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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 257
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/17/2005 11:23:59 PM | Message Detail
Three match pics for Mario/Snake, seven for Crono/Mega. And Ceej once again tries his best to pretend that X doesn't exist, despite telling us that all forms are essentially the same. So we have all Mega forms conjoined for purposes of the contest, yet only one form makes it into the match pics.

Makes sense.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Summer 2002 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/1

Summer 2003 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/2

Spring 2004 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/3

Summer 2004 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/4

Summer 2005 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/5

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Summer 2002 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/13

Summer 2003 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/14

Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/15

SFF Adjusted Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/16

Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/17

SFF Adjusted Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/18

Spring 2005 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/27

All Time Extrapolated Standings:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/alltimexsts.htm



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, save for three from 2002:
http://www.sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*


Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

MMXcalibur's Contest Sites:
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

Poll Vote Total Updater:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/25

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251



!yawA tsoP
From: Cybat | Posted: 9/17/2005 11:43:18 PM | Message Detail
hi ulti
---
I like long walks. Especially when they're taken by people who annoy me.
From: The Doppleganger | Posted: 9/17/2005 11:43:53 PM | Message Detail
7 pictures devoted to this battle = greatness
---
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
"Masa, everytime I talk to you, my urge for hot pockets rises. Damn you" - Linky.
From: MaggotOfEvil | Posted: 9/17/2005 11:44:26 PM | Message Detail
*Posts before the topic gets 10 posts*
---
makeyourchance: Of course, you could also say, "LOOK AT ME I'M A FLYING ANUS", but that's beside the point.
From: Heroic Dr Wily | Posted: 9/17/2005 11:45:55 PM | Message Detail
And Ceej once again tries his best to pretend that X doesn't exist,

He's like Capcom, because MMX has never had any reps in a crossover besides a Pocket Fighter cameo and 2 cards.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:06:47 AM | Message Detail
And as I say that, Crono gains a nice spike in the votes in that last update...

---
~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: DaruniaTheGoron | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:07:00 AM | Message Detail
Go Crono!
---
The only thing O.J. is guilty of is mercilessly slashing through all defenders to score touchdowns. - ImNotYou
Proud member of the Hylian Knights--115/146 in the 2k5 SC -- XBL GT: Vance Mendoza
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:07:42 AM | Message Detail
Upon examination of the last match, Mario handed Snake his worst percentage loss ever...by .03%. ;_;

*kicks poll*
---
For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Rhezel_Reiji | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:08:28 AM | Message Detail
crono has been always increasing his lead consistently (40+ votes each time) except for the unexplicably 3 updates that MM won
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:09:25 AM | Message Detail
They're not inexplicable. MM's VPU have stayed more or less constant, while Crono's are all over the place.

---
~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:09:46 AM | Message Detail
crono has been always increasing his lead consistently (40+ votes each time) except for the unexplicably 3 updates that MM won

lol blinders

Crono's last gains were from his own huge surges. MM has stayed constant.
---
For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: DaruniaTheGoron | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:10:54 AM | Message Detail
Huge MM gain there.

Interesting point, the votals are huge for this match. It took Sonic/Mega Man another hour before it got to 9000.
---
The only thing O.J. is guilty of is mercilessly slashing through all defenders to score touchdowns. - ImNotYou
Proud member of the Hylian Knights--115/146 in the 2k5 SC -- XBL GT: Vance Mendoza
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:11:07 AM | Message Detail
And look at that! Crono goes back down to his "normal" VPU, and MM takes another gain.

---
~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:11:45 AM | Message Detail
MM's VPU range has been about 30, while Crono's has been 60.

---
~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:12:28 AM | Message Detail
You can make that 20 for MM if you take out one bad update.

---
~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: RevolverAk47 | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:13:10 AM | Message Detail
lot of vote stuffing going on
---
- - -
From: DaruniaTheGoron | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:15:20 AM | Message Detail
This happened with Snake/Mario too though. Mario made some huge gains then Snake would chop off a couple and even 30 one time.
---
The only thing O.J. is guilty of is mercilessly slashing through all defenders to score touchdowns. - ImNotYou
Proud member of the Hylian Knights--115/146 in the 2k5 SC -- XBL GT: Vance Mendoza
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:16:02 AM | Message Detail
That was more regular... finally.

---
~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Rhezel_Reiji | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:16:20 AM | Message Detail
well,crono just gained 2 votes
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:17:19 AM | Message Detail
Can you point me to what time you're speaking of Darunia?

---
~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: SHINE GET 64 | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:17:45 AM | Message Detail
X is in one of the pictures. Mega Man takes up the majority of the picture, but above him is a close up of a face and it's X's face.
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The Revolution is at hand - http://nintendolove.ytmnd.com
From: ernest | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:17:46 AM | Message Detail
how come link/cloud hasn't been discussed to hell and back like magus/squall was?

the match ought to be the greatness considering the fact that FF7 fanboys have been swarming over gamefaqs more than usual
---
What a 42 carat plonker you really are~del boy only fools and horses
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:18:25 AM | Message Detail
Mario/Snake made more sense though. That was Mario's worst time, and Snake's best. It only makes sense that he'd score a few good updates in there. He scored a fair amount of updates at the end of the poll, too.
---
For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:19:21 AM | Message Detail
Nooooo, Solid Snake didn't get enough for Kirby>Samus. :(


---
When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: DaruniaTheGoron | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:20:22 AM | Message Detail
EC: Between 1 and 4 AM.
---
The only thing O.J. is guilty of is mercilessly slashing through all defenders to score touchdowns. - ImNotYou
Proud member of the Hylian Knights--115/146 in the 2k5 SC -- XBL GT: Vance Mendoza
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:20:40 AM | Message Detail
Normal update again.

And alright.

---
~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:21:06 AM | Message Detail
I thought Snake only needed 42.41% for Kirby > Samus. He made that, didn't he?
---
For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Rhezel_Reiji | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:21:22 AM | Message Detail
crono wins 5 or so votes.hes starting to lose percent now
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:23:10 AM | Message Detail
I thought Snake only needed 42.41% for Kirby > Samus. He made that, didn't he?

I'm not good with the xstats, but I thought it was 42.81, and Solid Snake got 42.79. But I hope you are right.
---
When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:23:39 AM | Message Detail
Mario had pretty regular updates... his range was about 20 or so, but when they took a big loss, they stayed low, but it's to be expected as it's kinda the dead zone of gamefaqs.

Snakes votes were more irregular, but his range was about 30 during the entire time too.

---
~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:25:24 AM | Message Detail
Nah, 42.81 was the magic number for Mario to give Snake his worst percentage loss ever (I was wrong, he only beat MM's percentage by .02%). Kirby should be above Samus in the unadjusteds with this.
---
For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Rhezel_Reiji | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:26:01 AM | Message Detail
crono loses some votes again
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:27:42 AM | Message Detail
It was 42.41% Well done Snake!

Things are looking good for Megaman. Crono can't get a 1000 lead before Megaman's worst hours are over. Go the blue bomber.

I just realized something funny: If Mario can SFF Megaman as bad as he did to Samus, then the Xstats will say Mario, Solid Snake and Bowser> Samus, Megaman, Crono and Sonic.

XD
---
When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: DaruniaTheGoron | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:28:53 AM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:30:23 AM | Message Detail
These aren't Mega Man's worst hours...if anything, they're his best. We're coming up on his worst hours, though: the early morning vote.

From there, it's just how much his day vote outclasses Crono's, if at all. If he can't make any headway with that, he's pretty much finished.
---
For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: DaruniaTheGoron | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:30:36 AM | Message Detail
It's starting to level off.
---
The only thing O.J. is guilty of is mercilessly slashing through all defenders to score touchdowns. - ImNotYou
Proud member of the Hylian Knights--115/146 in the 2k5 SC -- XBL GT: Vance Mendoza
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:31:24 AM | Message Detail
700 vote barrier holding strong, I see.
---
For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:35:32 AM | Message Detail
This is strength vs strength. Both characters are good with the night vote, but Crono is obviously better. This means that for Mega to win, he'll have to rely on the day vote to give him a lead that is too big for Crono's second night vote to cancel out. Given that Crono is horrid in the day and MM is simply average, it's possible. Especially on a weekend, where just about anything can happen.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars
From: Rhezel_Reiji | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:36:29 AM | Message Detail
lead increased again by over 10 votes
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:37:39 AM | Message Detail
Well I'm be heading to bed... I have ****ing tennis in 4 hours. >_>

---
~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Rhezel_Reiji | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:41:48 AM | Message Detail
looks like the lead will keep increasing
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:42:00 AM | Message Detail
The more Crono stretches this lead, the harder it will be for Mega to win this thing, because Mega has to both come back and hold off the insane CT night vote later.

Though I want Crono to win. Mario vs Crono 4, baby! And this time, Mario is looking stronger than he ever has.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:43:29 AM | Message Detail
Hmm...depending on how this match goes, we could potentially see Crono, Mega Man, and Sonic all within a percent of each other. Then, suppose if Crono goes to the finals and does much better on Mario than seems possible...

...WDF redux, anyone? <_<
---
For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: SythaWarrior | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:45:05 AM | Message Detail
Hmm... I think the Morning vote will decide the match...

Both of these guys are Night Voters...
---
Whatever...
From: Rhezel_Reiji | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:45:54 AM | Message Detail
whoa.lead stayed the same.744
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:46:31 AM | Message Detail
Or what if Megaman gets to the final than gets SFF'D and does worse than Solid Snake o_0
---
When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:49:44 AM | Message Detail
That would be a nice situation, to be honest, if only to see the glory of Solid Snake at #2 in the unadjusted X-Stats. The sweetest thing of all, though, would be for Crono to get there and Mario to SMASH him with, say...oh, 57.22+%. <_<
---
For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Rhezel_Reiji | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:51:02 AM | Message Detail
that wont happen.mario got less than that on snake.mario is on the same level of crono this year.he isnt the favorite anymore
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:51:50 AM | Message Detail
...not exactly sharp enough to spot what I was doing there, huh?
---
For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: SythaWarrior | Posted: 9/18/2005 2:52:02 AM | Message Detail
Mario wouldn't beat Crono with More than 53%...

Samus only got beat that bad due to SFF.
---
Whatever...
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