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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 248
From: transience | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:50:07 PM | Message Detail
unless you're talking adjusted stats, Bowser will rank ninth. I don't think Snake will lose worse than Samus.
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From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:50:18 PM | Message Detail
I can go with that. I believe Ganondorf might collapse faster than a house of cards versus Bowser.
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Go ahead ********! Fire away! I've got a big turkey dinner here that says you don't have enough bullets to take down my hungry ***! ~ MG2 Run
From: Applekidjosh | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:51:46 PM | Message Detail
Nice update there.

How long til Snake's supposed "good time" starts again?
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From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:52:00 PM | Message Detail
Considering Ganon hardly collapsed against SAMUS, I'm not buying Ganon collapsing against Bowser just yet. Yes, I saw Mario/Samus, too.
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From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:53:16 PM | Message Detail
Bowser is just much more beloved as a villain than Ganondorf is among the Nintendo fanbase. I just don't think he'd lose.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:54:01 PM | Message Detail
I'd take Bowser over Ganon if this is a 2k3 level Snake. No doubt. The only year Ganon really outranked Bowser was potentially a fluke. Bowser has been doing as excpeted since then, Ganon has been doing less than expected.
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I once made a sig bet with TRE that Ganon wasn't actually over 31 on BL. The jury's still out on the pigman, but props to TRE 'cause I'm a believer again.
From: transience | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:54:11 PM | Message Detail
I'm taking Ganon until I find a reason not to. if Bowser is more beloved, he'd be stronger than Ganon.
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From: Dranze | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:54:37 PM | Message Detail
He didn't collaspe against Samus because Samus probably doesn't have much SFF power, but we know Bowser does.

plus he killed kirby

Nah, 52.12% isn't killing.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:54:46 PM | Message Detail
if Bowser is more beloved, he'd be stronger than Ganon.

That's the same logic people used for Samus > Mario...
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: Tequilla Gundam | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:54:57 PM | Message Detail
Link > = Cloud > Sephiroth > Mario > = Snake > Megaman > Crono > Samus > Sonic

BELIEVE IT.
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"Obi-Wan is stronger than Mace" ~ DarthLampe
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:55:19 PM | Message Detail
Pics do nothing. Look at tihs match and Sp Bowser and tell me that this pic is crippling Snake. It's not happening, it never happened.
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I once made a sig bet with TRE that Ganon wasn't actually over 31 on BL. The jury's still out on the pigman, but props to TRE 'cause I'm a believer again.
From: Heroic Viktor | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:55:28 PM | Message Detail
So I wake up to the boards down, and Snake with a decent lead. I come back from errands and studying to see Snake getting whipped by the kiddies coming home from school. Snake should be able to hang on, but if he does not... expect cheating to bring it back to Snake.

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SC2k5 - 93/104 (Kefka, Magus (x3), Ocelot, Tidus)
From: transience | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:55:52 PM | Message Detail
Samus is more beloved than Mario? I didn't think so. heck, the board prefers Mario to Samus, or so it seems.
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From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:56:07 PM | Message Detail
Considering Ganon hardly collapsed against SAMUS, I'm not buying Ganon collapsing against Bowser just yet. Yes, I saw Mario/Samus, too.

I think that has more to do with Samus's inability to lay the SFF smack down on her kin. Really, I have trouble seeing her beat anyone from the Mario or Zelda series a lot worse than she's supposed to. She gets the Nintendo vote and is the resident badass of the company (she's like Nintendo's version of Snake), but when push comes to shove, she isn't as near and dear to the fanbase's heart.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: Zaphod H | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:56:49 PM | Message Detail
Ganon vs Bowser would be a close call for me, but I think I'd give Bowser the edge for the same reason I gave Mario the edge over Samus: Bowser's more "flagship".
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From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:58:09 PM | Message Detail
Samus is more beloved than Mario? I didn't think so. heck, the board prefers Mario to Samus, or so it seems.

So you think this board prefers Ganondorf to Bowser? Not by a long shot. Ganon thrives as a leech.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: greatone10 | Posted: 9/14/2005 1:58:43 PM | Message Detail
I think Samus has trouble SFFing her opponents because quite a few people didn't know she existed until the SSB series.
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From: transience | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:01:26 PM | Message Detail
no, I think the board prefers Bowser; I was just saying that I never got the impression that Samus was as loved as Mario. I don't think one would be significantly favoured over the other, Bowser/Ganon that is. comparing Samus/Mario and Bowser/Ganon is apples and oranges to me.

Bowser needs to slow the crap down here. I do not want to see Mario/Bowser.
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From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:01:55 PM | Message Detail
Agreed. She was deffinately not top 3 in the company until SSB came along. She'd have been fighting it out on the level of Kirby and Yohsi, most likely, if not for SSB/M. And Ness, well, he's practically 90% SSB fueled now-a-days.
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I once made a sig bet with TRE that Ganon wasn't actually over 31 on BL. The jury's still out on the pigman, but props to TRE 'cause I'm a believer again.
From: Applekidjosh | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:02:24 PM | Message Detail
While Mario vs. Bowser would be horribly boring as a Final 4 match, at least Bowser > Snake in the stats would be totally awesome.
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From: RPGuy96 | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:02:37 PM | Message Detail
Snake by the hour:
14:00 | 47.91%
13:00 | 49.26%
12:00 | 50.43%
11:00 | 52.10%
10:00 | 52.40%
09:00 | 52.38%
08:00 | 50.63%
07:00 | 52.48%
06:00 | 51.29%
05:00 | 50.64%
04:00 | 50.39%
03:00 | 57.92%
02:00 | 55.93%
01:00 | 54.90%

Bowser needs 43.05 votes/update to win.
The last 8 updates (down = Bowser won):
(Down 88)
(Down 21)
(Down 99)
(Down 80)
(Down 43)
(Down 32)
(Down 33)
(Up 9)
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From: Dark115 | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:03:01 PM | Message Detail
I'd take Bowser over Ganondorf personally. I think if Ganondorf is more powerful, even still the SFF would sway to Bowser
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From: The Doppleganger | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:03:08 PM | Message Detail
at least Bowser > Snake in the stats would be totally awesome.

Hell no
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From: Mac Arrowny | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:03:16 PM | Message Detail
Really, I have trouble seeing her beat anyone from the Mario or Zelda series a lot worse than she's supposed to.

She managed to SFF Isaac pretty good.

The only year Ganon really outranked Bowser was potentially a fluke. Bowser has been doing as excpeted since then, Ganon has been doing less than expected.


Ganon-through-Alucard is a lot stronger than Bowser-through-Guybrush.

So you think this board prefers Ganondorf to Bowser? Not by a long shot. Ganon thrives as a leech.

Ganon thrives because he's way cooler than any other Nintendo character. >_>
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:04:10 PM | Message Detail
She managed to SFF Isaac pretty good.

What's an Isaac?
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: Tequilla Gundam | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:04:15 PM | Message Detail
Ulti bragged when Mario beat Samus not he runs when his Bowser > Snake pic fails. He even said he was 100% sure without a shadow of a doubt that Bowser would win too =/.

I should have sig betted.
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Summer 2005 Contest Score : 30/32
Rank : 42/33793 Today: Mario Tomorrow: Zero
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:04:32 PM | Message Detail
She managed to SFF Isaac pretty good.

Yes, because it's not possible that Felix is just that more well-liked.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:04:37 PM | Message Detail
Bowser needs to slow the crap down here. I do not want to see Mario/Bowser.

I *heart* Bowser, and I still I don't see why folks are freaking over this. There's no way he's coming back to take this.
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Go ahead ********! Fire away! I've got a big turkey dinner here that says you don't have enough bullets to take down my hungry ***! ~ MG2 Run
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:04:56 PM | Message Detail
Hell yes. Bowser > Snake would be so damn cool. Oh, and there's no way in hell Bowser is coming back from this, he needs too much per update and isn't going to be up to the task at night. He'd need like 80 votes every 5 minutes starting now.
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I once made a sig bet with TRE that Ganon wasn't actually over 31 on BL. The jury's still out on the pigman, but props to TRE 'cause I'm a believer again.
From: ernest | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:04:58 PM | Message Detail
this is a race against time now.
hang in there snake. the rest of the noble nine has done their duty
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What a 42 carat plonker you really are~del boy only fools and horses
From: Dranze | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:05:07 PM | Message Detail
If the Zelda series and Mario series share enough of a fanbase, I'd take Bowser easily.
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:05:12 PM | Message Detail
There are 120 five-minute updates left...if Bowser gets 14.35 votes more than Snake each update, then this ends in a tie. For the past hour, Bowser's gotten an average of 20.42 votes more than Solid each update, estimating Bowser would win by 728 votes.

Of course, there's alot more to it than that, but that's still scary.
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Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:05:18 PM | Message Detail
From here 'till the end of the match, Solid Snake lost 1.00% on Frog (yes, Frog).

From here 'till the end of the match, Solid Snake lost 1.67% against Sora.

From here 'till the end of the match, Snake lost 1.87% on Knuckles.
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Summer Contest 2005 --- Score: 89/104 --- Rank: T-364
From: transience | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:05:20 PM | Message Detail
by the way, I remember people saying that Auron was the board favourite vs. Ganon and Ganon took a pretty nice lead from the get-go. Ganon is far from disliked.

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From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:06:03 PM | Message Detail
Nicely done, Snake. We need more updates like that.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: Dranze | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:06:53 PM | Message Detail
Bowser is more of a board favorite than Ganondorf will ever be just by seeing the Villain Contest.
From: RevolverAk47 | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:06:55 PM | Message Detail
If bowser wins Ill drink a gallon of bleach
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From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:07:02 PM | Message Detail
Well, if only the board voted on the "board vote," Auron would've been leading.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:07:27 PM | Message Detail
"She managed to SFF Isaac pretty good."

Because Isaac was in so many matches.

"Ganon-through-Alucard is a lot stronger than Bowser-through-Guybrush."

Bowser is stronger since then, Ganon isn't.
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I once made a sig bet with TRE that Ganon wasn't actually over 31 on BL. The jury's still out on the pigman, but props to TRE 'cause I'm a believer again.
From: shadow8021 | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:07:28 PM | Message Detail
It would be funny to see Snake win by the skin of his teeth, reassuring everyone that the noble 9 will live on, then Vincent smacks Crono upside the head tomorrow. I'm not saying it will happen, I'm just saying it would be funny if it did.
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SC2K5 Score: 93/104
Today's Pick: Solid Snake
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:07:33 PM | Message Detail
All Snake needs to do is stall him at this point, and those updates are just what he needs to do it. It won't be as pretty as I might have liked, but he'll make it.

I'd actually really like to see Bowser/Ganon next year, SFF or no.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!
From: Kagato Toujou | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:08:26 PM | Message Detail
this is a race against time now.
hang in there snake. the rest of the noble nine has done their duty


That race is a formality now. While Bowser was able to stifle Snake to a greater degree than Zelda did early, he still took the brunt of some CQC. He's too far gone to win.
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Go ahead ********! Fire away! I've got a big turkey dinner here that says you don't have enough bullets to take down my hungry ***! ~ MG2 Run
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:08:42 PM | Message Detail
Besides, I never said Ganondorf was disliked. It's obvious that he's not. He's just not beloved like Bowser is. Fanbase overlap is a tricky thing anyway. Ganondorf is barely ahead in the Spring, statistics-wise, and it wouldn't take much of a swing for it to favor Bowser.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
From: Sir Bormun | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:09:34 PM | Message Detail
"Ganon-through-Alucard is a lot stronger than Bowser-through-Guybrush."

True, but Alucard has underachieved in this contest to, and his value will take a hit because of it. Bowser vs. Ganon actually seems like a tossup about now.
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I can't think of anything to put here, but I can't just leave it blank, can I?
From: therealmnm | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:10:22 PM | Message Detail
Ganon-through-Alucard is a lot stronger than Bowser-through-Guybrush.

You fail right there trying to measure Bowser's strength through Guybrush Threepwood...
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From: red sox 777 | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:10:33 PM | Message Detail
Snake reached his lowest percentage against Knuckles at 21:15. He reached his lowest point against Sora at 19:30. Frog continued gaining on Snake for the duration of the match. Snake's second night vote is much much weaker than his first.

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Summer Contest 2005 --- Score: 89/104 --- Rank: T-364
From: ChichiriMuyo | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:10:36 PM | Message Detail
I'm thinking Snake is going to hit ~36 in the stats, so Alucard couldn't have taken too much of a hit.
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I once made a sig bet with TRE that Ganon wasn't actually over 31 on BL. The jury's still out on the pigman, but props to TRE 'cause I'm a believer again.
From: yoblazer33 | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:10:38 PM | Message Detail
Bowser is a lot closer to Ganondorf than Mario was to Samus (going by last year). King Koopa will easily take it.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.
From: Phediuk | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:11:18 PM | Message Detail
Bowser's gaining an awful lot of ground now...he could make this close. o_O

I'd like to see it happen, for sure.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
From: Sir Crono | Posted: 9/14/2005 2:12:29 PM | Message Detail
He might make it close, as in less than 1000, but I don't think he'll win.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."
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