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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 260
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:35:56 AM | Message Detail
Cloud brings it down to 88! Come on, Cloud, come on!

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“I think my burden has lightened… Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: Magnet_Man | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:36:19 AM | Message Detail
Go Cloud go!
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Nominate Jay Solano for SC2k6!
http://users.ign.com/collection/John_Yossarian (PC not complete)
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:36:23 AM | Message Detail
Cloud takes another update and brings the lead under 90.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:36:27 AM | Message Detail
Well, I obviously fail in the math department...
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, CLOUD, Go!
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:36:42 AM | Message Detail
I can't believe we're behind last year's pace for votals. That's more disappointing than anything else.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars 2
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:37:33 AM | Message Detail
Give it time. It's a school night. Last year's match was on a weekend.
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: Quaarma Hunter | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:38:25 AM | Message Detail
I can't believe we're behind last year's pace for votals. That's more disappointing than anything else.

Indeed it is. I'm spreading the word of the poll just on principle right now, not even rallying votes--we should just have higher votals than this.

Although if this turns into a nailbiter, then the possibility of us having fantastic votals drastically rises. C'mon, you two! Keep it close!
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*is Karma Hunter*
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:39:04 AM | Message Detail
Oh yeah Cloud's strongest point last year was from about 2 hours in to 4 hours in. Link's strongest time? 6 hours in to 8 hours in.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:39:10 AM | Message Detail
Even then, if we don't pass last year's votals I'll be very disappointed, especially given the overall increase in voters this year.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars 2
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:39:47 AM | Message Detail
Were gonna get a huge amount of votes after everyone gets home from school. And Last year, Cloud peaked at 5:15am, this is looking good...
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, CLOUD, Go!
From: Quaarma Hunter | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:39:54 AM | Message Detail
Actually, come to think of it...the afterschool vote may be the big 'X-Factor' in this match...and I think it'll decisively favor Link. Cloud needs to pick up the pace if he wants to stave it off...
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*is Karma Hunter*
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:39:55 AM | Message Detail
And given this match is on a weekday, Link might kill Cloud with the before/after school voting blocks.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars 2
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:40:11 AM | Message Detail
Thats right... I fully expect Cloud to take the lead from Link and probably gain about a 600 vote lead before Link takes it all back in the afterschool vote and a desperate struggle happens the last hour.
---
Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:40:20 AM | Message Detail
Cloud will be fine.
---
"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:40:30 AM | Message Detail
Sweet!
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:40:58 AM | Message Detail
Down to 78 common Cloud!
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, CLOUD, Go!
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:41:07 AM | Message Detail
Cloud knocks it down to 78!


55%? My ass. =p

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“I think my burden has lightened… Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:41:37 AM | Message Detail
Cloud cuts off another 10, threatening to get above 49%.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: rpgapzx | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:42:38 AM | Message Detail
Magus over Pac Man
Kefka over Lloyd
Vivi over Leon

Luigi over Sora
Zelda over Yoshii
Tidus over MC

Squall over Bowser


We get a Tifa/Vincent match -_-
and obviously... Mario/Crono V =)
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Spring Contest 2k5 Score: 76/80 T-117th
From: creativename | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:44:11 AM | Message Detail
Cloud deserves a pat on the back. He's really impressing after nearly everyone counted him out.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:44:42 AM | Message Detail
God, I have school till 3 tomarrow, then work from 4-11, I'm gonna miss the whole ****ing match!
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, CLOUD, Go!
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:44:54 AM | Message Detail
Cloud will take more than just a pat on the back. He'll take the win!
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:45:31 AM | Message Detail
Whatever happens, this match is set up to be A LOT closer than the first two.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:45:31 AM | Message Detail
Cloud cuts it down to 64!!!
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, CLOUD, Go!
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:45:42 AM | Message Detail
The Hell?Don't tell me that Cloud will win?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
From: Villanous Bill Gates | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:45:46 AM | Message Detail
64

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Buy him out, boys!
"My point being im so pretty oh so pretty. and dandy like candy." ~ juicies_rocks
From: Quaarma Hunter | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:45:46 AM | Message Detail
I still find it odd that people were counting Cloud out COMPLETELY. He's won a contest before...

And another gain from him, on that note. I still think Link has the edge here, though.
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*is Karma Hunter*
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:45:55 AM | Message Detail
Take him down slow and easy Cloud!
---
When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: Jericoholic | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:45:57 AM | Message Detail
I'mk thinking what Vincent did to Crono showed that Link could hang with Link. But he won't beat him. He end up with over 48% I say...

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I don't have an ego.
I'm way too cool for that.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:46:05 AM | Message Detail
Cloud knocks it down to 64!

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“I think my burden has lightened… Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:47:21 AM | Message Detail
I'mk thinking what Vincent did to Crono showed that Link could hang with Link. But he won't beat him. He end up with over 48% I say...

I think Link would get 55% or more on Link personally... :P
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, CLOUD, Go!
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:47:38 AM | Message Detail
The 0:45 mark was where Link started to pad his night lead, and he didn't do it there.
---
"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:47:45 AM | Message Detail
Remember the last time Cloud only had 64 votes left? i hope Link won't do the same thing again.
---
When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: Jericoholic | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:49:10 AM | Message Detail
Meh.

*Cloud could hang with Link, blah blah blah...

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I don't have an ego.
I'm way too cool for that.
From: creativename | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:49:58 AM | Message Detail
The "percentage of votes since the 5 minute mark" metric usually tells the story of where the match is headed, and right now Cloud is ahead in that 1,490 to 1,485.

I think Link is still a clear favorite to win the match, but at this point, Link ending up above 52% would be somewhat surprising; and Cloud still has a shot to win.
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:50:22 AM | Message Detail
So how much of a lead will Cloud have by say 5 hours in?

I predict 400 votes.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:50:58 AM | Message Detail
Don't get too excited, yet. This is a a school day.

I'm confident that Link will break 53%. :P

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Now link, fill up your hearts
So you can shoot your sword with power!
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:51:12 AM | Message Detail
Link pushes it back to 76.
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Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: creativename | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:51:23 AM | Message Detail
One thing that favors Link is the possibility that Nintendo's day/night asymmetry has increased from past years (e.g., Mario, whose daytime strength jump was greater than his night strength jump)
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www.SC2K5.com
www.sc2k5.com/gallery
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:51:35 AM | Message Detail
Back up to 76 :(

But I think this match show's so far that

AC Jap release/hype > TP Hype/Nintendo Boost...
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, CLOUD, Go!
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:51:40 AM | Message Detail
So how much of a lead will Cloud have by say 5 hours in?

I predict that he won't have the lead.
---
When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:52:15 AM | Message Detail
Cloud's doing very well; I wonder if this is a sign of Link not gaining the general Nintendo boost, Cloud improving due to FF:AC, both, neither, or what. It'll be more interesting as morning comes, but Cloud gets his pat on the back from me.

Time for me to sleep now...does Mario have a legit 50/50-or-better shot at Sephiroth tomorrow?
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:52:22 AM | Message Detail
AC Jap release/hype > TP Hype/Nintendo Boost...

Last I checked, Link is winning the match.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars 2
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:52:23 AM | Message Detail
I'm confident that Link will break 53%.

He won't be doing any such thing.

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“I think my burden has lightened… Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:52:39 AM | Message Detail
I found it doubtful he wont. This IS his strongest time against Link in the past.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:53:09 AM | Message Detail
does Mario have a legit 50/50-or-better shot at Sephiroth tomorrow?

If Cloud ends up winning...probably not.
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: Quaarma Hunter | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:53:36 AM | Message Detail
If Cloud gives Link hell like this all day, I think Mario may have just had his last flitting hope against Sephiroth vanish before his eyes. ;_;
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*is Karma Hunter*
From: cavedog0 | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:54:29 AM | Message Detail
AC Jap release/hype > TP Hype/Nintendo Boost...

Last I checked, Link is winning the match.


Yes, but Link was winning by a higher percent last year without those factors. So I feel that AC has an higher effect on this match than the Nintendo Boost/TP hype, thats why Cloud is keeping it close...
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"Chief, I smell ass and it's coming from your direction." - FFMrebirth
Go, CLOUD, Go!
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:54:39 AM | Message Detail
I'd love to see Cloud vs. Mario II though, more than any of the other possibilities.
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: RevolverAk47 | Posted: 9/20/2005 12:54:52 AM | Message Detail
Cloud being this close to link, and mario not even getting 54 on crono I think means that ff7 has increased some and mario has no chance at sephiroth.
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