congratulates Jman, Guru Contest Champ!
Ngamer's Contest Archives: http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 10/29/2005 11:28:03 PM | Message Detail
Oh yeah?

How about James Bond vs. Solid Snake? <_<


Sean Connery > David Hayter > Pierce Brosnan > Kyle Reese > Roger Moore > Sylvester Stallone > Timothy Dalton >>>>>> The Rest

But then on reconsideration I said, "come on now, stop letting your personal bias get in the way. this is GameFAQs, the Land of Square; it's got to be an FF in that final spot."

Yeah--Final Fantasy VI. = P

Anyway...

FACT or FICTION: MGS will be the only third-party game on the list not made by Square.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:30:59 AM | Message Detail
FIC...oh, wait, Bungie and Rare aren't exactly third-party.

FACT.
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Serious Reminder: Nominate Jay Solano for 2k6.
Why? He believes you're a sexy beast. He'd go straight to HotOrNot and give you a 10.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:32:11 AM | Message Detail
I should note that, while this is a pleasant surprise, there are two things horribly wrong:

1) I didn't have Goldeneye on my list.
2) It got on the list over Perfect Dark.
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Serious Reminder: Nominate Jay Solano for 2k6.
Why? He believes you're a sexy beast. He'd go straight to HotOrNot and give you a 10.
From: transience | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:32:26 AM | Message Detail
two thoughts:

I can not see 007 over Mario 64;
I can not see Mario 64 over any of the Super Six.

something is wrong; it feels like Ceej miscounted and started from 11 or something.

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xyzzy
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:36:17 AM | Message Detail
I can not see 007 over Mario 64

SpC2k4

3 - Goldeneye
7 - Super Mario 64

It's already done it once. Now, you may conclude that SM64 was 'SFFed' by OoT in the nominations, but it looks like from this result that GE was as well. I think SM64 may be the biggest bust for our gurus here (Starcraft notwithstanding).
From: transience | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:38:27 AM | Message Detail
and I respond with 6 - LTTP. unless you believe Sonic 2, SMW and Super Metroid all got more nominations than LTTP?
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xyzzy
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:40:31 AM | Message Detail
I'm not convinced of LttP's nomination strength, either, which is why I'm convinced that it's the member of the SS most likely to bust. No, I'm not convinced that SM and SMW are stronger nomination beasts (Sonic 2 was on the Genesis so that's not an issue), but I have the same doubts with it.
From: transience | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:41:24 AM | Message Detail
oh, and I think SM64 had twice as many noms as Starcraft. the busts probably go SM64 -> Starcraft -> FF10, though I don't have the data in front of me.

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xyzzy
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:42:44 AM | Message Detail
FFX hasn't busted... yet. I still have more faith in it than LttP.
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Jman_gamerX8 has owned us with his sexy plumber bracket.
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:43:30 AM | Message Detail
Then again, nothing's busted 'yet.'
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Jman_gamerX8 has owned us with his sexy plumber bracket.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:43:37 AM | Message Detail
Hmm, interesting. I guess the Starcraft supporters are just more vocal.

I say SM64 still has a shot, but it's going to have to be at the expense of probably LttP, and it's hard to see that happening. I don't think I can hold out any more for SC or FFX, so those busts are practically set in stone.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:44:09 AM | Message Detail
IMO, of course. Don't jump down my throat now.
From: transience | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:46:36 AM | Message Detail
I know people will jump down my throat on this one, but I'm not convinced Mario 3 will make the list, either. that game is probably as old as some of the people who voted in this thing, and it's possible it had competition from SMW and maybe even SM64. the only four I'm convinced on are FF7, OOT, CT and SSBM.


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xyzzy
From: Ayvuir | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:48:23 AM | Message Detail
im with you there, i dont think Mario 3 will make the list either. So many people have played it and liked it, but i dont think people will put it high in their top 10, if at all. And as 4 have already gone, i doubt it will make the top 6
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Somehow i knew in hell there would be mushrooms - Guybrush Threepwood
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:49:08 AM | Message Detail
SpC2k4

3 - Goldeneye
7 - Super Mario 64

It's already done it once.



Twice if you consider direct performances against LoZ:OoT.


SM64 still has a shot to make the list though, what with Mario having just whooped ass in the contest, SM64 being released, and several Mario spin-offs being released recently. It's just that, now, it's most likely a battle between it and Loz:LttP. Considering SM64/LoZ:LttP were the 4th/5th most nominated games on their respective systems yet got a six/seven-seed in their divisions, it's really hard to tell. I'll stick with SM64 since it's newer and the other reasons I listed, but it's hard to tell right now.

Jesus, this list is unusual, heh.
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Serious Reminder: Nominate Jay Solano for 2k6.
Why? He believes you're a sexy beast. He'd go straight to HotOrNot and give you a 10.
From: transience | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:53:06 AM | Message Detail
well, this is an entirely different population. I still think the "Super Seven" moniker makes sense in a contest setting, because I can't see 007 beating SM64 and I'm iffy on it beating MGS as well. heck, it only got like 53-54% on SOTN - I would expect MGS to get around 58%.
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xyzzy
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:55:00 AM | Message Detail
Consider this--if neither SM64, SMW, or LttP make the list, then the only intra-division seeding upsets we might have here would be in Division 128, and we figured out how inaccurate those were long ago. That actually suggests at this contest being *easier*, which makes my head hurt.
From: transience | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:57:00 AM | Message Detail
I don't know about easier.. it means that nominations are more reliable than we thought. the one thing I'm taking from this is that recency is more important than I thought.
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xyzzy
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 10/30/2005 12:57:57 AM | Message Detail
well, this is an entirely different population. I still think the "Super Seven" moniker makes sense in a contest setting, because I can't see 007 beating SM64 and I'm iffy on it beating MGS as well. heck, it only got like 53-54% on SOTN - I would expect MGS to get around 58%.

Agreed on the point that the population here is going to have a significant difference than the bracket contest. Carriers have failed to arrive.

I'm actually extremely curious to see how a character contest would work out in this format.
From: transience | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:00:46 AM | Message Detail
I have been thinking that all day - the Noble Nine would likely hold, but the order would be interesting. I'd expect it like this:

Link
Cloud
Seph
Mario
Samus
Crono
Snake
Sonic
MM
..Zero? Squall?

I'm not convinced the above order is right, either, so it'd be fun to see others' thoughts.


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xyzzy
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:04:35 AM | Message Detail
I don't feel well taking SM64 over Goldeneye anymore. I did back when the Game Contest's bracket was first released, and I did when Goldeneye outdid what SM64 got against LoZ:OoT. Yet, despite the rampage Mario went on this year and having SM64 released on the DS, unless SM64 makes the list still, I don't feel comfortable with SM64 > GE anymore. Goldeneye's proven it's got the staying power despite being older than "cult favorite" (for lack of a better word) Perfect Dark and main-stream monsters Halo and Halo 2 (not to mention Half-Life 2...did Half-Life 1 get released after Goldeneye, too? I dunno).
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Serious Reminder: Nominate Jay Solano for 2k6.
Why? He believes you're a sexy beast. He'd go straight to HotOrNot and give you a 10.
From: transience | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:07:32 AM | Message Detail
okay, so big question: if Goldeneye is actually much stronger than we thought, is that true of SOTN as well?

SOTN or Super Metroid, who wins?

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xyzzy
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:07:52 AM | Message Detail
Goin' to bed...

FACT or FICTION: Goldeneye, in head-to-head bracket matches, can beat any game not named LoZ:OoT.
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Serious Reminder: Nominate Jay Solano for 2k6.
Why? He believes you're a sexy beast. He'd go straight to HotOrNot and give you a 10.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:09:33 AM | Message Detail
Super Metroid; it likely got SFF'd by LoZ:LttP, got a higher seed on arguably the toughest system to get seeded, and is simply a bigger name than C:SotN.


SERIOUSLY goin' to bed now. G-nite.
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Serious Reminder: Nominate Jay Solano for 2k6.
Why? He believes you're a sexy beast. He'd go straight to HotOrNot and give you a 10.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:10:35 AM | Message Detail
Doing that would likely be hell on me. On the one hand, I think Cloud could conceivably beat Link if he is put at #1 more frequently and because of a lack of anti-votes. And Sephiroth could potentially upset as well if his consistent fans are really *that* diehard. In the end, though, I'd guess they'd split as always and give Link the win. Mario's a wildcard, as he could conceivably end up on more lists than any other character, if not necessarily at the number one spot. Snake has his fanatics (*cough*) and with all the complaining about the rabidness of Sonic fans, I'd expect him to place higher than he usually would. Crono never getting a 1-seed I know is a lot of Ceej's doing, but it scares me nonetheless. Samus...I don't know what to think of her. Probably right behind Mario where you put her, just to be safe. Then there's Mega Man...probably on the tail end. As for the tenth character...

UPSET SPECIAL: KIRBY
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:10:55 AM | Message Detail
Super Metroid blasts it into nothingness. SotN is no joke (it beat Perfect Dark, after all), but let's not get carried away with Goldeneye right now. Don't get me wrong, I love seeing it on the list, but all this proves is that the game has a hardcore legions of fans who will worship it for years to come. Put it in a direct match with Super Mario 64, however, and it'll end in a 60/40 affair. Call it Mario/Samus II.
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: transience | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:13:27 AM | Message Detail
Kirby is probably not a bad choice, actually. to think of it, I might put Crono lower than Snake or Sonic.. though the boards seem to love CT. we'll see in a couple days if they really do or not.

so, would SM beat 007 in a head to head match then? I would stop and think about that one, I know that much.

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xyzzy
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:15:51 AM | Message Detail
I'd pick SM64 and keep my mouth shut, hoping everyone fools themselves into thinking Goldeneye has a shot. =P
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Board 8: Where people treat each other right.
From: Smurfs_DaBomb | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:16:36 AM | Message Detail
Gamefaqs once again got it right with Goldeneye. Apart from Halo this is turning out to be a very credible list.

My prediction for the last 6.

#1 LOZ: Ocarina
#2 Final Fantasy VII
#3 Super Smash Bros Melee
#4 Grand Theft Auto: Vice City
#5 Chrono Trigger
#6 Super Mario Bros. 3

I think SMB3 is just too retro for the crowds nowadays, and CT is on the fall at long last IMO. I think that Cjay wouldnt have put up that poll a few days ago if FF7 had won or it would have made the contest look very predictable. And Ocarina didn't lose by much in 2004 (Link's weakest year).
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www.geocities.com/characterbattle2004.
^ Sexiest Gaming girl contest, VOTE NOW!
From: transience | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:17:48 AM | Message Detail
2004 was Link's weakest year? this is news.

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xyzzy
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:18:02 AM | Message Detail
And Ocarina didn't lose by much in 2004 (Link's weakest year).

If by weakest, you mean second strongest...
From: transience | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:19:44 AM | Message Detail
having said that though, I would not be all that surprised to see FF7 at #2. it's definitely a possibility.

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xyzzy
From: Smurfs_DaBomb | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:20:44 AM | Message Detail
¬_¬

I meant 2003, it was the next contest after Links screw up year.
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www.geocities.com/characterbattle2004.
^ Sexiest Gaming girl contest, VOTE NOW!
From: voltch | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:23:03 AM | Message Detail
didn't chrono trigger get top seed in it's division though?
i'm using that to place it in third place
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Nominate CATS,Jay Solano,Weedle and Ifnkovhgroghprm for sc2k6
From: Ciaran87 | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:26:19 AM | Message Detail
The 2nd seed in that division (FF6) only placed 10th.
It's not impossible that CT didn't make the top 10 at all.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:27:00 AM | Message Detail
I'm more inclined to think that Link's weakest year was 2002, he gained a lot in 2k3, and that Cloud was just that underrated in 2k2 and KHF was just THAT good in 2k3. And by 'think', I mean Chichiri convinced me of that and I'm echoing the sentiments.
From: voltch | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:27:43 AM | Message Detail
but chrono trigger has the DBZ top vote
FFVI lost all it's top votes to all the other FFs
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Nominate CATS,Jay Solano,Weedle and Ifnkovhgroghprm for sc2k6
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:28:13 AM | Message Detail
I'm sorry, but CT is a virtual lock for the list. Crono didn't slip *that* much, if at all.
From: transience | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:29:33 AM | Message Detail
the only thing up in the air is where CT will land. I can not see it below #4.
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xyzzy
From: voltch | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:31:09 AM | Message Detail
but at least goldeneye making the list is good for making this very unpredictable.
i wonder if someone will get everything right
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Nominate CATS,Jay Solano,Weedle and Ifnkovhgroghprm for sc2k6
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:56:07 AM | Message Detail
I didn't have Goldeneye 007 in my "bracket" either. I wonder if I will get 100 points in this contest.
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted: 10/30/2005 1:57:44 AM | Message Detail
This is my worst contest so far.Out of the 4 games,I only had Halo on my list...
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 10/30/2005 2:01:37 AM | Message Detail
FACT OR FICTION

One of this games will not be in the top 10

Final Fantasy VII
Legend of Zelda Ocarina of Time
Chrono Trigger
Super Mario Bros 3
Legend of Zelda A Link To The Past
Super Smash Brothers Meele
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted: 10/30/2005 2:04:12 AM | Message Detail
I believe fiction.But what do I know...
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
From: voltch | Posted: 10/30/2005 2:06:36 AM | Message Detail
i'm tempted to say fiction here
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Nominate CATS,Jay Solano,Weedle and Ifnkovhgroghprm for sc2k6
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 10/30/2005 2:06:40 AM | Message Detail
As of now, I still gotta go with FICTION. LttP is on the edge, and after further review SMB3 isn't in great shape either. But it's hard to think of replacements, and I feel most confident in rounding out the rest of this list with the Super Six.

Concerning this, of course, I'd say the game most likely to upset if LttP doesn't make it is SM64. If SMB3 doesn't make it, my pick is FFX for the slot.

Confidence: 10%
From: voltch | Posted: 10/30/2005 2:07:43 AM | Message Detail
the question is will a GTA game make the list?
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Nominate CATS,Jay Solano,Weedle and Ifnkovhgroghprm for sc2k6
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