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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 269
From: transience | Posted: 10/28/2005 10:17:52 PM | Message Detail
and my followup post:

time to do some research. besides the "super six" (FF7, OOT, CT, SSBM, Mario 3 and LTTP), we've got one game left. here's what our top six Gurus have to say it is:

1 Sephirot 5 0 - GTA:VC
2 Shivan 6 0 - Mario 64
3 Kaxon 6 0 - Starcraft
4 voltch 6 0 - GTA:SA
5 BadBFG 6 0 - Mario 64
6 Harrich 7 0 - Mario 64

..meaning that if FF10 somehow sneaks in, I still have hope! *wakes up*
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xyzzy
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 10/28/2005 10:21:48 PM | Message Detail
Which, again, to be fair, is assuming the rest of the Super ### makes it in. It's most likely, but I wouldn't count out a shocker like that.
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Serious Reminder: Nominate Jay Solano for 2k6.
Why? He believes you're a sexy beast. He'd go straight to HotOrNot and give you a 10.
From: transience | Posted: 10/28/2005 10:22:37 PM | Message Detail
was just thinking - which game of those six would be the most likely to slide all the way out? my guess would be Mario 3.

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xyzzy
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 10/28/2005 10:24:03 PM | Message Detail
Of the super seven remaining, I'd say LttP has the lowest shot of making it.
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Jman_gamerX8 has owned us with his sexy plumber bracket.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 10/28/2005 10:27:11 PM | Message Detail
I'd think LoZ:LttP; while I just argued for it being up, I can argue for it being off too. It mainly revolves around the Game Contest's seeding though, and we know that routine already.

SMB3 won't miss the list.
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Serious Reminder: Nominate Jay Solano for 2k6.
Why? He believes you're a sexy beast. He'd go straight to HotOrNot and give you a 10.
From: greatone10 | Posted: 10/28/2005 10:28:27 PM | Message Detail
I think LttP could end up being snubbed because of OoT taking up one too many #1 slots.
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Nominate Jay Solano & Ifnkovhgroghprm for SC2K6!
This space reserved for next Guru winner, unless it is moi.
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 10/28/2005 10:58:46 PM | Message Detail
I think LttP could end up being snubbed because of OoT taking up one too many #1 slots.

I know most don't agree, but that's sort of what I think could happen to smb3 with smw and sm64.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
Crushed by Jman_gamerX8 as badly as Link beat Cloud.
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 10/28/2005 11:01:19 PM | Message Detail
Yes, both the original and the Twin Snakes 18.18% 2
Yes, just the original 27.27% 3
Yes, just the remake 9.09% 1
I've played it, but never beaten it 27.27% 3
Nope, it's just not my kind of game 18.18% 2
TOTAL VOTES

Couldn't resist the 23132.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
Crushed by Jman_gamerX8 as badly as Link beat Cloud.
From: transience | Posted: 10/28/2005 11:02:29 PM | Message Detail
I agree; LTTP only has one hugely popular game to compete with while Mario 3's got two - M64 and SMW.

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xyzzy
From: transience | Posted: 10/28/2005 11:09:06 PM | Message Detail
and I realize Snake has a strong night vote, but only 27% haven't played MGS. not bad. it'll go down during the day for sure, though.

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xyzzy
From: greatone10 | Posted: 10/28/2005 11:10:57 PM | Message Detail
While Mario 3 may have more games to compete with, it is the clear favorite of the series. That is not the case with LttP.
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Nominate Jay Solano & Ifnkovhgroghprm for SC2K6!
This space reserved for next Guru winner, unless it is moi.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 10/28/2005 11:11:47 PM | Message Detail
Yeah, but LoZ:LttP is competin' with arguably the second-biggest powerhouse in the contest. SMB3 is the 4th-7th biggest powerhouse (depending on your stance) GameFAQs has to offer and is competing with two games that isn't of our mighty Super Seven.

Not much worse off than even, if that.
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Serious Reminder: Nominate Jay Solano for 2k6.
Why? He believes you're a sexy beast. He'd go straight to HotOrNot and give you a 10.
From: voltch | Posted: 10/29/2005 12:06:27 AM | Message Detail
MGS being on the list is good.considering how the newer ones are better known to the general public
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Nominate CATS,Jay Solano,Weedle and Ifnkovhgroghprm for sc2k6
From: transience | Posted: 10/29/2005 12:10:44 AM | Message Detail
I like how Super Seven (or six, I guess, since one's been beaten) has become our new Noble Nine. that makes me smile.

anyway, while LTTP is definitely competing with a stronger game, the Zelda series is also stronger than the Mario series is here; heck, LTTP did better vs. CT than Mario 3 did. now, I have Mario 3 as #3 in my entry and think it'll do well, but if one game is going to slide way out of the top 10, I think it'll be Mario 30. I just can't see LTTP being below both Halo and MGS.

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xyzzy
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 10/29/2005 12:40:43 AM | Message Detail
I also like how it went from a Super Seven to a Super Six, because the same criticism that plagues the Noble 9 title can be applied here, as well. It's largely our expectations that make them super or noble, and already the 7 are down to 6. I just think it's funny that our (collective) expecations are already one off, but we still expect the other six to show off without any problems.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
Crushed by Jman_gamerX8 as badly as Link beat Cloud.
From: transience | Posted: 10/29/2005 12:42:50 AM | Message Detail
I wouldn't say that - some (hi) are predicting LTTP next, while others SSBM.

this makes me ask, though - MGS or FF6, who wins in a contest setting? I'd say FF6 without thinking much.

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xyzzy
From: transience | Posted: 10/29/2005 12:45:48 AM | Message Detail
and whoa, I meant Mario 3. Mario 30 would be interesting, though.
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xyzzy
From: greatone10 | Posted: 10/29/2005 12:46:36 AM | Message Detail
I think the series has long gone past Mario 30.
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Nominate Jay Solano & Ifnkovhgroghprm for SC2K6!
This space reserved for next Guru winner, unless it is moi.
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 10/29/2005 12:57:18 AM | Message Detail
I got 30 points so far. How about you?
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted: 10/29/2005 1:07:55 AM | Message Detail
I may have the most points of all,even though I tried to enter a serious entry.That shows how good I am ^-^
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted: 10/29/2005 1:10:41 AM | Message Detail
Oh,and something I noticed now:Valkyrie Profile was in the top 10 of the games that need a sequel,and in the top 10 of the best video game music.And to think I have played this game,just by luck!
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted: 10/29/2005 1:12:25 AM | Message Detail
And a final question:Why still people referirng to FFVI as FFIII?Yeah I know when it came to USA,it was labeled as FFIII but come on people,even if you are a little bit interested about video games,you know what the truth is.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
From: jonthomson | Posted: 10/29/2005 1:41:54 AM | Message Detail
But if you think you've got it bad, think again. You can thank your lucky stars that you're not Ed Bellis, jonthomson, or meche. These unfortunate fellows have yet to correctly pick a single member of the Top Ten, after having been thrown a loop by MGS today. Better luck tomorrow, guys!

Go away :-)
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Jon Thomson - inferior to Jman_gamerX8. Pesky Crono.
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 10/29/2005 1:54:38 AM | Message Detail
I'm sorry, but the Noble Nine have pretty well proven that their title isn't arbitrary. They've never failed.
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Jman_gamerX8 teamed up with Mario to kick my ass!
From: Slowflake | Posted: 10/29/2005 4:13:04 AM | Message Detail
METAL GEAR SOLID?!? I... I don't know what to say. At all.

The difference between a single-elimination tournament and a FFA exists, sure, but it shouldn't be that large. The #8 most popular game on the site just doesn't get beaten by a full third of the field in a bracket contest PLUS those who were SFFed below that (Super Metroid, for instance). There almost HAD to be SFF in FF7/MGS... that means, by ricochet, FFT's got some scary power in its own right.
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A Metroid once tried to suck the life out of Jack Thompson, but was unable to find any human energy to feed on.
From: Slowflake | Posted: 10/29/2005 4:18:05 AM | Message Detail
A ginormous 24 people had this huge upset happening somewhere in the BOP. That's more than a quarter of all the entrants! It was 14th favorite to make the list, while FF6 was 7th and Halo 8th.

1 in 3rd
1 in 6th
2 in 7th
4 in 8th <--correct
5 in 9th
11 in 10th

Also, Metal Gear Solid is Board 8's 18th favorite game, with 71 points courtesy of 13 people:

1 in 1st
1 in 2nd
2 in 3rd
1 in 4th
1 in 5th
2 in 6th
1 in 7th
1 in 8th
1 in 9th

(Why's everyone discarding FF6 from any elite group, anyway? Back in 2004 if FF6 and SSBM faced each other FF6 wins, I'm sure of it. Now it's more difficult though.)
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A Metroid once tried to suck the life out of Jack Thompson, but was unable to find any human energy to feed on.
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 10/29/2005 4:45:00 AM | Message Detail
Wow... this is a bit shocking. FFX>SM64 and/or SMB3, so don't expect to see both those Mario games on the list. Recency will play a big factor here I think.

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RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005...and Jman_gamerX8 is my daddy!
Trivia XVI: The Weather Channel
From: voltch | Posted: 10/29/2005 5:06:53 AM | Message Detail
what's up with the boom that's propelling FFVI to the top 10?
that must be first time it's there for quite a while
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Nominate CATS,Jay Solano,Weedle and Ifnkovhgroghprm for sc2k6
From: Prometheus321 | Posted: 10/29/2005 5:55:19 AM | Message Detail
that hurts that really hurts

I doubt we will see GTA: SA on the list now.
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Top Ten list Score = 2.
Next GTA: SA at #8
From: Phediuk | Posted: 10/29/2005 6:29:57 AM | Message Detail
HELL ****ING YEAH. MGS is on my Top 10. I knew it'd be there. ^_^
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: Tediz247 | Posted: 10/29/2005 7:54:51 AM | Message Detail
I'm happy for MGS, even though it means that I have no chance now. Great to see the series getting some love on the front page. I think the final 7 are pretty much a lock now; the order is the only thing in question. The only possible unexpected game I could see would be SMW taking SM64's spot. I really don't think anything else has a chance. It will certainly be interesting to see the top 100, if Ceej gets around to posting it when the contest's done.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
From: Slowflake | Posted: 10/29/2005 7:58:33 AM | Message Detail
Why is everyone so sure SM64 beats out SMW, anyway? There was a poll a while ago and it either failed or came very close to.

And CJayC will have little choice but to post the top 100, or at least let it piece it ourselves, unless he completely hides where our points came from (for example, if I could see I got 13 points with KH, that means it was 23rd).
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A Metroid once tried to suck the life out of Jack Thompson, but was unable to find any human energy to feed on.
From: voltch | Posted: 10/29/2005 8:18:54 AM | Message Detail
i reckon the mario series being so popular will and having so many popular games it will be unable to have the fanbase agree on one game to push wildly for.so i think super mario world and 64 got their votes leeched off by SMB3.
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Nominate CATS,Jay Solano,Weedle and Ifnkovhgroghprm for sc2k6
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 10/29/2005 8:24:13 AM | Message Detail
I'm getting an odd feeling that FF7 perhaps SFFd Metal Gear Solid.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Castlevania: Dawn of Sorrow, Advance Wars 2
From: SephirothG | Posted: 10/29/2005 8:25:40 AM | Message Detail
My Picks: #10- FFVI, #9- SM64, #8-MGS
Actual: #10- FFVI, #9- Halo, #8-MGS

Next: I think I have SSBM, or maybe LttP.
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"Let's mosey"
Proud member of the Jay Solano Army
From: Applause Sign | Posted: 10/29/2005 8:26:17 AM | Message Detail
MGS ftw.

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Explicit Content, Thrusting Harder Than Ever
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
From: Slowflake | Posted: 10/29/2005 8:30:41 AM | Message Detail
I have SSBM for tomorrow... then again, FF6 already passed and I had it at #6.

So, for tomorrow... Super Seven member or the last filler game?

From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 10/29/2005 12:24:13 PM | #084
I'm getting an odd feeling that FF7 perhaps SFFd Metal Gear Solid.

~*ST*~


The idea's nothing new, but this seems to be a definite indication of something like that happening. You don't score a measly 28% on FF7 and then make a top 10 list. You just don't. That means, it's even more back to square one in the event of a new game contest than we previously thought. It's not entirely impossible for OoT to have SFFed Goldeneye in a similar fashion (SotN and Perfect Dark just plain stinking it up in the final X-Sts was decent indication as well). Though, why would've FF7 and OoT SFFed MGS and Goldeneye? They're not the same kind of game, not at all. All they shared was the console.
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A Metroid once tried to suck the life out of Jack Thompson, but was unable to find any human energy to feed on.
From: voltch | Posted: 10/29/2005 8:31:56 AM | Message Detail
when i think about it it's funny that my two favourite series are FF and MGS. so in a way the fanbases do overlap cause a lot of my friends like both series a lot.so there must have been SFF cause a lot of 13-15 year olds i know that prefer sony to xbox seem to like both series.but in those cases it's usually MGS that is more popular
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Nominate CATS,Jay Solano,Weedle and Ifnkovhgroghprm for sc2k6
From: Applause Sign | Posted: 10/29/2005 8:33:40 AM | Message Detail
Almost all of my friends despise MGS and love FF. Bastards.

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Explicit Content, Thrusting Harder Than Ever
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
From: Slowflake | Posted: 10/29/2005 8:34:53 AM | Message Detail
An overlap is not enough. For SFF to occur, the ratio of FF voters to MGS voters must be higher when facing each other than when facing an unrelated game. And among people you know, according to what you say, that ratio would be lower, and that means rSFF.

So yeah, puzzling. Why would that ratio be higher for two games that have nothing to do with each other?
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A Metroid once tried to suck the life out of Jack Thompson, but was unable to find any human energy to feed on.
From: voltch | Posted: 10/29/2005 8:41:21 AM | Message Detail
same console i suppose
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Nominate CATS,Jay Solano,Weedle and Ifnkovhgroghprm for sc2k6
From: Slowflake | Posted: 10/29/2005 8:45:34 AM | Message Detail
Yeah, but that's all they have in common. IMO that's not supposed to be anywhere near enough.
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A Metroid once tried to suck the life out of Jack Thompson, but was unable to find any human energy to feed on.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 10/29/2005 8:49:32 AM | Message Detail
MGS!!!

Dam, there's only a few chances of me winning and they don't look that great.
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld battle, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: voltch | Posted: 10/29/2005 8:52:18 AM | Message Detail
i think i got it.
both series feature cool characters,both are renowed for having great graphics,both are known for high quality cinematics,both are known for having long storylines and good music and both are appealing to the casual gamer.
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Nominate CATS,Jay Solano,Weedle and Ifnkovhgroghprm for sc2k6
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 10/29/2005 9:18:13 AM | Message Detail
MGS, sweet. I nommed it too, glad to see it made it.

Now if only I can remember if I put it in my Top 10 (doubt it)
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It's MOOOOOOOLLLTTTAAAARRRR!!!!!!!!!!
From: bigkevinm84 | Posted: 10/29/2005 9:49:43 AM | Message Detail
MGS? That was a surprise... and at number 8, too. If only I had replaced FFX for MGS. +10 points for me!...
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Nominate Fox McCloud for 2006! And support Yoshi!
You have no chance to survive make your time.
From: cyko | Posted: 10/29/2005 12:03:05 PM | Message Detail
well, then. after catching up what people have to say here, these seem to be the only games that have a shot at that final spot:

SM64
SMW
GTA:SA
GTA:VC
Starcraft

does anyboby think any other game has a realistic shot at making it in? personally, i think that it is gonna be Super Mario 64 , but that is probably only because i believe it would be a crime against humanity to not include SM64 in this list.

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Jman_gamerX8 - i had no idea who this guy was until he whomped us all in the Guru Contest.
From: SephirothG | Posted: 10/29/2005 12:04:15 PM | Message Detail
LttP may be #7 and SM64 or SMW may be higher up.
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"Let's mosey"
Proud member of the Jay Solano Army
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 10/29/2005 12:06:05 PM | Message Detail
FFX has a shot! I hope...
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Memories are nice, but that's all they are.-Rikku
From: transience | Posted: 10/29/2005 12:07:57 PM | Message Detail
I wouldn't say FF10 has -no- chance.. it's just unlikely. I believe it has a better chance than all of those but the Mario titles.

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xyzzy
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