You fail right there trying to measure Bowser's strength through Guybrush Threepwood...

Yes, Guybrush is pretty much fodder in these contests. Bowser looks like he could make this really close if Snake can't hold onto his lead.
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Today's subliminal thought is:

Bowser now has two less updates to work with, not all of which are in his favor, and he's got the same distance to climb. There's zero to worry about.
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I once made a sig bet with TRE that Ganon wasn't actually over 31 on BL. The jury's still out on the pigman, but props to TRE 'cause I'm a believer again.

Karma get on aim.
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SC2K5 Favorites - Solid Snake, Kirby, Mario, Leon Kennedy.

Snake reached his lowest percentage against Knuckles at 21:15. He reached his lowest point against Sora at 19:30. Frog continued gaining on Snake for the duration of the match. Snake's second night vote is much much weaker than his first.

That's misleading. Snake was losing percentage through the night against those opponents, but he wasn't losing it nearly as quickly as he was during the day. And Frog's second night vote > most. His second night vote is weaker, but it's not a pushover.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!

Bowser is stronger since then, Ganon isn't.

I dunno, that gives Kirby an awfully large victory over Auron.

You fail right there trying to measure Bowser's strength through Guybrush Threepwood...

Bowser fails because he makes Guybrush look good.

True, but Alucard has underachieved in this contest to, and his value will take a hit because of it. Bowser vs. Ganon actually seems like a tossup about now.

It's not much of a change compared to Alucard 2k3. It's already been established that Alucard 2k4 is completely wrong.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.

I can't get on AIM right now. I thought it was established how finicky it worked for me?
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!

Yeah, we really shouldn't be using Alucard's 2004 value because it's under the assumption that Ganondorf's 2003 value is correct, and it's looking very likely that it wasn't.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."

If the match ended with the exact percentages it has now, what percentage would Kirby be expected to beat Alucard with?

A pretty ridiculous one.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.

That was better Snake.
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SC2K5 Favorites - Solid Snake, Kirby, Mario, Leon Kennedy.

Haha, Snake won that 15 minute update by 1! Booya!
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."

Ganon's still at ~32%. If I was ever going to make a claim for rSFF it'd be Kirby. Either way, I think the idea of Kirby beating Auron is great.
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I once made a sig bet with TRE that Ganon wasn't actually over 31 on BL. The jury's still out on the pigman, but props to TRE 'cause I'm a believer again.

Looked like 50/50 to me, but whatev. <_< Just keep stalling, Snake.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!

Haha, Snake won that 15 minute update by 1! Booya!

lol, updater says it was 50/50...
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb

Bowser fails because he makes Guybrush look good.

....And how?

Yeah, I see 50/50 as well.
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I once made a sig bet with TRE that Ganon wasn't actually over 31 on BL. The jury's still out on the pigman, but props to TRE 'cause I'm a believer again.

15 =/= 5
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."

Fittyslashfitty for me too.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

He meant by 15 minutes, not that 5 minute update. Go back 2 more and add them up.

15 minute update, ya turkeys.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.

Ah, but of course... <___<
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!

...I knew that. Ahem. Yeah.....
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

oh yeah - congrats to HM and whoever else made the leaderboard.
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cheh....15 minute updates are SO 2k3!
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Revenge is a dish best served cold. ~ Old Klingon Proverb

Either way, I think the idea of Kirby beating Auron is great.

Yeah, but by that much? I know Kirby would probably win, but I wouldn't expect it to be a blowout of MGS2-proportions.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.

Let me say this:

Gannondorf > Bowser. The Bowser/Kirby guartnees that. Auron is not that much weaker than Kirby. Seriously, I believe a Dorf/Snake match could have been the match of the contest.

Second, the sprite is doing nothing. You cant tell me that you think Bowser is barely greater than Frog. Its just not have the same effect. Im starting to think it wasnt so much Snake's sprite as it was Frog's. Frog and Magus just get more power due to theirs.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man

lol downtime

Great to see Snake winning here. I wish he had a bigger lead, but at least it's a lead. Looks like an easy road to 100-0. It's 93-0 after today, right?
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]

Snake's sprite isn't as bad as the one he had against Frog, either.
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BertTheOne | Can't hurt this Bert
Nominate Jay Solano & Ifnkovhgroghprm for SC2K6!

I don't think Bowser would beat Ganondorf by pure strength, I think he would beat Ganondorf by SFF power, so Kirby >>>> Auron shouldn't even be bothered with in my opinion.

Second, the sprite is doing nothing.

How do we know?

You cant tell me that you think Bowser is barely greater than Frog.

I'm not taking many of last year's results seriously. According to last year, Frog beats Bowser.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.

So if people are going by SFF power for Bowser, who wins: Gannondorf or Snake?
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man

Snake.
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Go ahead ********! Fire away! I've got a big turkey dinner here that says you don't have enough bullets to take down my hungry ***! ~ MG2 Run

Snake would beat Ganon. My god, Why do people still keep doubting Snake?
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SC2K5 Favorites - Solid Snake, Kirby, Mario, Leon Kennedy.

*cheers on Snake*

Also, I'd love to see a Ganondorf/Snake match.
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Kurotsuchi Mayuri fan
Supporter of Solid Snake in the Summer 2k5 Character Battle IV

I don't think Bowser would beat Ganondorf by pure strength, I think he would beat Ganondorf by SFF power, so Kirby >>>> Auron shouldn't even be bothered with in my opinion.

Agreed. If you argue that the match will be decided by a SFF swing, it's useless to debate legitimate strength, common opponents, and all that jazz. Mario took that whole argument and tossed it out the window 24 hours ago.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.

Well we dont. Its an opinion. But this is exactly how much stronger I expected Bowser to be compared to Zelda. I knew it was over after Zelda, but the sprite gave me hope =(.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man

Today's pic really sucks ass.. Snake always look horrible with the sprite pic!!!!

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"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka

If Bowser gets to 49%, I'd take Ganon over Snake; I think the picture only hurts a lil', and not enough to give Solid a win over Ganon.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.

So if people are going by SFF power for Bowser, who wins: Gannondorf or Snake?

Snake. The only way Ganondorf even has a chance is if he gets Ocarina of Time art against Zombie Snake. If it were a sprite match, he'd be doing worse than Bowser.
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SC2K5 Guru Contest: Where _______ kicked my ass.

2k6 will be interesting especially if TP is out before.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man

Snake's sprite isn't as bad as the one he had against Frog, either.

It's still completely unrecognizable to someone who's never played the original Metal Gear. I guess I should be glad that MGS3: Subsistence will get some of the fans used to that look...
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."

I'm not exactly convinced that the sprite has no effect, either. Remember, Snake 2k4 =/= Snake 2k5. Wait for Mario/Snake for confirmation. If Snake performs like he should based on Bowser here, then it's fine and dandy, no problems. If he overperforms, then I think sprites matter for him.
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Only the Snake is the true hero. Solid Snake to the Final Four!

Bowser is way stronger than Frog because he's done better on a stronger Snake.

I don't think we'll know what's up until Mario/Seph, and even that's kind of up in the air. I can't see Snake below 35%, but I also can't see him going 55-45 with Mario.
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I'd take Snake over Ganondorf, too. After seeing what Diablo did, I'm not entirely convinced he's as strong as the Spring says, and I'm not buying a sizable dive. Heck, if Master Chief is an indication that Crono is actually weaker than 2004, then Kefka is weaker, too, and we can't use Vercetti as reference.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own."
"Building the future and keeping the past alive are the same thing."

How does Snake stall him one update, Then the next update, Bowser just gains so much %?
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SC2K5 Favorites - Solid Snake, Kirby, Mario, Leon Kennedy.

Well the thing is Ganon is going to be so underrated by the stats its not going to be funny. He is behind two levels of SFF.
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Leon's Quest For Ultimate Glory:
1. Gordon Freeman; 2. Mega Man

Bowser is your God.
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George Romero > You.

Sprite Round >>>>>>>>>>>> Snake

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"Life...Dreams...Hope...Where'd they come from? And where are they headed...? These things...I'm going to destroy!!" -Kefka

Solid would have 70% if he had a pic of him in a box right now.
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Hillary Clinton: We need to treat violent video games the way we treat tobacco or alcohol.
Lewis Black: Namely as valued contributors to our re-election fund.