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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 258
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:10:17 AM | Message Detail
Crono gains.

Oh snap.

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2nd Place, Spring Contest 2005
World Champion: Gyruss, Mega Man X, Solstice, Super Mario World, Zombies Ate My Neighbors
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:10:20 AM | Message Detail
I have Mario > Crono > Samus, bwahahaha!
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"It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti!" ~ Lenneth Valkyrie
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:10:41 AM | Message Detail
Crono with the nice gain. No worries here; it was expected.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:10:45 AM | Message Detail
Mario 52.36% 565
Crono 47.64% 514
TOTAL VOTES 1079

Crono knocks votes off of the lead!! Keep it up, keep it up.

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“I think my burden has lightened… Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:11:17 AM | Message Detail
dun Dun DUN
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: Kaxon | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:11:47 AM | Message Detail
Come on Crono, do that again!

*plays Chrono Trigger battle music*
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SpC2K5 First Vote Champion
Nominate Jay Solano from Operation Shadow for SC2k6
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:12:14 AM | Message Detail
Remember, with this being Sunday night and all, a larger proportion of Mario supporters are asleep. Crono will look good during these night hours, but the morning and after school votes will absolutely waste him.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:12:27 AM | Message Detail
Crono had a 91 vote lead on Mega Man at this point.
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"It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti!" ~ Lenneth Valkyrie
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:12:37 AM | Message Detail
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/MarioR6_Vote1.PNG

=D

Score-Brackets-% Right
137----5--------100.0000000
136----3--------100.0000000
135----5--------60.0000000
134----12-------75.0000000
133----30-------86.6666667
132----33-------90.9090909
131----45-------80.0000000
130----77-------85.7142857
129----64-------76.5625000
128----80-------77.5000000
127----97-------77.3195876
126----115------74.7826087
125----148------75.0000000
124----142------77.4647887
123----156------80.1282051
122----161------81.3664596
121----187------75.9358289
120----221------71.0407240
119----182------78.0219780
118----204------75.0000000
117----182------68.1318681
116----203------68.9655172
115----224------65.6250000
114----253------64.4268775
113----267------63.2958801
112----259------61.0038610
111----263------62.7376426
110----287------53.3101045
109----366------63.1147541
108----369------56.0975610
107----393------55.9796438
106----372------52.1505376
105----368------51.6304348
104----394------49.2385787
103----421------43.2304038
102----405------39.5061728
101----462------42.2077922
100----438------41.0958904
99-----438------41.0958904
98-----454------33.9207048
97-----458------36.4628821
96-----417------33.8129496
95-----454------31.2775330
94-----474------27.8481013
93-----455------27.2527473
92-----422------28.4360190
91-----405------25.1851852
90-----463------26.3498920
89-----435------21.8390805
88-----457------22.7571116
87-----432------20.1388889
86-----443------20.0902935
85-----428------25.7009346
84-----457------20.1312910
83-----435------21.1494253
82-----450------18.4444444
81-----433------21.2471132
80-----416------16.1057692
79-----448------16.7410714
78-----446------16.3677130
77-----410------14.6341463
76-----407------17.1990172
75-----438------15.9817352
74-----454------14.0969163
73-----387------15.7622739
72-----413------14.2857143
71-----434------12.6728111
70-----393------13.2315522
69-----406------12.0689655
68-----377------14.3236074
67-----377------9.8143236
66-----387------10.0775194
65-----388------10.8247423
64-----371------9.1644205
63-----407------10.0737101
62-----402------10.4477612
61-----375------7.4666667
60-----358------6.9832402
59-----413------5.5690073
58-----399------5.5137845
57-----400------5.2500000
56-----364------6.5934066
55-----382------7.0680628
54-----406------4.9261084
53-----366------5.1912568
52-----404------3.2178218
51-----391------3.8363171
50-----386------2.3316062
49-----338------2.3668639
48-----360------1.3888889
47-----345------2.0289855
46-----307------1.6286645
45-----268------2.2388060
44-----294------2.3809524
43-----282------3.1914894
42-----243------1.6460905
41-----239------1.6736402
40-----227------1.3215859
39-----226------1.3274336
38-----198------0.5050505
37-----198------1.0101010
36-----178------0.0000000
35-----166------1.2048193

Everybody with a score of 34 or less got the match wrong.

And the -6 goes down! The -7s and -8s manage to go perfect. The -9s and -10s don't do so well, but the prediction percentage jumps up at the -11s into the mid-80s. After that it slowly fades.

9 people fell off the Top 50 today. harderbr, minerdog66, Mild_Guy, RPGlord95, clodelrath, KingBroly, McClellandD, JalapenoPower and for some reason ChronoTrigger7 didn't have Crono advancing to the finals.

ToC starts tommorow, that should shake things up quite a bit.
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''If I were the rain that binds together the earth and sky, who in all eternity will never mingle, would I be able to bind the hearts of people together?''
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:12:56 AM | Message Detail
Crono's not going to get wasted during the day. Perhaps he'll lost quite a bit during the after school vote, but not during the day.

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“I think my burden has lightened… Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:13:13 AM | Message Detail
Perhaps. I'm wouldn't be looking to call it either way unless it gets especially dire for either side.
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Go ahead ********! Fire away! I've got a big turkey dinner here that says you don't have enough bullets to take down my hungry ***! ~ MG2 Run
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:14:03 AM | Message Detail
You the man, TRE. Great first vote.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:15:13 AM | Message Detail
Crono cuts the lead from 51 to 48.

Meh.

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2nd Place, Spring Contest 2005
World Champion: Gyruss, Mega Man X, Solstice, Super Mario World, Zombies Ate My Neighbors
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:15:48 AM | Message Detail
<3 TRE.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:16:20 AM | Message Detail
Crono knocks this down to 48.

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“I think my burden has lightened… Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: transience | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:16:30 AM | Message Detail
boy, this comeback is ever so slow. if Crono can't get a lead before morning, I can't see him doing so during the day vote, or at least the afterschool vote.
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.
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:17:25 AM | Message Detail
This poll is currently an amazing 500 votes behind Crono/Mega Man. It's clear that many voters are already asleep, and it's no secret who most of these people will vote for tomorrow. =P
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:17:58 AM | Message Detail
It looks like Crono will get the lead at some point, but I question how long he'll hold it if he gets it.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:18:39 AM | Message Detail
Crono won't fall apart during the day, I'll guarantee that one. But he'll definitely need to get something of a lead tonight.

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“I think my burden has lightened… Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:20:10 AM | Message Detail
Mario is a beast with the morning, and the only two hours that Mega Man won were 6:00 and 7:00. There's going to be carnage when I wake up. <3
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"It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti!" ~ Lenneth Valkyrie
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:20:38 AM | Message Detail
Damn. Mario increased his lead to 62.

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“I think my burden has lightened… Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:22:26 AM | Message Detail
I'm almost willing to call this match now and go to sleep. Crono can't even get a lead during his strongest part of the match.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars 2
From: Dranze | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:22:35 AM | Message Detail
For once, I actually got a contest winner right (Okay...Sephiroth, but that was a lock!) And it happens to be Mario. Isn't life great?
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MARIOWNED
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:25:33 AM | Message Detail
Damn, and here I was hoping Mario would continue to build a lead >_>
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The King of all Cosmos' route to summer victory:
Round 1: (0) Voters
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:25:46 AM | Message Detail
Crono brings it back down to 54.

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“I think my burden has lightened… Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:26:30 AM | Message Detail
At this point in the match, Crono had a 225 vote lead on Mega Man.
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"It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti!" ~ Lenneth Valkyrie
From: transience | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:26:32 AM | Message Detail
Crono's really hanging in there, you've gotta hand it to him. it looks like Mario > Crono > MM > Sonic > Snake this year.
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.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:27:14 AM | Message Detail
If Mario doesn't blow Crono out, then I want a down to the wire nailbiter, right to the finish.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:28:19 AM | Message Detail
Mario vs Crono 2k4
0:25- Crono- 55.38%
End- Crono- 53.24%

Mario vs Crono 2k5
0:25- Crono- 48.66%

Not a good sign for Crono.
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''If I were the rain that binds together the earth and sky, who in all eternity will never mingle, would I be able to bind the hearts of people together?''
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:29:02 AM | Message Detail
Crono's really hanging in there, you've gotta hand it to him.

To a degree, yes, but I think Crono had a lead on him right now in their other three encounters...so, if that's the case, Crono deserves little credit for this.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:29:47 AM | Message Detail
I'm almost willing to call this match now and go to sleep. Crono can't even get a lead during his strongest part of the match.

You're ready to call it? During Mario/Crono? >_>

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2nd Place, Spring Contest 2005
World Champion: Gyruss, Mega Man X, Solstice, Super Mario World, Zombies Ate My Neighbors
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:30:21 AM | Message Detail
When you consider that Mario has boosted, that there were a number of people just expecting Mario to take this with no trouble, and that everyone was knocking Crono for 'decreasing' he really does deserve some credit, regardless of previous performances.

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“I think my burden has lightened… Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:31:37 AM | Message Detail
Crono will deserve some credit only if he keeps it this close. He didn't have a single match against a decent opponent that was really any good.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:31:58 AM | Message Detail
But this is his best time, and he's not leading yet. He really desrves little, if any, credit.

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: transience | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:32:31 AM | Message Detail
I was rather impressed with his victory over MM myself.
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.
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:32:42 AM | Message Detail
As we witnessed yesterday (and many times prior), the first 90 minutes of a match are Crono's strongest. He has to do more than this, especially since I'd go so far as to say that this is actually a stronger night vote than the one he received last night.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: Toddnesssssssss | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:32:47 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man is higher up than Samus is.
From: Lopen | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:32:58 AM | Message Detail
Y'know, I'm not thinking Crono dropped anymore. Despite the freaky stuff it does to Master Chief and some others. He's holding pretty well here, and he did beat Mega Man.

Here's to Mario getting a huge boost during the day to 58%... for Snake! Heh...
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather."
- Slow Beef
From: andaca | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:33:37 AM | Message Detail
Crono will deserve some credit only if he keeps it this close. He didn't have a single match against a decent opponent that was really any good.

Yeah, beating Mega Man is easy.

And being the second strongest character in the main bracket? Cake.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:34:10 AM | Message Detail
He didn't have a single match against a decent opponent that was really any good.

His match against Mega Man wasn't against a 'decent' opponent? And it wasn't 'good'? That's ridiculous. Hell, there were people here who expected Crono to lose that one too. Really, he's been getting nailed with these rather absurd criticisms ever since his match against Master Chief. He WILL keep this close, even if he doesn't win.

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“I think my burden has lightened… Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:35:03 AM | Message Detail
Bah, I phrased that poorly. He didn't have a single match against a decent opponent in an impressive fashion.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:35:14 AM | Message Detail
Lead goes from 55 to 77.

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2nd Place, Spring Contest 2005
World Champion: Gyruss, Mega Man X, Solstice, Super Mario World, Zombies Ate My Neighbors
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:35:33 AM | Message Detail
Excellent gain for Mario. ;)

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: transience | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:35:43 AM | Message Detail
this is not the same Mario as the last three years - this is Mario on shrooms. this is Super ****ing Mario. if Crono can hang tight with him, I'll call it impressive even if it's his worst defeat yet against him.
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.
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:37:24 AM | Message Detail
Beating Megaman isn't easy, and he didn't make it look such.

He couldn't technically impress against Zidane (new), he did okay against Vercetti, he did awful against MC, he certainly didn't do well against Vincent, and he beat Megaman, who almost tied Sonic.
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: transience | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:39:35 AM | Message Detail
Crono did what was expected of him vs. TV, and if you believe MM's adjusted number then he did what was expected vs. him as well. if you consider that old Square has shown signs of decline and Nintendo has shown signs of increasing, I'd call his victory over MM very impressive.
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.
From: Fossil | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:40:12 AM | Message Detail
He couldn't technically impress against Zidane (new), he did okay against Vercetti, he did awful against MC, he certainly didn't do well against Vincent, and he beat Megaman, who almost tied Sonic.

So in conclusion, Crono beating Mario makes everyone Mario beat look like crap. XD
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Milla Hunt - 30,000 Tollaws Slay'n | 25 PD's
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:40:17 AM | Message Detail
Man. If Crono can't even get the lead in the first night vote, I shudder to think the beating he'll end up taking by the end.
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Uh oh, they started moving their legs back and forth while standing in place. You're about to fight aren't you? - My friend watching me play FFT
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:40:18 AM | Message Detail
Elite Eight, 2k4, against Link - Crono got 37.18% (and not before beating Mario first)
Final Four, 2k4, against Link - Mega Man got 32.39%

Yes, yes, SFF and all, though that's still controversial...but Crono beating Mega Man, while impressive due to his caliber, was still expected.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 9/19/2005 12:40:31 AM | Message Detail
It's over, yo. :)

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
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