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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 250
From: chaos knight | Posted: 9/15/2005 1:48:25 AM | Message Detail
Considering how horrid CT is with the day vote, I'm actually kind of anxious right now. If Vincent can keep the lead to around 1000-1500 by the time the day vote arrives, it could become very interesting.
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Future sig pending
...I guess
From: Mamuman | Posted: 9/15/2005 1:48:25 AM | Message Detail
I also have Crono winning the whole thing, but right now I'm sure that Sonic/Megaman will beat him.
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This user is my god
v
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/15/2005 1:49:40 AM | Message Detail
Squall and Vincent keep looking better and better (or Crono is looking worse and worse, but I want to believe the former moreso). Vincent's already over 43% during Crono's best time.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 1:51:23 AM | Message Detail
Crono ain't gonna be the one to break the Noble Nine, guys...though it would be the absolute most unexpected thing EVER.

But...ain't happening. *repeats it again* AIN'T HAPPENING.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/15/2005 1:56:00 AM | Message Detail
Crono isn't getting many big updates. Vincent could potentially get 45%+ here.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 1:57:09 AM | Message Detail
If Vincent gets above 45% Crono ain't making it to the finals. He's not THAT strong.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 1:58:13 AM | Message Detail
Barring a massive increase for the AC leak, in which case suddenly Cloud has a shot at Link again.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/15/2005 1:59:34 AM | Message Detail
Heh, and to think that people called for a Crono overperformance due to the sprite.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:01:48 AM | Message Detail
Heh, guilty as charged, looks like that theory is shot...but, geez, how much ground can Vincent make up with the day? How close could he make it?

Why is no one but me freaking out over the possibility that Crono has significantly weakened?!?!
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:03:41 AM | Message Detail
I really doubt a AC leak is making this much of a difference. Crono weakened. Well know for sure when he goes up against the winner of Sonic/Mega Man.

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Can't think of a good sig.
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:06:43 AM | Message Detail
Score another one for Vincent, the largest thus far.

If he succeeds in breaking +45% now I'm curious to know what his strength might be next year, should DoC be halfway decent and Advent Children widely available.
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Go ahead ********! Fire away! I've got a big turkey dinner here that says you don't have enough bullets to take down my hungry ***! ~ MG2 Run
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:12:44 AM | Message Detail
I think this is only Crono's weakness, hell he underperformed to all hell against MC, why the hell not now? Here's to hoping Vincent takes the day vote, and the lead, because if there's one person I dislike more than Vincent, it's Crono. And it would make for a kickass match too, but that's besides the point. >_>

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:16:13 AM | Message Detail
Why is Vincent stalling Crono?!?! Why? Crono > Mario! MARIO!
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: chaos knight | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:18:08 AM | Message Detail
I actually think Vincent has a legitimate shot in this match, considering how horrid CT is with the day vote overall. This could still wind up as one of the most shocking upsets of all time, especially considering how Vincent was written off by most after his match was Squall.

Of course, still a few hours away from the day vote so we'll see if CT continues to live up to its rep again...or not.
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Future sig pending
...I guess
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:18:45 AM | Message Detail
Agreed. Too bad I'll be at school all day.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:19:37 AM | Message Detail
No. If Crono were to fail here, and break the Noble Nine after beating Mario last year, it would be THE most shocking upset of all time. And Vincent would have the lowest prediction percentage of all time.

Eh...it still ain't happening. But wow, underwhelming performance from Crono.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: greatone10 | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:20:18 AM | Message Detail
I don't think Crono is quite as horrible with the day vote as Magus and Frog, but he did let MC do quite a bit of damage.
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BertTheOne | Can't hurt this Bert
Nominate Jay Solano & Ifnkovhgroghprm for SC2K6!
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:22:12 AM | Message Detail
You can't really factor in MC to how poorly someone does with the day vote... MC is a ****ing BEAST with it.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:23:35 AM | Message Detail
Yeah, no one is quite as solid with the day vote as MC--I mean, if this were MC in Vincent's position right now, I could see him flat out winning at this point.

But Vincent's no slouch, either. Crono...is decent. This being Vincent's worst time, ground *will* be made up here.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:25:57 AM | Message Detail
Exactly, it's his worst time and he's going about 51-49 with him, I hope to hell Vincent wins just for the fact that Crono is one of the worst characters of all time, the prediction percentage would be awesome, and I wouldn't have to worry about Snake being the first one to ruin the Noble Nine.

<3 Snake.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: chaos knight | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:27:50 AM | Message Detail
Maybe after finally getting his revenge last year and ending their storied rivalry, Crono can now retire peacefully to the life of an upper-midcarder. Kind of like a cliche anime ending. >_>
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Future sig pending
...I guess
From: greatone10 | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:31:19 AM | Message Detail
Maybe he'll just drop the Mega/Sonic match so he doesn't have to face Ron Jeremy again.
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BertTheOne | Can't hurt this Bert
Nominate Jay Solano & Ifnkovhgroghprm for SC2K6!
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:36:43 AM | Message Detail
Vincent wins a WHOPPING 12 votes there. >_____>

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:41:57 AM | Message Detail
What? Vincent won two updates in a row?

>_>
<_<

God I hate Crono.

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:45:41 AM | Message Detail
XD

This is brilliant. Vinceny can only make Squall look better and better. ;)

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:46:50 AM | Message Detail
Holy freaking crap Vincent's stalling him. Holy crap. Holy crap.

Crono, you better not be breaking the Noble Nine here, you hear me? Do you? Get your ass in gear, I actually have you winning this ****ing contest.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:51:30 AM | Message Detail
Well, at least it looks like he heard me. Crono gained 17 that update.

I really thought I wouldn't have to say anything like that for this match...
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:52:18 AM | Message Detail
Don't worry, by 3:00 EST Vincent will have the lead. =P

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 9/15/2005 2:56:21 AM | Message Detail
Who would have guessed that Crono may be the one to break the Noble Nine? CRONO!

XD

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: lettuce Kefka | Posted: 9/15/2005 3:02:35 AM | Message Detail
I'm not liking this Crono not doing well. ;_;
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
http://www.geocities.com/lettucekefka/
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 3:03:22 AM | Message Detail
Phew, another...well, decent update for Crono.

Interesting fact: in the last hour, Crono has gained only 58 votes on Vincent. Against Mario last year during this same interval, he gained 123 votes.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Explicit Content | Posted: 9/15/2005 3:05:26 AM | Message Detail
I just hope the lead doesn't get to 1,000 before morning hits, but it looks like it will. :(

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~This sig was pimped by Icon's sig~
Cheer up Emo kids.
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/15/2005 3:06:13 AM | Message Detail
:)
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I once made a sig bet with TRE that Ganon wasn't actually over 31 on BL. The jury's still out on the pigman, but props to TRE 'cause I'm a believer again.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 3:06:34 AM | Message Detail
Well, thank goodness, my bracket doesn't need to die in a ball of flames just yet. At least Crono's starting to dish out the damage a bit. That last hour was just pathetic.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 3:08:03 AM | Message Detail
Good Lord, if Chichiri was ready to drink to Bowser winning, Vincent going to the Final Four could get him hospitalized. <_<
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: lettuce Kefka | Posted: 9/15/2005 3:10:20 AM | Message Detail
I'm guessing those people who complained at us for saying Vincent can challenge Crono owe us all an apology? =P
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
http://www.geocities.com/lettucekefka/
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 3:11:05 AM | Message Detail
WHY DO YOU KEEP STALLING HIM VINCENT
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/15/2005 3:11:44 AM | Message Detail
I won't dance, I won't sing
I'll hardly say a thing
You all doubt the power that I claimed
Now you should all feel ashamed
Vincent ain't a punk like you said
Aren't your cheecks a little red?
He kicked your ass, there's no doubt
So never again forget, I know what I'm talking about.
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I once made a sig bet with TRE that Ganon wasn't actually over 31 on BL. The jury's still out on the pigman, but props to TRE 'cause I'm a believer again.
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/15/2005 3:15:11 AM | Message Detail
I need a drink anyway. I lost my cell phone and my computer won't connect to the net. I haven't got a land line to call the phone to find out where it might be and my roomate is out of town... and I've checked the drivers on my ethernet card and they're fine as are the cords (clearly, the hub's okay and the connection si fine because my roomies computer is okay).
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I once made a sig bet with TRE that Ganon wasn't actually over 31 on BL. The jury's still out on the pigman, but props to TRE 'cause I'm a believer again.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 3:17:39 AM | Message Detail
Okay, Crono, you had me worried there, but it looks like you're ready to go. Now, uh...yeah, I'm just dumbfounded by this.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: ps2rulezzz | Posted: 9/15/2005 3:21:26 AM | Message Detail
A reason why Vincent is doing so well right now could be that americans sleep and europeans are awake. And the Europeans didn't get Crono's games.
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190/192 points in sc2004
tiebrakowned by nifboy
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 3:22:26 AM | Message Detail
Yeah, uh...no, that still doesn't account for this.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 9/15/2005 4:05:41 AM | Message Detail
This match could end up making Sonic look very good. I can't see Vincent that much stronger than Tifa if at all.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 4:08:02 AM | Message Detail
Looking back at MC, I'm inclined to think this is more Crono. Magus and Frog didn't exactly inspire confidence in me, either. The only read we have on Crono where he hasn't disappointed now was when he...performed to expectations based on Spring Kefka. Which may be overrated for all we know.

Besides...I can't see Squall (and the rest of the Devil Division) that high.
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
From: Dranze | Posted: 9/15/2005 4:13:42 AM | Message Detail
Seriously

You can't think THAT many Nintendo Fans would go Mario > Snake > Bowser. You gotta assume the fanbase between the two is pretty close..

I can't see Snake fans voting Mario over him when they didn't vote Bowser over him.


Right now, I'm not even sure if Bowser could score 45% on Mario, but it's your call..
From: Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted: 9/15/2005 4:18:35 AM | Message Detail
"You can't think THAT many Nintendo Fans would go Mario > Snake > Bowser. You gotta assume the fanbase between the two is pretty close.."


That kind of logic doesn't work well in these contests. If all characters from one fanbase where the same strength, Ganondorf or Zelda would be winning.

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Can't think of a good sig.
From: jonthomson | Posted: 9/15/2005 4:19:35 AM | Message Detail
Brief apologies for my excessive Mario>Samus gloating a couple of topics ago.

Anyways, I just checked the updates topics and was somewhat shocked to see Bowser keeping it close and making a comeback. Snake was coasting when I left yesterday. Good to see he kept it close, for my money Bowser's got a great claim to #10 behind the still undefeated noble nine. At least it's looking that way, pesky Vincent's doing his best to keep this one interesting.

As for the rest of the tournament? Mario surely has Snake beaten, so that just leaves the other half. I'd say Mega Man's the favourite (well, I've always said he's the favourite, but still) right now. He should have the better of Sonic - Mega Man killed Yoshi by a margin that even I was surprised at, the same Yoshi that beat Luigi who wasn't disgraced against Tifa who didn't lose to Sonic by a massive margin. Don't know if anyone's worked out the likely result using that series of matches, but still, Sonic looks in trouble.

As for Crono (I'll say Crono, there's no way pesky Vincent beats either of Mega Man or Sonic, even if pesky Vincent does come back), there's doubts there. This isn't convincing at all right now, even taking into account a supposed European factor (which made a huge difference in CvM 3 - exactly how many copies did CT sell anyway, compared to the number of people that have played it on emulators?). Magus choking, Frog showing himself up to be overrated, Crono could easily be next.

Mario - Mega Man? Well I hope Mega Man could pull it off, but Mario has exceeded every expectation I had. Mario would be the favourite, definitely. But you just never know.
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Jon Thomson - MARIO, Samus, SOLID SNAKE, Bowser, CRONO, Squall, Sonic, MEGA MAN
From: I_Dont_Love_You | Posted: 9/15/2005 4:32:18 AM | Message Detail
Mega Man over Crono suddenly doesn't look so bad.

Too bad I had Samus winning, because I could've ended up on top.
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George Romero > You.
From: I_Dont_Love_You | Posted: 9/15/2005 4:35:43 AM | Message Detail
And hey, Vincent won an update and broke 45%.

Go Vincent!
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George Romero > You.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/15/2005 4:37:03 AM | Message Detail
Vincent takes an update handily, and puts himself over 45%.

Which is where some thought he would have an outside shot at getting to after the day vote. o.O
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For the first time ever, Solid Snake has made the Final Four! Believe it.
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