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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 258
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:41:23 AM | Message Detail
So in conclusion, Crono beating Mario makes everyone Mario beat look like crap. XD

lol, yes.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: RevolverAk47 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:42:48 AM | Message Detail
snake had 45.18 on maro at this time, thisll prob end with crono at 45-46
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From: transience | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:44:55 AM | Message Detail
I don't think MM/Link SFF is very controversial anymore after what happened to Yoshi. there are stranger outcomes than that that have happened this year, like Snake/Sora.

truth be told, we're going to have some nice and neat stats this year. Samus/Mario and MM/Yoshi are about the only matches with significant SFF, unless I'm forgetting someone.
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From: Magnet_Man | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:46:18 AM | Message Detail
RIP Crono

Ah well
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Nominate Jay Solano for SC2k6!
http://img268.exs.cx/img268/8379/brndle4xp4jq.gif
From: DaruniaTheGoron | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:46:26 AM | Message Detail
Looks like my bracket just went down the drain, as if it wasn't bad enough. Oh well. Go Mario!
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The only thing O.J. is guilty of is mercilessly slashing through all defenders to score touchdowns. - ImNotYou
Proud member of the Hylian Knights--115/146 in the 2k5 SC -- XBL GT: Vance Mendoza
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:46:47 AM | Message Detail
Snake is gonna be looking hot after this.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: transience | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:47:00 AM | Message Detail
okay, I'm off to bed. Sonic or Snake, who wins? I say Sonic.
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From: Dranze | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:47:03 AM | Message Detail
I Wonder if I'll be on the leaderboard, assuming Mario wins.
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MARIOWNED
From: transience | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:47:24 AM | Message Detail
and damn, Mario is laying the smack down. this could get ugly.
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From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:47:33 AM | Message Detail
Mario is over 100, bay-bee!!! If Crono comes back, I'll be a shocked man. Now, of course, it's not over...yet. It will be soon if Crono can't do anything with this vote though. If he can't do anything to stop Mario again soon, Mario's bringing this one home.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: RevolverAk47 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:47:43 AM | Message Detail
sonic > snake, megaman got 57+ on snake last year
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From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:48:30 AM | Message Detail
Sonic or Snake, who wins?

My bracket would probably say Sonic, but everyone here would know who I'll vote for. =)

Regardless, I think Snake/Sonic would be a surprisingly great match.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:49:58 AM | Message Detail
As we've seen this year, previous stats can mean precious little in the grand scheme of things.

I'd take Sonic over Snake, as if you take Snake over Sonic you HAVE to take him over Mega Man...and I don't think Snake's up to the task yet. Give MM another drop and Snake another good game and I can see it happening easily, though...

But, hey, we'll see what Mario tells us. Go, Mario! Prove me wrong!
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:50:17 AM | Message Detail
This one's getting ugly.
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6
From: Dranze | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:51:21 AM | Message Detail
I'm going to bed, hopefully Mario will still be in the lead..
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MARIOWNED
From: transience | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:53:08 AM | Message Detail
Snake's 2k3 number is practically identical to Sonic's 2k4 number, and Snake's been looking like he's been at his 2k3 level all tournament. I wouldn't trust Snake's 2k4 number for crap.

now I'm really going to bed.
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From: Magnet_Man | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:56:15 AM | Message Detail
Go Crono!
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Nominate Jay Solano for SC2k6!
http://img268.exs.cx/img268/8379/brndle4xp4jq.gif
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:56:59 AM | Message Detail
Crono fights to make this more respectable, but I think I would be better off getting some sleep than waiting to see if he over-takes the lead or not. G-nite.

FACT or FICTION: Crono will take the lead at some point before the end of the match.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:00:09 AM | Message Detail
Fiction. G'night y'all.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:01:27 AM | Message Detail
I'll go with fiction as well. See ya in six hours, ma peeps.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: Mega Mana | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:02:03 AM | Message Detail
FACT

BTW, how many CS&D's do you think there will have been by the end of the match for this match, including this one? My guess is 7.
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=P-L= "It's not a secret board, it's an isolationist colony." - SilverbananaX
Ifnkovhgroghprm for SC2k6; Happy Birthday Kuge
From: Lopen | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:03:09 AM | Message Detail
Well I'd strongly consider Snake over Sonic or Mega Man next year as a fun upset pick. I'd definitely pick him if MGS4 would be out in time. (I don't think it would be, though...)

And yeah, it's fiction. Crono should have been showing signs of life by now if he was going to.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather."
- Slow Beef
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:04:07 AM | Message Detail
Well, if Mario makes things really boring, we might reach Part 260, and I'm guessing most of the posts that get us there will be about the X-Stats.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:05:24 AM | Message Detail
He's making this boring already. Unless the voting trends are going completely out the window here, he should win by a good 54-55%.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Mega Mana | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:14:12 AM | Message Detail
Mario vs. Crono I, Ulti's SC2K5 Write-ups:

Not that this stopped people from rooting against Mario, of course. Cloud was absolutely beloved by this board back in 2002, and the board did not take his loss well. As futile an effort as it may have seemed, Crono got a hefty chunk of support from the Cloud faithful during this match. Unfortunately, it didn't help nearly as much as expected. When hte poll first opened, despite any and all effort for Crono to put up a fight, Mario simply proved to be too much. He survived the early struggle from Crono, and eventually weathered the storm before stretching out a lead of a few hundred votes. Crono fans tried all they could to keep him in the match, but as the morning and afternoon voting blocks rolled in, Mario was easily able to keep Crono down en route to building a lead of just over 1000 votes. Crono kept trying to fight back, but Mario constantly proved to be too much for him and kept any and all would-be comeback attempts at bay.

But if Ulti's already writing this match off...
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=P-L= "It's not a secret board, it's an isolationist colony." - SilverbananaX
Ifnkovhgroghprm for SC2k6; Happy Birthday Kuge
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:20:53 AM | Message Detail
Big, big update for Crono right there. He's trying to keep it interesting.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Mithrandir1331 | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:21:15 AM | Message Detail
30 vote gain by Crono? Yeah, this isn't over.
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Carpe Diem
In the darkest depths of Mordor, I met a girl so fair...
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:22:13 AM | Message Detail
Nah. Just a suck update from Mario. If Crono doesn't falter he could might gain a lead.
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Go ahead ********! Fire away! I've got a big turkey dinner here that says you don't have enough bullets to take down my hungry ***! ~ MG2 Run
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:26:05 AM | Message Detail
AND, just like that, he gets hammered. Wow.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Mithrandir1331 | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:27:35 AM | Message Detail
Crono stays constant, Mario swings from 70 to 123. OMG Vote Stuffing!

Yes, I'm kidding.
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Carpe Diem
In the darkest depths of Mordor, I met a girl so fair...
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:29:53 AM | Message Detail
I'll turn in after this next update. I work late tomorrow, but I might as well sleep sometime tonight. Man cannot live on No Doze & Powerade alone.

Well... I can, but it's prolly wholly unhealthy. v_v
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Go ahead ********! Fire away! I've got a big turkey dinner here that says you don't have enough bullets to take down my hungry ***! ~ MG2 Run
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:38:31 AM | Message Detail
This makes things mighty interesting.
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I once made a sig bet with TRE that Ganon wasn't actually over 31 on BL. The jury's still out on the pigman, but props to TRE 'cause I'm a believer again.
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:42:43 AM | Message Detail
Okay, I lied. Three more updates before bed.

Anywho, neither is drawing worth a damn right now. If anything, Crono should have serious started making up lost ground (and then some) quite a while ago.
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Go ahead ********! Fire away! I've got a big turkey dinner here that says you don't have enough bullets to take down my hungry ***! ~ MG2 Run
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:43:23 AM | Message Detail
*seriously, darn it all
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Go ahead ********! Fire away! I've got a big turkey dinner here that says you don't have enough bullets to take down my hungry ***! ~ MG2 Run
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:45:24 AM | Message Detail
There's not exactly a lot of ground between the two... and it's not like they will be sepperated by a vast ocean of votes, Crono isn't spectacular at night and doesn't fall apart in the day. this could be a classic in the making, who knows.
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I once made a sig bet with TRE that Ganon wasn't actually over 31 on BL. The jury's still out on the pigman, but props to TRE 'cause I'm a believer again.
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:46:05 AM | Message Detail
Holy ****, yo.

Did you see that? :P

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:47:55 AM | Message Detail
Crono is relatively better at night than he is in the day, looking back on his past matches. Nothing too extreme, he's like MM in his consistency. However, Mario is an absolute BEAST when it comes to the morning vote, and he'll be solid all throughout the day. Looking at that, and at past MvCs, I just don't see this shaping up to be much of anything unless we have a 2002 redux on our hands...and even then, that was only interesting due to mass cheating.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Link The Hylian | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:48:19 AM | Message Detail
I'm starting to think theres some serious vote stuffing here. These updates are jumping around all over the place.

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"The PS2 had 12,000,000 pre orders. To give you an idea of how many people that is that's over half of the world population." - DifferentialEquation
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:51:53 AM | Message Detail
It's Mario versus Crono, of course things aren't going to be completely legit. However, I think like MvC III, it's going to be well indisputable who the victor is by the end of the poll.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:51:58 AM | Message Detail
Neither is doing particularly exceptional right now. So one when *does* have a decent update or the other slips it makes a bif impact.

Just like now. Mario only had 97 votes, but Crono did even worse with 72. So the lead extends.
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Go ahead ********! Fire away! I've got a big turkey dinner here that says you don't have enough bullets to take down my hungry ***! ~ MG2 Run
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:52:40 AM | Message Detail
*big

Jeez Louise...
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Go ahead ********! Fire away! I've got a big turkey dinner here that says you don't have enough bullets to take down my hungry ***! ~ MG2 Run
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/19/2005 1:54:41 AM | Message Detail
Last year Crono had around 500 votes right now, maybe last year was a fluke and Mario VS Crono will always be close.
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/19/2005 2:03:13 AM | Message Detail
Vincent: 44.62
Squall: 44.09


So Vincent might get higher than Solid Snake?

I wish I wouldn't have started to hate Vincent, because last year I would take Vincent over Solid Snake as my special upset just like I had Frog>Solid Snake last year.

Grrr.

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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 9/19/2005 2:06:05 AM | Message Detail
Maybe Mario will end with 53.24%

Oh sweet irony.
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Uh oh, they started moving their legs back and forth while standing in place. You're about to fight aren't you? - My friend watching me play FFT
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/19/2005 2:12:01 AM | Message Detail
Yay Crono just gained 3 votes, which means that Mario will have at least 200 more votes than Crono after the next update.
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: Link The Hylian | Posted: 9/19/2005 2:16:42 AM | Message Detail
More like exactly 200 more votes than Crono.

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"The PS2 had 12,000,000 pre orders. To give you an idea of how many people that is that's over half of the world population." - DifferentialEquation
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/19/2005 2:43:29 AM | Message Detail
Heh...wow. Okay, now assuming Mario ends at 54% (and IMO that is his absolute ceiling at this point, I'd be surprised to see him get past 53% at the end of this) and using a constant Squall, exactly how much did AC help out Vincent? Something to definitely keep in mind for tomorrow's match, as FFVII is still kicking ass on the top FAQs list right now.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/19/2005 2:51:28 AM | Message Detail
In this update, Mario did't gain anything. I predict that Mario's lead in the next update will be 280 votes.
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/19/2005 2:56:08 AM | Message Detail
Yay comeback
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When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/19/2005 2:56:12 AM | Message Detail
Nope, Crono made a nice gain.

Though it's to be expected. Snake was actually slicing not only percentage, but a good amount of votes at this point. Mario should bite back in a half hour or so.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
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