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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 250
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:44:59 PM | Message Detail
Well, the more Snake gets, the better. I just want 42.41% at the least now.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:46:16 PM | Message Detail
Well if Samus actually ranks behind people like Kirby and people take Kirby over her because of the X-Stats, thats their problem.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:49:02 PM | Message Detail
If Solid was to break 43% on Mario, I still doubt many of us would take him over Samus. Just a guess though.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: cyko | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:51:28 PM | Message Detail
i certainly would not take Snake over Samus. in fact, at the moment, i still wouldn't take Crono, Megaman, or Sonic over Samus either. but, we'll see how well they do compared to Mario, i guess.


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"Start wearing purple, for me now. All your sanity and wits, they will all vanish, i promise. It's just a matter of time..."
From: cyko | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:52:22 PM | Message Detail
and don't look now, but Bowser just chopped Snake down by 27 that update. he's not quite dead yet. go Bowser!!

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"Start wearing purple, for me now. All your sanity and wits, they will all vanish, i promise. It's just a matter of time..."
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:53:03 PM | Message Detail
*pokes Bowser with a stick*
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Go ahead ********! Fire away! I've got a big turkey dinner here that says you don't have enough bullets to take down my hungry ***! ~ MG2 Run
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:53:25 PM | Message Detail
I wouldn't take anyone in the main bracket over Mario or Samus. Period, no matter how well anyone does on Mario from here on.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:53:25 PM | Message Detail
Here is a tentative idea of how this quarter of the bracket will look like, statistics-wise:

Solid Snake: 50.00%
Bowser Koopa - 49.50%
Kirby - 47.40%
Princess Zelda - 45.59%
Ryu - 40.60%
Tidus - 40.14%
Vivi Orunitia - 36.87%
Rikku - 35.95%
Sora - 34.74%
Chun-Li - 33.75%
Alucard - 31.01%
Kratos - 27.58%
Cecil Harvey - 23.50%
King of All Cosmos - 22.04%
Agent 47 - 20.33%
Manny Calavera - 15.91%
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: therealmnm | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:54:03 PM | Message Detail
Adjusting shouldn't be too much of an issue. If someone has difficulty understanding how strong Samus is without using the X-stats, then they deserve to be left in the dark.
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MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:54:26 PM | Message Detail
Well, if someone like Crono *beats* Mario, that might be a different story, but I can't exactly see that happening now.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:55:06 PM | Message Detail
I don't think 42.41% or whatever on Mario is out of Snake's reach, myself.

And my opinion on Samus is not to adjust her, personally >_>

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars
From: Who Cares? | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:56:06 PM | Message Detail
Chun-Li > The Plan? ...nice!
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:56:33 PM | Message Detail
I know partystar is gonna love seeing Vivi above Sora AND Rikku now.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:57:25 PM | Message Detail
I'll say it again: All I know is if Snake overperforms on Mario (we're talking signficantly above what SpC2k5 Bowser suggests here), then I'm going to be looking at the sprite for answers. Or hell, I'll be looking at Snake. He's had some of the most puzzling matches this year.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:58:39 PM | Message Detail
Can Bowser come back if he starts bringing in 25 votes per five minutes?

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:58:43 PM | Message Detail
Vivi Orunitia - 36.87%
Rikku - 35.95%
Sora - 34.74%


Yay, the *MUCH* better character is highest.
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:58:52 PM | Message Detail
Hey, here's a question: can you give us an idea of what the stats will look like based on an adjusted Vivi (through DK 2k3)?
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Aprosenf | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:58:54 PM | Message Detail
Hey TRE, can you give a rundown of what percent of people with each score got yesterday's match right? You seem to have forgotten since the boards were down all day. I'd do it, but I don't have a copy of yesterday's stats, and I can't find it in my cache.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
From: RPGGamer0 | Posted: 9/14/2005 7:59:05 PM | Message Detail
Snake > Sonic in finals guys. How many times do I have to say this?


~RPGGamer~
From: transience | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:00:14 PM | Message Detail
interesting stats. Vivi > Rikku jumps out at me, especially since Rikku did what was perceived to be good vs. Ryu while Vivi supposedly bombed.

Samus obviously isn't as weak as Mario made her look. anyone who takes Kirby over Samus is nuts. her adjustment really doesn't matter because the only match that would even be questionable at this point is Crono.
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From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:00:50 PM | Message Detail
Bowser cuts off another 30! He may still have a chance!

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:01:06 PM | Message Detail
I refuse to believe that Kirby could beat Zelda in an actual match.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:01:14 PM | Message Detail
Another 30 vote spike for Bowser. What the hell.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:01:30 PM | Message Detail
Can Bowser come back if he starts bringing in 25 votes per five minutes?

That would be more than enough (he needs 17/5 min), yes, but if he keeps it up I'll eat my hat.
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"It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti!" ~ Lenneth Valkyrie
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:01:36 PM | Message Detail
Bowser needs a little over 16 votes an update to come back. Of course, I just did this in my head so it's probably way off.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: Who Cares? | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:03:05 PM | Message Detail
With 48 updates left, Bowser needs to cut into the lead with 16.875 votes per update. by the end of the hour, Bowser is expected to cut it down 608
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:03:42 PM | Message Detail
In the past hour, Bowser has gained an average of 10 1/6 votes more than Solid per five-minute update. At this rate, Solid wins by 322 votes.

FYI, Bowser needs 16.875 votes per update to tie.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: Starion | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:03:43 PM | Message Detail
Realistically though, he needs to grab more than that now rather than later when the votes per update really dips.
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:04:18 PM | Message Detail
Snake's winded after seeing himself fall from the geezer tree in MGS4. He needs some stewed prunes, stat!
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Go ahead ********! Fire away! I've got a big turkey dinner here that says you don't have enough bullets to take down my hungry ***! ~ MG2 Run
From: transience | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:04:18 PM | Message Detail
Snake by 347. that's my guess.

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From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:04:31 PM | Message Detail
That would be more than enough (he needs 17/5 min), yes, but if he keeps it up I'll eat my hat.

This man lies. He does not own a hat >_>

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:04:54 PM | Message Detail
Snake will win with 650 votes.
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:05:10 PM | Message Detail
*by
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:05:23 PM | Message Detail
Vivi and Zelda are overrated.
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I know what I'm getting into, I don't care if I die trying!-Peppita Rossetti
From: Just Some Person | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:05:29 PM | Message Detail
True or False: by the end of the match, CJayC will intervene due to vote-stuffing allegations.

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"Being a Hunter has to be the best job in the world! Well, next to pimp..."
From: Super Luigi | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:05:40 PM | Message Detail
Let the vote stuffing begin for bowser.
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SC2K5 Favorites - Solid Snake, Kirby, Mario, Leon Kennedy.
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:06:05 PM | Message Detail
False.
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Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: Who Cares? | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:06:39 PM | Message Detail
False, it would have happened by now.
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:08:28 PM | Message Detail
I like how Super Luigi calls cheating whenever Bowser increases.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars
From: Metal Goomba | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:09:21 PM | Message Detail
Go Bowser!!!
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Now Playing: Fire Emblem
From: transience | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:09:31 PM | Message Detail
if vote-stuffing is going to happen, it'll happen as the night wears on. it'll also be more obvious due to the lack of votes that would normally come in. nothing in the past few hours has suggested vote stuffing at all, unless you're a delirious Snake fan. *looks around*

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From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:10:32 PM | Message Detail
down another 28!!!

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:10:47 PM | Message Detail
God, my shift key is horrible. I hate the damned thing.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:11:00 PM | Message Detail
28 for Bowser, but that was a Snake dip rather than a Bowser gain.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Super Luigi | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:11:20 PM | Message Detail
I also like how Bowser is all of a sudden just gaining in updates out of no where.
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SC2K5 Favorites - Solid Snake, Kirby, Mario, Leon Kennedy.
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:11:27 PM | Message Detail
Sig updated (Yep, assuming Snake is going to hold)!

Hopefully I wake up tommorrow morning and see 50.01% after Snake's name. That'd be awesome.

Well, before that I would see Crono laying down some ownage, of course!
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RIP Samus: Mario, you better take down Seph.
Crono vs. Vincent - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Crono (92/112)
From: Lopen | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:11:52 PM | Message Detail
You've gotta admit though, Bowser continuing to win updates at this point is kinda... out of character, to say the least. Even if there is cheating, though, I really doubt any votes will be removed because Snake will probably hold out regardless.

But if votes are to be removed, it'll probably happen in the last hour ala Kefka/Vercetti... just to try and not have to do it at all, but to prevent any last minute mass vote stuff fluke result if necessary.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather."
- Slow Beef
From: transience | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:12:07 PM | Message Detail
gaining in updates? he's been doing it for the last six hours. where the heck have you been?

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From: TheCruelAngel | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:12:40 PM | Message Detail
Ulti, no need to get excited. Snake wil win. :P

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/14/2005 8:13:01 PM | Message Detail
If this is a cheater, it's a very good one. The voting patterns haven't deviated in any drastic pattern.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
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