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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 256
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:05:43 AM | Message Detail
Snake... won updates? Against Mario?!

I... I... I.... *passes out*



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Summer 2002 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/1

Summer 2003 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/2

Spring 2004 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/3

Summer 2004 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/4

Summer 2005 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/5

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Summer 2002 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/13

Summer 2003 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/14

Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/15

SFF Adjusted Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/16

Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/17

SFF Adjusted Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/18

Spring 2005 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/27

All Time Extrapolated Standings:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/alltimexsts.htm



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, save for three from 2002:
http://www.sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*


Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

MMXcalibur's Contest Sites:
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

Poll Vote Total Updater:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/25

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251



!yawA tsoP
From: Zylo the wolf | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:06:43 AM | Message Detail
Kirby>Samus!

I'm going to love this year's xstats.
---
When this happened, all of us got PWND by Smurf
http://www.freewebs.com/vgcg/Knuckles.jpg
From: TheGaspingWorm | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:07:13 AM | Message Detail
I look forward to watching the blood of the SC2k5 champion on Sephiroth's blade.
---
A perpetual bleeding; constant throes of agony dripping onto one's soul. How can one hope for escape?
From: Smurf87 | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:07:34 AM | Message Detail
Shadow 53%
Snake 47%
---
^ Smurf, The cream of Sonic fanboyism.
From: I_Dont_Love_You | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:08:05 AM | Message Detail
I can't wait to see Kirby > Half the Devil Devision, especially if Mega Man beats Crono and gets the **** SFF'd out of him.
---
George Romero > You.
From: ernest | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:08:58 AM | Message Detail
snake now has a moustache can you feel the power?
---
What a 42 carat plonker you really are~del boy only fools and horses
From: I_Dont_Love_You | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:09:49 AM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:09:57 AM | Message Detail
Kirby is already > half the Devil division. Magus, Geno, Terra, Kerrigan...

---
Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: I_Dont_Love_You | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:10:20 AM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: I_Dont_Love_You | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:10:53 AM | Message Detail
Common Sense: 99.77%
Smurf: 0.23%
---
George Romero > You.
From: Smurf87 | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:12:39 AM | Message Detail
Smurf 57.16%
Contest Stats 42.84%

¬_¬


---
^ Smurf, The cream of Sonic fanboyism.
From: ernest | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:14:16 AM | Message Detail
snake's moustache>big bosses eyepatch
---
What a 42 carat plonker you really are~del boy only fools and horses
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:17:19 AM | Message Detail
Darnit Crono, you cannot job to Mega Man or Mario! I need to make the top 50!

---
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 133/144 (Kefka, Magus (x3), Ocelot, Tidus)
From: Kyle Bowen | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:19:07 AM | Message Detail
Who said snake would get 45%.


I DID I DID!!


Ohh and I am so mad!

I am so close to being on the leaderboard!!!


I am one of the 8 people with 117 points.

there is one person with snake winning the tourny above me.

So at least one will get today wrong.

Maybe I will be next.

I have never been on the leaderboard before. ;_;


KB
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:20:52 AM | Message Detail
Yes, Snake did win updates. He did good against Mario. Mission accomplished.

Now, Snake...WILL YOU STOP SUCKING WITH THE DAY VOTE???
---
For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Mac Arrowny | Posted: 9/17/2005 6:25:52 AM | Message Detail
Well, at least Mario's chances of getting 55% on Sephiroth are increasing with his mighty day vote.
---
Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
From: XIII_rocks | Posted: 9/17/2005 8:11:43 AM | Message Detail
SBAKE WILL PULL OF AN ASTOUNDING COMEBACK AND WILL AVENGE SONIC IN THE FINALS BY DEFEATING MEGAMAN CAUSE SNAKE GOT A 10% BOOST FROM LAST YEAR OH YES OH YES!
---
boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738
Formerly known as Xic, the leader of the l33t pwnat00rz eliminat00rz.
From: Brett with Atreyu | Posted: 9/17/2005 8:12:33 AM | Message Detail
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=23540414

---
Magus screwed my bracket over. Yay!
From: SephirothG | Posted: 9/17/2005 8:23:23 AM | Message Detail
I'm #10! Aren't I cool?
---
"Let's mosey"
Summer Contest Score: 120/128, Predicted Winner: Crono
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 9/17/2005 8:36:25 AM | Message Detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
From: Dranze | Posted: 9/17/2005 8:37:08 AM | Message Detail
Well, Bowser was on a school day..
---
MARIOWNED
From: XxSoulxX | Posted: 9/17/2005 8:40:33 AM | Message Detail
I wasn't here during the morning, but how many Sonic fanboys started whining? It's funny because for the worst fanboys ever, I haven't seen anyone whine about yesterday's match...
---
End of an era! *Waiting for Xen's sig of choice*
*Waiting for Guru winner's sig*
From: Slowflake | Posted: 9/17/2005 8:43:59 AM | Message Detail
Snake currently has 42.66%... based on 2003 Snake, this puts Mario at 42.08% on BL, just below 2004 Samus. Mario needs to get up to 57.63% to get to Samus.
---
What online fan couldn't get behind Trevor Murdoch? I mean, finally, a wrestler with our physique! -Sean Carless
From: dragoontheguy | Posted: 9/17/2005 8:45:17 AM | Message Detail
Regardless of what happened against bowser, after seeing what snake did to zelda and sora I wouldn't be surprised in the slightest if this was his strongest year.
---
"The idiots on gamefaqs are easy to find because they always quote themselves" - dragoontheguy
From: XxSoulxX | Posted: 9/17/2005 8:47:59 AM | Message Detail
Blah, just when I post that some fool decides to make a topic. I hate when that happens!
---
Xenobi lost everything he owned in Katrina, works 60 hours a week, and still had time to own me!
*Waiting for Guru winner's sig*
From: Big Bob | Posted: 9/17/2005 8:49:45 AM | Message Detail
Yesterday was lose-lose for me. I had to see one of my favorite characters go down. Though in this case, I really wanted to see Sonic win.

My bracket said MegaMan, but my heart said Sonic. I would glady give up my points to see a Mario/Sonic final.

Eh, at least Crono/MegaMan should give us some excitement.
---
/OUT OF ORDER/
From: Smurf87 | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:02:27 AM | Message Detail
o_0

Wow, same time 500 posts.
What are the odds?
---
Tombolown'd-I couldn't HANDLE the Tombolo!
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:02:29 AM | Message Detail
I kinda screwed that up. Let's try this again, with the real 9:00 in this time.

Snake's Percentage by the Hour:

Time | vsMario | vsBowser
00:00 | VALUE | 57.69%
23:00 | VALUE | 54.13%
22:00 | VALUE | 52.59%
21:00 | VALUE | 49.44%
20:00 | VALUE | 48.43%
19:00 | VALUE | 49.98%
18:00 | VALUE | 48.55%
17:00 | VALUE | 48.96%
16:00 | VALUE | 47.48%
15:00 | VALUE | 48.48%
14:00 | VALUE | 48.14%
13:00 | VALUE | 48.88%
12:00 | VALUE | 50.61%
11:00 | VALUE | 52.44%
10:00 | VALUE | 52.68%
09:00 | 40.91% | 51.78%
08:00 | 40.25% | 50.87%
07:00 | 39.23% | 52.53%
06:00 | 40.33% | 50.99%
05:00 | 42.44% | 50.43%
04:00 | 47.22% | 52.95%
03:00 | 49.36% | 56.59%
02:00 | 45.82% | 55.98%
01:00 | 45.15% | 55.16%

VALUE means it hasn't happened yet, so it can't be computed. But by looking on there you can see that Bowser didn't even start his comeback for another four hours, and Snake is already giving up 60% of the vote. This is going to get worse for him before it gets better (in the last three hours).
---
"It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti!" ~ Lenneth Valkyrie
From: T4libKw4li | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:04:11 AM | Message Detail
Mario > Bowser by only 8% =/
---
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:04:24 AM | Message Detail
...wow. Snake went from overperforming to bombing.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:04:24 AM | Message Detail
Here's the Choas and 20XX Division combined

1. Mega Man
16. Laharl

8. Gordon Freeman
9. KOS-MOS

5. Leon S. Kennedy
12. Jin Kazama

4. Luigi Mario
13. Vyse

6. Yoshi
11. Conker

3. Tifa Lockheart
14. Pac-Man

7. Diablo
10. Kratos Aurion

2. Sonic the Hedgehog
15. Revolver Ocelot

Poor Pac-Man and Ocelot getting double SFF hurts. Freeman is on the top half of the bracket. Diablo/Kratos meet again on the first round and I think Tifa/Yoshi may be interesting.
---
17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:04:45 AM | Message Detail
^5s Smurf for the STP to end the last topic.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars
From: Dranze | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:05:26 AM | Message Detail
Luigi could of made the sweet sixteen. Oh yeah.
---
MARIOWNED
From: charmander6000 | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:07:24 AM | Message Detail
Snake/Bowser was on a school day.
---
17 have challenged Nintendo in the handheld market, 17 have failed. (see quote for list)
From: Smurf87 | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:08:07 AM | Message Detail
IMO Luigi was maybe the star of the tournament.

It's too bad he didn't get some midcarders so that he could bust brackets....

---
Tombolown'd-I couldn't HANDLE the Tombolo!
From: Dranze | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:08:12 AM | Message Detail
...wow. Snake went from overperforming to bombing.

If you were referring to TG, I agree. He goes against his own predictions everyday.
---
MARIOWNED
From: Heroic Knuckles | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:11:19 AM | Message Detail
1. Mega Man
16. Laharl

*universe implodes*
---
By your powers combined, I am...
From: T4libKw4li | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:11:28 AM | Message Detail
But he wasn't.
---
From: Dranze | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:12:05 AM | Message Detail
Yes, you were.
---
MARIOWNED
From: T4libKw4li | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:12:52 AM | Message Detail
No, he wasn't.
---
From: shadow8021 | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:14:30 AM | Message Detail
Geez, slow down Mario! You'll pull something there, old buddy!
---
SC2K5 Score: 109/128
Today's Pick: Mario
From: transience | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:29:10 AM | Message Detail
haha, Smurf derailed the entire last stats topic.

Mario might break 60% here. Snake's definitely not breaking 45%.
---
.
From: transience | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:45:18 AM | Message Detail
hm, assuming a constant Bowser, Mario's at about 40% here. I'm not sure if that's enough to beat Seph, but we'll see.
---
.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:52:27 AM | Message Detail
Solid Snake or Ganondorf, who wins?

On one hand, Ganondorf would look like the winner in a close one if you were to bring up the Villain Contest and compare by Bowser. On the other hand, you would have to expect alot of combined SFF from Mario/Samus and Samus/Ganon to get him to be on Solid's level thus far (unless Solid drops alot further).
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: T4libKw4li | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:55:13 AM | Message Detail
Solid > Dorf without a shadow of a doubt..

However, if Sonic/Mega/Crono turn out to be weaker than Snake =/.
---
From: transience | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:56:11 AM | Message Detail
I really have no idea. I thought before the contest that if it was Snake-Ganon instead of Snake-Bowser I'd do it... but I just can't. give me Snake. if you give even 2% to his crappy picture, Snake wins statistically.
---
.
From: Dark115 | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:56:25 AM | Message Detail
I'd probably still take Snake over Ganondorf because at this point I'd take Bowser over Ganondorf as well.

As for Smurf's derailing of the last topic, he can't seriously think that Shadow would get even close to 45% on Mario if there was a rematch this year. I'd be surprised if he got much over 30% personally
---
http://users.ign.com/collection/Dark115.
Most Wanted: The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess (GameCube), Soul Calibur III (PS2)
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:58:14 AM | Message Detail
Snake would beat Ganondorf.

Man, come on, Snake! Get back up to Kirby > Samus territory!
---
"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: transience | Posted: 9/17/2005 9:59:27 AM | Message Detail
it's fully possible that Shadow would break 40% again; the difference is assuming that because Shadow broke 50% that Sonic would destroy Mario. Sonic himself would have a hard time breaking 45% on Mario.
---
.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/17/2005 10:00:55 AM | Message Detail
I'd feel pretty good about Sonic beating down Mario if Shadow broke 50% on him, personally.
---
"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
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