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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 260
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:55:36 AM | Message Detail
Well also the voting patterns are different because of a different voters base and the match is on a weekday. You cant chalk it all up to Link boosted in 2004 and AC is boosting Cloud now.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: rpgapzx | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:55:50 AM | Message Detail
found it doubtful he wont. This IS his strongest time against Link in the past.

I love it when people are wrong. I await HM's correction.
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Spring Contest 2k5 Score: 76/80 T-117th
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:55:56 AM | Message Detail
Link goes back over 100, very interesting...
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, CLOUD, Go!
From: Quaarma Hunter | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:56:18 AM | Message Detail
Big gain for Link, thanks to a nice little spike from him. We'll see if it can maintain.
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*is Karma Hunter*
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:56:26 AM | Message Detail
But what that has to do with Crono anyway?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:57:42 AM | Message Detail
Vincent stayed close to Crono, so people assume that FF7 in general must have increased due to AC.
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, CLOUD, Go!
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:57:59 AM | Message Detail
Link gains 30.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:58:37 AM | Message Detail
HM correction? Why do I need to be corrected. An hour and a half in to 5 hours in was Cloud's strongest time. The stats of the last match clearly state. Cloud's strongest time starts in 30 minutes according to last year.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:00:29 AM | Message Detail
Cloud gains back two more, down to 102...
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, CLOUD, Go!
From: Quaarma Hunter | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:01:11 AM | Message Detail
I find it possible that neither of these two finishes over a percent ahead of each other.

Oh, and looks like it was just a random spike for Link. Cloud cuts by 2.
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*is Karma Hunter*
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:02:13 AM | Message Detail
Link/Cloud 2004 at 1:00 -

Link - 2905 (52.69%)
Cloud Strife - 2608 (47.31%)
Total votes - 5513
Lead - 297

Link/Cloud 2005 at 1:00 -

Link - 2301 (51.16%)
Cloud Strife - 2197 (48.84%)
Total votes - 4498
Lead - 104
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:03:06 AM | Message Detail
Cloud takes a pair back, lead at 104 1 hour in. For anyone curious, last year it was at 297.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:03:47 AM | Message Detail
Damn, I'm slow.... >_<
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:05:24 AM | Message Detail
Less than 100 again!
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:05:59 AM | Message Detail
Cloud knocks it down to 93!

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“I think my burden has lightened… Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:06:02 AM | Message Detail
Cloud pushes Link under 100 and uner 51% for the second time.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:06:02 AM | Message Detail
Bah, come on and take the lead so I can go to bed, Cloud!
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: Quaarma Hunter | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:07:30 AM | Message Detail
Cloud is cheating, he's getting help from the Sephiroth voting bloc too! Look at Sephy in this picture:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/sum05/b64-3.jpg

...<.<
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*is Karma Hunter*
From: rpgapzx | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:10:01 AM | Message Detail
HM correction? Why do I need to be corrected. An hour and a half in to 5 hours in was Cloud's strongest time. The stats of the last match clearly state. Cloud's strongest time starts in 30 minutes according to last year.

When you say NOW IS his worst time, I take it you mean up to the moment you said it, that beign midnight to 1am. In that time last year, Cloud finished the first hour with 47.30% and ended with 48.18%. He clearly improved on this voting period.

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Spring Contest 2k5 Score: 76/80 T-117th
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:11:19 AM | Message Detail
That was as close to symmetry as you're gonna get right there, folks. If only that update had gotten exactly 5000 votes...
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: transience | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:12:55 AM | Message Detail
that update is awesome. I'm pasting it for the archives:

Link 51% 2551
Cloud Strife 49% 2451
TOTAL VOTES 5002
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.
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:13:30 AM | Message Detail
Actually, Link didn't start losing votes against Cloud until 4 AM ET last year. His lead stayed right around 300 from 3 AM - 4 AM.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: Mister Mario | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:14:30 AM | Message Detail
Heh, cool.
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Mario is Winnar
Next victim: Mistress Crono
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:15:54 AM | Message Detail
Whoa, Link had a big drop off in votes on that update, giving Cloud over 56% on that one.
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:16:02 AM | Message Detail
Cloud nails Link for 28 votes right there.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:17:05 AM | Message Detail
You know, I'm in the middle of writing Ness/CJ... I tell you, that's a tough match to discuss, for obvious reasons.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars 2
From: Quaarma Hunter | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:17:35 AM | Message Detail
Looks like we might be entering Cloud's prime time now. Looking at the pace, though, I find it very hard to imagine he could pull this out by the end.

...still, this **** ain't hitting 55%. = P
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*is Karma Hunter*
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:17:37 AM | Message Detail
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:13:30 AM | Message Detail
Actually, Link didn't start losing votes against Cloud until 4 AM ET last year. His lead stayed right around 300 from 3 AM - 4 AM.


Ah, make those Central time, not Eastern. I need sleep.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: Quaarma Hunter | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:18:44 AM | Message Detail
You know, I had Ness in my bracket, but when I look at the match in retrospect I'm utterly SHOCKED that he won. WTF?
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*is Karma Hunter*
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:19:02 AM | Message Detail
Link's showing signs of a HUGE Nintendo boost here, why... by the end he'll likely be winning by millions the boost is so big. </Sarcasm>
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I once made a sig bet with TRE that Ganon wasn't actually over 31 on BL. The jury's still out on the pigman, but props to TRE 'cause I'm a believer again.
From: transience | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:20:48 AM | Message Detail
I dunno what to say about Ness/CJ. a lot of people thought it was the board vote keeping Ness so high. then, when he kept on leading, a lot of people said the day vote would kill Ness. then, when the day vote came... yeah.

I'd also mention how it was the first sign of a possible Nintendo boost, though we couldn't really tell since we had no idea how strong CJ actually was or wasn't. (we still don't)
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.
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:20:49 AM | Message Detail
Link gains 4 votes.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: ExThaNemesis | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:22:34 AM | Message Detail
WHY ARE WE TALKING ABOUT NESS/CJ WITH THIS GOING ON?!
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~*Ex~Tha*~
Splendid RKO King of Board 8
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:23:14 AM | Message Detail
Because Ulti is a Ness fanboy and wants to divert attention away from his 55% prediction, heh.
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:25:44 AM | Message Detail
Down to 66 now. Getting closer....
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:26:21 AM | Message Detail
Jesus Cloud, Take the ****ing lead already...
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, CLOUD, Go!
From: Quaarma Hunter | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:26:25 AM | Message Detail
Cloud keeps slicing, little by little, but he's showing no signs of being dominant in his gains, which is what likely counts.
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*is Karma Hunter*
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:27:00 AM | Message Detail
He's still doing MUCH better than what he was last year, which is worth something.
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:27:50 AM | Message Detail
Regardless (or perhaps because) of the fact that it would give people nervous breakdowns, I really want Cloud to sink this to 50/50 and then just leave it there. the whole match. :P
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:27:58 AM | Message Detail
BTW, Great sig Leonhart...
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, CLOUD, Go!
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:28:58 AM | Message Detail
Between 1:25 and the end of the poll last year, Cloud gained 0.43%. If he does that this time, he'd end at 49.85%. This could still be close...
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Cloud Strife for TOC Champion!
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:30:17 AM | Message Detail
No matter what the outcome of this match, at least I had the satisfaction of Cloud leading 100%...
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, CLOUD, Go!
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:31:11 AM | Message Detail
Creeping closer, lead at 58.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: transience | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:31:53 AM | Message Detail
Cloud is chipping away at this lead, but it's way too slow. this looks like a repeat of last year to me.

anyway, I'm off to bed. nite y'all.
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.
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:32:04 AM | Message Detail
Link/Cloud 2004 at 1:30 -

Link - 3873 (52.27%)
Cloud Strife - 3534 (47.73%)
Total votes - 7410
Lead - 336

Link/Cloud 2005 at 1:30 -

Link - 2999 (50.49%)
Cloud Strife - 2941 (49.51%)
Total votes - 5940
Lead - 58
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: Quaarma Hunter | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:33:36 AM | Message Detail
Looking at the percentages, this may not be a repeat of last year. Then again, I'm probably not looking at them correctly.
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*is Karma Hunter*
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:34:39 AM | Message Detail
Cloud is chipping away at this lead, but it's way too slow. this looks like a repeat of last year to me.

*Looks at Leonhearts post*

A repeat of last year? 0_o
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:35:40 AM | Message Detail
Bah, 50/50 update.
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:35:56 AM | Message Detail
50/50 update...
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 9/20/2005 1:35:58 AM | Message Detail
Even on that one. I got school in 6 hours, night all...
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, CLOUD, Go!
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