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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 249
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/13/2005 5:57:23 PM | Message Detail
Mario ate his pwnsticks.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Summer 2002 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/1

Summer 2003 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/2

Spring 2004 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/3

Summer 2004 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/4

Summer 2005 Contest Information:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/taxonomy/term/5

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Summer 2002 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/13

Summer 2003 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/14

Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/15

SFF Adjusted Spring 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/16

Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/17

SFF Adjusted Summer 2004 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/18

Spring 2005 Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/27

All Time Extrapolated Standings:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/alltimexsts.htm



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, save for three from 2002:
http://www.sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*


Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

MMXcalibur's Contest Sites:
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

Poll Vote Total Updater:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/25

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251



!yawA tsoP
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/13/2005 5:58:22 PM | Message Detail
Snake will own Bowser tomorrow.
---
Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/13/2005 5:58:53 PM | Message Detail
Bowser over Snake !!

---
“A pro isn’t someone who sacrifices themselves for a job. That’s just a fool.” – Reno
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 9/13/2005 5:59:31 PM | Message Detail
Snake over Bowser with 58.45%
From: Draco1214 | Posted: 9/13/2005 6:00:00 PM | Message Detail
BTW, nice sig there, HM.
---
Return of SF1: YOU DON'T HAVE A CASE!
makeyourchance: Yes I do! It's Samsonite.
From: DaruniaTheGoron | Posted: 9/13/2005 6:00:44 PM | Message Detail
Snake over Bowser with 53%.
---
The only thing O.J. is guilty of is mercilessly slashing through all defenders to score touchdowns. - ImNotYou
Proud member of the Hylian Knights--83/104 in the 2k5 SC -- XBL GT: Vance Mendoza
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/13/2005 6:00:59 PM | Message Detail
[from inside a locker] "This reminds me of when we first met."
"I was inside the locker that time. We're equal now, huh?
"Not unless I wet my pants."
"That's a low blow, Snake."
---
"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted: 9/13/2005 6:05:33 PM | Message Detail
BTW, nice sig there, HM.

Heh. You're the third or fourth person to tell me my new signature is awesome. Many thanks. ;)

---
“A pro isn’t someone who sacrifices themselves for a job. That’s just a fool.” – Reno
From: LeonhartForever | Posted: 9/13/2005 6:38:42 PM | Message Detail
http://mgsgolf.ytmnd.com/
---
It's just not the same without this name.
Faithful supporter of Squall Leonhart in SC2K5
From: DBZFIGHTERS | Posted: 9/13/2005 6:42:14 PM | Message Detail
Mario vs. Bowser in the Final Four?

Man, no one will be able to crack 40% against him before the Final then.

---
Die hard Cubs, Pistons, Patriot and Maple Leaf fan
Owl Squad Member ( ēvē( ēvē )ēvē ) O RLY?
From: Tediz247 | Posted: 9/13/2005 6:44:20 PM | Message Detail
Leonhart wins at life. For tonight and tomorrow, at least.
---
That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:56:58 PM | Message Detail
Crono for the win!

---
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/2005
SC2k5 - 93/104 (Kefka, Magus (x3), Ocelot, Tidus)
From: The Doppleganger | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:59:17 PM | Message Detail
Snake is not jobbing.
---
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
"Masa, everytime I talk to you, my urge for hot pockets rises. Damn you" - Linky.
From: DaruniaTheGoron | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:59:19 PM | Message Detail
My prediction will be close if Snake comes back strong tonight...
---
The only thing O.J. is guilty of is mercilessly slashing through all defenders to score touchdowns. - ImNotYou
Proud member of the Hylian Knights--83/104 in the 2k5 SC -- XBL GT: Vance Mendoza
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:38:16 PM | Message Detail
Sprite Round >>>>>>>>>>>> Snake

The results beg to differ. Yes, Snake is going to hold on.
---
"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: XxSoulxX | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:39:10 PM | Message Detail
Bowser's performance today > Snake.
---
"ertyu is actually a language. For example, 'dum' is ertyunese for 'godly'." - Topaz Kitsune
*Waiting for Guru winner's sig*
From: ExquisiteSamurai | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:40:18 PM | Message Detail
I really do wish Snake hold on so we can see if sprite really does matter for Snake next round..

---
"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:40:41 PM | Message Detail
2k6 will be interesting especially if TP is out before.

Not to mention FF12, KH2, and the fact that we'll have three new major console releases. You had best believe 2k6 will be interesting.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: FastFalcon05 | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:40:51 PM | Message Detail
Go Bowser!!!
---
Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb
From: Tediz247 | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:40:55 PM | Message Detail
Slow down, Bowser. Another 85 votes in 10 minutes.
---
That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:41:16 PM | Message Detail
Well if Mario beats Snake 55-45 or more, I will believe that the sprite did nothing.
---
Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: RevolverAk47 | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:41:56 PM | Message Detail
damn the kiddies vote stuffing for bowser. prob came home and saw him losing, and almost had a heart attack at the thought of another nintendo losing to non nintendo
---
- - -
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:42:41 PM | Message Detail
Well if Mario beats Snake 55-45 or more, I will believe that the sprite did nothing.

So Bowser can now get about 44% on Mario before SFF? Mario's chances against Sephiroth are lookin' alot dimmer if that's the case.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: BeTheMan | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:42:56 PM | Message Detail
Hmm...the odds of Bowser pulling off a comeback are pretty slim...but if he can keep this pace up for a while, it could get mighty interesting.
---
ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO...Pac-Man?
From: Dranze | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:42:57 PM | Message Detail
Mario will double Snake because Mario beat Bowser with 70% lolol
From: I_Dont_Love_You | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:43:38 PM | Message Detail
How would Mario/Snake prove the effect of Snake's sprite?

Unless everyone's assuming Snake gets his sprite next round, which may not happen.
---
George Romero > You.
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:43:46 PM | Message Detail
55-45 is what was expected in 2004 and the boosts Snake and Mario have seem to be similiar. Mario's might be a bit more, but its close.
---
Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:45:18 PM | Message Detail
Because if Mario beats Snake by a decent enough amount, it would make Bowser's Spring totals seem very close to where Snake will end up meaning that the sprite did very little.
---
Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:47:19 PM | Message Detail
I'm aware that Bowser probably won't win this, but it's still awesome to see all of those that picked Snake to roll all over him making up excuses for why Bowser is on a tear. I'm seeing cheating accusations all over the place.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars
From: RamzaB | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:47:32 PM | Message Detail
Holy ****, Bowser just sliced off 129 votes in 15 minutes!
---
Vincent WILL break 60% on Dante.
(Place Holder for sig bet with YoYoChamp made 3/24/05)
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:47:33 PM | Message Detail
Bowser's making a tear; he's taken 129 votes in fifteen minutes.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: NewLib | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:47:35 PM | Message Detail
Just to note if this match doesnt get under 1000 by the end then the magic number in my mind for Mario beating Sephiroth is him pulling around 58.5-41.5 victory over Snake.
---
Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man
From: Zaphod H | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:47:55 PM | Message Detail
Bowser had a solid set of updates (around 290 per 5 mins) from about 4:45 - 5:10, then it stagnated to around 260 per 5 mins for 4 updates, and the past 3 Bowser's back up to 290 per 5 mins.

Snake, with the exception of one update of 311, has been pretty consistent with 260 per 5 mins.

At this rate Snake's lead won't last very long. When abouts does the second night vote begin?
---
SSBM. Rock rock on!
From: SephirothG | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:48:07 PM | Message Detail
Snake will own the night vote.
Yes he will.
---
"Let's mosey"
Summer Contest Score: 96/104, Predicted Winner: Crono
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:48:45 PM | Message Detail
Anything to salvage underestimating Snake for three straight rounds, right Ulti?
---
Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Super Luigi | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:49:28 PM | Message Detail
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/14/2005 3:47:19 PM | Message Detail
I'm aware that Bowser probably won't win this, but it's still awesome to see all of those that picked Snake to roll all over him making up excuses for why Bowser is on a tear. I'm seeing cheating accusations all over the place.


What's also cool is Snake proving the doubters wrong(AKA You).
---
SC2K5 Favorites - Solid Snake, Kirby, Mario, Leon Kennedy.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:49:42 PM | Message Detail
One lousy second.

Ramza > yours truly.
---
Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: MegatokyoEd | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:50:23 PM | Message Detail
It's also great to see all you Bowser fanboys owned Ulti.
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:50:26 PM | Message Detail
I'm aware that Bowser probably won't win this, but it's still awesome to see all of those that picked Snake to roll all over him making up excuses for why Bowser is on a tear. I'm seeing cheating accusations all over the place.

Meh, Snake did what he set out to do. It's not like he has another match to win, so I'm happy. Now I just hope he can make this a bit more respectable. Fight, Snake...
---
SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:53:22 PM | Message Detail
Uh, Snake is doing pretty much what we expected him to do. (Win in a close match).

Though Bowser owning the day vote like this is a bit surprising, yet awesome.
---
RIP Samus: Mario, you better take down Seph.
Snake vs. Bowser - Bracket: Snake - Vote: Snake (84/104)
From: Slowflake | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:54:31 PM | Message Detail
Wow, Bowser's going Master Chief, here. Is the biggest comeback record going to be broken twice in the same contest? Is the Noble Nine going to stand at a record of 92-1 after today? (For the record, the closest a character has ever come to a Noble Niner was... Frog last year against Snake.) Is Mario going to supernova the X-Sts even further next round?

No matter how this ends, this pretty much goes to show Snake's back at his 2003 level (thank God, else this match would've been long over, good call on that Ulti), Ryu and Tidus haven't budged much, Yuna, Tidus and Rikku are all in a pocket tissue, and Sora and Alucard are going to be lumped in with Vyse and KOS-MOS among characters that performed really bad for whatever reason. This could be a problem if they have an unpredictable path next year (and knowing Sora, he WILL), and GoW Kratos could end up as a winning underdog next year as well if he comes back.
---
Zelos: Half the world's girls are destined to become my servants of love!
Presea: The probability of that is... infinitely close to zero.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:55:50 PM | Message Detail
Nah, Tidus is comfortably ahead of Rikku.
---
"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: Slowflake | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:55:59 PM | Message Detail
Oh, and I forgot... I'm going to type this in bold because I can't quite believe it myself.

KIRBY IS NOW A NEAR-ELITE.

We must get the message to Ceej somehow that we need a Kirby/Dante match, if only to see Ertyu go bonkers.
---
Zelos: Half the world's girls are destined to become my servants of love!
Presea: The probability of that is... infinitely close to zero.
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:56:17 PM | Message Detail
If you people would get off the anti-Ulti pills for a second, you'd remember that Snake is in my top ten, while Bowser isn't even on the list. Since you're so obsessed with everything I post, you should easily be able to remember such things. I'm just rooting for my bracket and the fall of the X-stats, not much else. And besides, when you have a bunch of people telling you that people only think Bowser can win because of drones blindly listening to everything you say, it's nice when/if said people get egg on their face.

And Super Luigi, you really need to find a new subject matter. We get the damned point.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars
From: transience | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:56:38 PM | Message Detail
I love this place.

"this match puts all the Snake doubters in their place!"

"this match puts all those who doubted Bowser straight!"

---
.
From: Master Moltar | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:56:39 PM | Message Detail
KIRBY IS NOW A NEAR-ELITE.

Moltar is pleased!
---
RIP Samus: Mario, you better take down Seph.
Snake vs. Bowser - Bracket: Snake - Vote: Snake (84/104)
From: therealmnm | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:56:57 PM | Message Detail
What's also cool is Snake proving the doubters wrong(AKA You).

What the hell is wrong with you? Nobody has ever doubted that Snake couldn't win this match. All of the Bowser supporters I've seen have only been saying that Bowser had a great chance to upset Snake. What I've really been seeing is people like you consistently writing Bowser off...
---
MM are my INITIALS "There are only 10 kinds of people in this world, those that read binary and those that don't."
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:57:44 PM | Message Detail
Fall of the X-Stats? Bowser > Snake IS the X-Stats pick. @_@
---
Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:58:13 PM | Message Detail
What I've really been seeing is people like you consistently writing Bowser off...

It's Super Luigi. This guy makes edouble's Alucard obsession look like child's play.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Currently Playing: Fire Emblem 8, WC3: Frozen Throne, Advance Wars
From: Super Luigi | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:58:52 PM | Message Detail
"What the hell is wrong with you? Nobody has ever doubted that Snake couldn't win this match."

I dont mean by that, So many people have picked against him when it came to Zelda and Bowser. Want an example? Heroic Mario said Bowser WOULD win.
---
SC2K5 Favorites - Solid Snake, Kirby, Mario, Leon Kennedy.
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