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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 256
From: creativename | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:44:18 PM | Message Detail
Don't know if anyone has mentioned this yet, but I think there's a chance Snake will go down next year, due to being old in MGS4. Older characters probably don't have as much appeal to the video gaming demographic.
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From: RoyalXBlood | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:45:32 PM | Message Detail
If anything, Snake will get even stronger with MGS4. Because he has an older look doesnt mean anything.
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Guitar players to the MACKS!!! Metallica is my MASTER-MASTER!!!
RIP-Cliff Burton "We are just the toys of the hands of another."
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:45:48 PM | Message Detail
MGS4 won't even be out by then.
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: RoyalXBlood | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:46:59 PM | Message Detail
I meant when MGS4 comes out for that following contest.
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Guitar players to the MACKS!!! Metallica is my MASTER-MASTER!!!
RIP-Cliff Burton "We are just the toys of the hands of another."
From: sidharta | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:47:29 PM | Message Detail
Yeah, BL was resolved through a constant Mario, and I never bought that Mario wasn't SFF'd by Link, just like I never bought that Samus wasn't SFF'd by Link.

I don't think so, Mario has 2 different values in 2k2 and 2k3.

I think they used the LSE and figured out that Link had stayed "relatively constant" between 2k2 and 2k3.

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Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:47:33 PM | Message Detail
Well, I wouldn't think he would go DOWN from a new game...but I don't think it will give him quite as much of a boost as he would otherwise. If I'm worried about anything, it's Ceej using those MGS4 pictures in future matches, which could potentially hurt him. = /

The problem that Snake stands upon is that Kojima keeps trying to kill him and/or replace him, and has basically only been stopped because the fans would loathe him for it. If he does that, Snake will inevitably fall from grace without any new games to buoy him.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: creativename | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:48:22 PM | Message Detail
MGS4 won't even be out by then.

Ah, I wasn't aware of this. Thanks for the correction.
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www.SC2K5.com
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From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:49:50 PM | Message Detail
I can see Old Snake screwing Snake over. We've seen that Young Ocelot is most likely stronger than Old Ocelot. Of course that might just be because of MGS3... But still an old look won't help Snake any.
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:49:52 PM | Message Detail
And I think as long as Kojima remains true to the character of Solid Snake, he'll be fine. Heck, that might not even end up being what he looks like. Kojima has pulled stranger tricks before.
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: kungfu chicken | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:50:03 PM | Message Detail
is it 100 percent confirmed the dude in those screen shots isnt big boss? the eye patch makes me wonder.
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current goty:Advance wars duel strike
possible goty contenders: castlevania dos, we love katamari, mario kart ds
From: shadow8021 | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:50:12 PM | Message Detail
Just wait til the next-gen Sonic game, then Sonic's only non-Clinkeroth challenge will be Mario.
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SC2K5 Score: 109/128
Today's Pick: Mario
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:50:53 PM | Message Detail
But people don't dislike Revolver Ocelot because he's old. He just didn't have nearly as much prominence in the first two games as he did in Snake Eater. He was there all the time and he was visibly active.
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:51:52 PM | Message Detail
The person in the screenshots is *not* Big Boss. The 'eyepatch' is on the wrong side, the person can actually *see* through his 'eyepatch', and the trailer with Otacon pretty much removes all doubt. It's in all probability going to be Solid Snake.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: kirbyjump | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:52:03 PM | Message Detail
Unless I'm mistaken, Mario has looked stronger in this contest than Crono, no?
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"It's not the great who are strong, it's the strong who are great." - Albel Nox, Star Ocean: Till the End of Time
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:55:51 PM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: shadow8021 | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:55:56 PM | Message Detail
58% on Snake >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> 55% on Vincent
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SC2K5 Score: 109/128
Today's Pick: Mario
From: sidharta | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:57:05 PM | Message Detail
Unless I'm mistaken, Mario has looked stronger in this contest than Crono, no?

Definitely, people has been wondering if Crono can even beat MM, let alone beating Mario.

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Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.
From: kirbyjump | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:58:36 PM | Message Detail
Sure about that? What's Vincent's exact strength? All you can take into consideration is the Vincent/Dante match w/ Dante holding the DMC3 boost.
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"It's not the great who are strong, it's the strong who are great." - Albel Nox, Star Ocean: Till the End of Time
From: Dranze | Posted: 9/17/2005 5:58:47 PM | Message Detail
If Mario wins this contest, what will our chances be of a Mario Vs Sonic anymore?
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MARIOWNED
From: Dranze | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:00:14 PM | Message Detail
Sure about that? What's Vincent's exact strength? All you can take into consideration is the Vincent/Dante match w/ Dante holding the DMC3 boost.

I can pretty much say Solid Snake would get more than 54% on Dante and not = Squall.

And do better on Knuckles, too. Which he already did..
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MARIOWNED
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:00:20 PM | Message Detail
Sure about that? What's Vincent's exact strength? All you can take into consideration is the Vincent/Dante match w/ Dante holding the DMC3 boost.

You've got to be kidding. Vincent nearly lost to *Squall*.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:01:11 PM | Message Detail
using adjusted Mega Man, and when this is done (Snake should finish with around 43%) Mario is doing what it expected, but that is if Snake 2k4 = Snake 2k5.
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17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: kirbyjump | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:01:48 PM | Message Detail
And? I reckon Squall had some rSFF in that match.
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"It's not the great who are strong, it's the strong who are great." - Albel Nox, Star Ocean: Till the End of Time
From: Dranze | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:02:23 PM | Message Detail
Not enough to make Squall any threat to Snake whatsoever.
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MARIOWNED
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:02:50 PM | Message Detail
And? I reckon Squall had some rSFF in that match.

...because of course, FF8 is obviously able to rSFF FF7. Which is why Squall was able to do it so well against Cloud--oh wait.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Mac Arrowny | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:03:20 PM | Message Detail
And? I reckon Squall had some rSFF in that match.

Numerical SFF, because 8>7?
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
From: kirbyjump | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:04:05 PM | Message Detail
Oh yeah, I'm loving your sarcastic demeanor, it livens the conversation up so much. Think about it. Main character from FF8 vs. optional character from FF7, i think Squall would take any SFF.
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"It's not the great who are strong, it's the strong who are great." - Albel Nox, Star Ocean: Till the End of Time
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:04:46 PM | Message Detail
Oh yeah, I'm loving your sarcastic demeanor, it livens the conversation up so much. Think about it. Main character from FF8 vs. optional character from FF7, i think Squall would take any SFF.

LOL, no.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: kirbyjump | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:07:42 PM | Message Detail
Well I do think so, and I'm just speculating anyway. I don't think the Vincent match proves anything, now as far as the Crono/MC match, I think that might prove that Crono may be weaker than Mario this year.
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"It's not the great who are strong, it's the strong who are great." - Albel Nox, Star Ocean: Till the End of Time
From: sidharta | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:07:42 PM | Message Detail
Sure about that? What's Vincent's exact strength? All you can take into consideration is the Vincent/Dante match w/ Dante holding the DMC3 boost.

Vincent had AC backing him up against Crono, something he didn't have against Squall, so Crono's choke job against Vincent is excusable.

What's inexcusable is his choke job against MC, who barely edged out DK, as that would put him around 35% on BL, which is waaay below any of Mario's past values.

Now I do NOT think Crono had dropped THAT much, but he would certainly be the heavy underdog should he ever get to Mario.

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Reserved for the winner of the SC2K5 Guru Challenge.
From: Lopen | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:13:28 PM | Message Detail
I actually think that if there was any noticeable "SFF" to be had in that match it would slightly favor Squall, too.

And I'm hugely doubting that the old dude is Solid Snake. I know we're supposed to be thinking that... but... maybe it's uh... a clone... or uh... Liquid Snake or something. Who knows? Maybe those are scenes from Snake having a dream sequence or something.

I just think that ol Kojima's just having some fun with his fans.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather."
- Slow Beef
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:16:54 PM | Message Detail
Ah, Kirby = Samus now. Good job, Snake.
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: Lopen | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:18:40 PM | Message Detail
Magnificent. Now if only we could somehow get Ryu and Tidus > Samus... heheh. I think Snake would need like 49% for that... a pity.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather."
- Slow Beef
From: Dranze | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:20:47 PM | Message Detail
Again, using my math, I got 42.49%..but heh. Whatever works.
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MARIOWNED
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:25:48 PM | Message Detail
Man, Snake almost won an update.
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:26:38 PM | Message Detail
That's the ticket, Snake! Just do a little better, and you can win an update FOR NO REASON WHATSOEVER!
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:26:55 PM | Message Detail
It's not farfetched....but it still isn't likely.

I have no idea why one wouldn't consider it likely, as Crono dropping that much is utterly ridiculous to assume.

It's not as if Vincent performed outside the margins of reason. Crono/Squall was predicted by last years stats to go 60-40, correct?

Yes, but holding Squall constant makes Crono drop very near to Sonic's 2004 level. I'm really sorry if I don't believe him taking a fall like that, putting him EASILY at his weakest in a contest. There's nothing you can even begin to blame for that either. Crono's been here since 2002 and has either increased or stayed around the same area. Now he just suddenly drops off?

Crono got about 61% on MASTER CHIEF, someone who nearly equaled Donkey Kong.

Donkey Kong has obviously benefitted from this Nintendo boost. He certainly wouldn't be one to avoid such a thing. Master Chief certainly did not plummet like you're trying to talk about.

Really, how much do you want the movie - a leaked japanese movie - (that many weren't going to even consider for much of a boost when it was released in English here) - to have done for Vincent?

I always believed that when he overperformed like he did, it was the movie doing such. Very few, if any, expected a performance like that from him. It's not farfetched or unlikely to believe that Advent Children was the cause of that. Especially considering that the movie is far more popular than just here at Board 8 or even GameFAQs. It's been huge all over the place and the vast majority are liking the movie, that's an even bigger key. By no means was this something that only hardcore fans of the game liked. I don't think Crono has remained completely constant from last year, but I also don't think he took such a drop that he would need to for his match against Vincent to fall in line with Squall being held constant and Vincent being just a smidge above that.

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“I think my burden has lightened... Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:28:36 PM | Message Detail
Don't know if anyone has mentioned this yet, but I think there's a chance Snake will go down next year, due to being old in MGS4.

Heh. His older look actually made my opinion rise of him, for whatever reason. I used to be rather indifferent to Snake, but now I actually kind of like him--not that I'm suddenly going to start saying he's something amazing or anything. But with MGS4, I couldn't imagine him going down.

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“I think my burden has lightened... Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: Brett with Atreyu | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:29:52 PM | Message Detail
It's Crono's match to win, but 61% on Master Chief is still horrible no matter how you look at it.

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Magus screwed my bracket over. Yay!
From: RoyalXBlood | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:29:57 PM | Message Detail
Go look on the MGS4 board, Alot of people like his new look. Why someone would think it would turn off fans is beyond me.
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Guitar players to the MACKS!!! Metallica is my MASTER-MASTER!!!
RIP-Cliff Burton "We are just the toys of the hands of another."
From: Lopen | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:31:23 PM | Message Detail
Now he just suddenly drops off?

I don't see what's wrong with this. Seems like Ryu did just that this year. Characters increase or decrease for little reason at all. They don't need a new game, they don't need a reason, they just do. Fluctuation in the voting pool, brother.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather."
- Slow Beef
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:31:37 PM | Message Detail
Well, 50.000001% on Master Chief is apparently worth 48% on Solid Snake, so...
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"Stay there for me, trapped in memories."
"I...I won't become a memory."
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:33:11 PM | Message Detail
Now he just suddenly drops off?

Why, hello there, Vyse!
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"It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti!" ~ Lenneth Valkyrie
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:35:14 PM | Message Detail
Why, hello there, Vyse!

I fail to see how you could compare Vyse, someone who is on the fodder line, to one of the strongest characters in this contest. For him of all people to take some arbitrary drop makes very little sense. One could at least provide some reasoning for Crono to take such a large drop--by assuming that Vincent is a little above a constant Squall.

I'm just glad that this isn't far away from being decided.

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“I think my burden has lightened... Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: RoyalXBlood | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:36:13 PM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: Lopen | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:36:39 PM | Message Detail
Okay. Explain Ryu then, HM. I like how you ignored him.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather."
- Slow Beef
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:37:04 PM | Message Detail
GameFAQs has profiles for a reason. If you want to know, check it.

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“I think my burden has lightened... Maybe I dragged it along so much that it wore down.” – Cloud Strife
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:38:55 PM | Message Detail
Huh. Here I thought that Vyse was the most consistent contestant ever and the reason that Tifa would beat Sonic, or, failing that, the reason that Sonic was on the level of Samus and would beat Mega Man. We've seen Magus and Frog do terribly, and it's been speculated that Crono would too after the first round. Unless DK is suddenly at 31% on BL, which we all know isn't the case, Crono has fallen. That should be very easy to see, and that's ignoring Crono's pathetic performance against Vincent altogether.
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"It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti!" ~ Lenneth Valkyrie
From: Brett with Atreyu | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:40:12 PM | Message Detail
Vsye didn't drop, he got SFFd for a being a fodder character vs. a well-known character that people care about.

Well known characters almost always kill fodder worse than expected.

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Magus screwed my bracket over. Yay!
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:41:24 PM | Message Detail
Then explain Vercetti.
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
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